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Neonode Inc. revenue decreased on 10.0% and EBITDA Margin dropped on 16.6 pp from -64.5% to -81.1%

03/10/2021 • About Neonode Inc. ($NEON) • By InTwits

Neonode Inc. reported 2020 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • Neonode Inc. is a company in decline: 2020 revenue growth was -10.0%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -11.6%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -81.1%
  • Neonode Inc. motivates its personel by high Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for 2016-2020 was 0.0% while average EBITDA Margin was -51.2% for the sames years
  • Neonode Inc. has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.2%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 3.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $0m in 2020, $0m in 2019, $0m in 2018, $1m in 2017, $1m in 2016
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -63.6%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Neonode Inc.'s Revenue decreased on 10.0%. Annual revenue decline showed slowdown in 20Q4 - revenue jumped on 51.0%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 8.1 pp from -2.3% to 5.9% in FY2020. During the last 5 years EBITDA Margin topped in 2018 at -33.6% and was declining since that time.

Gross Margin decreased on 7.7 pp from 89.7% to 82.0% in 2020. SG&A as a % of Revenue jumped on 19.2 pp from 97.1% to 116% in 2020. SG&A as a % of Revenue followed a growing trend at 12.2 pp per annum in 2016-2020.

Net Income margin dropped on 13.9 pp from -79.7% to -93.7% in 2020. During the last 5 years Net Income margin topped in 2018 at -35.8% and was declining since that time.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In 2020 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 1.0%. Neonode Inc.'s CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 5.4 pp from 6.4% in 2017 to 1.0% in 2020. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 1.7%. CAPEX as a % of Revenue declined at -2.2 pp per annum in 2016-2020.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-63.6%) and ROE (-52.4%). ROIC increased on 4.3 pp from -67.9% to -63.6% in 2020. ROE increased on 5.7 pp from -58.1% to -52.4% in 2020.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -13.8x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Debt jumped on 19.0% while cash jumped on 344%.

Neonode Inc. has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (822.7%).

Management team


The company's CEO Urban Forssell has spent 1 year with the company. Maria Ek is a the company's CFO. Maria Ek has spent 1 year at the company.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 12/31/2020

Neonode Inc. ($NEON) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201620172018201920202020/2019
P&L
Revenue10.21310.2418.5386.6465.984-10.0%
Gross Profit8.8757.8987.6175.9634.906-17.7%
SG&A6.9507.2966.2166.4546.9587.8%
EBITDA-4.784-4.523-2.869-4.287-4.852
Net Income-5.291-4.705-3.060-5.298-5.605
Balance Sheet
Cash3.4765.7966.5552.35710.473344.3%
Short Term Debt0.2280.5680.5700.9001.27341.4%
Long Term Debt0.9601.6811.1330.5660.472-16.6%
Cash flow
Capex0.9870.6560.2360.0890.060-32.6%
Ratios
Revenue growth-8.1%0.3%-16.6%-22.2%-10.0%
EBITDA growth-36.3%-5.5%-36.6%49.4%13.2%

Gross Margin86.9%77.1%89.2%89.7%82.0%-7.7%
EBITDA Margin-46.8%-44.2%-33.6%-64.5%-81.1%-16.6%
SG&A, % of revenue68.1%71.2%72.8%97.1%116.3%19.2%
Net Income Margin-51.8%-45.9%-35.8%-79.7%-93.7%-13.9%
CAPEX, % of revenue9.7%6.4%2.8%1.3%1.0%-0.3%

ROIC-137.2%-71.0%-35.9%-67.9%-63.6%4.3%
ROE-166.6%-69.6%-29.3%-58.1%-52.4%5.7%

Neonode Inc. ($NEON) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $20Q120Q220Q320Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue1112 -35.7%-55.7%14.1%51.0%
EBITDA-1-1-1-1 ----
Net Income-1-2-2-1 ----
Balance Sheet
Cash121210 -79.6%-61.8%303.7%344.3%
Short Term Debt1111 -24.1%29.5%-20.4%41.4%
Long Term Debt0000 -69.4%-61.5%-60.7%-16.6%
Ratios
Gross Margin96.6%83.8%86.6%70.9% 1.6%-12.1%-8.6%-1.4%
EBITDA Margin -59.9% -192.0% -94.5% -49.6% -44.5%-136.7%-30.9%78.3%
Net Income Margin -78.1% -212.7% -109.6% -55.2% -49.6%-138.7%-26.7%92.0%

Peers in Electronic Manufacturing Services


Below we provide Neonode Inc. benchmarking against other companies in Electronic Manufacturing Services industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Netlist Inc ($NLST)-95.0%-12.5%-22.1%81.0%
IEC Electronics Corp. ($IEC)--24.1%21.2%34.3%16.4%
eMagin Corporation ($EMAN)-3.0%19.1%1.9%10.1%
Jabil Inc. ($JBL)-3.9%15.9%14.4%7.8%
Plexus Corp. ($PLXS)--1.1%13.7%10.1%7.1%
 
Median (13 companies)4.6%3.0%9.8%9.7%-1.3%
Neonode Inc. ($NEON)-0.3%-16.6%-22.2%-10.0%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
IPG Photonics Corporation ($IPGP)54.9%56.6%54.8%46.1%44.9%
CTS Corporation ($CTS)35.4%33.2%35.1%33.6%32.8%
TE Connectivity Ltd. ($TEL)33.7%34.3%33.9%32.7%30.7%
RF Industries, Ltd. ($RFIL)28.0%30.4%34.1%28.3%26.9%
eMagin Corporation ($EMAN)30.1%23.3%15.2%25.2%21.6%
 
Median (13 companies)16.7%13.8%12.1%13.8%14.3%
Neonode Inc. ($NEON)86.9%77.1%89.2%89.7%82.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
IPG Photonics Corporation ($IPGP)41.8%44.7%40.9%26.8%24.0%
CTS Corporation ($CTS)20.7%14.0%17.8%17.6%18.1%
TE Connectivity Ltd. ($TEL)20.9%20.4%21.4%19.8%11.1%
TTM Technologies, Inc. ($TTMI)14.0%14.6%13.5%15.8%9.7%
IEC Electronics Corp. ($IEC)7.4%3.8%4.3%6.6%7.5%
 
Median (12 companies)5.4%5.0%4.8%6.1%5.9%
Neonode Inc. ($NEON)-46.8%-44.2%-33.6%-64.5%-81.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
eMagin Corporation ($EMAN)6.7%6.2%8.8%4.2%8.5%
IPG Photonics Corporation ($IPGP)12.6%9.0%11.0%10.2%7.3%
TTM Technologies, Inc. ($TTMI)3.4%5.7%5.3%6.7%4.9%
TE Connectivity Ltd. ($TEL)5.3%5.6%6.7%5.6%4.6%
Jabil Inc. ($JBL)5.0%3.8%4.7%4.0%3.6%
 
Median (12 companies)2.8%2.7%2.4%1.6%3.5%
Neonode Inc. ($NEON)9.7%6.4%2.8%1.3%1.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
IEC Electronics Corp. ($IEC)16.9%3.1%6.4%12.7%14.8%
Sanmina Corporation ($SANM)14.2%13.9%7.0%16.2%13.0%
Plexus Corp. ($PLXS)8.7%10.3%9.6%12.6%12.4%
Jabil Inc. ($JBL)12.3%9.3%12.5%16.1%10.8%
CTS Corporation ($CTS)18.1%9.8%14.8%11.8%9.2%
 
Median (13 companies)6.7%5.7%6.7%11.8%7.3%
Neonode Inc. ($NEON)-137.2%-71.0%-35.9%-67.9%-63.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
SMTC Corporation ($SMTX)1.0x-11.3x3.8x4.2x
TE Connectivity Ltd. ($TEL)1.4x1.3x1.1x1.1x2.7x
IEC Electronics Corp. ($IEC)2.0x5.6x4.9x3.6x2.1x
TTM Technologies, Inc. ($TTMI)2.2x1.5x3.2x3.3x2.0x
Jabil Inc. ($JBL)1.0x0.8x1.0x0.9x1.4x
 
Median (11 companies)0.2x0.2x0.2x0.3x-0.0x