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Inseego Corp. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 55.6x from 82.5x to 26.9x in 2020 while Debt jumped on 16.0%

03/01/2021 • About Inseego Corp. ($INSG) • By InTwits

Inseego Corp. reported 2020 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Inseego Corp. motivates its personel by high Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for 2016-2020 was 0.0% while average EBITDA Margin was -0.4% for the sames years
  • Inseego Corp. has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.4%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 3.2%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $6m in 2020, $7m in 2019, $1m in 2018, $2m in 2017, $1m in 2016
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -18.6%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 26.9x while industry average is 0.1x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 43.0%. Revenue growth showed acceleration in 20Q4 - it increased 64.5% YoY. During the last 5 years Revenue growth bottomed in 2017 at -10.0% and was accelerating since that time. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 8.9 pp from -0.50% to 8.4% in 2020.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in 2020. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 4.4 pp from 25.6% to 21.2% in 2020. SG&A as a % of Revenue stuck to a declining trend at -2.7 pp per annum in 2016-2020.

Net Income margin dropped on 17.2 pp from -18.3% to -35.4% in 2020. During the last 5 years Net Income margin topped in 2018 at -4.0% and was declining since that time.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


Inseego Corp.'s CAPEX/Revenue was 1.8% in 2020. The company showed small growth in CAPEX/Revenue of 1.0 pp from 0.82% in 2017 to 1.8% in 2020. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.8%. Inseego Corp. has spent a lot to CAPEX (114% of EBITDA) to fuel its growth.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 26.9x Net Debt / EBITDA and 34.9x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 55.6x from 82.5x to 26.9x in 2020. Debt jumped on 16.0% while cash surged on 231%.

Inseego Corp. has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (2,471.6%).

Management team


The company's CEO Dan Mondor has spent 3 years with the company. Craig L Foster is a Inseego Corp.'s CFO. Craig L Foster has spent 7 months years at the company.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 12/31/2020

Inseego Corp. ($INSG) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201620172018201920202020/2019
P&L
Revenue243.6219.3202.5219.5313.843.0%
Gross Profit76.367.370.664.090.842.0%
SG&A82.259.448.456.266.418.3%
EBITDA-31.0-7.927.71.75.0198.0%
Net Income-60.6-45.7-8.1-40.1-111.2
Balance Sheet
Cash9.921.231.012.140.0231.4%
Short Term Debt3.23.11.41.31.625.7%
Long Term Debt90.9128.8138.1149.6173.415.9%
Cash flow
Capex1.41.81.36.65.7-13.4%
Ratios
Revenue growth10.2%-10.0%-7.7%8.4%43.0%
EBITDA growth5.0%-74.3%-449.4%-93.9%198.0%

Gross Margin31.3%30.7%34.9%29.1%28.9%-0.2%
EBITDA Margin-12.7%-3.6%13.7%0.8%1.6%0.8%
SG&A, % of revenue33.7%27.1%23.9%25.6%21.2%-4.4%
Net Income Margin-24.9%-20.9%-4.0%-18.3%-35.4%-17.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.6%0.8%0.7%3.0%1.8%-1.2%

ROIC-46.2%-26.6%14.5%-17.6%-18.6%-1.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA3.9x82.5x26.9x-55.6x

Inseego Corp. ($INSG) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $20Q120Q220Q320Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue57819086 17.1%44.4%43.9%64.5%
EBITDA-3045 -298.9%-21.8%-
Net Income-18-75-5-13 ----
Balance Sheet
Cash31424240 -4.2%107.7%201.1%231.4%
Short Term Debt48112 1,557.1%-99.1%-99.0%25.7%
Long Term Debt50182171173 -64.9%13,825.4%13,575.8%15.9%
Ratios
Gross Margin30.3%27.3%27.9%30.7% -0.1%-0.6%-1.8%2.0%
EBITDA Margin -5.2% 0.3% 3.9% 5.7% -8.2%2.1%-0.7%6.2%
Net Income Margin -32.0% -92.7% -6.0% -14.8% -16.6%-73.5%8.0%10.1%

Peers in Communications Equipment


Below you can find Inseego Corp. benchmarking vs. other companies in Communications Equipment industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Resonant Inc. ($RESN)-116.2%-19.8%40.3%329.9%
Franklin Wireless Corp ($FKWL)--18.8%-38.1%21.3%105.9%
Ribbon Communications Inc. ($RBBN)-30.6%75.2%-2.6%49.8%
Casa Systems, Inc. ($CASA)-11.2%-15.5%-5.0%39.3%
Lantronix, Inc. ($LTRX)-10.2%1.9%2.9%27.7%
 
Median (35 companies)7.5%5.6%3.5%3.7%2.1%
Inseego Corp. ($INSG)--10.0%-7.7%8.4%43.0%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
F5 Networks, Inc. ($FFIV)83.1%83.1%83.3%84.1%82.6%
Radware Ltd. ($RDWR)81.8%81.3%82.2%82.1%82.0%
Radcom Ltd. ($RDCM)69.6%71.8%74.0%70.0%71.4%
AudioCodes Ltd. ($AUDC)60.7%62.4%62.8%47.4%67.9%
Arista Networks, Inc. ($ANET)64.0%64.5%63.8%64.1%63.9%
 
Median (33 companies)43.9%41.7%41.2%44.3%46.8%
Inseego Corp. ($INSG)31.3%30.7%34.9%29.1%28.9%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
InterDigital, Inc. ($IDCC)73.6%67.3%41.9%37.5%39.5%
EchoStar Corporation ($SATS)40.3%38.1%37.4%36.4%35.0%
Arista Networks, Inc. ($ANET)23.3%29.8%14.0%35.7%33.1%
Motorola Solutions, Inc. ($MSI)22.2%25.5%22.0%26.7%25.9%
F5 Networks, Inc. ($FFIV)30.3%29.9%30.1%26.2%22.9%
 
Median (32 companies)5.9%6.5%4.6%5.0%9.3%
Inseego Corp. ($INSG)-12.7%-3.6%13.7%0.8%1.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Resonant Inc. ($RESN)132.5%124.8%245.2%109.7%22.3%
EchoStar Corporation ($SATS)39.9%30.9%26.5%22.2%21.7%
KVH Industries, Inc. ($KVHI)3.2%8.0%9.3%7.9%8.9%
Harmonic Inc. ($HLIT)3.7%3.2%1.7%2.6%8.5%
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. ($AAOI)19.0%17.5%26.9%15.1%6.7%
 
Median (32 companies)2.0%1.9%1.7%2.4%2.2%
Inseego Corp. ($INSG)0.6%0.8%0.7%3.0%1.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Franklin Wireless Corp ($FKWL)12.2%4.7%-14.9%-13.0%37.5%
Motorola Solutions, Inc. ($MSI)26.4%39.5%35.3%34.0%26.4%
Arista Networks, Inc. ($ANET)25.7%33.9%14.5%33.3%23.5%
AudioCodes Ltd. ($AUDC)6.1%8.6%16.1%-7.7%20.8%
F5 Networks, Inc. ($FFIV)43.1%46.9%47.9%34.1%16.5%
 
Median (35 companies)2.4%2.2%0.3%1.2%2.3%
Inseego Corp. ($INSG)-46.2%-26.6%14.5%-17.6%-18.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
CommScope Holding Company, Inc. ($COMM)4.3x4.6x4.4x27.0x10.5x
Harmonic Inc. ($HLIT)--3.4x1.9x6.5x
Ribbon Communications Inc. ($RBBN)-17.2x---3.5x
Casa Systems, Inc. ($CASA)-0.2x0.3x0.2x32.1x3.2x
EchoStar Corporation ($SATS)1.5x1.7x3.3x1.4x2.5x
 
Median (24 companies)-0.9x-0.7x-0.3x-0.4x-0.5x
Inseego Corp. ($INSG)--3.9x82.5x26.9x