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Intrusion Inc Net Income dropped on 246% and EBITDA Margin dropped on 127 pp from 37.6% to -89.3%

02/25/2021 • About Intrusion Inc ($INTZ) • By InTwits

Intrusion Inc reported 2020 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -89.3%
  • Intrusion Inc has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.0%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 3.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $0m in 2020, $0m in 2019, $0m in 2018, $0m in 2017, $0m in 2016
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -56.1%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Intrusion Inc's Revenue dropped on 51.5%. Annual revenue decline showed slowdown in 20Q4 - revenue dropped on 38.6%. During the last 5 years Revenue growth topped in 2018 at 49.8% and was decelerating since that time. Revenue decline was worsened by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 127 pp from 37.6% to -89.3% in 2020. During 2016-2020 EBITDA Margin topped in 2019 at 37.6%.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 1.8 pp from 60.8% to 59.1% in 2020. SG&A as a % of Revenue surged on 82.1 pp from 18.2% to 100% in 2020. During 2016-2020 SG&A as a % of Revenue bottomed in 2019 at 18.2%.

Net Income margin dropped on 131 pp from 32.7% to -98.5% in 2020. During 2016-2020 Net Income margin topped in 2019 at 32.7%.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In 2020 Intrusion Inc had CAPEX/Revenue of 4.8%. CAPEX/Revenue increased on 4.5 pp from 0.29% in 2017 to 4.8% in 2020. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 2.9%. CAPEX as a % of Revenue followed a growing trend at 0.97 pp per annum in 2016-2020.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-56.1%) and ROE (-80.4%). ROIC dropped on 204 pp from 148% to -56.1% in 2020.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -12.2x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Debt surged on 42.8% while cash surged on 401%.

Intrusion Inc has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (3,288.2%).

Financial and operational results


FY ended 12/31/2020

Intrusion Inc ($INTZ) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201620172018201920202020/2019
P&L
Revenue6.1026.86210.27613.6436.619-51.5%
Gross Profit3.9194.0386.4298.3013.910-52.9%
SG&A2.8272.6252.7162.4806.636167.6%
EBITDA-1.113-0.5432.6095.124-5.912-215.4%
Net Income-1.552-0.0302.2874.465-6.518-246.0%
Balance Sheet
Cash0.0640.2241.6523.33416.704401.0%
Short Term Debt0.1390.0440.0580.3270.50855.4%
Long Term Debt0.0610.0171.8791.3361.86739.7%
Cash flow
Capex0.0470.0200.2020.2600.32023.1%
Ratios
Revenue growth-10.6%12.5%49.8%32.8%-51.5%
EBITDA growth33.0%-51.2%-580.5%96.4%-215.4%

Gross Margin64.2%58.8%62.6%60.8%59.1%-1.8%
EBITDA Margin-18.2%-7.9%25.4%37.6%-89.3%-126.9%
SG&A, % of revenue46.3%38.3%26.4%18.2%100.3%82.1%
Net Income Margin-25.4%-0.4%22.3%32.7%-98.5%-131.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.8%0.3%2.0%1.9%4.8%2.9%

ROIC147.9%-56.1%-204.0%
ROE-80.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.1x-0.3x

Intrusion Inc ($INTZ) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $20Q120Q220Q320Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue2222 -43.7%-58.8%-58.9%-38.6%
EBITDA-0-1-1-4 -130.5%-130.4%-179.4%-802.4%
Net Income-0-1-1-4 -149.1%-140.7%-196.2%-1,422.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash33217 238.3%94.4%-28.7%401.0%
Short Term Debt0001 9.2%3.1%1.9%55.4%
Long Term Debt1112 -20.1%-21.8%-6.1%39.7%
Ratios
Gross Margin58.4%60.7%58.9%58.2% -1.4%0.2%-3.1%-2.8%
EBITDA Margin -18.7% -34.9% -79.8% -236.1% -53.2%-82.1%-121.2%-256.7%
Net Income Margin -25.9% -43.2% -88.7% -248.6% -55.6%-86.9%-126.7%-260.2%

Peers in Systems Software


Below we provide Intrusion Inc benchmarking against other companies in Systems Software industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Zscaler, Inc. ($ZS)-56.5%51.3%59.2%42.4%
ServiceNow, Inc. ($NOW)-38.0%36.0%32.6%30.6%
SailPoint Technologies Holdings, Inc. ($SAIL)-40.5%33.8%15.9%26.6%
Rapid7, Inc. ($RPD)-27.6%21.5%33.9%25.9%
Tenable Holdings, Inc. ($TENB)-50.9%42.4%32.6%24.2%
 
Median (23 companies)12.9%16.6%19.0%15.9%15.1%
Intrusion Inc ($INTZ)-12.5%49.8%32.8%-51.5%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. ($CHKP)88.5%88.6%89.6%89.5%89.4%
Progress Software Corporation ($PRGS)83.8%82.6%83.1%81.8%86.0%
Varonis Systems, Inc. ($VRNS)90.5%90.4%89.8%86.2%84.9%
Vmware, Inc. ($VMW)85.2%-85.5%83.9%83.4%
Tenable Holdings, Inc. ($TENB)88.6%86.4%83.9%82.8%82.4%
 
Median (23 companies)73.6%74.1%75.0%76.6%77.8%
Intrusion Inc ($INTZ)64.2%58.8%62.6%60.8%59.1%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. ($CHKP)49.8%50.7%48.8%46.0%45.1%
Qualys, Inc. ($QLYS)23.8%25.1%28.4%36.5%40.3%
SolarWinds Corporation ($SWI)-8.0%44.0%44.8%44.7%39.8%
Progress Software Corporation ($PRGS)2.4%28.6%32.9%23.4%34.4%
Fortinet, Inc. ($FTNT)7.2%11.1%15.9%19.8%23.9%
 
Median (23 companies)-8.0%-3.6%-4.7%-1.4%3.0%
Intrusion Inc ($INTZ)-18.2%-7.9%25.4%37.6%-89.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Zscaler, Inc. ($ZS)7.8%6.5%8.0%9.5%12.0%
ServiceNow, Inc. ($NOW)7.6%7.8%8.6%7.7%9.3%
Qualys, Inc. ($QLYS)11.7%16.4%8.2%8.6%8.3%
Zuora, Inc. ($ZUO)3.4%3.3%2.8%5.7%7.8%
Proofpoint, Inc. ($PFPT)9.2%9.0%4.1%4.0%6.9%
 
Median (23 companies)2.1%2.4%2.6%3.8%2.8%
Intrusion Inc ($INTZ)0.8%0.3%2.0%1.9%4.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Fortinet, Inc. ($FTNT)5.3%15.0%28.0%29.0%46.3%
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. ($CHKP)24.7%26.8%25.5%24.2%25.6%
Qualys, Inc. ($QLYS)13.7%12.3%14.3%18.7%22.0%
Vmware, Inc. ($VMW)15.9%--18.1%19.6%
Progress Software Corporation ($PRGS)-4.9%13.5%18.5%7.6%16.0%
 
Median (23 companies)-2.1%-4.4%-1.6%-6.4%-6.4%
Intrusion Inc ($INTZ)---147.9%-56.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
SolarWinds Corporation ($SWI)-6.2x4.1x4.4x4.1x
Proofpoint, Inc. ($PFPT)----27.4x2.5x
Progress Software Corporation ($PRGS)-7.5x-0.1x0.1x1.5x2.1x
Vmware, Inc. ($VMW)-0.7x--0.8x0.3x1.5x
CyberArk Software Ltd. ($CYBR)-4.1x-5.7x-4.5x-3.6x0.9x
 
Median (12 companies)-1.2x-0.6x-0.5x-0.3x0.4x