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Casa Systems, Inc. EBITDA surged on 653% and EBITDA Margin increased on 8.7 pp from 2.0% to 10.7%

02/18/2021 • About Casa Systems, Inc. ($CASA) • By InTwits

Casa Systems, Inc. reported 2020 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 10.7% in 2020, 2.0% in 2019, 29.8% in 2018, 40.9% in 2017, 38.2% in 2016
  • Casa Systems, Inc. has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.3%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 7.3%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $23m in 2020, $11m in 2019, $15m in 2018, $7m in 2017, $10m in 2016
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 6.7%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 3.2x while industry average is 0.1x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 39.3%. Revenue growth showed slowdown in 20Q4 - it was 6.8% YoY. During 2016-2020 Revenue growth bottomed in 2018 at -15.5% and was accelerating since that time. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 7.1 pp from -6.2% to 0.91% in 2020.

Gross Margin decreased on 6.6 pp from 57.6% to 51.0% in 2020. During 2016-2020 Gross Margin topped in 2017 at 73.4% and was declining since that time. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 7.9 pp from 31.3% to 23.4% in 2020. During the last 5 years SG&A as a % of Revenue topped in 2019 at 31.3%.

Net Income margin jumped on 23.4 pp from -17.1% to 6.3% in 2020. During the last 5 years Net Income margin bottomed in 2019 at -17.1%.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 1.3% in 2020. The company's CAPEX/Revenue decreased slightly on 0.68 pp from 2.0% in 2017 to 1.3% in 2020. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.3%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (43.2%) while ROIC is low (6.7%). ROIC increased on 9.3 pp from -2.6% to 6.7% in 2020. ROE jumped on 128 pp from -85.0% to 43.2% in 2020. ROIC stuck to a declining trend at -11.5 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 3.2x Net Debt / EBITDA and 6.9x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 28.9x from 32.1x to 3.2x in 2020. Debt decreased slightly on 0.69% while cash jumped on 38.6%.

Casa Systems, Inc. has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (1,037.9%).

Valuation and dividends


Casa Systems, Inc.'s trades at EV/EBITDA 20.0x and P/E 28.6x.

Management team


Jerry Guo is a Casa Systems, Inc.'s CEO. Jerry Guo has spent 18 years with the company. Scott Bruckner is a the company's CFO. Scott Bruckner has spent 6 months years at the company.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 12/31/2020

Casa Systems, Inc. ($CASA) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201620172018201920202020/2019
P&L
Revenue316.1351.6297.1282.3393.239.3%
Gross Profit218.3258.1218.0162.5200.623.4%
SG&A54.361.268.088.392.04.2%
EBITDA120.8144.088.45.642.2652.9%
Net Income88.788.573.0-48.224.8
Balance Sheet
Cash329.6260.8280.6113.6157.538.6%
Short Term Debt2.12.22.28.515.278.0%
Long Term Debt297.6295.5293.3284.8276.1-3.0%
Cash flow
Capex7.47.08.08.65.2-40.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth16.0%11.2%-15.5%-5.0%39.3%
EBITDA growth11.6%19.2%-38.6%-93.7%652.9%

Gross Margin69.1%73.4%73.4%57.6%51.0%-6.6%
EBITDA Margin38.2%40.9%29.8%2.0%10.7%8.7%
SG&A, % of revenue17.2%17.4%22.9%31.3%23.4%-7.9%
Net Income Margin28.0%25.2%24.6%-17.1%6.3%23.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue2.3%2.0%2.7%3.0%1.3%-1.7%

ROIC43.2%39.7%21.9%-2.6%6.7%9.3%
ROE116.8%-85.0%43.2%128.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.2x0.3x0.2x32.1x3.2x-28.9x

Casa Systems, Inc. ($CASA) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $20Q120Q220Q320Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue8483106121 135.7%60.0%29.2%6.8%
EBITDA161422 --6.6%-45.7%
Net Income1-3323 --334.5%--
Balance Sheet
Cash135149156157 -49.0%14.3%26.4%38.6%
Short Term Debt88215 286.9%282.5%-78.0%78.0%
Long Term Debt284284290276 -2.9%-2.9%1.6%-3.0%
Ratios
Gross Margin51.0%51.7%49.7%51.6% -18.0%-23.7%1.8%-1.1%
EBITDA Margin 1.5% 7.0% 12.8% 17.9% 34.4%-5.0%17.4%4.8%
Net Income Margin 1.4% -3.6% 3.3% 19.2% 44.6%-6.1%13.7%42.0%

Peers in Communications Equipment


Below you can find Casa Systems, Inc. benchmarking vs. other companies in Communications Equipment industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Resonant Inc. ($RESN)-116.2%-19.8%40.3%329.9%
Franklin Wireless Corp ($FKWL)--18.8%-38.1%21.3%105.9%
Ribbon Communications Inc. ($RBBN)-30.6%75.2%-2.6%49.8%
Inseego Corp. ($INSG)--10.0%-7.7%8.4%43.0%
Lantronix, Inc. ($LTRX)-10.2%1.9%2.9%27.7%
 
Median (35 companies)7.5%5.1%3.5%3.7%2.1%
Casa Systems, Inc. ($CASA)-11.2%-15.5%-5.0%39.3%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
F5 Networks, Inc. ($FFIV)83.1%83.1%83.3%84.1%82.6%
Radware Ltd. ($RDWR)81.8%81.3%82.2%82.1%82.0%
Radcom Ltd. ($RDCM)69.6%71.8%74.0%70.0%71.4%
AudioCodes Ltd. ($AUDC)60.7%62.4%62.8%47.4%67.9%
Arista Networks, Inc. ($ANET)64.0%64.5%63.8%64.1%63.9%
 
Median (33 companies)43.7%41.0%40.5%43.2%44.9%
Casa Systems, Inc. ($CASA)69.1%73.4%73.4%57.6%51.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
InterDigital, Inc. ($IDCC)73.6%67.3%41.9%37.5%39.5%
EchoStar Corporation ($SATS)40.3%38.1%37.4%36.4%35.0%
Arista Networks, Inc. ($ANET)23.3%29.8%14.0%35.7%33.1%
Motorola Solutions, Inc. ($MSI)22.2%25.5%22.0%26.7%25.9%
F5 Networks, Inc. ($FFIV)30.3%29.9%30.1%26.2%22.9%
 
Median (32 companies)5.5%6.0%4.6%5.0%8.8%
Casa Systems, Inc. ($CASA)38.2%40.9%29.8%2.0%10.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Resonant Inc. ($RESN)132.5%124.8%245.2%109.7%22.3%
EchoStar Corporation ($SATS)39.9%30.9%26.5%22.2%21.7%
KVH Industries, Inc. ($KVHI)3.2%8.0%9.3%7.9%8.9%
Harmonic Inc. ($HLIT)3.7%3.2%1.7%2.6%8.5%
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. ($AAOI)19.0%17.5%26.9%15.1%6.7%
 
Median (32 companies)1.9%1.8%1.6%2.4%2.2%
Casa Systems, Inc. ($CASA)2.3%2.0%2.7%3.0%1.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Franklin Wireless Corp ($FKWL)12.2%4.7%-14.9%-13.0%37.5%
Motorola Solutions, Inc. ($MSI)26.4%39.5%35.3%34.0%26.4%
Arista Networks, Inc. ($ANET)25.7%33.9%14.5%33.3%23.5%
AudioCodes Ltd. ($AUDC)6.1%8.6%16.1%-7.7%20.8%
F5 Networks, Inc. ($FFIV)43.1%46.9%47.9%34.1%16.5%
 
Median (35 companies)2.2%2.1%0.3%1.2%1.9%
Casa Systems, Inc. ($CASA)43.2%39.7%21.9%-2.6%6.7%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Inseego Corp. ($INSG)--3.9x82.5x26.9x
CommScope Holding Company, Inc. ($COMM)4.3x4.6x4.4x27.0x10.5x
Harmonic Inc. ($HLIT)--3.4x1.9x6.5x
Ribbon Communications Inc. ($RBBN)-17.2x---3.5x
EchoStar Corporation ($SATS)1.5x1.7x3.3x1.4x2.5x
 
Median (24 companies)-0.9x-0.8x-0.3x-0.4x-0.5x
Casa Systems, Inc. ($CASA)-0.2x0.3x0.2x32.1x3.2x