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Radware Ltd. Net Income dropped on 57.3% and EBITDA Margin decreased on 6.7 pp from 13.4% to 6.7%

02/10/2021 • About Radware Ltd. ($RDWR) • By InTwits

Radware Ltd. reported FY2020 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 6.7% in FY2020, 13.4% in FY2019, 7.4% in FY2018, 2.2% in FY2017, -1.2% in FY2016
  • Radware Ltd. has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.7%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 3.7%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $8m in 2020, $10m in 2019, $16m in 2018, $17m in 2017, $26m in 2016
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 1.5%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased slightly on 0.81%. Annual revenue decline showed slowdown in FY20Q4 - revenue increased on 2.5%. During FY2016-FY2020 Revenue growth topped in FY2018 at 10.9% and was decelerating since that time. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 8.9 pp from -0.50% to 8.4% in 2020. During FY2016-FY2020 EBITDA Margin topped in FY2019 at 13.4%.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in FY2020. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.9 pp from 50.8% to 52.8% in FY2020. SG&A as a % of Revenue declined at -2.7 pp per annum in FY2016-FY2020.

Net Income margin decreased on 5.1 pp from 9.0% to 3.9% in FY2020. During FY2016-FY2020 Net Income margin topped in FY2019 at 9.0%.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2020 Radware Ltd. had CAPEX/Revenue of 3.5%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from FY2017 to FY2020. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 3.5%. Radware Ltd. invested a big chunk of EBITDA (51.8%) to CAPEX which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (1.5%) and ROE (2.5%). ROIC decreased on 2.9 pp from 4.4% to 1.5% in FY2020. ROE decreased on 3.5 pp from 5.9% to 2.5% in FY2020. During the last 5 years ROIC topped in FY2019 at 4.4%. During the last 5 years ROE topped in FY2019 at 5.9%.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -1.5x and Debt / EBITDA is 1.8x. Debt surged on 57.4% while cash jumped on 34.4%.

Radware Ltd. has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (1,048.4%).

Valuation and dividends


Radware Ltd.'s trades at EV/EBITDA 72.8x and P/E 128.9x.

Financial and operational results


Radware Ltd. ($RDWR) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201620172018201920202020/2019
P&L
Revenue196.6211.4234.4252.1250.0-0.8%
Gross Profit160.9171.8192.7206.9204.9-0.9%
SG&A121.9126.3127.5128.1131.93.0%
EBITDA-2.44.617.333.816.7-50.5%
Net Income-8.7-7.511.722.69.6-57.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash79.665.245.240.854.834.4%
Short Term Debt0.00.00.05.25.20.6%
Long Term Debt0.00.00.013.924.978.6%
Cash flow
Capex9.47.28.98.28.76.3%
Ratios
Revenue growth-9.2%7.5%10.9%7.5%-0.8%
EBITDA growth-108.7%-291.9%279.4%95.2%-50.5%

Gross Margin81.8%81.3%82.2%82.1%82.0%-0.1%
EBITDA Margin-1.2%2.2%7.4%13.4%6.7%-6.7%
SG&A, % of revenue62.0%59.8%54.4%50.8%52.8%1.9%
Net Income Margin-4.4%-3.5%5.0%9.0%3.9%-5.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue4.8%3.4%3.8%3.2%3.5%0.2%

ROIC-4.2%-2.2%2.2%4.4%1.5%-2.9%
ROE-2.8%-2.4%3.5%5.9%2.5%-3.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA-14.3x-2.6x-0.6x-1.5x-0.8x

Radware Ltd. ($RDWR) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $FY20Q1FY20Q2FY20Q3FY20Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue60586369 -2.3%-3.3%-0.5%2.5%
EBITDA3257 -50.0%-56.0%-41.6%-23.2%
Net Income3143 -41.1%-82.0%-49.6%-61.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash40494855 -23.2%42.3%21.2%34.4%
Short Term Debt5555 -6.6%-16.8%-5.4%0.6%
Long Term Debt20202425 30.1%36.2%66.5%78.6%
Ratios
Gross Margin82.2%81.9%81.4%82.3% 0.1%-0.5%-0.3%0.1%
EBITDA Margin 5.3% 4.1% 7.3% 9.5% -5.1%-4.9%-5.1%-3.2%
Net Income Margin 4.3% 1.2% 5.7% 4.1% -2.8%-5.0%-5.6%-6.8%

Peers in Communications Equipment


Below we provide Radware Ltd. benchmarking against other companies in Communications Equipment industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Resonant Inc. ($RESN)-116.2%-19.8%40.3%329.9%
Franklin Wireless Corp ($FKWL)--18.8%-38.1%21.3%105.9%
Ribbon Communications Inc. ($RBBN)-30.6%75.2%-2.6%49.8%
Inseego Corp. ($INSG)--10.0%-7.7%8.4%43.0%
Casa Systems, Inc. ($CASA)-11.2%-15.5%-5.0%39.3%
 
Median (35 companies)7.5%5.1%2.8%3.7%4.4%
Radware Ltd. ($RDWR)-7.5%10.9%7.5%-0.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
F5 Networks, Inc. ($FFIV)83.1%83.1%83.3%84.1%82.6%
Radcom Ltd. ($RDCM)69.6%71.8%74.0%70.0%71.4%
AudioCodes Ltd. ($AUDC)60.7%62.4%62.8%47.4%67.9%
Arista Networks, Inc. ($ANET)64.0%64.5%63.8%64.1%63.9%
EchoStar Corporation ($SATS)59.9%59.8%62.7%58.3%60.6%
 
Median (33 companies)43.7%41.0%40.5%43.2%44.9%
Radware Ltd. ($RDWR)81.8%81.3%82.2%82.1%82.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
InterDigital, Inc. ($IDCC)73.6%67.3%41.9%37.5%39.5%
EchoStar Corporation ($SATS)40.3%38.1%37.4%36.4%35.0%
Arista Networks, Inc. ($ANET)23.3%29.8%14.0%35.7%33.1%
Motorola Solutions, Inc. ($MSI)22.2%25.5%22.0%26.7%25.9%
F5 Networks, Inc. ($FFIV)30.3%29.9%30.1%26.2%22.9%
 
Median (32 companies)5.9%6.5%4.6%3.1%9.3%
Radware Ltd. ($RDWR)-1.2%2.2%7.4%13.4%6.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Resonant Inc. ($RESN)132.5%124.8%245.2%109.7%22.3%
EchoStar Corporation ($SATS)39.9%30.9%26.5%22.2%21.7%
KVH Industries, Inc. ($KVHI)3.2%8.0%9.3%7.9%8.9%
Harmonic Inc. ($HLIT)3.7%3.2%1.7%2.6%8.5%
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. ($AAOI)19.0%17.5%26.9%15.1%6.7%
 
Median (32 companies)1.9%1.8%1.6%2.4%2.0%
Radware Ltd. ($RDWR)4.8%3.4%3.8%3.2%3.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Franklin Wireless Corp ($FKWL)12.2%4.7%-14.9%-13.0%37.5%
Motorola Solutions, Inc. ($MSI)26.4%39.5%35.3%34.0%26.4%
Arista Networks, Inc. ($ANET)25.7%33.9%14.5%33.3%23.5%
AudioCodes Ltd. ($AUDC)6.1%8.6%16.1%-7.7%20.8%
F5 Networks, Inc. ($FFIV)43.1%46.9%47.9%34.1%16.5%
 
Median (35 companies)2.4%2.2%0.3%-1.6%2.3%
Radware Ltd. ($RDWR)-4.2%-2.2%2.2%4.4%1.5%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Inseego Corp. ($INSG)--3.9x82.5x26.9x
CommScope Holding Company, Inc. ($COMM)4.3x4.6x4.4x27.0x10.5x
Harmonic Inc. ($HLIT)--3.4x1.9x6.5x
Ribbon Communications Inc. ($RBBN)-17.2x---3.5x
Casa Systems, Inc. ($CASA)-0.2x0.3x0.2x32.1x3.2x
 
Median (24 companies)-0.9x-0.6x0.2x-0.1x-0.3x
Radware Ltd. ($RDWR)--14.3x-2.6x-0.6x-1.5x