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Allot Communications Ltd. CAPEX surged on 104% and Revenue jumped on 23.5%

02/09/2021 • About Allot Communications Ltd. ($ALLT) • By InTwits

Allot Communications Ltd. reported 2020 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -1.1%
  • Allot Communications Ltd. motivates its personel by high Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for 2016-2020 was 0.7% while average EBITDA Margin was -5.0% for the sames years
  • Allot Communications Ltd. has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.6%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 3.2%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $8m in 2020, $4m in 2019, $3m in 2018, $3m in 2017, $2m in 2016
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -6.4%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 23.5%. Revenue growth showed acceleration in 20Q4 - it increased 26.1% YoY. Revenue decline was slowing down on average by 9.0 pp per annum in 2016-2020. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 3.3 pp from 7.3% to 10.6% in 2020. During 2016-2020 EBITDA Margin bottomed in 2017 at -16.8% and was growing since that time.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 1.2 pp from 69.3% to 70.5% in 2020. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 3.7 pp from 48.8% to 45.2% in 2020. During 2016-2020 SG&A as a % of Revenue topped in 2017 at 59.8% and was declining since that time.

Net Income margin increased slightly on 0.99 pp from -7.9% to -6.9% in 2020. During the last 5 years Net Income margin bottomed in 2017 at -22.0% and was growing since that time.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 5.6% in 2020. Allot Communications Ltd.'s CAPEX/Revenue increased on 2.1 pp from 3.5% in 2017 to 5.6% in 2020. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 4.2%. CAPEX as a % of Revenue grew at 0.76 pp per annum in 2016-2020.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-6.4%) and ROE (-7.1%). ROIC showed almost no change in 2020. ROE decreased slightly on 0.67 pp from -6.5% to -7.1% in 2020.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -1.3x and Debt / EBITDA is . Debt dropped on 33.3% while cash jumped on 39.4%.

Allot Communications Ltd. has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (838.9%).

Financial and operational results


FY ended 12/31/2020

Allot Communications Ltd. ($ALLT) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201620172018201920202020/2019
P&L
Revenue90.482.095.8110.1135.923.5%
Gross Profit62.553.566.576.395.825.7%
SG&A45.149.051.353.861.414.2%
EBITDA-2.8-13.7-6.4-1.5-1.4
EBIT-5.8
Net Income-8.0-18.1-10.4-8.7-9.3
Stock Based Compensation3.4
Balance Sheet
Cash23.315.316.316.923.639.4%
Accounts Receivable29.0
Inventory10.7
Accounts Payable11.7
Short Term Debt0.00.00.03.22.8-10.7%
Long Term Debt0.00.00.03.81.8-52.0%
Cash flow
Capex1.62.83.53.77.6104.5%
Ratios
Revenue growth-9.6%-9.3%16.9%14.9%23.5%
EBITDA growth-72.5%389.5%-53.7%-76.6%-3.7%

Gross Margin69.1%65.2%69.4%69.3%70.5%1.2%
EBITDA Margin-3.1%-16.8%-6.6%-1.4%-1.1%0.3%
EBIT Margin-5.3%
SG&A, % of revenue49.9%59.8%53.5%48.8%45.2%-3.7%
SBC, % of revenue3.1%
Net Income Margin-8.8%-22.0%-10.9%-7.9%-6.9%1.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.8%3.5%3.6%3.4%5.6%2.2%

ROIC-4.3%-11.5%-7.3%-6.4%-6.4%-0.0%
ROE-5.0%-12.0%-7.5%-6.5%-7.1%-0.7%
People
Insider ownership1.3%
Employees478
Revenue/Employee, th. $230

Allot Communications Ltd. ($ALLT) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $20Q120Q220Q320Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue29333539 17.2%21.4%24.1%26.1%
EBITDA-1-3-10 ----
Net Income-2-4-2-2 ----
Balance Sheet
Cash29311824 73.5%69.7%-13.4%38.8%
Short Term Debt3333 47.6%55.6%5.6%-6.2%
Long Term Debt3322 -31.6%-23.4%-50.1%-54.1%
Ratios
Gross Margin74.0%70.0%68.3%70.3% 3.0%1.0%-0.7%2.3%
EBITDA Margin -2.2% -8.3% -4.0% 0.1% 5.8%-8.3%-0.4%3.3%
Net Income Margin -5.7% -11.0% -6.9% -4.3% 6.3%-3.6%0.3%2.2%

Peers in Systems Software


Below you can find Allot Communications Ltd. benchmarking vs. other companies in Systems Software industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Zscaler, Inc. ($ZS)-56.5%51.3%59.2%42.4%
ServiceNow, Inc. ($NOW)-38.0%36.0%32.6%30.6%
SailPoint Technologies Holdings, Inc. ($SAIL)-40.5%33.8%15.9%26.6%
Rapid7, Inc. ($RPD)-27.6%21.5%33.9%25.9%
Tenable Holdings, Inc. ($TENB)-50.9%42.4%32.6%24.2%
 
Median (23 companies)12.9%16.6%20.4%19.4%12.9%
Allot Communications Ltd. ($ALLT)--9.3%16.9%14.9%23.5%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. ($CHKP)88.5%88.6%89.6%89.5%89.4%
Progress Software Corporation ($PRGS)83.8%82.6%83.1%81.8%86.0%
Varonis Systems, Inc. ($VRNS)90.5%90.4%89.8%86.2%84.9%
Vmware, Inc. ($VMW)85.2%-85.5%83.9%83.4%
Tenable Holdings, Inc. ($TENB)88.6%86.4%83.9%82.8%82.4%
 
Median (23 companies)73.6%74.1%75.0%76.6%77.8%
Allot Communications Ltd. ($ALLT)69.1%65.2%69.4%69.3%70.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. ($CHKP)49.8%50.7%48.8%46.0%45.1%
Qualys, Inc. ($QLYS)23.8%25.1%28.4%36.5%40.3%
SolarWinds Corporation ($SWI)-8.0%44.0%44.8%44.7%39.8%
Progress Software Corporation ($PRGS)2.4%28.6%32.9%23.4%34.4%
Fortinet, Inc. ($FTNT)7.2%11.1%15.9%19.8%23.9%
 
Median (23 companies)-9.8%-3.6%-3.9%0.2%3.0%
Allot Communications Ltd. ($ALLT)-3.1%-16.8%-6.6%-1.4%-1.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Zscaler, Inc. ($ZS)7.8%6.5%8.0%9.5%12.0%
ServiceNow, Inc. ($NOW)7.6%7.8%8.6%7.7%9.3%
Qualys, Inc. ($QLYS)11.7%16.4%8.2%8.6%8.3%
Zuora, Inc. ($ZUO)3.4%3.3%2.8%5.7%7.8%
Proofpoint, Inc. ($PFPT)9.2%9.0%4.1%4.0%6.9%
 
Median (23 companies)2.1%2.2%2.5%3.8%2.8%
Allot Communications Ltd. ($ALLT)1.8%3.5%3.6%3.4%5.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Fortinet, Inc. ($FTNT)5.3%15.0%28.0%29.0%46.3%
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. ($CHKP)24.7%26.8%25.5%24.2%25.6%
Qualys, Inc. ($QLYS)13.7%12.3%14.3%18.7%22.0%
Vmware, Inc. ($VMW)15.9%--18.1%19.6%
Progress Software Corporation ($PRGS)-4.9%13.5%18.5%7.6%16.0%
 
Median (23 companies)0.0%-2.7%-0.9%-6.3%-6.4%
Allot Communications Ltd. ($ALLT)-4.3%-11.5%-7.3%-6.4%-6.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
SolarWinds Corporation ($SWI)-6.2x4.1x4.4x4.1x
Proofpoint, Inc. ($PFPT)----27.4x2.5x
Progress Software Corporation ($PRGS)-7.5x-0.1x0.1x1.5x2.1x
Vmware, Inc. ($VMW)-0.7x--0.8x0.3x1.5x
CyberArk Software Ltd. ($CYBR)-4.1x-5.7x-4.5x-3.6x0.9x
 
Median (12 companies)-1.2x-0.6x-0.4x-0.3x0.4x