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Track Group Inc reports 36.3% EBITDA growth in 2020 and almost no change in Revenue of 33.9

12/23/2020 • About Track Group Inc ($TRCK) • By InTwits

Track Group Inc reported FY2020 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • EBITDA Margin is expanding: 21.0% in FY2020 vs. 15.4% in FY2019 vs. -3.5% in FY2016
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 21.0% in FY2020, 15.4% in FY2019, 7.6% in FY2018, -1.4% in FY2017, -3.5% in FY2016
  • Track Group Inc has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 6.5%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 7.7%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $2m in FY2020, $0m in FY2019, $1m in FY2018, $1m in FY2017, $0m in FY2016
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is 8.1%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 3.5x while industry average is -0.8x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Track Group Inc's Revenue showed almost no change in FY2020. Annual revenue decline showed slowdown in FY20Q4 - revenue increased slightly on 0.89%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 5.7 pp from 15.4% to 21.0% in FY2020. EBITDA Margin followed a growing trend at 6.6 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 0.86 pp from 55.9% to 55.0% in FY2020. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 5.3 pp from 42.6% to 37.3% in FY2020. SG&A as a % of Revenue stuck to a declining trend at -5.7 pp per annum in FY2016-FY2020.

Net Income margin increased on 7.2 pp from -7.5% to -0.35% in FY2020. Net Income margin stuck to a growing trend at 7.0 pp per annum in FY2016-FY2020.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2020 Track Group Inc had CAPEX/Revenue of 4.2%. CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 2.3 pp from 6.5% in FY2017 to 4.2% in FY2020. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 5.1%.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 3.5x and Debt / EBITDA is 4.5x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 1.7x from 5.2x to 3.5x in FY2020. Debt decreased on 6.3% while cash decreased slightly on 2.0%.

Track Group Inc has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 21.7% of short term debt.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 09/30/2020

Track Group Inc ($TRCK) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201620172018201920202020/2019
P&L
Revenue27.19429.72730.57034.01933.875-0.4%
Gross Profit16.66115.60117.20219.01718.646-2.0%
SG&A16.98214.52815.87914.50112.640-12.8%
EBITDA-0.939-0.4112.3265.2267.12236.3%
Net Income-8.496-4.726-5.428-2.564-0.119
Balance Sheet
Cash1.7702.0275.4476.8976.762-2.0%
Short Term Debt3.24630.27130.43833.82831.126-8.0%
Long Term Debt30.3463.4813.4290.0000.583
Cash flow
Capex2.9661.9241.4602.0981.428-31.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth30.8%9.3%2.8%11.3%-0.4%
EBITDA growth-75.5%-56.2%-665.3%124.7%36.3%

Gross Margin61.3%52.5%56.3%55.9%55.0%-0.9%
EBITDA Margin-3.5%-1.4%7.6%15.4%21.0%5.7%
SG&A, % of revenue62.4%48.9%51.9%42.6%37.3%-5.3%
Net Income Margin-31.2%-15.9%-17.8%-7.5%-0.4%7.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue10.9%6.5%4.8%6.2%4.2%-2.0%

ROIC-12.0%-11.1%-4.0%3.1%8.1%5.0%
ROE-73.7%-64.4%-142.6%
Net Debt/EBITDA12.2x5.2x3.5x-1.7x

Track Group Inc ($TRCK) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $FY20Q1FY20Q2FY20Q3FY20Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue8889 2.5%0.5%-5.3%0.9%
EBITDA1122 39.3%59.5%46.1%18.7%
Net Income-0-201 ----
Balance Sheet
Cash8897 44.8%35.7%31.3%-2.0%
Short Term Debt343431 11.1%8,914.6%-87.0%-8.0%
Long Term Debt030311 -90.4%-10.1%817.5%-
Ratios
Gross Margin55.4%54.6%54.5%55.7% -1.0%-1.0%0.9%-2.5%
EBITDA Margin 15.5% 15.3% 28.6% 24.9% 4.1%5.6%10.1%3.7%
Net Income Margin -2.8% -21.2% 4.9% 16.1% 18.4%-17.9%5.7%21.7%

Peers in Electronic Equipment & Instruments


Below we provide Track Group Inc benchmarking against other companies in Electronic Equipment & Instruments industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Intellicheck, Inc. ($IDN)--6.3%23.2%72.9%40.1%
nLIGHT, Inc. ($LASR)-36.8%38.1%-7.7%26.1%
Luna Innovations Incorporated ($LUNA)--21.0%29.7%64.3%17.3%
PAR Technology Corporation ($PAR)-1.3%-13.5%-7.0%14.2%
Cognex Corporation ($CGNX)-44.7%5.3%-10.0%11.8%
 
Median (26 companies)-3.8%4.1%11.6%4.4%-3.5%
Track Group Inc ($TRCK)-9.3%2.8%11.3%-0.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Intellicheck, Inc. ($IDN)80.0%85.5%91.3%87.0%86.7%
Cognex Corporation ($CGNX)75.2%75.6%74.4%73.8%74.5%
National Instruments Corporation ($NATI)74.5%74.5%75.4%75.1%71.2%
Coda Octopus Group, Inc. ($CODA)-66.4%-65.6%63.5%
Applied DNA Sciences Inc ($APDN)82.2%77.3%69.1%83.7%62.7%
 
Median (26 companies)39.4%41.0%40.4%42.2%42.9%
Track Group Inc ($TRCK)61.3%52.5%56.3%55.9%55.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Keysight Technologies Inc. ($KEYS)18.5%14.6%-0.9%23.7%27.0%
Cognex Corporation ($CGNX)31.9%36.0%30.1%24.0%25.3%
National Instruments Corporation ($NATI)15.7%16.9%17.9%20.0%22.3%
FLIR Systems, Inc. ($FLIR)21.3%20.0%21.7%20.6%22.0%
Badger Meter, Inc. ($BMI)18.6%20.1%18.7%21.1%21.2%
 
Median (26 companies)3.2%5.2%3.3%12.0%8.7%
Track Group Inc ($TRCK)-3.5%-1.4%7.6%15.4%21.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Know Labs Inc ($KNWN)0.4%0.0%2.3%4.4%57.5%
Applied DNA Sciences Inc ($APDN)16.1%3.1%6.8%1.3%55.1%
nLIGHT, Inc. ($LASR)4.0%4.0%6.1%7.7%10.9%
Vishay Precision Group, Inc. ($VPG)4.6%2.7%4.8%3.9%8.5%
LightPath Technologies, Inc. ($LPTH)6.5%7.8%7.7%5.7%7.0%
 
Median (25 companies)2.0%1.6%2.2%1.9%2.1%
Track Group Inc ($TRCK)10.9%6.5%4.8%6.2%4.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Zebra Technologies Corporation ($ZBRA)2.2%10.2%20.8%23.2%20.0%
Badger Meter, Inc. ($BMI)16.9%18.2%17.6%18.7%18.5%
Keysight Technologies Inc. ($KEYS)16.9%6.8%-8.0%15.6%15.1%
National Instruments Corporation ($NATI)10.3%12.5%14.2%13.9%14.8%
Cognex Corporation ($CGNX)17.7%25.6%20.1%11.9%13.9%
 
Median (26 companies)2.2%3.7%1.3%7.9%3.4%
Track Group Inc ($TRCK)-12.0%-11.1%-4.0%3.1%8.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Identiv, Inc. ($INVE)--2.1x1.9x9.0x
Itron, Inc. ($ITRI)1.0x2.0x12.3x3.2x7.3x
Trimble Inc. ($TRMB)1.1x1.3x3.4x2.9x2.2x
Luna Innovations Incorporated ($LUNA)-6.9x-108.1x-19.9x-2.9x1.8x
Zebra Technologies Corporation ($ZBRA)6.5x3.7x2.0x1.5x1.5x
 
Median (16 companies)-0.9x-0.8x-1.0x0.2x0.3x
Track Group Inc ($TRCK)--12.2x5.2x3.5x