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Maximus, Inc. reports 22.0% EBITDA growth in 2020 and 19.9% Revenue growth

11/19/2020 • About Maximus, Inc. ($MMS) • By InTwits

Maximus, Inc. reported FY2020 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Maximus, Inc. is a growth stock: FY2020 revenue growth was 19.9%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 10.5% at FY2020 ROIC 20.5%
  • EBITDA Margin is relatively stable: 14.2% in FY2020 vs. 13.9% in FY2019 vs. 14.9% in FY2016
  • Maximus, Inc. has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.5%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 3.2%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $41m in FY2020, $67m in FY2019, $27m in FY2018, $24m in FY2017, $46m in FY2016
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is 20.5%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue surged on 19.9%. Revenue growth showed acceleration in FY20Q4 - it increased 22.4% YoY. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 2.1 pp from -1.0% to 1.0% in FY2020.

Gross Margin decreased on 2.7 pp from 23.2% to 20.5% in FY2020. During FY2016-FY2020 Gross Margin topped in FY2017 at 25.0% and was declining since that time. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2020.

Net Income margin decreased on 2.1 pp from 8.3% to 6.2% in FY2020. During FY2016-FY2020 Net Income margin topped in FY2018 at 9.2% and was declining since that time.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2020 Maximus, Inc. had CAPEX/Revenue of 1.2%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from FY2017 to FY2020. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 1.5%.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROIC (20.5%) while ROE is a bit lower (17.2%). ROIC decreased on 5.5 pp from 26.0% to 20.5% in FY2020. ROE decreased on 3.4 pp from 20.7% to 17.2% in FY2020. ROIC stuck to a declining trend at -3.0 pp per annum in FY2016-FY2020. ROE followed a declining trend at -2.2 pp per annum in FY2016-FY2020.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 0.3x and Debt / EBITDA is 0.4x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 0.5x from -0.2x to 0.3x in FY2020. Debt surged on 2,112% while cash dropped on 32.0%. During the last 5 years Net Debt/EBITDA bottomed in FY2018 at -1.0x and was growing since that time.

Maximus, Inc. has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 78.3% of short term debt.

Valuation and dividends


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 9.4x and P/E 20.9x.

Management team


Bruce L Caswell is a the company's CEO. Bruce L Caswell has spent 2 years with the company. Richard J Nadeau "Rick" is a the company's CFO. Richard J Nadeau "Rick" has spent 6 years at the company.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 09/30/2020

Maximus, Inc. ($MMS) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201620172018201920202020/2019
P&L
Revenue2,4032,4512,3922,8873,46219.9%
Gross Profit5626125946717115.9%
SG&A26828528532138720.6%
EBITDA35838135840349122.0%
EBIT287314295
Tax10610278
Net Income178209221241215-10.9%
Stock Based Compensation192120
Balance Sheet
Cash6616634910672-32.0%
Accounts Receivable481431389
Short Term Debt0001092848.7%
Long Term Debt165100122
Cash flow
Capex4624276741-39.1%
Dividends121212
Acquisitions4730
Ratios
Revenue growth14.5%2.0%-2.4%20.7%19.9%
EBITDA growth13.4%6.4%-6.2%12.6%22.0%

Gross Margin23.4%25.0%24.8%23.2%20.5%-2.7%
EBITDA Margin14.9%15.6%15.0%13.9%14.2%0.2%
EBIT Margin11.9%12.8%12.4%
SG&A, % of revenue11.2%11.6%11.9%11.1%11.2%0.1%
SBC, % of revenue0.8%0.9%0.8%
Net Income Margin7.4%8.5%9.2%8.3%6.2%-2.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.9%1.0%1.1%2.3%1.2%-1.1%

ROIC32.3%32.8%28.3%26.0%20.5%-5.5%
ROE26.2%24.8%21.8%20.7%17.2%-3.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.3x-0.4x-1.0x-0.2x0.3x0.5x
People
Insider ownership1.9%1.9%1.9%
Employees18,80020,40018,600
Revenue/Employee, th. $128120129

Maximus, Inc. ($MMS) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $FY20Q1FY20Q2FY20Q3FY20Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue818818901924 23.1%11.1%23.4%22.4%
EBITDA12986138110 41.8%-16.5%31.8%5.8%
Net Income59286464 5.0%-55.3%2.5%5.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash1501268272 173.2%169.8%14.7%-32.0%
Short Term Debt93888292 1,707.8%2,290.9%2,144.5%848.7%
Long Term Debt122259248122 1.1%244.6%92,585.4%-
Ratios
Gross Margin21.4%18.7%20.6%21.3% -2.5%-4.3%-3.3%-1.0%
EBITDA Margin 15.7% 10.5% 15.3% 12.0% 2.1%-3.5%1.0%-1.9%
Net Income Margin 7.2% 3.4% 7.2% 6.9% -1.2%-5.0%-1.5%-1.1%

Peers in Data Processing & Outsourced Services


Below you can find Maximus, Inc. benchmarking vs. other companies in Data Processing & Outsourced Services industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Square, Inc. ($SQ)-29.6%49.0%42.9%101.5%
Global Payments Inc. ($GPN)-37.2%-15.3%45.9%51.1%
Fiserv, Inc. ($FISV)-3.5%2.2%74.9%45.8%
NIC Inc. ($EGOV)-5.8%2.5%2.7%30.0%
StoneCo Ltd ($STNE)-74.3%106.0%63.1%28.9%
 
Median (39 companies)6.7%11.8%7.5%8.9%-3.3%
Maximus, Inc. ($MMS)-2.0%-2.4%20.7%19.9%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Verra Mobility Corp ($VRRM)-97.4%97.5%95.7%91.5%
EVO Payments, Inc. ($EVOP)---80.2%80.8%
StoneCo Ltd ($STNE)69.7%70.8%79.5%83.4%76.8%
WEX Inc. ($WEX)54.7%58.8%63.3%61.7%56.8%
Sabre Corporation ($SABR)32.2%30.1%27.8%56.6%56.6%
 
Median (31 companies)39.5%39.5%41.0%41.7%36.7%
Maximus, Inc. ($MMS)23.4%25.0%24.8%23.2%20.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Visa Inc. ($V)55.6%69.2%65.8%68.1%68.5%
Mastercard Incorporated ($MA)56.9%56.5%51.8%60.9%56.6%
FleetCor Technologies, Inc. ($FLT)52.0%50.8%55.9%57.6%52.2%
StoneCo Ltd ($STNE)31.4%26.0%53.0%62.4%52.1%
Black Knight, Inc. ($BKI)43.0%44.6%43.3%46.0%44.9%
 
Median (38 companies)21.3%21.1%19.4%22.2%19.1%
Maximus, Inc. ($MMS)14.9%15.6%15.0%13.9%14.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
PagSeguro Digital Ltd. ($PAGS)6.4%4.3%1.4%5.8%22.3%
StoneCo Ltd ($STNE)7.2%18.4%8.9%12.9%11.2%
Cardtronics plc ($CATM)9.9%9.6%8.0%9.3%8.3%
Verra Mobility Corp ($VRRM)-11.5%7.2%6.6%6.2%
Fiserv, Inc. ($FISV)5.3%5.0%6.2%7.1%6.1%
 
Median (38 companies)3.2%2.9%3.2%3.3%3.1%
Maximus, Inc. ($MMS)1.9%1.0%1.1%2.3%1.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Mastercard Incorporated ($MA)57.5%60.6%64.7%72.7%47.6%
International Money Express, Inc. ($IMXI)-1.3%-1.4%12.1%36.0%31.4%
NIC Inc. ($EGOV)63.1%52.1%39.3%26.5%30.8%
Visa Inc. ($V)18.1%21.9%23.0%27.2%23.2%
Western Union Company (The) ($WU)10.7%11.9%27.8%21.5%22.1%
 
Median (39 companies)11.1%10.6%10.2%8.2%5.5%
Maximus, Inc. ($MMS)32.3%32.8%28.3%26.0%20.5%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
WEX Inc. ($WEX)6.7x4.4x3.1x3.4x12.1x
Exela Technologies Inc ($XELAU)8.1x-9.7x-10.7x
Alliance Data Systems Corporation ($ADS)10.7x10.1x9.0x11.7x9.2x
Verra Mobility Corp ($VRRM)-10.7x6.9x3.5x4.7x
GreenSky, Inc. ($GSKY)-1.5x-1.5x0.5x1.5x4.6x
 
Median (35 companies)1.6x2.3x2.2x2.3x2.1x
Maximus, Inc. ($MMS)0.3x-0.4x-1.0x-0.2x0.3x