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TE Connectivity Ltd. reports 113% Net Income decline in 2020 and 9.5% Revenue decline

10/28/2020 • About TE Connectivity Ltd. ($TEL) • By InTwits

TE Connectivity Ltd. reported FY2020 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • TE Connectivity Ltd. has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 5.5%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 3.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $463m in FY2020, $432m in FY2019, $635m in FY2018, $1,069m in FY2017, $723m in FY2016
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 4.5%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 2.7x while industry average is 3.2x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


TE Connectivity Ltd.'s Revenue decreased on 9.5%. Annual revenue decline showed slowdown in FY20Q4 - revenue decreased slightly on 1.2%. During the last 5 years Revenue growth topped in FY2018 at 14.8% and was decelerating since that time. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 8.7 pp from 19.8% to 11.1% in FY2020.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 2.0 pp from 32.7% to 30.7% in FY2020. During the last 5 years Gross Margin topped in FY2017 at 34.3% and was declining since that time. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2020.

Net Income margin dropped on 15.7 pp from 13.7% to -2.0% in FY2020.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2020 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 4.6%. The company showed small CAPEX/Revenue decline of 0.97 pp from 5.6% in FY2017 to 4.6% in FY2020. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 5.6%. During the last 5 years CAPEX as a % of Revenue topped in FY2018 at 6.7% and was declining since that time.

Return on investment


The company operates at low but positive ROIC (4.5%) and negative ROE (-2.4%). ROIC dropped on 11.3 pp from 15.8% to 4.5% in FY2020. ROE dropped on 19.6 pp from 17.2% to -2.4% in FY2020. During FY2016-FY2020 ROIC topped in FY2018 at 18.4% and was declining since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 2.7x and Debt / EBITDA is 3.4x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 1.6x from 1.1x to 2.7x in FY2020. Debt jumped on 16.2% while cash increased slightly on 1.9%. During FY2016-FY2020 Net Debt/EBITDA bottomed in FY2018 at 1.1x and was growing since that time.

TE Connectivity Ltd. has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (116.7%).

Management team


Terrence R Curtin is a TE Connectivity Ltd.'s CEO. Terrence R Curtin has spent 4 years with the company. Heath A Mitts is a TE Connectivity Ltd.'s CFO. Heath A Mitts has spent 4 years at the company.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 09/25/2020

TE Connectivity Ltd. ($TEL) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201620172018201920202020/2019
P&L
Revenue11,35212,18513,98813,44812,172-9.5%
Gross Profit3,8274,1834,7454,3943,735-15.0%
SG&A1,3961,5431,5941,4901,392-6.6%
EBITDA2,3682,4872,9982,6681,356-49.2%
EBIT1,8081,8762,331
Interest expence127130107
Tax-826180-344
Net Income2,0091,6832,5651,844-241-113.1%
Stock Based Compensation879595
Balance Sheet
Cash6471,2188489279451.9%
Accounts Receivable2,0462,1382,361
Inventory1,5961,6471,857
Accounts Payable1,0901,3871,548
Short Term Debt33171096357081042.1%
Long Term Debt3,7393,6343,0373,3953,79911.9%
Cash flow
Capex603679935749560-25.2%
Dividends509546588
Acquisitions1,336250153
Ratios
Revenue growth-7.2%7.3%14.8%-3.9%-9.5%
EBITDA growth0.1%5.0%20.5%-11.0%-49.2%

Gross Margin33.7%34.3%33.9%32.7%30.7%-2.0%
EBITDA Margin20.9%20.4%21.4%19.8%11.1%-8.7%
EBIT Margin15.9%15.4%16.7%
SG&A, % of revenue12.3%12.7%11.4%11.1%11.4%0.4%
SBC, % of revenue0.8%0.8%0.7%
Net Income Margin17.7%13.8%18.3%13.7%-2.0%-15.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue5.3%5.6%6.7%5.6%4.6%-1.0%

ROIC15.9%16.2%18.4%15.8%4.5%-11.3%
ROE22.2%18.5%24.9%17.2%-2.4%-19.6%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.4x1.3x1.1x1.1x2.7x1.6x
Interest expence / Average debt3.1%3.1%2.6%
People
Insider ownership0.2%0.2%0.2%
Employees75,00078,00080,000
Revenue/Employee, th. $151156175

TE Connectivity Ltd. ($TEL) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $FY20Q1FY20Q2FY20Q3FY20Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue3,1683,1952,5483,261 -5.3%-6.4%-24.8%-1.2%
EBITDA672-210337557 3.1%-129.9%-51.4%-10.0%
Net Income26-456-41230 -90.6%-203.9%-105.4%-38.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash742796474945 46.9%40.9%-13.2%1.9%
Short Term Debt683718806810 16.8%17.3%33.9%42.1%
Long Term Debt3,8094,1033,7413,799 12.6%21.8%8.9%11.9%
Ratios
Gross Margin32.5%32.2%27.7%29.7% -0.8%-0.6%-5.0%-2.2%
EBITDA Margin 21.2% -6.6% 13.2% 17.1% 1.7%-27.2%-7.3%-1.7%
Net Income Margin 0.8% -14.3% -1.6% 7.1% -7.4%-27.1%-23.9%-4.2%

Peers in Electronic Manufacturing Services


Below we provide TE Connectivity Ltd. benchmarking against other companies in Electronic Manufacturing Services industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Netlist Inc ($NLST)-95.0%-12.5%-22.1%81.0%
IEC Electronics Corp. ($IEC)--24.1%21.2%34.3%16.4%
eMagin Corporation ($EMAN)-3.0%19.1%1.9%10.1%
Jabil Inc. ($JBL)-3.9%15.9%14.4%7.8%
Plexus Corp. ($PLXS)--1.1%13.7%10.1%7.1%
 
Median (13 companies)4.6%1.9%7.1%9.7%-1.3%
TE Connectivity Ltd. ($TEL)-7.3%14.8%-3.9%-9.5%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Neonode Inc. ($NEON)86.9%77.1%89.2%89.7%82.0%
IPG Photonics Corporation ($IPGP)54.9%56.6%54.8%46.1%44.9%
CTS Corporation ($CTS)35.4%33.2%35.1%33.6%32.8%
RF Industries, Ltd. ($RFIL)28.0%30.4%34.1%28.3%26.9%
eMagin Corporation ($EMAN)30.1%23.3%15.2%25.2%21.6%
 
Median (13 companies)16.7%13.8%12.1%13.8%14.3%
TE Connectivity Ltd. ($TEL)33.7%34.3%33.9%32.7%30.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
IPG Photonics Corporation ($IPGP)41.8%44.7%40.9%26.8%24.0%
CTS Corporation ($CTS)20.7%14.0%17.8%17.6%18.1%
TTM Technologies, Inc. ($TTMI)14.0%14.6%13.5%15.8%9.7%
IEC Electronics Corp. ($IEC)7.4%3.8%4.3%6.6%7.5%
Plexus Corp. ($PLXS)5.7%6.9%5.8%6.1%6.5%
 
Median (12 companies)4.8%4.5%4.7%5.8%5.3%
TE Connectivity Ltd. ($TEL)20.9%20.4%21.4%19.8%11.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
eMagin Corporation ($EMAN)6.7%6.2%8.8%4.2%8.5%
IPG Photonics Corporation ($IPGP)12.6%9.0%11.0%10.2%7.3%
TTM Technologies, Inc. ($TTMI)3.4%5.7%5.3%6.7%4.9%
Jabil Inc. ($JBL)5.0%3.8%4.7%4.0%3.6%
CTS Corporation ($CTS)5.2%4.3%6.1%4.6%3.5%
 
Median (12 companies)2.8%2.7%2.4%1.4%2.6%
TE Connectivity Ltd. ($TEL)5.3%5.6%6.7%5.6%4.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
IEC Electronics Corp. ($IEC)16.9%3.1%6.4%12.7%14.8%
Sanmina Corporation ($SANM)14.2%13.9%7.0%16.2%13.0%
Plexus Corp. ($PLXS)8.7%10.3%9.6%12.6%12.4%
Jabil Inc. ($JBL)12.3%9.3%12.5%16.1%10.8%
CTS Corporation ($CTS)18.1%9.8%14.8%11.8%9.2%
 
Median (13 companies)6.2%4.2%6.4%10.2%7.3%
TE Connectivity Ltd. ($TEL)15.9%16.2%18.4%15.8%4.5%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
SMTC Corporation ($SMTX)1.0x-11.3x3.8x4.2x
IEC Electronics Corp. ($IEC)2.0x5.6x4.9x3.6x2.1x
TTM Technologies, Inc. ($TTMI)2.2x1.5x3.2x3.3x2.0x
Jabil Inc. ($JBL)1.0x0.8x1.0x0.9x1.4x
Plexus Corp. ($PLXS)-1.2x-1.5x-0.7x0.3x-0.0x
 
Median (10 companies)-0.0x-0.1x-0.2x0.1x-0.1x
TE Connectivity Ltd. ($TEL)1.4x1.3x1.1x1.1x2.7x