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Webco Industries Inc reports 58.9% EBITDA decline in 2020 and 21.8% Revenue decline

09/29/2020 • About Webco Industries Inc ($WEBC) • By InTwits

Webco Industries Inc reported FY2020 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 4.9% in FY2020, 9.2% in FY2019, 8.1% in FY2018, 5.4% in FY2017, 3.4% in FY2016
  • Webco Industries Inc has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.8%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 3.7%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $8m in FY2020, $3m in FY2019, $3m in FY2018, $3m in FY2017, $1m in FY2016
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 2.2%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 3.5x while industry average is 3.5x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 21.8%. Revenue decline showed acceleration in FY20Q4 - it was 31.4% YoY. During FY2016-FY2020 Revenue growth topped in FY2018 at 30.0% and was decelerating since that time. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 7.9 pp from -1.9% to 6.0% in FY2020. During the last 5 years EBITDA Margin topped in FY2019 at 9.2%.

Gross Margin decreased on 4.6 pp from 13.4% to 8.9% in FY2020. During FY2016-FY2020 Gross Margin topped in FY2018 at 13.9% and was declining since that time. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.60 pp from 6.7% to 7.3% in FY2020.

Net Income margin decreased on 3.7 pp from 4.7% to 0.99% in FY2020. During the last 5 years Net Income margin topped in FY2019 at 4.7%.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2020 Webco Industries Inc had CAPEX/Revenue of 3.7%. CAPEX/Revenue decreased slightly on 0.54 pp from 4.2% in FY2017 to 3.7% in FY2020. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 3.7%. Webco Industries Inc invested a big chunk of EBITDA (75.2%) to CAPEX which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (2.2%) and ROE (2.0%). ROIC decreased on 9.5 pp from 11.8% to 2.2% in FY2020. ROE dropped on 10.6 pp from 12.6% to 2.0% in FY2020. During the last 5 years ROIC topped in FY2019 at 11.8%. During FY2016-FY2020 ROE topped in FY2018 at 13.0% and was declining since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 3.5x Net Debt / EBITDA and 3.7x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 1.6x from 1.8x to 3.5x in FY2020. Debt dropped on 23.4% while cash dropped on 35.6%. During the last 5 years Net Debt/EBITDA bottomed in FY2019 at 1.8x.

Webco Industries Inc has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 9.8% of short term debt.

Financial and operational results


Webco Industries Inc ($WEBC) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201620172018201920202020/2019
P&L
Revenue330.3384.9500.4548.6428.8-21.8%
Gross Profit22.434.669.673.638.0-48.4%
SG&A23.325.741.836.531.2-14.7%
EBITDA11.220.640.450.720.8-58.9%
Net Income-3.25.623.325.64.2-83.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash6.37.27.17.14.6-35.6%
Short Term Debt43.467.9110.588.646.8-47.2%
Long Term Debt12.012.012.012.230.4149.5%
Cash flow
Capex13.016.119.019.715.7-20.6%
Ratios
Revenue growth-20.2%16.5%30.0%9.6%-21.8%
EBITDA growth-34.5%84.4%95.6%25.6%-58.9%

Gross Margin6.8%9.0%13.9%13.4%8.9%-4.6%
EBITDA Margin3.4%5.4%8.1%9.2%4.9%-4.4%
SG&A, % of revenue7.1%6.7%8.3%6.7%7.3%0.6%
Net Income Margin-1.0%1.5%4.7%4.7%1.0%-3.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue4.0%4.2%3.8%3.6%3.7%0.1%

ROIC-0.4%3.8%9.9%11.8%2.2%-9.5%
ROE-2.0%3.4%13.0%12.6%2.0%-10.6%
Net Debt/EBITDA4.4x3.5x2.9x1.8x3.5x1.6x

Webco Industries Inc ($WEBC) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $FY20Q1FY20Q2FY20Q3FY20Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue12211210589 -10.6%-17.3%-28.1%-31.4%
EBITDA8742 -51.8%-39.9%-70.5%-80.4%
Net Income320-1 -67.6%-58.7%-97.5%-125.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash63115 0.9%-30.5%66.0%-35.6%
Short Term Debt87717947 -22.1%-34.1%-21.3%-47.2%
Long Term Debt19252430 60.7%111.5%102.2%149.5%
Ratios
Gross Margin11.1%10.4%9.4%3.2% -6.6%-3.1%-4.1%-5.6%
EBITDA Margin 6.8% 6.1% 3.8% 1.9% -5.8%-2.3%-5.4%-4.7%
Net Income Margin 2.6% 1.8% 0.2% -1.2% -4.5%-1.8%-4.4%-4.6%

Peers in Steel


Below we provide Webco Industries Inc benchmarking against other companies in Steel industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.