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NetSol Technologies Inc. reports 89.1% Net Income decline in 2020 and 5.9 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 16.6% to 10.7%

09/28/2020 • About NetSol Technologies Inc. ($NTWK) • By InTwits

NetSol Technologies Inc. reported FY2020 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 10.7% in FY2020, 16.6% in FY2019, 14.2% in FY2018, 8.5% in FY2017, 20.8% in FY2016
  • NetSol Technologies Inc. has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.8%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $6m in FY2020, $9m in FY2019, $10m in FY2018, $11m in FY2017, $36m in FY2016
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 1.5%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


NetSol Technologies Inc.'s Revenue dropped on 16.9%. Revenue decline showed acceleration in FY20Q4 - it was 20.1% YoY. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 5.9 pp from 16.6% to 10.7% in FY2020.

Gross Margin decreased on 3.0 pp from 50.8% to 47.8% in FY2020. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 5.4 pp from 36.5% to 41.8% in FY2020.

Net Income margin dropped on 11.0 pp from 12.7% to 1.7% in FY2020.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2020 NetSol Technologies Inc. had CAPEX/Revenue of 2.4%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue decreased slightly on 0.93 pp from 3.4% in FY2017 to 2.4% in FY2020. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 3.5%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (1.5%) and ROE (1.6%). ROIC decreased on 7.0 pp from 8.4% to 1.5% in FY2020. ROE dropped on 12.6 pp from 14.2% to 1.6% in FY2020.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -1.2x Net Debt / EBITDA and 2.2x Debt / EBITDA. Debt surged on 69.1% while cash jumped on 16.1%.

NetSol Technologies Inc. has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (196.7%).

Valuation and dividends


NetSol Technologies Inc.'s trades at EV/EBITDA 4.1x and P/E 33.7x.

Management team


NetSol Technologies Inc.'s CEO Najeeb Ullah Ghauri has spent 14 years with the company. Roger K Almond is a the company's CFO. Roger K Almond has spent 7 years at the company.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 06/30/2020

NetSol Technologies Inc. ($NTWK) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201620172018201920202020/2019
P&L
Revenue64.55065.36660.93067.81956.372-16.9%
Gross Profit30.80228.40829.20734.44626.963-21.7%
SG&A22.78926.49423.87524.74923.589-4.7%
EBITDA13.4545.5618.62811.2526.027-46.4%
Net Income3.403-4.9784.3078.5830.937-89.1%
Balance Sheet
Cash11.55814.17322.08917.36620.16716.1%
Short Term Debt4.92810.5848.9077.27010.25141.0%
Long Term Debt0.4780.3670.3310.4972.880479.0%
Cash flow
Capex3.3362.2032.4492.7271.377-49.5%
Ratios
Revenue growth26.4%1.3%-6.8%11.3%-16.9%
EBITDA growth159.8%-58.7%55.2%30.4%-46.4%

Gross Margin47.7%43.5%47.9%50.8%47.8%-3.0%
EBITDA Margin20.8%8.5%14.2%16.6%10.7%-5.9%
SG&A, % of revenue35.3%40.5%39.2%36.5%41.8%5.4%
Net Income Margin5.3%-7.6%7.1%12.7%1.7%-11.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue5.2%3.4%4.0%4.0%2.4%-1.6%

ROIC7.8%-1.2%3.5%8.4%1.5%-7.0%
ROE5.5%-7.8%6.8%14.2%1.6%-12.6%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.5x-0.6x-1.5x-0.9x-1.2x-0.3x

NetSol Technologies Inc. ($NTWK) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $FY20Q1FY20Q2FY20Q3FY20Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue14161414 -15.2%-7.7%-20.4%-20.1%
EBITDA1212 -75.0%-34.0%-70.2%20.1%
Net Income-2111 -282.8%-80.5%0.1%-60.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash18221620 -11.9%10.4%-7.4%18.6%
Short Term Debt8111010 0.2%32.7%24.3%46.4%
Long Term Debt2223 --94.2%-
Ratios
Gross Margin45.0%49.7%44.5%51.8% -5.0%-2.3%-5.5%0.8%
EBITDA Margin 5.5% 12.6% 6.6% 17.7% -13.2%-5.0%-11.0%5.9%
Net Income Margin -13.5% 3.7% 7.4% 8.7% -19.7%-13.9%1.5%-9.0%

Peers in Application Software


Below you can find NetSol Technologies Inc. benchmarking vs. other companies in Application Software industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
VirnetX Holding Corp ($VHC)--0.2%-95.9%34.9%355,942.4%
AudioEye, Inc. ($AEYE)-175.5%106.6%90.2%90.2%
Cloudera, Inc. ($CLDR)-57.2%42.6%28.9%65.5%
Integrated Ventures Inc ($INTV)----8.9%62.7%
Smartsheet Inc. ($SMAR)-64.3%66.1%59.7%52.4%
 
Median (92 companies)12.0%15.7%15.2%19.5%14.7%
NetSol Technologies Inc. ($NTWK)-1.3%-6.8%11.3%-16.9%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Aware, Inc. ($AWRE)90.3%94.6%92.3%89.7%92.8%
Alteryx, Inc. ($AYX)81.3%83.4%91.0%90.6%91.1%
Autodesk, Inc. ($ADSK)85.2%83.2%85.2%88.9%90.1%
Smith Micro Software, Inc. ($SMSI)73.2%77.9%83.5%90.9%89.9%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc. ($CDNS)85.9%87.8%87.9%88.6%88.6%
 
Median (89 companies)64.2%64.6%66.0%68.4%70.6%
NetSol Technologies Inc. ($NTWK)47.7%43.5%47.9%50.8%47.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
VirnetX Holding Corp ($VHC)-1,837.2%-1,118.0%-40,379.4%-23,127.1%52.2%
j2 Global, Inc. ($JCOM)41.7%36.5%35.7%38.6%40.5%
Intelligent Systems Corporation ($INS)-5.4%-12.8%33.6%43.6%40.4%
Adobe Inc. ($ADBE)31.2%34.2%35.3%35.8%39.7%
SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc. ($SSNC)34.9%37.9%27.7%38.2%38.3%
 
Median (89 companies)-5.3%-4.2%-3.3%2.7%6.8%
NetSol Technologies Inc. ($NTWK)20.8%8.5%14.2%16.6%10.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
MicroStrategy Incorporated ($MSTR)0.5%0.8%1.4%2.1%234.8%
Integrated Ventures Inc ($INTV)--199.9%15.2%27.2%
Intelligent Systems Corporation ($INS)3.8%9.7%4.3%4.9%19.2%
LivePerson, Inc. ($LPSN)5.5%7.9%8.8%16.3%11.4%
PROS Holdings, Inc. ($PRO)4.7%0.8%0.7%2.1%11.3%
 
Median (87 companies)2.9%2.3%2.4%2.9%2.6%
NetSol Technologies Inc. ($NTWK)5.2%3.4%4.0%4.0%2.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
VirnetX Holding Corp ($VHC)-210.9%-256.8%-416.3%-247.2%137.3%
Manhattan Associates, Inc. ($MANH)99.3%102.5%80.9%71.7%53.4%
Citrix Systems, Inc. ($CTXS)16.1%16.7%25.2%29.8%33.5%
Sonic Foundry, Inc. ($SOFO)-18.1%-50.6%-786.4%-31.3%
Paycom Software, Inc. ($PAYC)75.4%51.1%47.5%47.5%28.7%
 
Median (92 companies)-9.8%-11.8%-10.6%-4.5%-2.2%
NetSol Technologies Inc. ($NTWK)7.8%-1.2%3.5%8.4%1.5%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Dropbox, Inc. ($DBX)--3.8x-2.4x1,341.0x
Avaya Holdings Corp. ($AVYA)--7.4x-77.9x
Alteryx, Inc. ($AYX)--2.5x6.1x32.2x
Five9, Inc. ($FIVN)-6.7x-8.6x7.3x5.3x17.6x
Synchronoss Technologies, Inc. ($SNCR)----11.6x
 
Median (53 companies)-0.9x-0.9x-0.6x0.4x0.3x
NetSol Technologies Inc. ($NTWK)-0.5x-0.6x-1.5x-0.9x-1.2x