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Natural Alternatives International, Inc. reports 40.1% EBITDA decline in 2020 and 2.1 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 6.8% to 4.8%

09/21/2020 • About Natural Alternatives International, Inc. ($NAII) • By InTwits

Natural Alternatives International, Inc. reported FY2020 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is declining: 4.8% in FY2020 vs. 6.8% in FY2019 vs. 12.3% in FY2016
  • Natural Alternatives International, Inc. has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.9%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 2.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $5m in FY2020, $5m in FY2019, $4m in FY2018, $5m in FY2017, $10m in FY2016
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -1.7%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Natural Alternatives International, Inc.'s Revenue dropped on 14.0%. Annual revenue decline showed slowdown in FY20Q4 - revenue jumped on 16.0%. Revenue decline was accelerating on average at -11.8 pp per annum in FY2016-FY2020. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 9.4 pp from 3.3% to 12.7% in FY2020. EBITDA Margin followed a declining trend at -1.8 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 1.2 pp from 17.0% to 15.9% in FY2020. Gross Margin stuck to a declining trend at -1.7 pp per annum in the last 5 years. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.6 pp from 12.7% to 14.4% in FY2020.

Net Income margin decreased on 6.1 pp from 4.7% to -1.4% in FY2020. Net Income margin followed a declining trend at -2.1 pp per annum in FY2016-FY2020.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2020 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 3.8%. Natural Alternatives International, Inc.'s CAPEX/Revenue decreased slightly on 0.57 pp from 4.4% in FY2017 to 3.8% in FY2020. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 3.6%. Natural Alternatives International, Inc. invested a big chunk of EBITDA (80.4%) to CAPEX which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-1.7%) and ROE (-2.2%). ROIC decreased on 9.7 pp from 8.1% to -1.7% in FY2020. ROE dropped on 11.3 pp from 9.1% to -2.2% in FY2020. ROIC followed a declining trend at -6.1 pp per annum in the last 5 years. ROE declined at -4.7 pp per annum in FY2016-FY2020.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -0.3x Net Debt / EBITDA and 5.1x Debt / EBITDA. Debt surged while cash surged on 21.7%.

Natural Alternatives International, Inc. has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (231.3%).

Management team


Mark A Ledoux is a the company's CEO. Mark A Ledoux has spent 35 years with the company. Michael E Fortin is a the company's CFO. Michael E Fortin has spent 5 years at the company.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 06/30/2020

Natural Alternatives International, Inc. ($NAII) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201620172018201920202020/2019
P&L
Revenue114.2121.9132.4138.3118.9-14.0%
Gross Profit25.326.226.323.618.9-20.0%
SG&A11.916.516.817.617.1-2.9%
EBITDA14.012.112.49.45.7-40.1%
Net Income9.57.25.16.5-1.6-125.1%
Balance Sheet
Cash19.727.823.625.030.521.7%
Short Term Debt0.00.00.00.013.2
Long Term Debt0.00.00.00.015.6
Cash flow
Capex10.45.44.15.34.5-14.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth43.6%6.8%8.6%4.4%-14.0%
EBITDA growth112.9%-13.9%2.9%-24.2%-40.1%

Gross Margin22.1%21.5%19.9%17.0%15.9%-1.2%
EBITDA Margin12.3%9.9%9.4%6.8%4.8%-2.1%
SG&A, % of revenue10.4%13.5%12.7%12.7%14.4%1.6%
Net Income Margin8.4%5.9%3.8%4.7%-1.4%-6.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue9.1%4.4%3.1%3.9%3.8%-0.0%

ROIC24.6%16.5%14.4%8.1%-1.7%-9.7%
ROE19.6%12.6%7.8%9.1%-2.2%-11.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA-1.4x-2.3x-1.9x-2.7x-0.3x2.4x

Natural Alternatives International, Inc. ($NAII) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $FY20Q1FY20Q2FY20Q3FY20Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue29292535 -20.1%-19.3%-28.1%16.0%
EBITDA12-33 -73.9%-43.8%-216.2%2,232.1%
Net Income00-42 -96.2%-78.2%-301.4%-
Balance Sheet
Cash29273330 3.2%-11.1%20.4%21.7%
Short Term Debt001013 ----
Long Term Debt20201916 ----
Ratios
Gross Margin15.0%17.4%11.4%18.6% -4.6%-0.5%-6.5%6.6%
EBITDA Margin 3.1% 5.8% -12.6% 8.7% -6.5%-2.5%-20.4%8.3%
Net Income Margin 0.3% 1.6% -15.8% 5.1% -6.7%-4.4%-21.4%5.8%

Peers in Personal Products


Below we provide Natural Alternatives International, Inc. benchmarking against other companies in Personal Products industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top  FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Integrated BioPharma Inc ($INBP)-11.2%-6.9%14.3%5.6%
 
Median (1 company)-11.2%-6.9%14.3%5.6%
Natural Alternatives International, Inc. ($NAII)-6.8%8.6%4.4%-14.0%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top  FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Integrated BioPharma Inc ($INBP)13.0%14.2%11.4%12.4%12.7%
 
Median (1 company)13.0%14.2%11.4%12.4%12.7%
Natural Alternatives International, Inc. ($NAII)22.1%21.5%19.9%17.0%15.9%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top  FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Integrated BioPharma Inc ($INBP)5.8%7.6%4.7%7.4%8.0%
 
Median (1 company)5.8%7.6%4.7%7.4%8.0%
Natural Alternatives International, Inc. ($NAII)12.3%9.9%9.4%6.8%4.8%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top  FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Integrated BioPharma Inc ($INBP)0.3%0.7%0.6%0.8%0.4%
 
Median (1 company)0.3%0.7%0.6%0.8%0.4%
Natural Alternatives International, Inc. ($NAII)9.1%4.4%3.1%3.9%3.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top  FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Integrated BioPharma Inc ($INBP)-38.1%25.1%28.7%21.7%
 
Median (1 company)-38.1%25.1%28.7%21.7%
Natural Alternatives International, Inc. ($NAII)24.6%16.5%14.4%8.1%-1.7%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top  FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Integrated BioPharma Inc ($INBP)6.1x4.2x4.4x3.4x2.5x
 
Median (1 company)6.1x4.2x4.4x3.4x2.5x
Natural Alternatives International, Inc. ($NAII)-1.4x-2.3x-1.9x-2.7x-0.3x