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Net 1 UEPS Technologies, Inc. reports 58.2% revenue decline in FY2020 and 8.7 pp EBITDA Margin growth from -21.1% to -12.4%

09/10/2020 • About Net 1 UEPS Technologies, Inc. ($UEPS) • By InTwits

Net 1 UEPS Technologies, Inc. reported FY2020 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • Net 1 UEPS Technologies, Inc. is a company in decline: FY2020 revenue growth was -58.2%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -24.8%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -12.4%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: -12.4% in FY2020, -21.1% in FY2019, 15.4% in FY2018, 22.7% in FY2017, 26.2% in FY2016
  • Net 1 UEPS Technologies, Inc. has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.2%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $6m in FY2020, $9m in FY2019, $10m in FY2018, $11m in FY2017, $36m in FY2016
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -9.1%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Net 1 UEPS Technologies, Inc.'s Revenue dropped on 58.2%. Annual revenue decline showed slowdown in FY20Q4 - revenue dropped on 49.1%. During FY2016-FY2020 Revenue growth topped in FY2017 at 3.3% and was decelerating since that time. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 8.7 pp from -21.1% to -12.4% in FY2020. EBITDA Margin declined at -12.1 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Gross Margin dropped on 12.5 pp from 40.3% to 27.8% in FY2020. Gross Margin stuck to a declining trend at -5.8 pp per annum in the last 5 years. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 6.1 pp from 56.0% to 49.8% in FY2020. SG&A as a % of Revenue followed a growing trend at 7.8 pp per annum in FY2016-FY2020.

Net Income margin surged on 33.3 pp from -85.2% to -51.9% in FY2020. During the last 5 years Net Income margin bottomed in FY2019 at -85.2%.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 3.9% in FY2020. Net 1 UEPS Technologies, Inc.'s CAPEX/Revenue increased on 2.1 pp from 1.8% in FY2017 to 3.9% in FY2020. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 2.7%. During the last 5 years CAPEX as a % of Revenue bottomed in FY2018 at 1.6% and was growing since that time.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-9.1%) and ROE (-19.6%). ROIC increased on 6.4 pp from -15.4% to -9.1% in FY2020. ROE jumped on 32.7 pp from -52.3% to -19.6% in FY2020. ROIC followed a declining trend at -8.5 pp per annum in FY2016-FY2020. During FY2016-FY2020 ROE bottomed in FY2019 at -52.3%.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is and Debt / EBITDA is . Debt dropped on 76.0% while cash surged on 373%.

Net 1 UEPS Technologies, Inc. has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (1,275.5%).

Financial and operational results


FY ended 06/30/2020

Net 1 UEPS Technologies, Inc. ($UEPS) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201620172018201920202020/2019
P&L
Revenue590.7610.1612.9361.0151.0-58.2%
Gross Profit300.6317.7308.4145.642.0-71.2%
SG&A143.6179.3193.0202.175.3-62.8%
EBITDA154.8138.494.4-76.2-18.8
Net Income82.573.039.2-307.6-78.4
Balance Sheet
Cash223.6258.590.146.1217.7372.5%
Short Term Debt8.78.744.785.017.1-79.9%
Long Term Debt43.17.55.50.03.3
Cash flow
Capex35.811.29.69.45.9-36.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth-5.6%3.3%0.5%-41.1%-58.2%
EBITDA growth-8.5%-10.6%-31.8%-180.6%-75.4%

Gross Margin50.9%52.1%50.3%40.3%27.8%-12.5%
EBITDA Margin26.2%22.7%15.4%-21.1%-12.4%8.7%
SG&A, % of revenue24.3%29.4%31.5%56.0%49.8%-6.1%
Net Income Margin14.0%12.0%6.4%-85.2%-51.9%33.3%
CAPEX, % of revenue6.1%1.8%1.6%2.6%3.9%1.3%

ROIC18.7%13.8%7.0%-15.4%-9.1%6.4%
ROE15.1%11.3%5.4%-52.3%-19.6%32.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA-1.1x-1.7x-0.4x

Net 1 UEPS Technologies, Inc. ($UEPS) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $FY20Q1FY20Q2FY20Q3FY20Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue81743726 -35.9%-23.6%-57.5%-49.1%
EBITDA3-1-5-20 -75.6%---
Net Income-4-0-35-39 ----
Balance Sheet
Cash4251261218 -57.6%-27.5%111.9%373.2%
Short Term Debt88925717 -26.2%4.5%-36.6%-79.9%
Long Term Debt1443 -88.0%-55.0%--
Ratios
Gross Margin42.1%41.7%29.4%13.8% -0.9%-5.3%-12.6%-5.2%
EBITDA Margin 3.6% -1.9% -13.7% -78.3% -5.9%32.2%0.3%6.0%
Net Income Margin -5.4% -0.3% -95.5% -149.7% -1.5%65.7%-31.6%211.1%

Peers in Data Processing & Outsourced Services


Below we provide Net 1 UEPS Technologies, Inc. benchmarking against other companies in Data Processing & Outsourced Services industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Square, Inc. ($SQ)-29.6%49.0%42.9%101.5%
Global Payments Inc. ($GPN)-37.2%-15.3%45.9%51.1%
Fiserv, Inc. ($FISV)-3.5%2.2%74.9%45.8%
NIC Inc. ($EGOV)-5.8%2.5%2.7%30.0%
StoneCo Ltd ($STNE)-74.3%106.0%63.1%28.9%
 
Median (39 companies)6.7%11.8%7.5%11.5%-2.7%
Net 1 UEPS Technologies, Inc. ($UEPS)-3.3%0.5%-41.1%-58.2%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Verra Mobility Corp ($VRRM)-97.4%97.5%95.7%91.5%
EVO Payments, Inc. ($EVOP)---80.2%80.8%
StoneCo Ltd ($STNE)69.7%70.8%79.5%83.4%76.8%
WEX Inc. ($WEX)54.7%58.8%63.3%61.7%56.8%
Sabre Corporation ($SABR)32.2%30.1%27.8%56.6%56.6%
 
Median (31 companies)39.2%38.9%40.9%41.7%36.7%
Net 1 UEPS Technologies, Inc. ($UEPS)50.9%52.1%50.3%40.3%27.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Visa Inc. ($V)55.6%69.2%65.8%68.1%68.5%
Mastercard Incorporated ($MA)56.9%56.5%51.8%60.9%56.6%
FleetCor Technologies, Inc. ($FLT)52.0%50.8%55.9%57.6%52.2%
StoneCo Ltd ($STNE)31.4%26.0%53.0%62.4%52.1%
Black Knight, Inc. ($BKI)43.0%44.6%43.3%46.0%44.9%
 
Median (38 companies)21.2%20.6%19.4%22.2%19.1%
Net 1 UEPS Technologies, Inc. ($UEPS)26.2%22.7%15.4%-21.1%-12.4%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
PagSeguro Digital Ltd. ($PAGS)6.4%4.3%1.4%5.8%22.3%
StoneCo Ltd ($STNE)7.2%18.4%8.9%12.9%11.2%
Cardtronics plc ($CATM)9.9%9.6%8.0%9.3%8.3%
Verra Mobility Corp ($VRRM)-11.5%7.2%6.6%6.2%
Fiserv, Inc. ($FISV)5.3%5.0%6.2%7.1%6.1%
 
Median (38 companies)3.2%2.9%3.2%3.3%3.0%
Net 1 UEPS Technologies, Inc. ($UEPS)6.1%1.8%1.6%2.6%3.9%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Mastercard Incorporated ($MA)57.5%60.6%64.7%72.7%47.6%
International Money Express, Inc. ($IMXI)-1.3%-1.4%12.1%36.0%31.4%
NIC Inc. ($EGOV)63.1%52.1%39.3%26.5%30.8%
Visa Inc. ($V)18.1%21.9%23.0%27.2%23.2%
Western Union Company (The) ($WU)10.7%11.9%27.8%21.5%22.1%
 
Median (39 companies)11.1%10.6%12.1%8.3%6.4%
Net 1 UEPS Technologies, Inc. ($UEPS)18.7%13.8%7.0%-15.4%-9.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
WEX Inc. ($WEX)6.7x4.4x3.1x3.4x12.1x
Exela Technologies Inc ($XELAU)8.1x-9.7x-10.7x
Alliance Data Systems Corporation ($ADS)10.7x10.1x9.0x11.7x9.2x
Verra Mobility Corp ($VRRM)-10.7x6.9x3.5x4.7x
GreenSky, Inc. ($GSKY)-1.5x-1.5x0.5x1.5x4.6x
 
Median (36 companies)1.6x2.3x2.2x2.2x2.0x