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Semtech Corporation reports 54.2% Net Income decline in 2020 and 7.2 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 24.7% to 17.6%

03/11/2020 • About Semtech Corporation ($SMTC) • By InTwits

Semtech Corporation reported FY2020 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • Semtech Corporation has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.3%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 5.5%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $23m in FY2020, $17m in FY2019, $35m in FY2018, $33m in FY2017, $13m in FY2016
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 6.0%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 12.7%. Revenue decline showed acceleration in FY20Q4 - it was 13.8% YoY. During FY2016-FY2020 Revenue growth topped in FY2017 at 11.0% and was decelerating since that time. Revenue decline was worsened by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 7.2 pp from 24.7% to 17.6% in FY2020.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 1.4 pp from 60.1% to 61.5% in FY2020. During FY2016-FY2020 Gross Margin bottomed in FY2017 at 59.7% and was growing since that time. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 6.6 pp from 23.2% to 29.8% in FY2020. During FY2016-FY2020 SG&A as a % of Revenue bottomed in FY2019 at 23.2%.

Net Income margin decreased on 5.3 pp from 11.1% to 5.8% in FY2020.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 4.2% in FY2020. CAPEX/Revenue decreased slightly on 1.8 pp from 6.0% in FY2017 to 4.2% in FY2020. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 4.3%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (6.0%) and ROE (4.7%). ROIC decreased on 5.7 pp from 11.8% to 6.0% in FY2020. ROE decreased on 5.6 pp from 10.3% to 4.7% in FY2020.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -0.9x and Debt / EBITDA is 2.1x. Debt decreased on 2.3% while cash decreased on 6.0%.

Semtech Corporation has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (8,961.9%).

Valuation and dividends


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 20.1x and P/E 63.5x.

Management team


The company's CEO Mohan R Maheswaran has spent 14 years with the company. Semtech Corporation's CFO is Emeka N Chukwu. Emeka N Chukwu has 14 years tenure at the company.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 01/26/2020

Semtech Corporation ($SMTC) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201620172018201920202020/2019
P&L
Revenue490.2544.3587.8627.2547.5-12.7%
Gross Profit293.1324.9352.0377.0336.7-10.7%
SG&A136.2136.4146.3145.2163.112.3%
EBITDA78.9131.1117.7155.196.3-37.9%
EBIT30.084.168.7
Interest expence7.89.3
Tax8.918.423.2
Net Income11.554.736.469.631.9-54.2%
Stock Based Compensation20.530.847.9
Balance Sheet
Cash211.8297.1307.9312.1293.3-6.0%
Accounts Receivable44.151.453.2
Inventory63.965.971.1
Accounts Payable35.542.037.2
Short Term Debt18.614.415.418.33.3-82.1%
Long Term Debt239.2226.5211.1192.8202.95.2%
Cash flow
Capex13.032.935.517.123.135.2%
Acquisitions39.217.6
Ratios
Revenue growth-12.1%11.0%8.0%6.7%-12.7%
EBITDA growth-29.2%66.1%-10.2%31.8%-37.9%

Gross Margin59.8%59.7%59.9%60.1%61.5%1.4%
EBITDA Margin16.1%24.1%20.0%24.7%17.6%-7.2%
EBIT Margin6.1%15.4%11.7%
SG&A, % of revenue27.8%25.1%24.9%23.2%29.8%6.6%
SBC, % of revenue4.2%5.7%8.2%
Net Income Margin2.3%10.0%6.2%11.1%5.8%-5.3%
CAPEX, % of revenue2.7%6.0%6.0%2.7%4.2%1.5%

ROIC3.7%10.2%7.8%11.8%6.0%-5.7%
ROE2.1%9.6%5.7%10.3%4.7%-5.6%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.6x-0.4x-0.7x-0.7x-0.9x-0.3x
Interest coverage ratio (ICR)3.8x9.0x
Interest expence / Average debt3.0%3.7%
People
Insider ownership1.4%1.4%1.4%
Employees1,3351,2921,282
Revenue/Employee, th. $367421459

Semtech Corporation ($SMTC) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $FY20Q1FY20Q2FY20Q3FY20Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue131137141138 0.7%-16.0%-18.7%-13.8%
EBITDA24232921 158.4%-49.6%-47.4%-47.6%
Net Income132143 3.0%-91.3%15.1%-78.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash287288283293 -5.3%-7.5%-9.3%-6.0%
Short Term Debt2222223 37.5%28.9%21.3%-82.1%
Long Term Debt197191186203 -4.7%-5.3%-5.8%5.2%
Ratios
Gross Margin61.9%61.9%61.2%61.1% 7.1%0.5%-0.2%-0.7%
EBITDA Margin 18.4% 16.5% 20.4% 15.0% 11.2%-11.1%-11.1%-9.7%
Net Income Margin 9.7% 1.6% 9.9% 2.1% 0.2%-13.8%2.9%-6.4%

Peers in Semiconductors


Below you can find Semtech Corporation benchmarking vs. other companies in Semiconductors industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Inphi Corporation ($IPHI)-30.8%-15.4%24.2%86.8%
Sequans Communications S.A. ($SQNS)-5.9%-16.6%-23.3%65.0%
MaxLinear, Inc ($MXL)-8.4%-8.4%-17.6%50.9%
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. ($AMD)-21.6%23.3%4.0%45.0%
Kopin Corporation ($KOPN)-23.0%-12.1%20.7%35.9%
 
Median (43 companies)1.2%10.9%4.4%-3.2%2.8%
Semtech Corporation ($SMTC)-11.0%8.0%6.7%-12.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
CEVA, Inc. ($CEVA)91.6%92.1%89.8%88.4%89.3%
Universal Display Corporation ($OLED)83.9%80.8%75.5%78.5%80.1%
Rambus, Inc. ($RMBS)80.1%79.9%76.8%77.1%75.0%
Analog Devices, Inc. ($ADI)65.1%59.9%68.3%67.0%65.9%
MoSys, Inc. ($MOSY)49.0%46.9%61.8%61.0%65.7%
 
Median (43 companies)47.2%48.6%50.2%50.4%49.2%
Semtech Corporation ($SMTC)59.8%59.7%59.9%60.1%61.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Texas Instruments Incorporated ($TXN)43.5%46.7%48.6%47.5%47.6%
Intel Corp ($INTC)35.2%41.7%45.7%45.9%46.7%
Broadcom Inc. ($AVGO)19.9%40.4%44.2%40.9%46.2%
Universal Display Corporation ($OLED)44.8%51.6%35.3%48.0%45.9%
Analog Devices, Inc. ($ADI)36.2%32.1%43.2%42.1%42.0%
 
Median (41 companies)9.2%10.7%9.3%12.9%17.3%
Semtech Corporation ($SMTC)16.1%24.1%20.0%24.7%17.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)46.9%23.3%29.2%41.8%38.4%
Sequans Communications S.A. ($SQNS)11.8%13.3%22.9%29.6%27.1%
Intel Corp ($INTC)16.2%18.8%21.4%22.5%18.6%
First Solar, Inc. ($FSLR)7.9%17.5%33.0%21.8%15.4%
Power Integrations, Inc. ($POWI)3.1%7.5%5.9%5.7%14.5%
 
Median (40 companies)3.7%4.7%4.2%3.8%3.6%
Semtech Corporation ($SMTC)2.7%6.0%6.0%2.7%4.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Texas Instruments Incorporated ($TXN)34.9%43.1%47.5%39.7%38.2%
Applied Materials Inc ($AMAT)19.0%31.2%36.4%27.7%32.1%
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. ($AMD)-21.7%7.3%21.6%21.5%31.8%
QUALCOMM Incorporated ($QCOM)15.8%5.7%2.2%38.0%28.1%
NVIDIA Corporation ($NVDA)13.1%27.3%35.3%36.9%22.7%
 
Median (45 companies)1.4%3.2%2.2%2.2%5.3%
Semtech Corporation ($SMTC)3.7%10.2%7.8%11.8%6.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
SunPower Corporation ($SPWR)----8.2x
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. ($MTSI)3.0x7.2x98.6x-6.6x
Rambus, Inc. ($RMBS)-0.1x-0.1x--5.9x
Inphi Corporation ($IPHI)4.5x33.7x32.2x4.5x3.4x
Canadian Solar Inc. ($CSIQ)11.3x6.8x2.7x3.4x3.3x
 
Median (31 companies)-0.0x0.4x0.3x0.5x0.5x
Semtech Corporation ($SMTC)0.6x-0.4x-0.7x-0.7x-0.9x