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Box, Inc. revenue growth decelerated from 20.2% in FY2019 to 14.4% in FY2020

02/26/2020 • About Box, Inc. ($BOX) • By InTwits

Box, Inc. reported FY2020 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Box, Inc. is a fast growth stock: FY2020 revenue growth was 14.4%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 26.3% at FY2020 ROIC -42.3%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -6.1%
  • Box, Inc. spends a lot for Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for FY2016-FY2020 is 9.4%. Average EBITDA Margin for the same period was -20.5%
  • Box, Inc. has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 6.7%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 14.0%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $5m in FY2020, $15m in FY2019, $12m in FY2018, $15m in FY2017, $73m in FY2016
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -42.3%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue surged on 14.4%. Revenue growth showed slowdown in FY20Q4 - it was 12.1% YoY. Revenue decline was accelerating on average at -6.2 pp per annum in the last 5 years. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased on 5.3 pp from -3.5% to 1.9% in 2020. EBITDA Margin grew at 10.7 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Gross Margin decreased on 2.4 pp from 71.5% to 69.0% in FY2020. During the last 5 years Gross Margin topped in FY2018 at 73.3% and was declining since that time. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 6.2 pp from 66.6% to 60.4% in FY2020. SG&A as a % of Revenue declined at -10.1 pp per annum in FY2016-FY2020.

Net Income margin increased slightly on 1.4 pp from -22.1% to -20.7% in FY2020. Net Income margin grew at 10.9 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2020 Box, Inc. had CAPEX/Revenue of 0.78%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 3.0 pp from 3.8% in FY2017 to 0.78% in FY2020. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.9%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-42.3%) and ROE (-537.0%). ROIC jumped on 65.3 pp from -108% to -42.3% in FY2020. ROE jumped on 43.6 pp from -581% to -537% in FY2020. During the last 5 years ROIC bottomed in FY2018 at -120% and was growing since that time. ROE followed a declining trend at -131 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -5.8x and Debt / EBITDA is . Net Debt / EBITDA didn't change in FY2020. Debt jumped on 276% while cash dropped on 10.1%.

Box, Inc. has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (205.9%).

Management team


Box, Inc.'s CEO is Aaron Levie. Aaron Levie has 9 years tenure with the company. Dylan Smith is a the company's CFO. Dylan Smith has spent 9 years at the company.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 01/31/2020

Box, Inc. ($BOX) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201620172018201920202020/2019
P&L
Revenue302.7398.6506.1608.4696.314.4%
Gross Profit215.6286.5370.9434.8480.710.6%
SG&A314.1321.2388.1405.3420.43.7%
EBITDA-160.6-110.5-113.9-87.9-42.7
EBIT-201.0-150.7-154.0
Tax0.70.90.7
Net Income-202.9-151.8-155.0-134.6-144.3
Stock Based Compensation59.578.497.5
Balance Sheet
Cash185.7177.4208.1217.5195.6-10.1%
Accounts Receivable99.5120.1162.1
Accounts Payable9.96.717.0
Short Term Debt4.713.718.828.395.0235.4%
Long Term Debt47.361.767.084.6329.6289.6%
Cash flow
Capex72.915.011.814.85.5-63.2%
Acquisitions0.3
Ratios
Revenue growth39.9%31.7%27.0%20.2%14.4%
EBITDA growth16.7%-31.2%3.1%-22.8%-51.5%

Gross Margin71.2%71.9%73.3%71.5%69.0%-2.4%
EBITDA Margin-53.1%-27.7%-22.5%-14.5%-6.1%8.3%
EBIT Margin-66.4%-37.8%-30.4%
SG&A, % of revenue103.8%80.6%76.7%66.6%60.4%-6.2%
SBC, % of revenue19.7%19.7%19.3%
Net Income Margin-67.0%-38.1%-30.6%-22.1%-20.7%1.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue24.1%3.8%2.3%2.4%0.8%-1.7%

ROIC-79.3%-86.8%-120.2%-107.5%-42.3%65.3%
ROE-100.0%-142.8%-345.5%-580.6%-537.0%43.6%
People
Insider ownership3.1%3.1%3.1%
Employees1,3701,4951,784
Revenue/Employee, th. $221267284

Box, Inc. ($BOX) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $FY20Q1FY20Q2FY20Q3FY20Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue163173177184 16.0%16.4%13.6%12.1%
EBITDA-14-13-14-2 ----
Net Income-37-36-41-30 ----
Balance Sheet
Cash231201201196 6.6%-1.1%0.4%-10.1%
Short Term Debt69749095 236.7%246.9%269.1%235.4%
Long Term Debt326325336330 366.4%352.1%354.3%289.6%
Ratios
Gross Margin70.1%68.8%68.2%69.1% -2.1%-2.5%-3.1%-2.1%
EBITDA Margin -8.4% -7.7% -7.7% -1.1% 9.0%9.5%10.3%5.0%
Net Income Margin -22.6% -21.0% -23.1% -16.6% 3.5%4.7%2.7%-4.5%

Peers in Application Software


Below we provide Box, Inc. benchmarking against other companies in Application Software industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
VirnetX Holding Corp ($VHC)--0.2%-95.9%34.9%355,942.4%
AudioEye, Inc. ($AEYE)-175.5%106.6%90.2%90.2%
Cloudera, Inc. ($CLDR)-57.2%42.6%28.9%65.5%
Integrated Ventures Inc ($INTV)----8.9%62.7%
Smartsheet Inc. ($SMAR)-64.3%66.1%59.7%52.4%
 
Median (92 companies)12.0%14.8%15.1%19.4%14.7%
Box, Inc. ($BOX)-31.7%27.0%20.2%14.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Aware, Inc. ($AWRE)90.3%94.6%92.3%89.7%92.8%
Alteryx, Inc. ($AYX)81.3%83.4%91.0%90.6%91.1%
Autodesk, Inc. ($ADSK)85.2%83.2%85.2%88.9%90.1%
Smith Micro Software, Inc. ($SMSI)73.2%77.9%83.5%90.9%89.9%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc. ($CDNS)85.9%87.8%87.9%88.6%88.6%
 
Median (89 companies)63.8%64.4%65.3%67.9%70.6%
Box, Inc. ($BOX)71.2%71.9%73.3%71.5%69.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
VirnetX Holding Corp ($VHC)-1,837.2%-1,118.0%-40,379.4%-23,127.1%52.2%
j2 Global, Inc. ($JCOM)41.7%36.5%35.7%38.6%40.5%
Intelligent Systems Corporation ($INS)-5.4%-12.8%33.6%43.6%40.4%
Adobe Inc. ($ADBE)31.2%34.2%35.3%35.8%39.7%
SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc. ($SSNC)34.9%37.9%27.7%38.2%38.3%
 
Median (89 companies)-4.7%-3.3%-3.3%4.5%7.7%
Box, Inc. ($BOX)-53.1%-27.7%-22.5%-14.5%-6.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
MicroStrategy Incorporated ($MSTR)0.5%0.8%1.4%2.1%234.8%
Integrated Ventures Inc ($INTV)--199.9%15.2%27.2%
Intelligent Systems Corporation ($INS)3.8%9.7%4.3%4.9%19.2%
LivePerson, Inc. ($LPSN)5.5%7.9%8.8%16.3%11.4%
PROS Holdings, Inc. ($PRO)4.7%0.8%0.7%2.1%11.3%
 
Median (87 companies)2.9%2.3%2.4%3.0%2.6%
Box, Inc. ($BOX)24.1%3.8%2.3%2.4%0.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
VirnetX Holding Corp ($VHC)-210.9%-256.8%-416.3%-247.2%137.3%
Manhattan Associates, Inc. ($MANH)99.3%102.5%80.9%71.7%53.4%
Citrix Systems, Inc. ($CTXS)16.1%16.7%25.2%29.8%33.5%
Sonic Foundry, Inc. ($SOFO)-18.1%-50.6%-786.4%-31.3%
Paycom Software, Inc. ($PAYC)75.4%51.1%47.5%47.5%28.7%
 
Median (92 companies)-9.2%-10.2%-9.8%-4.2%-1.8%
Box, Inc. ($BOX)-79.3%-86.8%-120.2%-107.5%-42.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Dropbox, Inc. ($DBX)--3.8x-2.4x1,341.0x
Avaya Holdings Corp. ($AVYA)--7.4x-77.9x
Alteryx, Inc. ($AYX)--2.5x6.1x32.2x
Five9, Inc. ($FIVN)-6.7x-8.6x7.3x5.3x17.6x
Synchronoss Technologies, Inc. ($SNCR)----11.6x
 
Median (54 companies)-0.9x-0.8x-0.7x0.4x0.2x