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Salesforce.com Inc Net Income dropped on 88.6% while Revenue surged on 28.7%

02/25/2020 • About Salesforce.com Inc ($CRM) • By InTwits

Salesforce.com Inc reported FY2020 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • Salesforce.com Inc is a fast growth stock: FY2020 revenue growth was 28.7%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 26.0% at FY2020 ROIC 1.2%
  • EBITDA Margin is expanding: 19.6% in FY2020 vs. 14.2% in FY2019 vs. 9.6% in FY2016
  • Salesforce.com Inc motivates its personel by high Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for FY2016-FY2020 was 4.3% while average EBITDA Margin was 14.1% for the sames years
  • Salesforce.com Inc has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 5.9%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 3.2%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $8m in 2020, $4m in 2019, $3m in 2018, $3m in 2017, $2m in 2016
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 1.2%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Salesforce.com Inc's Revenue jumped on 28.7%. Revenue growth showed acceleration in FY20Q4 - it increased 34.6% YoY. Revenue growth happened at the same time with EBITDA margin expansion. EBITDA Margin increased on 5.4 pp from 14.2% to 19.6% in FY2020. EBITDA Margin stuck to a growing trend at 2.4 pp per annum in FY2016-FY2020.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 1.2 pp from 74.0% to 75.2% in FY2020. During the last 5 years Gross Margin bottomed in FY2017 at 73.5% and was growing since that time. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.56 pp from 55.8% to 56.3% in FY2020. During FY2016-FY2020 SG&A as a % of Revenue bottomed in FY2018 at 54.6% and was growing since that time.

Net Income margin decreased on 7.6 pp from 8.4% to 0.74% in FY2020.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 3.8% in FY2020. The company showed small CAPEX/Revenue decline of 1.7 pp from 5.5% in FY2017 to 3.8% in FY2020. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 4.4%. CAPEX as a % of Revenue pursued a declining trend in FY2016-FY2020.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (1.2%) and ROE (0.5%). ROIC decreased on 2.3 pp from 3.4% to 1.2% in FY2020. ROE decreased on 8.0 pp from 8.5% to 0.51% in FY2020. During the last 5 years ROIC topped in FY2018 at 4.2% and was declining since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 0.6x and Debt / EBITDA is 1.9x. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 0.3x from 0.4x to 0.6x in FY2020. Debt surged on 85.9% while cash surged on 55.3%.

Salesforce.com Inc has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (513.6%).

Valuation and dividends


Salesforce.com Inc's trades at EV/EBITDA 45.5x and P/E 1,192.3x.

Management team


The company's CEO Marc R Benioff has spent 2 years with the company.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 01/31/2020

Salesforce.com Inc ($CRM) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201620172018201920202020/2019
P&L
Revenue6,6678,43710,54013,28217,09828.7%
Gross Profit5,0136,2037,7679,83112,86330.8%
SG&A3,9884,7775,7607,4109,63430.0%
EBITDA6418501,2071,8823,34577.7%
EBIT115218454
Interest expence728987
Tax112-14460
Net Income-473233601,110126-88.6%
Stock Based Compensation594820997
Balance Sheet
Cash1,1581,6072,5432,6694,14555.3%
Accounts Receivable2,4963,1973,921
Accounts Payable76
Short Term Debt001,025380726,800.0%
Long Term Debt1,2862,0086953,3615,44662.0%
Cash flow
Capex7104645345956438.1%
Acquisitions593,19325
Ratios
Revenue growth24.1%26.5%24.9%26.0%28.7%
EBITDA growth111.7%32.7%42.0%55.9%77.7%

Gross Margin75.2%73.5%73.7%74.0%75.2%1.2%
EBITDA Margin9.6%10.1%11.5%14.2%19.6%5.4%
EBIT Margin1.7%2.6%4.3%
SG&A, % of revenue59.8%56.6%54.6%55.8%56.3%0.6%
SBC, % of revenue8.9%9.7%9.5%
Net Income Margin-0.7%3.8%3.4%8.4%0.7%-7.6%
CAPEX, % of revenue10.6%5.5%5.1%4.5%3.8%-0.7%

ROIC2.0%2.8%4.2%3.4%1.2%-2.3%
ROE-1.1%5.2%4.0%8.5%0.5%-8.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.2x0.5x-0.7x0.4x0.6x0.3x
Interest coverage ratio (ICR)1.6x2.4x5.2x
Interest expence / Average debt5.6%5.4%4.7%
People
Insider ownership4.5%4.5%4.5%
Employees19,74225,00029,401
Revenue/Employee, th. $338337358

Salesforce.com Inc ($CRM) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $FY20Q1FY20Q2FY20Q3FY20Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue3,7373,9974,5134,851 24.3%21.8%33.0%34.6%
EBITDA853732903857 129.3%98.9%158.7%109.0%
Net Income39291-109-248 14.0%-69.6%-203.8%-168.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash4,1103,5103,8684,145 -30.6%51.4%83.8%55.3%
Short Term Debt857786803807 28,466.7%56.3%59.6%26,800.0%
Long Term Debt5,9115,6465,6905,446 86.3%77.9%79.3%62.0%
Ratios
Gross Margin75.5%75.8%74.9%74.9% 1.1%1.7%1.1%1.1%
EBITDA Margin 22.8% 18.3% 20.0% 17.7% 10.5%7.1%9.7%6.3%
Net Income Margin 10.5% 2.3% -2.4% -5.1% -1.0%-6.8%-5.5%-15.2%

Peers in Application Software


Below we provide Salesforce.com Inc benchmarking against other companies in Application Software industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
VirnetX Holding Corp ($VHC)--0.2%-95.9%34.9%355,942.4%
AudioEye, Inc. ($AEYE)-175.5%106.6%90.2%90.2%
Cloudera, Inc. ($CLDR)-57.2%42.6%28.9%65.5%
Integrated Ventures Inc ($INTV)----8.9%62.7%
Smartsheet Inc. ($SMAR)-64.3%66.1%59.7%52.4%
 
Median (92 companies)12.0%14.8%15.1%19.4%14.5%
Salesforce.com Inc ($CRM)-26.5%24.9%26.0%28.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Aware, Inc. ($AWRE)90.3%94.6%92.3%89.7%92.8%
Alteryx, Inc. ($AYX)81.3%83.4%91.0%90.6%91.1%
Autodesk, Inc. ($ADSK)85.2%83.2%85.2%88.9%90.1%
Smith Micro Software, Inc. ($SMSI)73.2%77.9%83.5%90.9%89.9%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc. ($CDNS)85.9%87.8%87.9%88.6%88.6%
 
Median (89 companies)63.8%64.4%65.3%67.9%69.4%
Salesforce.com Inc ($CRM)75.2%73.5%73.7%74.0%75.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
VirnetX Holding Corp ($VHC)-1,837.2%-1,118.0%-40,379.4%-23,127.1%52.2%
j2 Global, Inc. ($JCOM)41.7%36.5%35.7%38.6%40.5%
Intelligent Systems Corporation ($INS)-5.4%-12.8%33.6%43.6%40.4%
Adobe Inc. ($ADBE)31.2%34.2%35.3%35.8%39.7%
SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc. ($SSNC)34.9%37.9%27.7%38.2%38.3%
 
Median (89 companies)-5.3%-4.2%-3.3%2.7%6.8%
Salesforce.com Inc ($CRM)9.6%10.1%11.5%14.2%19.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
MicroStrategy Incorporated ($MSTR)0.5%0.8%1.4%2.1%234.8%
Integrated Ventures Inc ($INTV)--199.9%15.2%27.2%
Intelligent Systems Corporation ($INS)3.8%9.7%4.3%4.9%19.2%
LivePerson, Inc. ($LPSN)5.5%7.9%8.8%16.3%11.4%
PROS Holdings, Inc. ($PRO)4.7%0.8%0.7%2.1%11.3%
 
Median (87 companies)2.9%2.3%2.4%2.9%2.5%
Salesforce.com Inc ($CRM)10.6%5.5%5.1%4.5%3.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
VirnetX Holding Corp ($VHC)-210.9%-256.8%-416.3%-247.2%137.3%
Manhattan Associates, Inc. ($MANH)99.3%102.5%80.9%71.7%53.4%
Citrix Systems, Inc. ($CTXS)16.1%16.7%25.2%29.8%33.5%
Sonic Foundry, Inc. ($SOFO)-18.1%-50.6%-786.4%-31.3%
Paycom Software, Inc. ($PAYC)75.4%51.1%47.5%47.5%28.7%
 
Median (92 companies)-9.8%-11.8%-10.6%-4.5%-2.2%
Salesforce.com Inc ($CRM)2.0%2.8%4.2%3.4%1.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Dropbox, Inc. ($DBX)--3.8x-2.4x1,341.0x
Avaya Holdings Corp. ($AVYA)--7.4x-77.9x
Alteryx, Inc. ($AYX)--2.5x6.1x32.2x
Five9, Inc. ($FIVN)-6.7x-8.6x7.3x5.3x17.6x
Synchronoss Technologies, Inc. ($SNCR)----11.6x
 
Median (53 companies)-0.9x-0.9x-0.6x0.4x0.0x
Salesforce.com Inc ($CRM)0.2x0.5x-0.7x0.4x0.6x