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NVIDIA Corporation Net Income dropped on 32.5% and Revenue decreased on 6.8%

02/13/2020 • About NVIDIA Corporation ($NVDA) • By InTwits

NVIDIA Corporation reported FY2020 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • NVIDIA Corporation has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.0%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 3.2%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $489m in FY2020, $600m in FY2019, $593m in FY2018, $176m in FY2017, $86m in FY2016
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is 22.7%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


NVIDIA Corporation's Revenue decreased on 6.8%. Annual revenue decline showed slowdown in FY20Q4 - revenue surged on 40.8%. During the last 5 years Revenue growth topped in FY2018 at 40.6% and was decelerating since that time. Revenue decline was worsened by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 4.1 pp from 34.7% to 30.6% in FY2020. During FY2016-FY2020 EBITDA Margin topped in FY2018 at 35.1% and was declining since that time.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 0.78 pp from 61.2% to 62.0% in FY2020. Gross Margin followed a growing trend at 1.4 pp per annum in the last 5 years. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.6 pp from 8.5% to 10.0% in FY2020. During FY2016-FY2020 SG&A as a % of Revenue bottomed in FY2018 at 8.4% and was growing since that time.

Net Income margin decreased on 9.7 pp from 35.3% to 25.6% in FY2020. During the last 5 years Net Income margin topped in FY2019 at 35.3%.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2020 NVIDIA Corporation had CAPEX/Revenue of 4.5%. CAPEX/Revenue increased slightly on 1.9 pp from 2.5% in FY2017 to 4.5% in FY2020. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 5.2%. During FY2016-FY2020 CAPEX as a % of Revenue topped in FY2018 at 6.1% and was declining since that time.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROIC (22.7%) and ROE (26.0%). ROIC dropped on 14.2 pp from 36.9% to 22.7% in FY2020. ROE dropped on 23.3 pp from 49.3% to 26.0% in FY2020. During FY2016-FY2020 ROIC topped in FY2019 at 36.9%. During FY2016-FY2020 ROE topped in FY2019 at 49.3%.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -2.5x Net Debt / EBITDA and 0.8x Debt / EBITDA. Debt jumped on 32.9% while cash jumped on 1,293%.

NVIDIA Corporation has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (11,973.6%).

Valuation and dividends


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 54.1x and P/E 67.6x.

Management team


Jen-Hsun Huang is a the company's CEO. Jen-Hsun Huang has spent 27 years with the company. Colette M Kress is a the company's CFO. Colette M Kress has spent 7 years at the company.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 01/26/2020

NVIDIA Corporation ($NVDA) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201620172018201920202020/2019
P&L
Revenue5,0106,9109,71411,71610,918-6.8%
Gross Profit2,8114,0635,8227,1716,768-5.6%
SG&A6026638159911,09310.3%
EBITDA9442,1213,4094,0663,341-17.8%
EBIT7471,9343,210
Interest expence475861
Tax129239149
Net Income6141,6663,0474,1412,796-32.5%
Stock Based Compensation194247391
Balance Sheet
Cash5961,7664,00278210,8961,293.4%
Accounts Receivable5058261,265
Inventory418794796
Accounts Payable296485596
Short Term Debt1,41780015091
Long Term Debt972,0201,9851,9882,55228.4%
Cash flow
Capex86176593600489-18.5%
Dividends213261341
Ratios
Revenue growth7.0%37.9%40.6%20.6%-6.8%
EBITDA growth-3.6%124.7%60.7%19.3%-17.8%

Gross Margin56.1%58.8%59.9%61.2%62.0%0.8%
EBITDA Margin18.8%30.7%35.1%34.7%30.6%-4.1%
EBIT Margin14.9%28.0%33.0%
SG&A, % of revenue12.0%9.6%8.4%8.5%10.0%1.6%
SBC, % of revenue3.9%3.6%4.0%
Net Income Margin12.3%24.1%31.4%35.3%25.6%-9.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.7%2.5%6.1%5.1%4.5%-0.6%

ROIC13.1%27.3%35.3%36.9%22.7%-14.2%
ROE13.8%32.6%46.1%49.3%26.0%-23.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.0x0.5x-0.6x0.3x-2.5x-2.8x
Interest expence / Average debt3.1%2.7%2.5%
People
Insider ownership4.4%4.4%4.4%
Employees9,2277,2828,191
Revenue/Employee, th. $5439491,186

NVIDIA Corporation ($NVDA) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $FY20Q1FY20Q2FY20Q3FY20Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue2,2202,5793,0143,105 -30.8%-17.4%-5.2%40.8%
EBITDA4766911,0471,127 -64.8%-43.2%-7.0%203.0%
Net Income394552899950 -68.3%-49.9%-26.9%67.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash2,7727,1059,76510,896 262.4%889.6%1,254.4%1,293.4%
Short Term Debt80848991 471.4%500.0%2,866.7%-
Long Term Debt2,4742,4722,4592,552 24.6%24.4%23.8%28.4%
Ratios
Gross Margin58.4%59.8%63.6%64.9% -6.1%-3.5%3.2%10.2%
EBITDA Margin 21.4% 26.8% 34.7% 36.3% -20.7%-12.1%-0.7%19.4%
Net Income Margin 17.7% 21.4% 29.8% 30.6% -21.0%-13.9%-8.8%4.9%

Peers in Semiconductors


Below you can find NVIDIA Corporation benchmarking vs. other companies in Semiconductors industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Inphi Corporation ($IPHI)-30.8%-15.4%24.2%86.8%
Sequans Communications S.A. ($SQNS)-5.9%-16.6%-23.3%65.0%
MaxLinear, Inc ($MXL)-8.4%-8.4%-17.6%50.9%
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. ($AMD)-21.6%23.3%4.0%45.0%
Kopin Corporation ($KOPN)-23.0%-12.1%20.7%35.9%
 
Median (43 companies)1.2%10.9%4.4%-3.2%2.8%
NVIDIA Corporation ($NVDA)-37.9%40.6%20.6%-6.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
CEVA, Inc. ($CEVA)91.6%92.1%89.8%88.4%89.3%
Universal Display Corporation ($OLED)83.9%80.8%75.5%78.5%80.1%
Rambus, Inc. ($RMBS)80.1%79.9%76.8%77.1%75.0%
Analog Devices, Inc. ($ADI)65.1%59.9%68.3%67.0%65.9%
MoSys, Inc. ($MOSY)49.0%46.9%61.8%61.0%65.7%
 
Median (43 companies)47.2%48.6%50.2%50.4%49.2%
NVIDIA Corporation ($NVDA)56.1%58.8%59.9%61.2%62.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Texas Instruments Incorporated ($TXN)43.5%46.7%48.6%47.5%47.6%
Intel Corp ($INTC)35.2%41.7%45.7%45.9%46.7%
Broadcom Inc. ($AVGO)19.9%40.4%44.2%40.9%46.2%
Universal Display Corporation ($OLED)44.8%51.6%35.3%48.0%45.9%
Analog Devices, Inc. ($ADI)36.2%32.1%43.2%42.1%42.0%
 
Median (41 companies)9.2%10.7%9.3%12.9%17.3%
NVIDIA Corporation ($NVDA)18.8%30.7%35.1%34.7%30.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)46.9%23.3%29.2%41.8%38.4%
Sequans Communications S.A. ($SQNS)11.8%13.3%22.9%29.6%27.1%
Intel Corp ($INTC)16.2%18.8%21.4%22.5%18.6%
First Solar, Inc. ($FSLR)7.9%17.5%33.0%21.8%15.4%
Power Integrations, Inc. ($POWI)3.1%7.5%5.9%5.7%14.5%
 
Median (40 companies)3.7%4.7%4.2%3.7%3.6%
NVIDIA Corporation ($NVDA)1.7%2.5%6.1%5.1%4.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Texas Instruments Incorporated ($TXN)34.9%43.1%47.5%39.7%38.2%
Applied Materials Inc ($AMAT)19.0%31.2%36.4%27.7%32.1%
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. ($AMD)-21.7%7.3%21.6%21.5%31.8%
QUALCOMM Incorporated ($QCOM)15.8%5.7%2.2%38.0%28.1%
Skyworks Solutions, Inc. ($SWKS)33.7%33.1%32.3%23.2%21.2%
 
Median (45 companies)1.4%3.2%2.2%2.2%5.3%
NVIDIA Corporation ($NVDA)13.1%27.3%35.3%36.9%22.7%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
SunPower Corporation ($SPWR)----8.2x
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. ($MTSI)3.0x7.2x98.6x-6.6x
Rambus, Inc. ($RMBS)-0.1x-0.1x--5.9x
Inphi Corporation ($IPHI)4.5x33.7x32.2x4.5x3.4x
Canadian Solar Inc. ($CSIQ)11.3x6.8x2.7x3.4x3.3x
 
Median (31 companies)-0.0x0.4x0.3x0.5x0.5x
NVIDIA Corporation ($NVDA)1.0x0.5x-0.6x0.3x-2.5x