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QUALCOMM Incorporated reports 294% EBITDA growth in 2019 and 6.8% Revenue growth

11/06/2019 • About QUALCOMM Incorporated ($QCOM) • By InTwits

QUALCOMM Incorporated reported FY2019 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 37.4% in FY2019, 10.1% in FY2018, 18.3% in FY2017, 33.6% in FY2016, 27.6% in FY2015
  • QUALCOMM Incorporated has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.3%.
  • In the last 5 years the company invested considerably less than D&A: $3,894m vs. $5,664m
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is 38.0%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


QUALCOMM Incorporated's Revenue increased on 6.8%. Revenue growth showed slowdown in FY19Q4 - it was -17.0% YoY. During the last 5 years Revenue growth bottomed in FY2016 at -6.8% and was accelerating since that time. Revenue growth happened at the same time with EBITDA margin expansion. EBITDA Margin surged on 27.2 pp from 10.1% to 37.4% in FY2019.

Gross Margin increased on 9.6 pp from 54.9% to 64.6% in FY2019. During the last 5 years Gross Margin bottomed in FY2018 at 54.9%. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 4.1 pp from 13.1% to 9.0% in FY2019. During the last 5 years SG&A as a % of Revenue topped in FY2018 at 13.1%.

Net Income margin jumped on 39.5 pp from -21.4% to 18.1% in FY2019.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2019 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 3.7%. CAPEX/Revenue increased slightly on 1.4 pp from 2.3% in FY2016 to 3.7% in FY2019. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 3.4%. During the last 5 years CAPEX as a % of Revenue bottomed in FY2016 at 2.3% and was growing since that time.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROIC (38.0%) and ROE (153.5%). ROIC jumped on 35.8 pp from 2.2% to 38.0% in FY2019. ROE jumped on 184 pp from -30.8% to 153% in FY2019.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 0.5x and Debt / EBITDA is 1.8x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 1.5x from 2.0x to 0.5x in FY2019. Debt decreased on 2.7% while cash increased slightly on 0.53%.

QUALCOMM Incorporated has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (474.3%).

Valuation and dividends


QUALCOMM Incorporated's trades at EV/EBITDA 11.8x and P/E 23.4x.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 09/29/2019

QUALCOMM Incorporated ($QCOM) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201520162017201820192019/2018
P&L
Revenue25,28123,55422,29122,73224,2736.8%
Gross Profit14,90313,80512,49912,48815,67425.5%
SG&A2,3442,3852,6582,9862,195-26.5%
EBITDA6,9907,9234,0752,3039,068293.7%
EBIT5,7766,4952,614742
Interest expence104297494768
Tax1,2191,1315555,377
Net Income5,2715,7052,466-4,8644,386
Stock Based Compensation923935914883
Balance Sheet
Cash7,5605,94635,02911,77711,8390.5%
Accounts Receivable1,9642,2193,6322,904
Inventory1,4921,5562,0351,693
Accounts Payable1,3001,8581,9711,825
Short Term Debt1,0001,7492,4951,0052,496148.4%
Long Term Debt9,96910,00819,39815,36513,437-12.5%
Cash flow
Capex99453969078488713.1%
Dividends2,8802,9903,2523,466
Acquisitions3,0198121,544326
Ratios
Revenue growth-4.6%-6.8%-5.4%2.0%6.8%
EBITDA growth-19.7%13.3%-48.6%-43.5%293.7%

Gross Margin58.9%58.6%56.1%54.9%64.6%9.6%
EBITDA Margin27.6%33.6%18.3%10.1%37.4%27.2%
EBIT Margin22.8%27.6%11.7%3.3%
SG&A, % of revenue9.3%10.1%11.9%13.1%9.0%-4.1%
SBC, % of revenue3.7%4.0%4.1%3.9%
Net Income Margin20.8%24.2%11.1%-21.4%18.1%39.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue3.9%2.3%3.1%3.4%3.7%0.2%

ROIC14.6%15.8%5.7%2.2%38.0%35.8%
ROE14.9%18.1%7.9%-30.8%153.5%184.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.5x0.7x-3.2x2.0x0.5x-1.5x
Interest expence / Average debt0.9%2.6%2.9%4.0%
People
Insider ownership0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
Employees33,00030,50033,80035,400
Revenue/Employee, th. $766772659642

QUALCOMM Incorporated ($QCOM) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $FY19Q1FY19Q2FY19Q3FY19Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue4,8424,9829,6354,814 -19.8%-4.6%72.1%-17.0%
EBITDA1,0631,2855,6701,051 196.1%63.1%323.5%
Net Income1,0686632,149506 100.9%76.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash10,06610,13513,92311,839 -69.8%-73.3%-60.9%0.5%
Short Term Debt9989983,0002,496 -71.2%-73.3%-57.8%148.4%
Long Term Debt15,38815,40513,42613,437 -20.6%-20.4%-12.7%-12.5%
Ratios
Gross Margin55.0%56.0%78.0%56.0% -0.9%-1.1%22.5%5.1%
EBITDA Margin 22.0% 25.8% 58.8% 21.8% 16.0%10.7%34.9%26.3%
Net Income Margin 22.1% 13.3% 22.3% 10.5% 121.2%7.0%0.5%19.0%

Peers in Semiconductors


Below you can find QUALCOMM Incorporated benchmarking vs. other companies in Semiconductors industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
NanoFlex Power Corp ($OPVS)72.5%354.8%
MoSys, Inc. ($MOSY)-18.4%37.2%46.8%87.7%
SMART Global Holdings, Inc. ($SGH)-16.9%42.5%69.3%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)63.9%49.5%-23.0%
Adesto Technologies Corporation ($IOTS)4.3%1.6%27.6%48.8%
 
Median (68 companies)10.6%6.1%11.0%4.9%-12.7%
QUALCOMM Incorporated ($QCOM)-6.8%-5.4%2.0%6.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
CEVA, Inc. ($CEVA)90.9%91.6%92.1%89.8%
NVE Corporation ($NVEC)80.3%76.1%78.5%79.0%
Rambus, Inc. ($RMBS)84.7%80.1%79.9%76.8%
Universal Display Corporation ($OLED)64.2%83.9%80.8%75.5%
Intermolecular, Inc. ($IMI)57.4%66.5%67.5%70.3%
 
Median (67 companies)47.3%47.2%48.6%50.2%45.7%
QUALCOMM Incorporated ($QCOM)58.9%58.6%56.1%54.9%64.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
NVE Corporation ($NVEC)66.0%61.8%65.6%65.1%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)25.4%47.9%65.0%54.7%
NXP Semiconductors N.V. ($NXPI)41.5%21.6%46.2%49.9%
Texas Instruments Incorporated ($TXN)42.0%43.5%46.7%48.6%
Intel Corp ($INTC)41.0%35.2%41.7%45.7%
 
Median (68 companies)10.6%9.2%10.7%9.3%0.9%
QUALCOMM Incorporated ($QCOM)27.6%33.6%18.3%10.1%37.4%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited ($AOSL)6.6%6.5%12.2%42.2%
Renesola Ltd. ($SOL)0.0%0.0%78.0%41.7%
First Solar, Inc. ($FSLR)4.0%7.9%17.5%33.0%
Sigma Designs Inc ($SIGM)6.5%6.2%14.1%29.3%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)46.9%23.3%29.2%41.8%
 
Median (68 companies)4.0%3.7%4.7%4.4%14.9%
QUALCOMM Incorporated ($QCOM)3.9%2.3%3.1%3.4%3.7%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
SMART Global Holdings, Inc. ($SGH)2.5%21.5%51.7%
Texas Instruments Incorporated ($TXN)29.8%34.9%43.1%47.5%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)0.8%21.5%42.9%18.5%
Applied Materials Inc ($AMAT)15.2%19.0%31.2%36.4%
NVIDIA Corporation ($NVDA)13.3%13.1%27.3%35.3%
 
Median (76 companies)3.6%1.4%3.2%3.0%-2.9%
QUALCOMM Incorporated ($QCOM)14.6%15.8%5.7%2.2%38.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. ($MTSI)3.3x3.0x7.2x98.6x
Inphi Corporation ($IPHI)-6.4x4.5x33.7x32.2x
JinkoSolar Holding Company Limited ($JKS)3.3x4.1x11.0x8.2x
Lattice Semiconductor Corporation ($LSCC)6.5x19.0x3.9x
Renesola Ltd. ($SOL)35.0x123.6x2.3x3.3x
 
Median (45 companies)-0.5x-0.0x0.4x0.3x-0.1x
QUALCOMM Incorporated ($QCOM)0.5x0.7x-3.2x2.0x0.5x