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NetSol Technologies Inc. Net Income jumped on 99.3% and Revenue jumped on 11.3%

09/23/2019 • About NetSol Technologies Inc. ($NTWK) • By InTwits

NetSol Technologies Inc. reported FY2019 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • NetSol Technologies Inc. is a growth stock: FY2019 revenue growth was 11.3%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 13.3% at FY2019 ROIC 8.4%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 16.6% in FY2019, 14.2% in FY2018, 8.5% in FY2017, 20.8% in FY2016, 10.1% in FY2015
  • NetSol Technologies Inc. has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.7%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 3.5%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $1m in FY2019, $0m in FY2018, $0m in FY2017, $1m in FY2016, $1m in FY2015
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is 8.4%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 11.3%. Revenue growth showed slowdown in FY19Q4 - it was 2.3% YoY. During FY2015-FY2019 Revenue growth bottomed in FY2018 at -6.8%. Revenue growth happened at the same time with EBITDA margin expansion. EBITDA Margin increased on 2.4 pp from 14.2% to 16.6% in FY2019.

Gross Margin increased on 2.9 pp from 47.9% to 50.8% in FY2019. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 2.7 pp from 39.2% to 36.5% in FY2019.

Net Income margin increased on 5.6 pp from 7.1% to 12.7% in FY2019.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2019 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 4.0%. NetSol Technologies Inc. showed small CAPEX/Revenue decline of 1.1 pp from 5.2% in FY2016 to 4.0% in FY2019. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 3.8%. During the last 5 years CAPEX as a % of Revenue bottomed in FY2017 at 3.4% and was growing since that time.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (14.2%) while ROIC is low (8.4%). ROIC increased on 5.0 pp from 3.5% to 8.4% in FY2019. ROE increased on 7.4 pp from 6.8% to 14.2% in FY2019.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -0.9x and Debt / EBITDA is 0.7x. Debt dropped on 15.9% while cash dropped on 21.4%.

NetSol Technologies Inc. has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (238.9%).

Valuation and dividends


NetSol Technologies Inc.'s trades at EV/EBITDA 4.8x and P/E 7.4x.

Management team


The company's CEO Najeeb Ullah Ghauri has spent 14 years with the company. NetSol Technologies Inc.'s CFO is Roger K Almond. Roger K Almond has 7 years tenure at the company.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 06/30/2019

NetSol Technologies Inc. ($NTWK) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201520162017201820192019/2018
P&L
Revenue51.04964.55065.36660.93067.81911.3%
Gross Profit17.45730.80228.40829.20734.44617.9%
SG&A20.30122.78926.49423.87524.7493.7%
EBITDA5.17813.4545.5618.62811.25230.4%
Net Income-5.5493.403-4.9784.3078.58399.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash14.16911.55814.17322.08917.366-21.4%
Short Term Debt4.3684.92810.5848.9077.270-18.4%
Long Term Debt0.3630.4780.3670.3310.49750.5%
Cash flow
Capex3.5593.3362.2032.4492.72711.3%
Ratios
Revenue growth40.3%26.4%1.3%-6.8%11.3%
EBITDA growth-218.8%159.8%-58.7%55.2%30.4%

Gross Margin34.2%47.7%43.5%47.9%50.8%2.9%
EBITDA Margin10.1%20.8%8.5%14.2%16.6%2.4%
SG&A, % of revenue39.8%35.3%40.5%39.2%36.5%-2.7%
Net Income Margin-10.9%5.3%-7.6%7.1%12.7%5.6%
CAPEX, % of revenue7.0%5.2%3.4%4.0%4.0%0.0%

ROIC-6.2%7.8%-1.2%3.5%8.4%5.0%
ROE-9.1%5.5%-7.8%6.8%14.2%7.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA-1.8x-0.5x-0.6x-1.5x-0.9x0.6x

NetSol Technologies Inc. ($NTWK) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $FY19Q1FY19Q2FY19Q3FY19Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue16171717 24.8%17.7%-0.3%2.3%
EBITDA3332 896.7%75.7%-27.0%-20.3%
Net Income1313 372.9%-65.1%154.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash20201717 133.8%99.9%33.7%-23.0%
Short Term Debt8887 -20.1%-21.1%-12.1%-21.4%
Long Term Debt0010 -100.0%-100.0%237.6%-100.0%
Ratios
Gross Margin50.0%52.0%50.0%51.0% 12.5%5.7%-3.9%-0.2%
EBITDA Margin 18.8% 17.6% 17.6% 11.8% 16.4%5.8%-6.5%-3.3%
Net Income Margin 6.3% 17.6% 5.9% 17.6% 9.1%13.3%-10.9%10.6%

Peers in Application Software


Below you can find NetSol Technologies Inc. benchmarking vs. other companies in Application Software industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
nFusz Inc ($FUSZ)433.3%
CloudCommerce Inc ($CLWD)-38.1%247.6%40.9%301.1%
Seven Stars Cloud Group, Inc. ($SSC)134.7%663.8%310.3%161.7%
Aurora Mobile Limited ($JG)304.9%150.8%
Intelligent Systems Corporation ($INS)14.2%71.0%12.2%119.0%
 
Median (152 companies)13.9%14.4%15.7%15.2%9.3%
NetSol Technologies Inc. ($NTWK)1.3%-6.8%11.3%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Skkynet Cloud Systems Inc ($SKKY)97.4%98.0%97.6%96.5%
hopTo Inc ($HPTO)87.8%95.9%98.2%95.4%
Aware, Inc. ($AWRE)87.2%90.3%94.6%92.3%
Alteryx, Inc. ($AYX)80.5%81.3%83.4%91.0%
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)88.7%89.7%90.2%89.9%
 
Median (151 companies)63.0%64.2%64.6%66.0%49.8%
NetSol Technologies Inc. ($NTWK)47.7%43.5%47.9%50.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)42.2%46.0%45.2%43.3%
ANSYS, Inc. ($ANSS)45.8%45.1%41.9%41.4%
Paycom Software, Inc. ($PAYC)19.5%35.1%34.4%35.9%
j2 Global, Inc. ($JCOM)40.6%41.7%36.5%35.7%
Adobe Inc. ($ADBE)25.9%31.2%34.2%35.3%
 
Median (153 companies)-10.7%-5.3%-4.2%-3.3%12.0%
NetSol Technologies Inc. ($NTWK)20.8%8.5%14.2%16.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
TimefireVR Inc ($TFVR)350.5%4.3%1,021.9%
MGT Capital Investments Inc ($MGTI)36.5%221.4%129.8%344.5%
Integrated Ventures Inc ($INTV)199.9%15.2%
ShotSpotter, Inc. ($SSTI)18.3%28.9%27.1%24.3%
Ellie Mae, Inc. ($ELLI)20.6%16.7%21.1%19.4%
 
Median (154 companies)2.8%2.9%2.3%2.4%3.0%
NetSol Technologies Inc. ($NTWK)5.2%3.4%4.0%4.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
InsPro Technologies Corp ($ITCC)127.4%
Manhattan Associates, Inc. ($MANH)78.7%99.3%102.5%80.9%
Intuit Inc. ($INTU)23.7%52.1%72.6%66.8%
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)58.1%
Paycom Software, Inc. ($PAYC)30.5%75.4%51.1%47.5%
 
Median (180 companies)-12.2%-9.8%-11.8%-10.6%10.4%
NetSol Technologies Inc. ($NTWK)7.8%-1.2%3.5%8.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019
Upland Software, Inc. ($UPLD)16.4x115.6x16.7x
Nuance Communications, Inc. ($NUAN)5.7x5.3x7.1x15.2x
Asure Software Inc ($ASUR)4.5x3.6x9.5x14.5x
SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc. ($SSNC)7.3x4.6x3.1x8.5x
Avaya Holdings Corp. ($AVYA)7.4x
 
Median (69 companies)-0.8x-0.9x-0.9x-0.6x0.7x
NetSol Technologies Inc. ($NTWK)-0.5x-0.6x-1.5x-0.9x