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Where Food Comes From Inc reports 94.0% EBITDA growth in 2018 and 4.1 pp EBITDA Margin growth from 6.1% to 10.2%

03/25/2019 • About Where Food Comes From Inc ($WFCF) • By InTwits

Where Food Comes From Inc reported 2018 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • Where Food Comes From Inc is a fast growth stock: 2018 revenue growth was 15.2%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 25.2% at 2018 ROIC 7.4%
  • Where Food Comes From Inc has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.7%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 3.6%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $0m in 2018, $0m in 2017, $0m in 2016, $0m in 2015, $0m in 2014
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is 7.4%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 15.2%. Revenue growth showed slowdown in 18Q4 - it was 11.6% YoY. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 5.7 pp from 4.4% to -1.3% in FY2018.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 0.66 pp from 44.2% to 43.5% in 2018. During the last 5 years Gross Margin topped in 2015 at 46.7% and was declining since that time. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 5.0 pp from 43.6% to 38.6% in 2018. During 2014-2018 SG&A as a % of Revenue topped in 2017 at 43.6%.

Net Income margin increased on 3.6 pp from 0.92% to 4.5% in 2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 2.1% in 2018. Where Food Comes From Inc showed small growth in CAPEX/Revenue of 1.9 pp from 0.25% in 2015 to 2.1% in 2018. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 2.5%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (7.4%) and ROE (7.8%). ROIC increased on 6.7 pp from 0.73% to 7.4% in 2018. ROE increased on 6.3 pp from 1.5% to 7.8% in 2018.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -0.8x Net Debt / EBITDA and 0.0x Debt / EBITDA. Debt increased slightly on 1.9% while cash dropped on 45.2%.

Where Food Comes From Inc has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (6,900.6%).

Valuation and dividends


Where Food Comes From Inc's trades at EV/EBITDA 26.5x and P/E 61.8x.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 12/31/2018

Where Food Comes From Inc ($WFCF) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue8.76510.39511.61515.44817.80415.2%
Gross Profit3.7634.8555.4136.8217.74413.5%
SG&A3.4194.0604.7786.7396.8691.9%
EBITDA0.5701.0520.9020.9361.81794.0%
Net Income0.2290.5340.4330.1420.801462.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash2.5833.7812.4902.7061.482-45.2%
Short Term Debt0.0120.0120.0040.0170.02126.6%
Long Term Debt0.0230.0100.0160.0680.065-4.3%
Cash flow
Capex0.0750.0260.4460.2430.37554.4%
Ratios
Revenue growth51.2%18.6%11.7%33.0%15.2%
EBITDA growth288.0%84.4%-14.2%3.8%94.0%

Gross Margin42.9%46.7%46.6%44.2%43.5%-0.7%
EBITDA Margin6.5%10.1%7.8%6.1%10.2%4.1%
SG&A, % of revenue39.0%39.1%41.1%43.6%38.6%-5.0%
Net Income Margin2.6%5.1%3.7%0.9%4.5%3.6%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.9%0.3%3.8%1.6%2.1%0.5%

ROIC6.6%11.4%6.7%0.7%7.4%6.7%
ROE4.6%8.2%5.4%1.5%7.8%6.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA-4.5x-3.6x-2.7x-2.8x-0.8x2.0x

Where Food Comes From Inc ($WFCF) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $18Q118Q218Q318Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue4455 17.8%26.7%8.3%11.6%
EBITDA0010 48.4%421.7%-0.6%
Net Income0000 -69.2%183.5%30.0%
Balance Sheet
Cash4321 17.7%-0.9%-41.1%-45.2%
Short Term Debt0000 319.4%321.5%32.6%26.6%
Long Term Debt0000 331.9%332.3%-3.4%-4.3%
Ratios
Gross Margin47.8%45.3%43.6%38.2% 0.2%-0.1%-4.8%2.5%
EBITDA Margin 8.3% 10.6% 12.9% 8.4% 1.7%8.0%-1.2%8.9%
Net Income Margin 1.0% 4.0% 7.4% 4.6% -2.8%2.2%1.2%12.4%

Peers in Application Software


Below we provide Where Food Comes From Inc benchmarking against other companies in Application Software industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
nFusz Inc ($FUSZ)433.3%
CloudCommerce Inc ($CLWD)-38.1%247.6%40.9%301.1%
Seven Stars Cloud Group, Inc. ($SSC)134.7%663.8%310.3%161.7%
Aurora Mobile Limited ($JG)304.9%150.8%
Intelligent Systems Corporation ($INS)14.2%71.0%12.2%119.0%
 
Median (151 companies)-43.3%13.5%14.3%14.8%15.2%
Where Food Comes From Inc ($WFCF)18.6%11.7%33.0%15.2%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Skkynet Cloud Systems Inc ($SKKY)99.7%97.4%98.0%97.6%96.5%
hopTo Inc ($HPTO)91.8%87.8%95.9%98.2%95.4%
Aware, Inc. ($AWRE)75.4%87.2%90.3%94.6%92.3%
Alteryx, Inc. ($AYX)77.5%80.5%81.3%83.4%91.0%
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)86.5%88.7%89.7%90.2%89.9%
 
Median (150 companies)63.4%61.9%64.2%64.6%66.1%
Where Food Comes From Inc ($WFCF)42.9%46.7%46.6%44.2%43.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)34.5%42.2%46.0%45.2%43.3%
ANSYS, Inc. ($ANSS)45.9%45.8%45.1%41.9%41.4%
Paycom Software, Inc. ($PAYC)15.1%19.5%35.1%34.4%35.9%
j2 Global, Inc. ($JCOM)41.6%40.6%41.7%36.5%35.7%
Adobe Inc. ($ADBE)17.5%25.9%31.2%34.2%35.3%
 
Median (152 companies)-10.3%-10.7%-5.3%-4.2%-3.3%
Where Food Comes From Inc ($WFCF)6.5%10.1%7.8%6.1%10.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
TimefireVR Inc ($TFVR)0.0%350.5%4.3%1,021.9%
MGT Capital Investments Inc ($MGTI)0.0%36.5%221.4%129.8%344.5%
Integrated Ventures Inc ($INTV)199.9%
ShotSpotter, Inc. ($SSTI)18.3%28.9%27.1%24.3%
Ellie Mae, Inc. ($ELLI)12.3%20.6%16.7%21.1%19.4%
 
Median (153 companies)2.8%2.7%2.9%2.3%2.4%
Where Food Comes From Inc ($WFCF)0.9%0.3%3.8%1.6%2.1%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
InsPro Technologies Corp ($ITCC)-558.9%127.4%
Manhattan Associates, Inc. ($MANH)64.8%78.7%99.3%102.5%80.9%
Intuit Inc. ($INTU)34.2%23.7%52.1%72.6%66.8%
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)133.4%58.1%
Paycom Software, Inc. ($PAYC)16.7%30.5%75.4%51.1%47.5%
 
Median (179 companies)-14.4%-13.1%-9.8%-11.8%-10.4%
Where Food Comes From Inc ($WFCF)6.6%11.4%6.7%0.7%7.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Upland Software, Inc. ($UPLD)16.4x115.6x16.7x
Nuance Communications, Inc. ($NUAN)7.9x5.7x5.3x7.1x15.2x
Asure Software Inc ($ASUR)3.4x4.5x3.6x9.5x14.5x
SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc. ($SSNC)1.7x7.3x4.6x3.1x8.5x
Avaya Holdings Corp. ($AVYA)7.4x
 
Median (69 companies)-1.2x-0.9x-0.9x-0.8x-0.6x
Where Food Comes From Inc ($WFCF)-4.5x-3.6x-2.7x-2.8x-0.8x