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Rubicon Technology, Inc. EBITDA Margin jumped on 358 pp from -332% to 25.5% in 2018 while Revenue dropped on 23.1%

03/22/2019 • About Rubicon Technology, Inc. ($RBCN) • By InTwits

Rubicon Technology, Inc. reported 2018 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • Rubicon Technology, Inc. is a company in decline: 2018 revenue growth was -23.1%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -37.8%
  • Rubicon Technology, Inc. spends a lot for Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for 2014-2018 is 0.0%. Average EBITDA Margin for the same period was -170.2%
  • Rubicon Technology, Inc. has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 16.3%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 8.7%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $2m in 2018, $0m in 2017, $1m in 2016, $1m in 2015, $7m in 2014
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 1.9%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 23.1%. Annual revenue decline showed slowdown in 18Q4 - revenue dropped on 23.0%. Revenue decline happened at the same time with EBITDA margin expansion. EBITDA Margin surged on 358 pp from -332% to 25.5% in 2018. During 2014-2018 EBITDA Margin bottomed in 2017 at -332%.

Gross Margin surged on 110 pp from -109% to 0.41% in 2018. During 2014-2018 Gross Margin bottomed in 2016 at -132% and was growing since that time. SG&A as a % of Revenue dropped on 37.1 pp from 105% to 67.7% in 2018. During the last 5 years SG&A as a % of Revenue topped in 2017 at 105%.

Net Income margin surged on 379 pp from -354% to 24.8% in 2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In 2018 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 58.8%. The company showed fast CAPEX/Revenue growth of 54.8 pp from 4.0% in 2015 to 58.8% in 2018. Battling declining revenue Rubicon Technology, Inc. made large investments to CAPEX (230% of EBITDA) but that didn't help at least in this year.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (1.9%) and ROE (2.8%). ROIC surged on 44.6 pp from -42.8% to 1.9% in 2018. ROE jumped on 45.4 pp from -42.6% to 2.8% in 2018. During the last 5 years ROIC bottomed in 2016 at -76.3% and was growing since that time. During the last 5 years ROE bottomed in 2016 at -77.4% and was growing since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


The company has no debt. Cash decreased on 2.6%.

Valuation and dividends


Rubicon Technology, Inc.'s trades at EV/EBITDA 4.9x and P/E 16.8x.

Management team


Rubicon Technology, Inc.'s CEO William F Weissman is a founder and has spent 2 years with the company.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 12/31/2018

Rubicon Technology, Inc. ($RBCN) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue45.68523.81819.6305.0443.878-23.1%
Gross Profit-29.687-23.143-26.008-5.5080.016
SG&A11.33110.9529.1395.2852.626-50.3%
EBITDA-29.976-64.545-56.617-16.7510.990
Net Income-43.993-77.830-62.879-17.8510.963
Balance Sheet
Cash24.35321.21617.67211.54411.241-2.6%
Short Term Debt0.0001.5000.0000.0000.000
Long Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Cash flow
Capex6.8420.9410.7040.0002.280
Ratios
Revenue growth10.0%-47.9%-17.6%-74.3%-23.1%
EBITDA growth34.9%115.3%-12.3%-70.4%-105.9%

Gross Margin-65.0%-97.2%-132.5%-109.2%0.4%109.6%
EBITDA Margin-65.6%-271.0%-288.4%-332.1%25.5%357.6%
SG&A, % of revenue24.8%46.0%46.6%104.8%67.7%-37.1%
Net Income Margin-96.3%-326.8%-320.3%-353.9%24.8%378.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue15.0%4.0%3.6%0.0%58.8%

ROIC-22.6%-49.9%-76.3%-42.8%1.9%44.6%
ROE-22.9%-51.8%-77.4%-42.6%2.8%45.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA-11.4x

Rubicon Technology, Inc. ($RBCN) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $18Q118Q218Q318Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue1111 -18.1%-23.9%-27.3%-23.0%
EBITDA0010
Net Income-0010
Balance Sheet
Cash1061011 -45.7%-66.1%-43.7%-2.6%
Short Term Debt0000
Long Term Debt0000
Ratios
Gross Margin10.3%-15.0%9.5%-6.0% 134.9%254.3%23.8%59.2%
EBITDA Margin 2.4% 21.0% 74.2% 6.7% 353.5%527.4%148.1%440.1%
Net Income Margin -3.8% 18.7% 72.6% 13.5% 396.0%551.2%155.1%453.7%

Peers in Semiconductor Equipment


Below we provide Rubicon Technology, Inc. benchmarking against other companies in Semiconductor Equipment industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Atomera Incorporated ($ATOM)123.6%
ACM Research, Inc. ($ACMR)-12.3%33.4%104.5%
SCI Engineered Materials Inc ($SCIA)-13.0%-32.1%24.4%67.0%
Aehr Test Systems ($AEHR)-49.1%44.7%30.3%56.4%
SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. ($SEDG)144.0%50.7%23.9%54.4%
 
Median (37 companies)-0.5%7.8%24.7%15.5%
Rubicon Technology, Inc. ($RBCN)-47.9%-17.6%-74.3%-23.1%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Xperi Corporation ($XPER)99.5%99.8%99.8%98.3%96.7%
KLA-Tencor Corporation ($KLAC)57.9%56.8%61.0%63.0%64.1%
Teradyne, Inc. ($TER)53.3%55.8%54.7%57.2%58.1%
Nova Measuring Instruments Ltd. ($NVMI)52.7%51.9%45.9%59.1%57.8%
Nanometrics Incorporated ($NANO)47.2%47.9%51.6%52.9%56.7%
 
Median (38 companies)34.6%38.9%40.0%44.0%41.2%
Rubicon Technology, Inc. ($RBCN)-65.0%-97.2%-132.5%-109.2%0.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
KLA-Tencor Corporation ($KLAC)29.2%26.4%34.4%38.3%39.6%
DAQO New Energy Corp. ($DQ)32.9%31.6%43.3%49.1%36.1%
Xperi Corporation ($XPER)66.7%67.5%47.6%23.4%34.3%
Lam Research Corporation ($LRCX)21.1%20.3%23.2%27.6%32.0%
Cabot Microelectronics Corporation ($CCMP)21.6%22.6%23.4%27.2%31.5%
 
Median (37 companies)7.0%10.3%12.1%16.2%16.2%
Rubicon Technology, Inc. ($RBCN)-65.6%-271.0%-288.4%-332.1%25.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
DAQO New Energy Corp. ($DQ)42.2%44.7%29.5%19.8%47.4%
AXT Inc ($AXTI)2.4%5.4%3.4%21.6%39.6%
STR Holdings Inc ($STRI)7.9%8.1%1.6%9.0%36.6%
Photronics, Inc. ($PLAB)20.0%19.8%10.4%20.4%17.3%
PDF Solutions, Inc. ($PDFS)4.0%4.9%10.5%10.1%15.3%
 
Median (37 companies)2.2%2.7%2.2%3.2%2.9%
Rubicon Technology, Inc. ($RBCN)15.0%4.0%3.6%0.0%58.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
KLA-Tencor Corporation ($KLAC)17.9%16.5%27.2%34.0%39.9%
Lam Research Corporation ($LRCX)10.7%10.9%11.8%18.7%33.9%
Versum Materials, Inc. ($VSM)26.2%32.4%30.0%32.1%
Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. ($AEIS)8.8%30.2%41.2%45.7%31.3%
SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. ($SEDG)-815.6%33.6%31.2%26.5%28.6%
 
Median (39 companies)3.5%6.0%7.6%13.1%12.1%
Rubicon Technology, Inc. ($RBCN)-22.6%-49.9%-76.3%-42.8%1.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Xperi Corporation ($XPER)-0.3x-0.1x4.2x5.0x2.6x
Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc. ($UCTT)-1.2x1.5x0.4x-0.2x2.4x
Ichor Holdings ($ICHR)3.1x1.7x-0.4x2.0x1.8x
Versum Materials, Inc. ($VSM)-0.2x-0.1x2.7x2.1x1.4x
DAQO New Energy Corp. ($DQ)4.6x4.3x2.3x0.9x1.2x
 
Median (31 companies)-1.2x-1.3x-1.3x-0.7x-1.0x
Rubicon Technology, Inc. ($RBCN)-11.4x