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Kopin Corporation revenue dropped on 12.1% and EBITDA Margin dropped on 55.5 pp from -99.8% to -155%

03/12/2019 • About Kopin Corporation ($KOPN) • By InTwits

Kopin Corporation reported FY2018 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -155.4%
  • Kopin Corporation spends a lot for Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for FY2014-FY2018 is 0.0%. Average EBITDA Margin for the same period was -96.4%
  • Kopin Corporation has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 5.0%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 3.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $1m in FY2018, $3m in FY2017, $0m in FY2016, $1m in FY2015, $1m in FY2014
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -62.4%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Kopin Corporation's Revenue dropped on 12.1%. Revenue decline showed acceleration in FY18Q4 - it was 32.1% YoY. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.4 pp from 1.1% to 2.5% in 2018. During the last 5 years EBITDA Margin topped in FY2015 at -72.1% and was declining since that time.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in FY2018. During the last 5 years Gross Margin bottomed in FY2016 at 21.3% and was growing since that time. SG&A as a % of Revenue jumped on 37.4 pp from 73.8% to 111% in FY2018.

Net Income margin dropped on 56.0 pp from -90.7% to -147% in FY2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


Kopin Corporation's CAPEX/Revenue was 4.8% in FY2018. CAPEX/Revenue increased slightly on 1.3 pp from 3.5% in FY2015 to 4.8% in FY2018. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 5.5%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-62.4%) and ROE (-57.0%). ROIC dropped on 23.9 pp from -38.5% to -62.4% in FY2018. ROE dropped on 23.8 pp from -33.2% to -57.0% in FY2018. ROIC stuck to a declining trend at -9.3 pp per annum in FY2014-FY2018. During the last 5 years ROE topped in FY2015 at -14.4% and was declining since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


The company has no debt. Cash dropped on 42.3%.

Management team


The company's CEO is John C C Fan. John C C Fan is a founder and has 29 years tenure with the company. The company's CFO is Richard A Sneider. Richard A Sneider has 20 years tenure at the company.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 12/29/2018

Kopin Corporation ($KOPN) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue31.80732.05422.64327.84124.465-12.1%
Gross Profit12.16910.5304.8289.7238.634-11.2%
SG&A19.90818.13516.96220.54127.21132.5%
EBITDA-25.473-23.097-19.479-27.796-38.008
Net Income-28.212-14.693-23.434-25.241-35.870
Balance Sheet
Cash14.63619.76815.82224.84814.326-42.3%
Short Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Long Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Cash flow
Capex1.4901.1230.3952.7941.183-57.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth38.9%0.8%-29.4%23.0%-12.1%
EBITDA growth-21.1%-9.3%-15.7%42.7%36.7%

Gross Margin38.3%32.8%21.3%34.9%35.3%0.4%
EBITDA Margin-80.1%-72.1%-86.0%-99.8%-155.4%-55.5%
SG&A, % of revenue62.6%56.6%74.9%73.8%111.2%37.4%
Net Income Margin-88.7%-45.8%-103.5%-90.7%-146.6%-56.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue4.7%3.5%1.7%10.0%4.8%-5.2%

ROIC-23.0%-24.4%-23.6%-38.5%-62.4%-23.9%
ROE-23.1%-14.4%-27.8%-33.2%-57.0%-23.8%

Kopin Corporation ($KOPN) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $FY18Q1FY18Q2FY18Q3FY18Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue6658 29.1%0.3%-16.5%-32.1%
EBITDA-9-8-10-11
Net Income-6-9-10-11
Balance Sheet
Cash24231914 31.4%-25.5%-25.2%-42.3%
Short Term Debt0000
Long Term Debt0000
Ratios
Gross Margin28.1%41.2%28.6%40.4% -0.6%10.6%-3.9%-0.4%
EBITDA Margin -163.4% -141.6% -190.0% -137.1% 24.4%-17.3%-61.8%-99.0%
Net Income Margin -97.9% -155.5% -191.0% -146.0% 81.6%-31.8%-56.7%-130.2%

Peers in Semiconductors


Below we provide Kopin Corporation benchmarking against other companies in Semiconductors industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
NanoFlex Power Corp ($OPVS)72.5%354.8%
MoSys, Inc. ($MOSY)-18.4%37.2%46.8%87.7%
SMART Global Holdings, Inc. ($SGH)-16.9%42.5%69.3%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)-1.0%-23.4%63.9%49.5%
Adesto Technologies Corporation ($IOTS)4.3%1.6%27.6%48.8%
 
Median (67 companies)54.6%9.7%5.2%10.9%5.0%
Kopin Corporation ($KOPN)0.8%-29.4%23.0%-12.1%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
CEVA, Inc. ($CEVA)90.2%90.9%91.6%92.1%89.8%
NVE Corporation ($NVEC)77.9%80.3%76.1%78.5%79.0%
Rambus, Inc. ($RMBS)85.9%84.7%80.1%79.9%76.8%
Universal Display Corporation ($OLED)76.0%64.2%83.9%80.8%75.5%
Intermolecular, Inc. ($IMI)48.3%57.4%66.5%67.5%70.3%
 
Median (65 companies)46.4%47.7%48.0%49.1%51.0%
Kopin Corporation ($KOPN)38.3%32.8%21.3%34.9%35.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
NVE Corporation ($NVEC)58.8%66.0%61.8%65.6%65.1%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)31.7%35.0%25.4%47.9%65.0%
NXP Semiconductors N.V. ($NXPI)25.7%41.5%21.6%46.2%49.9%
Texas Instruments Incorporated ($TXN)39.7%42.0%43.5%46.7%48.6%
Intel Corp ($INTC)42.8%41.0%35.2%41.7%45.7%
 
Median (66 companies)9.9%11.5%9.2%10.7%10.0%
Kopin Corporation ($KOPN)-80.1%-72.1%-86.0%-99.8%-155.4%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited ($AOSL)3.0%6.6%6.5%12.2%42.2%
Renesola Ltd. ($SOL)3.5%0.0%0.0%78.0%41.7%
First Solar, Inc. ($FSLR)7.6%4.0%7.9%17.5%33.0%
Sigma Designs Inc ($SIGM)11.0%6.5%6.2%14.1%29.3%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)19.0%24.8%46.9%23.3%29.2%
 
Median (66 companies)3.6%4.0%3.7%4.7%4.4%
Kopin Corporation ($KOPN)4.7%3.5%1.7%10.0%4.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
SMART Global Holdings, Inc. ($SGH)2.5%21.5%51.7%
Texas Instruments Incorporated ($TXN)25.1%29.8%34.9%43.1%47.5%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)18.8%15.8%0.8%21.5%42.9%
Applied Materials Inc ($AMAT)15.8%15.2%19.0%31.2%36.4%
NVIDIA Corporation ($NVDA)9.2%13.3%13.1%27.3%35.3%
 
Median (73 companies)5.7%3.8%1.7%3.2%5.2%
Kopin Corporation ($KOPN)-23.0%-24.4%-23.6%-38.5%-62.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. ($MTSI)25.4x3.3x3.0x7.2x98.6x
Inphi Corporation ($IPHI)-6.4x4.5x33.7x32.2x
JinkoSolar Holding Company Limited ($JKS)4.2x3.3x4.1x11.0x8.2x
Lattice Semiconductor Corporation ($LSCC)-1.8x6.5x19.0x3.9x
Renesola Ltd. ($SOL)7.0x35.0x123.6x2.3x3.3x
 
Median (46 companies)-0.5x-0.2x0.2x0.4x0.3x