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Cohu, Inc. reports 198% Net Income decline in 2018 and 14.1 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 13.3% to -0.83%

03/12/2019 • About Cohu, Inc. ($COHU) • By InTwits

Cohu, Inc. reported FY2018 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • Cohu, Inc. is a growth stock: FY2018 revenue growth was 28.1%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 14.3% at FY2018 ROIC -4.9%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: -0.8% in FY2018, 13.3% in FY2017, 5.7% in FY2016, 7.1% in FY2015, 6.8% in FY2014
  • Cohu, Inc. has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.4%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 3.6%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $5m in FY2018, $6m in FY2017, $3m in FY2016, $7m in FY2015, $2m in FY2014
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -4.9%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 28.1%. Revenue growth showed acceleration in FY18Q4 - it increased 102.9% YoY. During FY2014-FY2018 Revenue growth bottomed in FY2015 at -19.1% and was accelerating since that time. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 0.63 pp from 3.1% to 3.7% in 2018.

Gross Margin decreased on 5.4 pp from 40.7% to 35.3% in FY2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 4.2 pp from 17.2% to 21.4% in FY2018.

Net Income margin dropped on 16.4 pp from 9.3% to -7.1% in FY2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 1.1% in FY2018. Cohu, Inc.'s CAPEX/Revenue decreased slightly on 1.3 pp from 2.4% in FY2015 to 1.1% in FY2018. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.4%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-4.9%) and ROE (-7.7%). ROIC dropped on 18.9 pp from 14.0% to -4.9% in FY2018. ROE dropped on 20.2 pp from 12.5% to -7.7% in FY2018.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -0.9x and Debt / EBITDA is . Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 2.7x from -2.7x to in FY2018. Debt jumped on 3,836% while cash jumped on 22.5%.

Cohu, Inc. has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (2,423.2%).

Management team


Cohu, Inc.'s CEO Luis A Muller is a founder and has spent 4 years with the company. The company's CFO Jeffrey D Jones has spent 11 years with the company.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 12/29/2018

Cohu, Inc. ($COHU) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue333.3269.7282.1352.7451.828.1%
Gross Profit112.289.094.8143.4159.311.1%
SG&A57.551.254.360.796.859.3%
EBITDA22.619.216.146.9-3.7-108.0%
Net Income8.70.33.032.8-32.2-198.0%
Balance Sheet
Cash70.9115.496.0134.3164.522.5%
Short Term Debt0.00.00.04.46.854.7%
Long Term Debt0.00.00.04.6346.07,463.7%
Cash flow
Capex1.76.63.56.15.0-18.5%
Ratios
Revenue growth43.9%-19.1%4.6%25.0%28.1%
EBITDA growth-195.1%-15.0%-16.4%191.8%-108.0%

Gross Margin33.7%33.0%33.6%40.7%35.3%-5.4%
EBITDA Margin6.8%7.1%5.7%13.3%-0.8%-14.1%
SG&A, % of revenue17.3%19.0%19.3%17.2%21.4%4.2%
Net Income Margin2.6%0.1%1.1%9.3%-7.1%-16.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.5%2.4%1.2%1.7%1.1%-0.6%

ROIC3.5%3.2%2.4%14.0%-4.9%-18.9%
ROE3.5%0.1%1.3%12.5%-7.7%-20.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA-3.1x-6.0x-6.0x-2.7x

Cohu, Inc. ($COHU) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $FY18Q1FY18Q2FY18Q3FY18Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue9510086171 17.3%6.3%-8.0%102.9%
EBITDA14139-40 37.4%-4.3%-28.3%-643.5%
Net Income8125-57 20.1%11.7%-45.1%-923.1%
Balance Sheet
Cash115127171164 37.3%37.3%39.9%22.5%
Short Term Debt5447 4.9%-5.2%-7.4%54.7%
Long Term Debt544346 -22.9%-22.2%-20.9%7,463.7%
Ratios
Gross Margin42.3%42.2%39.9%24.6% 2.5%2.7%0.5%-17.2%
EBITDA Margin 14.8% 13.2% 10.7% -23.7% 2.2%-1.5%-3.0%-32.5%
Net Income Margin 8.5% 11.7% 5.6% -33.3% 0.2%0.6%-3.8%-41.5%

Peers in Semiconductor Equipment


Below you can find Cohu, Inc. benchmarking vs. other companies in Semiconductor Equipment industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Atomera Incorporated ($ATOM)123.6%
ACM Research, Inc. ($ACMR)-12.3%33.4%104.5%
SCI Engineered Materials Inc ($SCIA)-13.0%-32.1%24.4%67.0%
Aehr Test Systems ($AEHR)-49.1%44.7%30.3%56.4%
SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. ($SEDG)144.0%50.7%23.9%54.4%
 
Median (37 companies)-0.5%7.8%24.2%14.0%
Cohu, Inc. ($COHU)-19.1%4.6%25.0%28.1%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Xperi Corporation ($XPER)99.5%99.8%99.8%98.3%96.7%
KLA-Tencor Corporation ($KLAC)57.9%56.8%61.0%63.0%64.1%
Teradyne, Inc. ($TER)53.3%55.8%54.7%57.2%58.1%
Nova Measuring Instruments Ltd. ($NVMI)52.7%51.9%45.9%59.1%57.8%
Nanometrics Incorporated ($NANO)47.2%47.9%51.6%52.9%56.7%
 
Median (38 companies)34.6%38.9%40.0%44.0%41.2%
Cohu, Inc. ($COHU)33.7%33.0%33.6%40.7%35.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
KLA-Tencor Corporation ($KLAC)29.2%26.4%34.4%38.3%39.6%
DAQO New Energy Corp. ($DQ)32.9%31.6%43.3%49.1%36.1%
Xperi Corporation ($XPER)66.7%67.5%47.6%23.4%34.3%
Lam Research Corporation ($LRCX)21.1%20.3%23.2%27.6%32.0%
Cabot Microelectronics Corporation ($CCMP)21.6%22.6%23.4%27.2%31.5%
 
Median (37 companies)7.0%10.3%12.1%16.2%16.6%
Cohu, Inc. ($COHU)6.8%7.1%5.7%13.3%-0.8%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Rubicon Technology, Inc. ($RBCN)15.0%4.0%3.6%0.0%58.8%
DAQO New Energy Corp. ($DQ)42.2%44.7%29.5%19.8%47.4%
AXT Inc ($AXTI)2.4%5.4%3.4%21.6%39.6%
STR Holdings Inc ($STRI)7.9%8.1%1.6%9.0%36.6%
Photronics, Inc. ($PLAB)20.0%19.8%10.4%20.4%17.3%
 
Median (37 companies)2.3%2.9%2.6%3.2%3.0%
Cohu, Inc. ($COHU)0.5%2.4%1.2%1.7%1.1%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
KLA-Tencor Corporation ($KLAC)17.9%16.5%27.2%34.0%39.9%
Lam Research Corporation ($LRCX)10.7%10.9%11.8%18.7%33.9%
Versum Materials, Inc. ($VSM)26.2%32.4%30.0%32.1%
Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. ($AEIS)8.8%30.2%41.2%45.7%31.3%
SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. ($SEDG)-815.6%33.6%31.2%26.5%28.6%
 
Median (39 companies)3.4%6.0%7.6%12.2%12.1%
Cohu, Inc. ($COHU)3.5%3.2%2.4%14.0%-4.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Xperi Corporation ($XPER)-0.3x-0.1x4.2x5.0x2.6x
Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc. ($UCTT)-1.2x1.5x0.4x-0.2x2.4x
Ichor Holdings ($ICHR)3.1x1.7x-0.4x2.0x1.8x
Versum Materials, Inc. ($VSM)-0.2x-0.1x2.7x2.1x1.4x
DAQO New Energy Corp. ($DQ)4.6x4.3x2.3x0.9x1.2x
 
Median (32 companies)-1.2x-1.0x-1.2x-0.7x-1.0x