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Neonode Inc. revenue started to decline in 2018: decreased 7.8% vs. 11.2% growth a year earliner

03/07/2019 • About Neonode Inc. ($NEON) • By InTwits

Neonode Inc. reported 2018 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -33.6%
  • Neonode Inc. spends a lot for Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for 2014-2018 is 0.0%. Average EBITDA Margin for the same period was -75.1%
  • Neonode Inc. has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.6%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 3.6%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $0m in 2018, $1m in 2017, $1m in 2016, $0m in 2015, $0m in 2014
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -35.9%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 16.6%. Revenue decline showed acceleration in 18Q4 - it was 27.8% YoY. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin jumped on 10.6 pp from -44.2% to -33.6% in 2018. EBITDA Margin followed a growing trend in 2014-2018.

Gross Margin surged on 12.1 pp from 77.1% to 89.2% in 2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.6 pp from 71.2% to 72.8% in 2018. During 2014-2018 SG&A as a % of Revenue bottomed in 2016 at 68.1% and was growing since that time.

Net Income margin surged on 10.1 pp from -45.9% to -35.8% in 2018. Net Income margin followed a growing trend in 2014-2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In 2018 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 2.8%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue increased slightly on 0.98 pp from 1.8% in 2015 to 2.8% in 2018. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 6.3%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-35.9%) and ROE (-29.3%). ROIC surged on 35.1 pp from -71.0% to -35.9% in 2018. ROE jumped on 40.2 pp from -69.6% to -29.3% in 2018. ROIC followed a growing trend at 68.4 pp per annum in the last 5 years. ROE stuck to a growing trend at 77.0 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -0.4x and Debt / EBITDA is . Debt dropped on 24.3% while cash surged on 13.1%.

Neonode Inc. has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (1,150.0%).

Management team


Hakan Persson is a Neonode Inc.'s CEO. Hakan Persson is a founder and has spent 1 year with the company.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 12/31/2018

Neonode Inc. ($NEON) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue4.74011.11510.21310.2418.538-16.6%
Gross Profit3.2317.3358.8757.8987.617-3.6%
SG&A10.0498.7526.9507.2966.216-14.8%
EBITDA-13.989-7.509-4.784-4.523-2.869
Net Income-14.234-7.820-5.291-4.705-3.060
Balance Sheet
Cash6.1293.0823.4765.7966.55513.1%
Short Term Debt0.0610.0570.2280.5680.5700.4%
Long Term Debt0.3670.2830.9601.6811.133-32.6%
Cash flow
Capex0.1150.1980.9870.6560.236-64.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth27.5%134.5%-8.1%0.3%-16.6%
EBITDA growth9.1%-46.3%-36.3%-5.5%-36.6%

Gross Margin68.2%66.0%86.9%77.1%89.2%12.1%
EBITDA Margin-295.1%-67.6%-46.8%-44.2%-33.6%10.6%
SG&A, % of revenue212.0%78.7%68.1%71.2%72.8%1.6%
Net Income Margin-300.3%-70.4%-51.8%-45.9%-35.8%10.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue2.4%1.8%9.7%6.4%2.8%-3.6%

ROIC-282.5%-262.2%-137.2%-71.0%-35.9%35.1%
ROE-296.0%-305.8%-166.6%-69.6%-29.3%40.2%

Neonode Inc. ($NEON) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $18Q118Q218Q318Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue2222 1.8%-19.5%-16.6%-27.8%
EBITDA-1-1-1-1
Net Income-1-1-1-1
Balance Sheet
Cash5437 187.6%162.3%-60.9%13.1%
Short Term Debt1111 141.6%-77.1%-0.2%0.4%
Long Term Debt2111 65.4%-32.9%-30.7%-32.6%
Ratios
Gross Margin98.1%95.3%82.4%81.1% 2.6%12.0%-11.1%32.9%
EBITDA Margin -25.3% -48.1% -35.6% -28.8% 5.5%-7.0%13.8%23.4%
Net Income Margin -29.2% -51.4% -42.1% -25.1% 8.3%-8.5%6.3%27.4%

Peers in Electronic Manufacturing Servi


Below you can find Neonode Inc. benchmarking vs. other companies in Electronic Manufacturing Servi industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
RF Industries, Ltd. ($RFIL)41.9%-7.8%-24.0%118.4%
Alpine 4 Technologies Ltd ($ALPP)35,893.8%5.8%71.5%
Kemet Corporation ($KEM)-1.3%-10.7%3.1%58.4%
SMTC Corporation ($SMTX)-3.5%-23.9%-17.1%55.2%
Deswell Industries, Inc. ($DSWL)-7.0%17.1%-0.1%36.3%
 
Median (27 companies)2.6%1.7%3.0%9.8%
Neonode Inc. ($NEON)134.5%-8.1%0.3%-16.6%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Andrea Electronics Corp ($ANDR)83.8%99.1%88.5%96.2%70.4%
Data I/O Corporation ($DAIO)53.9%52.4%55.0%58.9%59.4%
IPG Photonics Corporation ($IPGP)54.1%54.6%54.9%56.6%54.8%
CTS Corporation ($CTS)32.2%33.2%35.4%33.2%35.1%
RF Industries, Ltd. ($RFIL)45.2%34.3%28.0%30.4%34.1%
 
Median (27 companies)14.5%14.8%16.7%13.8%12.1%
Neonode Inc. ($NEON)68.2%66.0%86.9%77.1%89.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
IPG Photonics Corporation ($IPGP)41.5%42.4%41.8%44.7%40.9%
TE Connectivity Ltd. ($TEL)19.7%19.3%20.9%20.4%21.4%
CTS Corporation ($CTS)14.7%9.0%20.7%14.0%17.8%
Methode Electronics, Inc. ($MEI)12.6%15.4%16.5%16.5%16.1%
RF Industries, Ltd. ($RFIL)12.4%6.7%-12.1%3.1%15.9%
 
Median (27 companies)4.8%5.8%5.4%5.0%4.8%
Neonode Inc. ($NEON)-295.1%-67.6%-46.8%-44.2%-33.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Maxwell Technologies, Inc. ($MXWL)3.7%2.5%4.9%6.6%11.3%
IPG Photonics Corporation ($IPGP)11.5%7.8%12.6%9.0%11.0%
eMagin Corporation ($EMAN)5.8%4.7%6.7%6.2%8.8%
TE Connectivity Ltd. ($TEL)5.3%4.9%5.3%5.6%6.7%
CTS Corporation ($CTS)3.2%2.5%5.2%4.3%6.1%
 
Median (27 companies)2.7%2.4%2.8%2.7%2.4%
Neonode Inc. ($NEON)2.4%1.8%9.7%6.4%2.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
RF Industries, Ltd. ($RFIL)8.5%4.6%-18.7%0.9%29.2%
IPG Photonics Corporation ($IPGP)27.0%27.8%25.1%29.9%22.9%
Methode Electronics, Inc. ($MEI)19.7%26.1%22.7%20.8%19.2%
TE Connectivity Ltd. ($TEL)17.3%15.1%15.9%16.2%18.4%
Kemet Corporation ($KEM)-2.8%3.8%6.2%6.9%16.9%
 
Median (29 companies)5.0%5.3%6.7%5.7%6.7%
Neonode Inc. ($NEON)-282.5%-262.2%-137.2%-71.0%-35.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Alpine 4 Technologies Ltd ($ALPP)34.1x65.7x
SigmaTron International, Inc. ($SGMA)2.7x4.1x2.4x3.4x16.0x
SMTC Corporation ($SMTX)3.5x1.8x1.0x11.3x
IEC Electronics Corp. ($IEC)7.1x14.0x2.0x5.6x4.9x
Key Tronic Corporation ($KTCC)0.2x3.4x2.6x2.5x3.9x
 
Median (23 companies)-0.2x-0.6x0.2x0.2x0.2x