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I.D. Systems, Inc. reports 29.6% revenue growth in 2018 and 0.64 pp EBITDA Margin decline from -7.2% to -7.9%

03/06/2019 • About I.D. Systems, Inc. ($IDSY) • By InTwits

I.D. Systems, Inc. reported 2018 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -7.9%
  • I.D. Systems, Inc. motivates its personel by high Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for 2014-2018 was 0.0% while average EBITDA Margin was -14.8% for the sames years
  • I.D. Systems, Inc. has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.8%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 20.0%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $0m in 2018, $0m in 2017, $1m in 2016, $2m in 2015, $0m in 2014
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -17.7%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 29.6%. Revenue growth showed slowdown in 18Q4 - it was 2.9% YoY. During the last 5 years Revenue growth bottomed in 2016 at -11.9% and was accelerating since that time. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 0.72 pp from -0.47% to 0.26% in 2018. EBITDA Margin followed a growing trend at 4.4 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Gross Margin decreased on 2.5 pp from 51.1% to 48.6% in 2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 4.9 pp from 51.4% to 46.5% in 2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue declined at -2.0 pp per annum in 2014-2018.

Net Income margin decreased slightly on 1.5 pp from -9.4% to -11.0% in 2018. Net Income margin stuck to a growing trend at 4.3 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In 2018 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 0.47%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 4.7 pp from 5.2% in 2015 to 0.47% in 2018. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 0.93%. During the last 5 years CAPEX as a % of Revenue topped in 2015 at 5.2% and was declining since that time.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-17.7%) and ROE (-18.0%). ROIC decreased on 2.1 pp from -15.6% to -17.7% in 2018. ROE decreased on 2.2 pp from -15.8% to -18.0% in 2018. ROIC grew at 6.1 pp per annum in 2014-2018.

Leverage (Debt)


The company has no debt. Cash jumped on 99.3%.

Management team


I.D. Systems, Inc.'s CEO is Chris Wolfe. Chris Wolfe is a founder and has 2 years tenure with the company. Ned Mavrommatis is a I.D. Systems, Inc.'s CFO. Ned Mavrommatis has spent 15 years at the company.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 12/31/2018

I.D. Systems, Inc. ($IDSY) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue45.63341.78436.82240.95853.06429.6%
Gross Profit20.00617.02318.29420.92725.79823.3%
SG&A25.09422.75020.12621.05324.67117.2%
EBITDA-9.962-9.565-5.683-2.959-4.175
Net Income-11.575-9.952-6.370-3.870-5.812
Balance Sheet
Cash5.9744.4894.9725.09710.15999.3%
Short Term Debt0.1490.0002.9930.0000.000
Long Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Cash flow
Capex0.4102.1820.5050.3860.251-35.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth14.2%-8.4%-11.9%11.2%29.6%
EBITDA growth63.9%-4.0%-40.6%-47.9%41.1%

Gross Margin43.8%40.7%49.7%51.1%48.6%-2.5%
EBITDA Margin-21.8%-22.9%-15.4%-7.2%-7.9%-0.6%
SG&A, % of revenue55.0%54.4%54.7%51.4%46.5%-4.9%
Net Income Margin-25.4%-23.8%-17.3%-9.4%-11.0%-1.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.9%5.2%1.4%0.9%0.5%-0.5%

ROIC-36.1%-40.4%-30.7%-15.6%-17.7%-2.1%
ROE-35.8%-41.6%-34.8%-15.8%-18.0%-2.2%

I.D. Systems, Inc. ($IDSY) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $18Q118Q218Q318Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue13151311 67.3%38.3%20.7%2.9%
EBITDA-1-1-0-2
Net Income-1-1-1-3
Balance Sheet
Cash531210 -31.8%-59.8%107.9%99.3%
Short Term Debt0000 -100.0%
Long Term Debt0000
Ratios
Gross Margin48.3%43.3%50.8%53.3% -3.6%-8.4%0.0%3.1%
EBITDA Margin -4.4% -4.9% -3.2% -21.2% 17.0%-2.4%-1.4%-14.1%
Net Income Margin -7.4% -7.5% -6.7% -24.4% 16.2%-2.6%-1.4%-16.6%

Peers in Electronic Equipment & Instrum


Below you can find I.D. Systems, Inc. benchmarking vs. other companies in Electronic Equipment & Instrum industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Hickok Inc ($HICKA)-7.2%13.5%258.4%178.7%
Electro Scientific Industries, Inc. ($ESIO)-12.2%15.9%-12.7%128.5%
Microvision, Inc. ($MVIS)163.6%60.7%-34.7%82.8%
Ipsidy Inc ($IDTY)66.2%
Magal Security Systems Ltd. ($MAGS)-17.8%6.4%-5.2%44.0%
 
Median (61 companies)-78.5%4.5%1.2%3.6%9.1%
I.D. Systems, Inc. ($IDSY)-8.4%-11.9%11.2%29.6%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Intellicheck, Inc. ($IDN)58.2%57.1%80.0%85.5%91.3%
Image Sensing Systems, Inc. ($ISNS)74.7%77.1%71.0%79.9%80.9%
National Instruments Corporation ($NATI)74.4%74.1%74.5%74.5%75.4%
Cognex Corporation ($CGNX)77.9%77.2%75.2%75.6%74.4%
Applied DNA Sciences Inc ($APDN)82.2%77.3%69.1%
 
Median (60 companies)41.7%42.3%40.1%41.5%40.9%
I.D. Systems, Inc. ($IDSY)43.8%40.7%49.7%51.1%48.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Cognex Corporation ($CGNX)32.9%30.1%31.9%36.0%30.1%
Coherent, Inc. ($COHR)14.2%16.7%18.9%24.9%26.6%
Hollysys Automation Technologies, Ltd. ($HOLI)21.3%26.9%23.5%16.1%23.9%
Electro Scientific Industries, Inc. ($ESIO)-10.1%-19.1%-2.0%-17.8%23.1%
FLIR Systems, Inc. ($FLIR)20.7%22.8%21.3%20.0%21.7%
 
Median (60 companies)5.5%5.2%3.4%5.1%4.2%
I.D. Systems, Inc. ($IDSY)-21.8%-22.9%-15.4%-7.2%-7.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Wrap Technologies Inc ($WRTC)61.4%
ClearSign Combustion Corporation ($CLIR)80.3%22.1%17.4%17.7%
LightPath Technologies, Inc. ($LPTH)16.8%5.0%6.5%7.8%7.7%
Giga-tronics Inc ($GIGA)1.7%0.1%1.3%0.3%7.0%
Applied DNA Sciences Inc ($APDN)8.4%3.9%16.1%3.1%6.8%
 
Median (60 companies)1.9%1.9%2.1%1.7%2.3%
I.D. Systems, Inc. ($IDSY)0.9%5.2%1.4%0.9%0.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Evans & Sutherland Computer Corp ($ESCC)83.3%39.6%55.3%
Electro Scientific Industries, Inc. ($ESIO)-11.7%-19.7%-7.1%-22.9%31.5%
Coherent, Inc. ($COHR)9.9%13.1%15.6%24.0%21.5%
Zebra Technologies Corporation ($ZBRA)3.3%0.9%2.2%10.2%20.8%
Cognex Corporation ($CGNX)18.3%15.6%17.7%25.6%20.1%
 
Median (72 companies)3.3%2.3%2.2%3.3%1.3%
I.D. Systems, Inc. ($IDSY)-36.1%-40.4%-30.7%-15.6%-17.7%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Itron, Inc. ($ITRI)2.1x1.9x1.0x2.0x12.3x
Track Group Inc ($TRCK)12.2x
Mesa Laboratories, Inc. ($MLAB)0.7x1.1x1.7x2.0x3.5x
Trimble Inc. ($TRMB)1.3x1.7x1.1x1.3x3.4x
MTS Systems Corporation ($MTSC)-0.0x-0.4x5.8x3.9x3.2x
 
Median (36 companies)-0.8x-0.9x-0.8x-0.7x-0.9x