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ACI Worldwide, Inc. reports 1,242% Net Income growth in 2018 and 3.9 pp EBITDA Margin growth from 18.2% to 22.1%

02/28/2019 • About ACI Worldwide, Inc. ($ACIW) • By InTwits

ACI Worldwide, Inc. reported 2018 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • ACI Worldwide, Inc. has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.5%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 3.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $18m in 2018, $26m in 2017, $41m in 2016, $27m in 2015, $18m in 2014
  • In the last 5 years the company invested considerably less than D&A: $130m vs. $487m. In 2018 this situation was still the same: CAPEX was 18 while D&A was 97
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is 8.0%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 2.3x while industry average is -2.2x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


ACI Worldwide, Inc.'s Revenue decreased slightly on 1.4%. Revenue decline showed acceleration in 18Q4 - it was 2.0% YoY. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased on 3.9 pp from 18.2% to 22.1% in 2018.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 1.5 pp from 55.8% to 57.4% in 2018. During 2014-2018 Gross Margin bottomed in 2015 at 54.8% and was growing since that time. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 3.2 pp from 25.5% to 22.3% in 2018. During 2014-2018 SG&A as a % of Revenue topped in 2017 at 25.5%. Stock Based Compensation (SBC) as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.68 pp from 1.3% to 2.0% in 2018.

Net Income margin increased on 6.3 pp from 0.50% to 6.8% in 2018. The efficient tax rate was 24.9% in 2018 while the average for the last five years was 33.1%.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


ACI Worldwide, Inc.'s CAPEX/Revenue was 1.8% in 2018. The company's CAPEX/Revenue decreased slightly on 0.80 pp from 2.6% in 2015 to 1.8% in 2018. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 2.8%. During 2014-2018 CAPEX as a % of Revenue topped in 2016 at 4.1% and was declining since that time.

Accounts receivable as a % of Revenue increased on 8.8 pp from 25.7% to 34.5% in 2018. Accounts payable as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.5 pp from 7.7% to 9.2% in 2018.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (8.0%) and ROE (7.6%). ROIC increased on 2.1 pp from 5.9% to 8.0% in 2018. ROE increased on 6.9 pp from 0.68% to 7.6% in 2018.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 2.3x Net Debt / EBITDA and 3.0x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 1.0x from 3.3x to 2.3x in 2018. Debt decreased on 2.0% while cash surged on 113%.

ACI Worldwide, Inc. has good short term financial stability: Interest coverage ratio (ICR) is 3.0x. ACI Worldwide, Inc. has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (715.1%).

Average interest expence paid by the company was 6.2% in 2018.

Valuation and dividends


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 18.6x and P/E 52.6x.

Management team


The company's CEO is Philip G Heasley "Phil". Philip G Heasley "Phil" is a founder and has 14 years tenure with the company. CEO total compensation was $5,956,791 in 2018 which included $720,000 salary. ACI Worldwide, Inc.'s CFO is Scott W Behrens. Scott W Behrens has 12 years tenure at the company.

2.7% of the company is owned by insiders. Insider ownership didn't change in 2018.

The company has 3,807 employees. The number of employees decreased on 4.3%. Average revenue per employee in 2018 was $265,243 and it increased on 3.0%.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 12/31/2018

ACI Worldwide, Inc. ($ACIW) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue1,0161,0461,0061,0241,010-1.4%
Gross Profit5615745615725791.3%
SG&A207217232261225-13.6%
EBITDA22522532518722319.5%
EBIT1381282218512648.8%
Interest expence40414039426.5%
Tax3128563823-40.5%
Net Income68851305691,242.2%
Stock Based Compensation-11344142048.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash771027670149113.0%
Accounts Receivable22721926826334832.5%
Accounts Payable505543354014.1%
Short Term Debt879090182116.8%
Long Term Debt805834654668651-2.5%
Cash flow
Capex1827412618-29.0%
Acquisitions204179-0
Ratios
Revenue growth17.5%2.9%-3.9%1.8%-1.4%
EBITDA growth16.5%0.2%44.0%-42.4%19.5%

Gross Margin55.2%54.8%55.8%55.8%57.4%1.5%
EBITDA Margin22.1%21.5%32.3%18.2%22.1%3.9%
EBIT Margin13.6%12.2%22.0%8.3%12.5%4.2%
SG&A, % of revenue20.4%20.7%23.0%25.5%22.3%-3.2%
SBC, % of revenue-0.1%1.3%4.3%1.3%2.0%0.7%
Net Income Margin6.6%8.2%12.9%0.5%6.8%6.3%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.7%2.6%4.1%2.5%1.8%-0.7%

ROIC10.3%8.7%14.8%5.9%8.0%2.1%
ROE12.0%13.8%18.4%0.7%7.6%6.9%
Net Debt/EBITDA3.6x3.6x2.1x3.3x2.3x-1.0x
Interest coverage ratio (ICR)3.5x3.1x5.5x2.2x3.0x0.9x
Interest expence / Average debt4.5%4.6%4.8%5.5%6.2%0.7%
People
Insider ownership2.7%2.7%2.7%2.7%2.7%0.0%
Employees4,4724,5764,1113,9793,807-4.3%
Revenue/Employee, th. $2272292452572653.0%

ACI Worldwide, Inc. ($ACIW) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $18Q118Q218Q318Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue209235246320 -9.6%-2.3%8.8%-2.0%
EBITDA82252141 -71.7%40.4%5.5%
Net Income-19-151588 349.6%164.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash745976149 -25.5%-38.1%12.4%113.0%
Short Term Debt20231921 15.1%29.3%5.6%16.8%
Long Term Debt659655656651 -3.0%-3.0%-2.7%-2.5%
Ratios
Gross Margin48.7%50.5%58.3%67.4% -4.4%0.6%5.8%2.9%
EBITDA Margin 4.0% 9.4% 21.1% 44.0% -8.7%14.8%4.8%3.1%
Net Income Margin -9.3% -6.2% 6.2% 27.4% -8.6%6.2%4.7%17.2%

Peers in Application Software


Below we provide ACI Worldwide, Inc. benchmarking against other companies in Application Software industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
nFusz Inc ($FUSZ)433.3%
CloudCommerce Inc ($CLWD)-38.1%247.6%40.9%301.1%
Seven Stars Cloud Group, Inc. ($SSC)134.7%663.8%310.3%161.7%
Aurora Mobile Limited ($JG)304.9%150.8%
Intelligent Systems Corporation ($INS)14.2%71.0%12.2%119.0%
 
Median (151 companies)-43.3%14.0%14.3%15.7%15.2%
ACI Worldwide, Inc. ($ACIW)2.9%-3.9%1.8%-1.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Skkynet Cloud Systems Inc ($SKKY)99.7%97.4%98.0%97.6%96.5%
hopTo Inc ($HPTO)91.8%87.8%95.9%98.2%95.4%
Aware, Inc. ($AWRE)75.4%87.2%90.3%94.6%92.3%
Alteryx, Inc. ($AYX)77.5%80.5%81.3%83.4%91.0%
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)86.5%88.7%89.7%90.2%89.9%
 
Median (150 companies)63.4%61.9%64.2%64.6%66.1%
ACI Worldwide, Inc. ($ACIW)55.2%54.8%55.8%55.8%57.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)34.5%42.2%46.0%45.2%43.3%
ANSYS, Inc. ($ANSS)45.9%45.8%45.1%41.9%41.4%
Paycom Software, Inc. ($PAYC)15.1%19.5%35.1%34.4%35.9%
j2 Global, Inc. ($JCOM)41.6%40.6%41.7%36.5%35.7%
Adobe Inc. ($ADBE)17.5%25.9%31.2%34.2%35.3%
 
Median (152 companies)-10.3%-10.7%-5.3%-4.2%-3.3%
ACI Worldwide, Inc. ($ACIW)22.1%21.5%32.3%18.2%22.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
TimefireVR Inc ($TFVR)0.0%350.5%4.3%1,021.9%
MGT Capital Investments Inc ($MGTI)0.0%36.5%221.4%129.8%344.5%
Integrated Ventures Inc ($INTV)199.9%
ShotSpotter, Inc. ($SSTI)18.3%28.9%27.1%24.3%
Ellie Mae, Inc. ($ELLI)12.3%20.6%16.7%21.1%19.4%
 
Median (153 companies)2.8%2.7%2.9%2.3%2.4%
ACI Worldwide, Inc. ($ACIW)1.7%2.6%4.1%2.5%1.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
InsPro Technologies Corp ($ITCC)-558.9%127.4%
Manhattan Associates, Inc. ($MANH)64.8%78.7%99.3%102.5%80.9%
Intuit Inc. ($INTU)34.2%23.7%52.1%72.6%66.8%
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)133.4%58.1%
Paycom Software, Inc. ($PAYC)16.7%30.5%75.4%51.1%47.5%
 
Median (179 companies)-14.4%-13.1%-9.8%-11.8%-10.4%
ACI Worldwide, Inc. ($ACIW)10.3%8.7%14.8%5.9%8.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Upland Software, Inc. ($UPLD)16.4x115.6x16.7x
Nuance Communications, Inc. ($NUAN)7.9x5.7x5.3x7.1x15.2x
Asure Software Inc ($ASUR)3.4x4.5x3.6x9.5x14.5x
SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc. ($SSNC)1.7x7.3x4.6x3.1x8.5x
Avaya Holdings Corp. ($AVYA)7.4x
 
Median (69 companies)-1.4x-1.0x-0.9x-0.9x-0.7x
ACI Worldwide, Inc. ($ACIW)3.6x3.6x2.1x3.3x2.3x