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Adesto Technologies Corporation revenue jumped on 48.8% while EBITDA Margin dropped on 13.0 pp from -4.0% to -16.9%

02/21/2019 • About Adesto Technologies Corporation ($IOTS) • By InTwits

Adesto Technologies Corporation reported 2018 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • Adesto Technologies Corporation is a growth stock: 2018 revenue growth was 48.8%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 10.9% at 2018 ROIC -28.3%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -16.9%
  • Adesto Technologies Corporation motivates its personel by high Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for 2014-2018 was 0.0% while average EBITDA Margin was -12.5% for the sames years
  • Adesto Technologies Corporation has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.5%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 20.0%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $3m in 2018, $3m in 2017, $2m in 2016, $1m in 2015, $1m in 2014
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -28.3%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 12.6x while industry average is 2.0x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Adesto Technologies Corporation's Revenue jumped on 48.8%. Revenue growth showed acceleration in 18Q4 - it increased 73.8% YoY. Revenue decline was slowing down on average by 15.4 pp per annum in 2014-2018. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 0.72 pp from -0.47% to 0.26% in 2018.

Gross Margin decreased on 5.8 pp from 49.0% to 43.2% in 2018. During 2014-2018 Gross Margin topped in 2017 at 49.0%. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 5.4 pp from 32.5% to 27.1% in 2018. During 2014-2018 SG&A as a % of Revenue topped in 2016 at 40.3% and was declining since that time.

Net Income margin dropped on 15.5 pp from -10.1% to -25.7% in 2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In 2018 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 3.8%. Adesto Technologies Corporation's CAPEX/Revenue increased on 2.6 pp from 1.3% in 2015 to 3.8% in 2018. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 4.9%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-28.3%) and ROE (-44.8%). ROIC dropped on 16.4 pp from -12.0% to -28.3% in 2018. ROE dropped on 21.7 pp from -23.1% to -44.8% in 2018.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 12.6x and Debt / EBITDA is . Net Debt / EBITDA didn't change in 2018. Debt surged on 122% while cash dropped on 71.3%.

Adesto Technologies Corporation has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (6,120.6%).

Financial and operational results


FY ended 12/31/2018

Adesto Technologies Corporation ($IOTS) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue41.46543.25943.96856.11283.49048.8%
Gross Profit15.93318.48421.35027.47536.06131.3%
SG&A9.56712.32317.71918.21222.59224.1%
EBITDA-5.028-3.945-8.081-2.225-14.134
Net Income-8.934-8.383-11.612-5.688-21.440
Balance Sheet
Cash5.97223.08919.71930.0788.630-71.3%
Short Term Debt10.7495.6068.2732.4260.141-94.2%
Long Term Debt0.1227.8149.77510.90829.418169.7%
Cash flow
Capex0.7600.5592.4812.8683.20811.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth-16.5%4.3%1.6%27.6%48.8%
EBITDA growth242.7%-21.5%104.8%-72.5%535.2%

Gross Margin38.4%42.7%48.6%49.0%43.2%-5.8%
EBITDA Margin-12.1%-9.1%-18.4%-4.0%-16.9%-13.0%
SG&A, % of revenue23.1%28.5%40.3%32.5%27.1%-5.4%
Net Income Margin-21.5%-19.4%-26.4%-10.1%-25.7%-15.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.8%1.3%5.6%5.1%3.8%-1.3%

ROIC-31.2%-23.1%-28.5%-12.0%-28.3%-16.4%
ROE-56.9%-23.1%-44.8%-21.7%

Adesto Technologies Corporation ($IOTS) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $18Q118Q218Q318Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue15182228 35.3%35.6%43.9%73.8%
EBITDA-0-3-6-6 -873.5%
Net Income-1-5-8-7
Balance Sheet
Cash308139 68.9%-75.1%-56.5%-71.3%
Short Term Debt3000 -47.1%-100.0%-94.2%
Long Term Debt10292929 -1.3%244.9%119.7%169.7%
Ratios
Gross Margin46.9%42.7%43.7%41.1% -2.2%-7.4%-5.3%-6.8%
EBITDA Margin -1.1% -14.6% -25.8% -20.1% 16.1%-8.0%-25.0%-24.7%
Net Income Margin -7.2% -27.8% -38.3% -24.5% 17.3%-14.8%-31.8%-23.5%

Peers in Semiconductors


Below we provide Adesto Technologies Corporation benchmarking against other companies in Semiconductors industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
NanoFlex Power Corp ($OPVS)72.5%354.8%
MoSys, Inc. ($MOSY)-18.4%37.2%46.8%87.7%
SMART Global Holdings, Inc. ($SGH)-16.9%42.5%69.3%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)-1.0%-23.4%63.9%49.5%
NVIDIA Corporation ($NVDA)13.4%7.0%37.9%40.6%
 
Median (67 companies)54.6%9.7%5.2%10.9%4.7%
Adesto Technologies Corporation ($IOTS)4.3%1.6%27.6%48.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
CEVA, Inc. ($CEVA)90.2%90.9%91.6%92.1%89.8%
NVE Corporation ($NVEC)77.9%80.3%76.1%78.5%79.0%
Rambus, Inc. ($RMBS)85.9%84.7%80.1%79.9%76.8%
Universal Display Corporation ($OLED)76.0%64.2%83.9%80.8%75.5%
Intermolecular, Inc. ($IMI)48.3%57.4%66.5%67.5%70.3%
 
Median (65 companies)46.4%47.7%47.2%48.7%51.0%
Adesto Technologies Corporation ($IOTS)38.4%42.7%48.6%49.0%43.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
NVE Corporation ($NVEC)58.8%66.0%61.8%65.6%65.1%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)31.7%35.0%25.4%47.9%65.0%
NXP Semiconductors N.V. ($NXPI)25.7%41.5%21.6%46.2%49.9%
Texas Instruments Incorporated ($TXN)39.7%42.0%43.5%46.7%48.6%
Intel Corp ($INTC)42.8%41.0%35.2%41.7%45.7%
 
Median (66 companies)9.9%11.5%9.2%10.7%10.0%
Adesto Technologies Corporation ($IOTS)-12.1%-9.1%-18.4%-4.0%-16.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited ($AOSL)3.0%6.6%6.5%12.2%42.2%
Renesola Ltd. ($SOL)3.5%0.0%0.0%78.0%41.7%
First Solar, Inc. ($FSLR)7.6%4.0%7.9%17.5%33.0%
Sigma Designs Inc ($SIGM)11.0%6.5%6.2%14.1%29.3%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)19.0%24.8%46.9%23.3%29.2%
 
Median (66 companies)3.6%4.0%3.6%4.7%4.6%
Adesto Technologies Corporation ($IOTS)1.8%1.3%5.6%5.1%3.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
SMART Global Holdings, Inc. ($SGH)2.5%21.5%51.7%
Texas Instruments Incorporated ($TXN)25.1%29.8%34.9%43.1%47.5%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)18.8%15.8%0.8%21.5%42.9%
Applied Materials Inc ($AMAT)15.8%15.2%19.0%31.2%36.4%
NVIDIA Corporation ($NVDA)9.2%13.3%13.1%27.3%35.3%
 
Median (73 companies)5.7%3.8%1.7%3.2%5.2%
Adesto Technologies Corporation ($IOTS)-31.2%-23.1%-28.5%-12.0%-28.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. ($MTSI)25.4x3.3x3.0x7.2x98.6x
Inphi Corporation ($IPHI)-6.4x4.5x33.7x32.2x
JinkoSolar Holding Company Limited ($JKS)4.2x3.3x4.1x11.0x8.2x
Lattice Semiconductor Corporation ($LSCC)-1.8x6.5x19.0x3.9x
Renesola Ltd. ($SOL)7.0x35.0x123.6x2.3x3.3x
 
Median (46 companies)-0.5x-0.2x0.2x0.4x0.3x