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Impinj, Inc. reports 2.8% CAPEX decline in 2018 and 2.1% Revenue decline

02/20/2019 • About Impinj, Inc. ($PI) • By InTwits

Impinj, Inc. reported 2018 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -24.7%
  • Impinj, Inc. motivates its personel by high Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for 2014-2018 was 0.0% while average EBITDA Margin was -7.1% for the sames years
  • Impinj, Inc. has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.9%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 7.4%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $6m in 2018, $7m in 2017, $4m in 2016, $7m in 2015, $1m in 2014
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -27.2%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 2.1%. Annual revenue decline showed slowdown in 18Q4 - revenue jumped on 28.9%. During 2014-2018 Revenue growth topped in 2016 at 43.1% and was decelerating since that time. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 14.3 pp from -10.4% to -24.7% in 2018. EBITDA Margin declined at -7.0 pp per annum in 2014-2018.

Gross Margin decreased on 4.3 pp from 51.8% to 47.5% in 2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 5.3 pp from 39.7% to 45.0% in 2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue stuck to a growing trend at 4.8 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Net Income margin dropped on 14.9 pp from -13.8% to -28.7% in 2018. Net Income margin stuck to a declining trend at -7.3 pp per annum in 2014-2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 5.2% in 2018. The company's CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 4.3 pp from 9.5% in 2015 to 5.2% in 2018. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.5%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-27.2%) and ROE (-32.5%). ROIC dropped on 14.7 pp from -12.5% to -27.2% in 2018. ROE dropped on 18.2 pp from -14.3% to -32.5% in 2018.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 1.5x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA didn't change in 2018. Debt jumped on 116% while cash decreased on 9.1%.

Impinj, Inc. has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (271.7%).

Management team


Chris Diorio is a the company's CEO. Chris Diorio is a founder and has spent 4 years with the company. The company's CFO Eric Brodersen has spent 1 year with the company.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 12/31/2018

Impinj, Inc. ($PI) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue63.878.5112.3125.3122.6-2.1%
Gross Profit33.740.859.564.958.3-10.3%
SG&A17.421.734.849.755.211.0%
EBITDA1.83.62.4-13.1-30.3
Net Income0.30.9-1.7-17.3-35.2
Balance Sheet
Cash6.910.133.619.317.5-9.1%
Short Term Debt4.86.43.75.06.528.4%
Long Term Debt4.813.211.46.217.9186.5%
Cash flow
Capex1.07.53.56.66.4-2.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth14.9%23.1%43.1%11.6%-2.1%
EBITDA growth-48.1%96.1%-33.4%-648.9%132.1%

Gross Margin52.9%52.0%52.9%51.8%47.5%-4.3%
EBITDA Margin2.9%4.6%2.1%-10.4%-24.7%-14.3%
SG&A, % of revenue27.3%27.6%31.0%39.7%45.0%5.3%
Net Income Margin0.5%1.1%-1.5%-13.8%-28.7%-14.9%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.6%9.5%3.1%5.2%5.2%-0.0%

ROIC6.0%-0.6%-12.5%-27.2%-14.7%
ROE-14.3%-32.5%-18.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.5x2.7x-7.8x

Impinj, Inc. ($PI) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $18Q118Q218Q318Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue25293435 -21.0%-16.3%5.5%28.9%
EBITDA-13-6-6-5 -4,169.8%
Net Income-14-8-7-6
Balance Sheet
Cash28161818 283.2%4.5%0.2%-9.1%
Short Term Debt1256 -82.2%-55.4%-4.8%28.4%
Long Term Debt20192018 102.8%114.5%165.8%186.5%
Ratios
Gross Margin46.9%47.9%48.1%47.1% -5.9%-5.4%-4.0%-1.3%
EBITDA Margin -52.4% -22.7% -16.5% -14.6% -48.8%-23.1%-5.3%16.8%
Net Income Margin -57.6% -27.1% -20.5% -17.3% -50.8%-24.2%-5.7%17.5%

Peers in Semiconductors


Below you can find Impinj, Inc. benchmarking vs. other companies in Semiconductors industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
NanoFlex Power Corp ($OPVS)72.5%354.8%
MoSys, Inc. ($MOSY)-18.4%37.2%46.8%87.7%
SMART Global Holdings, Inc. ($SGH)-16.9%42.5%69.3%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)-1.0%-23.4%63.9%49.5%
Adesto Technologies Corporation ($IOTS)4.3%1.6%27.6%48.8%
 
Median (67 companies)54.6%8.5%4.4%10.9%5.0%
Impinj, Inc. ($PI)23.1%43.1%11.6%-2.1%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
CEVA, Inc. ($CEVA)90.2%90.9%91.6%92.1%89.8%
NVE Corporation ($NVEC)77.9%80.3%76.1%78.5%79.0%
Rambus, Inc. ($RMBS)85.9%84.7%80.1%79.9%76.8%
Universal Display Corporation ($OLED)76.0%64.2%83.9%80.8%75.5%
Intermolecular, Inc. ($IMI)48.3%57.4%66.5%67.5%70.3%
 
Median (65 companies)45.3%47.0%47.2%48.6%51.0%
Impinj, Inc. ($PI)52.9%52.0%52.9%51.8%47.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
NVE Corporation ($NVEC)58.8%66.0%61.8%65.6%65.1%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)31.7%35.0%25.4%47.9%65.0%
NXP Semiconductors N.V. ($NXPI)25.7%41.5%21.6%46.2%49.9%
Texas Instruments Incorporated ($TXN)39.7%42.0%43.5%46.7%48.6%
Intel Corp ($INTC)42.8%41.0%35.2%41.7%45.7%
 
Median (66 companies)9.9%11.5%9.2%10.7%10.0%
Impinj, Inc. ($PI)2.9%4.6%2.1%-10.4%-24.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited ($AOSL)3.0%6.6%6.5%12.2%42.2%
Renesola Ltd. ($SOL)3.5%0.0%0.0%78.0%41.7%
First Solar, Inc. ($FSLR)7.6%4.0%7.9%17.5%33.0%
Sigma Designs Inc ($SIGM)11.0%6.5%6.2%14.1%29.3%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)19.0%24.8%46.9%23.3%29.2%
 
Median (66 companies)3.6%4.0%3.7%4.7%4.4%
Impinj, Inc. ($PI)1.6%9.5%3.1%5.2%5.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
SMART Global Holdings, Inc. ($SGH)2.5%21.5%51.7%
Texas Instruments Incorporated ($TXN)25.1%29.8%34.9%43.1%47.5%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)18.8%15.8%0.8%21.5%42.9%
Applied Materials Inc ($AMAT)15.8%15.2%19.0%31.2%36.4%
NVIDIA Corporation ($NVDA)9.2%13.3%13.1%27.3%35.3%
 
Median (73 companies)5.3%3.8%1.7%3.2%5.2%
Impinj, Inc. ($PI)6.0%-0.6%-12.5%-27.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. ($MTSI)25.4x3.3x3.0x7.2x98.6x
Inphi Corporation ($IPHI)-6.4x4.5x33.7x32.2x
JinkoSolar Holding Company Limited ($JKS)4.2x3.3x4.1x11.0x8.2x
Lattice Semiconductor Corporation ($LSCC)-1.8x6.5x19.0x3.9x
Renesola Ltd. ($SOL)7.0x35.0x123.6x2.3x3.3x
 
Median (46 companies)-0.6x-0.3x0.4x0.4x0.3x