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EPAM Systems, Inc. Net Income jumped on 230% and Revenue surged on 27.1%

02/14/2019 • About EPAM Systems, Inc. ($EPAM) • By InTwits

EPAM Systems, Inc. reported 2018 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • EPAM Systems, Inc. is a fast growth stock: 2018 revenue growth was 27.1%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 27.1% at 2018 ROIC 21.2%
  • EBITDA Margin is relatively stable: 15.3% in 2018 vs. 13.9% in 2017 vs. 14.2% in 2014
  • EPAM Systems, Inc. motivates its personel by high Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for 2014-2018 was 3.5% while average EBITDA Margin was 14.2% for the sames years
  • EPAM Systems, Inc. has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.2%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 3.6%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $38m in 2018, $30m in 2017, $29m in 2016, $18m in 2015, $16m in 2014
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is 21.2%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 27.1%. Revenue growth showed small slowdown in 18Q4 - it was 26.5% YoY. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 5.7 pp from 30.8% to 25.1% in FY2018. During 2014-2018 EBITDA Margin bottomed in 2015 at 13.5% and was growing since that time.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 0.88 pp from 36.5% to 35.6% in 2018. Gross Margin stuck to a declining trend at -0.52 pp per annum in the last 5 years. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 2.1 pp from 22.4% to 20.3% in 2018. During 2014-2018 SG&A as a % of Revenue topped in 2015 at 24.4% and was declining since that time. Stock Based Compensation (SBC) as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2018. During 2014-2018 SBC as a % of Revenue topped in 2015 at 4.1% and was declining since that time.

Net Income margin increased on 8.0 pp from 5.0% to 13.0% in 2018. During 2014-2018 Net Income margin bottomed in 2017 at 5.0%. The efficient tax rate was 3.8% in 2018 while the average for the last five years was 23.8%.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


EPAM Systems, Inc.'s CAPEX/Revenue was 2.0% in 2018. EPAM Systems, Inc.'s CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from 2015 to 2018. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 2.2%.

Accounts receivable as a % of Revenue decreased on 2.2 pp from 18.3% to 16.2% in 2018. Accounts payable as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2018.

EPAM Systems, Inc. has spent $74m on M&A in 2018 which accounts for 4.0% of revenue.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROIC (21.2%) and ROE (21.5%). ROIC increased on 2.3 pp from 18.9% to 21.2% in 2018. ROE surged on 13.2 pp from 8.3% to 21.5% in 2018. During the last 5 years ROIC bottomed in 2016 at 18.2% and was growing since that time. During the last 5 years ROE bottomed in 2017 at 8.3%.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -2.6x and Debt / EBITDA is 0.1x. Debt showed almost no change in 2018 while cash jumped on 32.3%.

The company has no short term refinancing risk: short term debt is zero.

Valuation and dividends


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 27.2x and P/E 35.1x.

Management team


Arkadiy Dobkin is a the company's CEO. Arkadiy Dobkin is a founder and has spent 16 years with the company. CEO total compensation was $3,786,788 in 2018 which included $537,500 salary. EPAM Systems, Inc.'s CFO Jason Peterson has spent 2 years with the company.

3.8% of the company is owned by insiders. Insider ownership didn't change in 2018.

The company has 30,200 employees. The number of employees jumped on 16.3%. Average revenue per employee in 2018 was $61,024 and it increased on 9.2%.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 12/31/2018

EPAM Systems, Inc. ($EPAM) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue7309141,1601,4501,84327.1%
Gross Profit27334742352965624.0%
SG&A16422326532537415.0%
EBITDA10412315720228240.1%
EBIT8610613417324642.1%
Tax17222710210-90.6%
Net Income70849973240230.2%
Stock Based Compensation213744525912.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash22119936258377132.3%
Accounts Receivable12417520026629812.1%
Accounts Payable5336733.5%
Short Term Debt00000
Long Term Debt035252525-0.0%
Cash flow
Capex161829303826.1%
Acquisitions37776774990.6%
Ratios
Revenue growth31.5%25.2%26.9%25.0%27.1%
EBITDA growth13.2%19.0%27.3%28.3%40.1%

Gross Margin37.5%38.0%36.5%36.5%35.6%-0.9%
EBITDA Margin14.2%13.5%13.5%13.9%15.3%1.4%
EBIT Margin11.8%11.6%11.5%11.9%13.3%1.4%
SG&A, % of revenue22.4%24.4%22.8%22.4%20.3%-2.1%
SBC, % of revenue2.9%4.1%3.8%3.6%3.2%-0.4%
Net Income Margin9.5%9.2%8.6%5.0%13.0%8.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue2.2%2.0%2.5%2.1%2.0%-0.0%

ROIC19.7%18.4%18.2%18.9%21.2%2.3%
ROE16.6%15.7%14.2%8.3%21.5%13.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA-2.1x-1.3x-2.1x-2.8x-2.6x0.1x
People
Insider ownership3.8%3.8%3.8%3.8%3.8%0.0%
Employees14,10918,35422,38325,96230,20016.3%
Revenue/Employee, th. $52505256619.2%

EPAM Systems, Inc. ($EPAM) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $18Q118Q218Q318Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue424446468505 30.6%27.7%24.0%26.5%
EBITDA57637488 51.1%32.5%30.9%48.0%
Net Income64506660 172.5%34.5%53.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash536584685771 34.5%31.7%33.7%32.3%
Short Term Debt0000
Long Term Debt25252525 -0.1%-0.1%-0.1%-0.0%
Ratios
Gross Margin34.5%35.1%35.7%36.8% -1.5%-1.8%-0.9%0.5%
EBITDA Margin 13.4% 14.2% 15.8% 17.5% 1.8%0.5%0.8%2.6%
Net Income Margin 15.2% 11.3% 14.0% 11.9% 7.9%0.6%2.7%19.6%

Peers in IT Consulting & Other Services


Below we provide EPAM Systems, Inc. benchmarking against other companies in IT Consulting & Other Services industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Gopher Protocol Inc ($GOPH)-25.0%83.3%5,471.1%461.0%
CLPS Incorporation ($CLPS)8.1%56.0%
Gartner, Inc. ($IT)7.0%13.0%35.5%20.1%
Computer Task Group, Incorporated ($CTG)-6.0%-12.1%-7.3%19.1%
Virtusa Corporation ($VRTU)20.7%25.3%43.0%18.9%
 
Median (35 companies)3.3%7.7%3.8%3.4%
EPAM Systems, Inc. ($EPAM)25.2%26.9%25.0%27.1%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Inpixon ($INPX)29.8%28.9%28.1%68.7%71.4%
Gartner, Inc. ($IT)60.5%61.2%61.3%60.1%63.1%
InterXion Holding N.V. ($INXN)59.2%60.8%61.5%61.1%60.9%
LiveRamp Holdings, Inc. ($RAMP)25.1%38.6%42.5%45.7%56.2%
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation ($BAH)50.4%50.8%52.3%53.6%53.5%
 
Median (37 companies)25.8%30.9%28.1%27.7%28.9%
EPAM Systems, Inc. ($EPAM)37.5%38.0%36.5%36.5%35.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
InterXion Holding N.V. ($INXN)41.3%44.9%43.3%42.2%42.8%
Switch, Inc. ($SWCH)50.7%37.0%28.5%39.8%
Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation ($CTSH)20.4%19.9%19.8%19.7%20.5%
Taoping Inc. ($TAOP)-54.0%-237.5%-117.7%13.2%18.7%
DXC Technology Company ($DXC)8.0%16.3%
 
Median (36 companies)4.8%3.3%6.7%6.3%7.2%
EPAM Systems, Inc. ($EPAM)14.2%13.5%13.5%13.9%15.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
InterXion Holding N.V. ($INXN)62.5%48.1%57.4%50.5%78.3%
Switch, Inc. ($SWCH)71.5%90.2%106.4%67.9%
Taoping Inc. ($TAOP)1.4%29.2%34.0%20.8%8.7%
Teradata Corporation ($TDC)2.0%2.1%2.3%3.6%7.1%
ServiceSource International, Inc. ($SREV)3.4%4.7%10.4%7.2%6.5%
 
Median (35 companies)0.9%0.8%1.1%1.2%1.5%
EPAM Systems, Inc. ($EPAM)2.2%2.0%2.5%2.1%2.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Accenture plc ($ACN)80.5%81.0%81.3%61.7%66.1%
The Hackett Group, Inc. ($HCKT)11.2%19.5%31.7%23.8%24.6%
Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation ($CTSH)24.7%22.0%21.3%21.9%23.8%
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation ($BAH)25.3%26.5%23.1%22.6%22.5%
SCIENCE APPLICATIONS INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION ($SAIC)24.4%27.4%19.6%18.3%18.4%
 
Median (44 companies)6.2%4.7%7.3%4.7%6.9%
EPAM Systems, Inc. ($EPAM)19.7%18.4%18.2%18.9%21.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Infinite Group Inc ($IMCI)169.6x10.5x
InterXion Holding N.V. ($INXN)3.3x2.9x3.4x3.8x4.6x
Gartner, Inc. ($IT)0.1x1.3x0.6x11.7x4.1x
Switch, Inc. ($SWCH)2.2x4.0x3.2x3.3x
Presidio, Inc. ($PSDO)0.0x5.6x3.6x3.1x
 
Median (28 companies)-0.2x-0.2x0.4x0.8x1.0x
EPAM Systems, Inc. ($EPAM)-2.1x-1.3x-2.1x-2.8x-2.6x