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Arista Networks, Inc. EBITDA dropped on 38.7% while Revenue surged on 30.7%

02/14/2019 • About Arista Networks, Inc. ($ANET) • By InTwits

Arista Networks, Inc. reported 2018 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Arista Networks, Inc. is a fast growth stock: 2018 revenue growth was 30.7%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 42.9% at 2018 ROIC 14.5%
  • Arista Networks, Inc. has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.7%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 7.4%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $112m in FY2018, $163m in FY2017, $73m in FY2016, $34m in FY2015, $36m in FY2014
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is 14.5%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Arista Networks, Inc.'s Revenue surged on 30.7%. Revenue growth showed slowdown in 18Q4 - it was 27.3% YoY. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 8.3 pp from 23.1% to 31.4% in 2018.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 0.66 pp from 64.5% to 63.8% in 2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 3.0 pp from 14.7% to 11.7% in 2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue stuck to a declining trend at -2.4 pp per annum in 2014-2018. Stock Based Compensation (SBC) as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2018.

Net Income margin dropped on 10.5 pp from 25.7% to 15.3% in 2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In 2018 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 1.1%. CAPEX/Revenue decreased slightly on 1.3 pp from 2.4% in 2015 to 1.1% in 2018. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 1.3%. CAPEX as a % of Revenue declined at -0.37 pp per annum in 2014-2018.

Accounts receivable as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2018. Inventories as a % of Revenue decreased on 6.3 pp from 18.6% to 12.3% in 2018. Accounts payable as a % of Revenue increased on 3.1 pp from 8.9% to 12.1% in 2018.

Arista Networks, Inc. has spent $97m on M&A in 2018 which accounts for 4.5% of revenue.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROIC (14.5%) and ROE (17.2%). ROIC dropped on 19.5 pp from 33.9% to 14.5% in 2018. ROE dropped on 13.3 pp from 30.6% to 17.2% in 2018.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -2.0x Net Debt / EBITDA and 0.1x Debt / EBITDA. Debt decreased on 4.7% while cash dropped on 24.4%.

Arista Networks, Inc. has good short term financial stability: Interest coverage ratio (ICR) is 101.2x. Arista Networks, Inc. has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (28,112.0%).

Average interest expence charged on company's debt was 7.2% in 2018.

Valuation and dividends


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 65.4x and P/E 61.8x.

Management team


Jayshree V Ullal is a the company's CEO. Jayshree V Ullal is a founder and has spent 10 years with the company. CEO total compensation was $7,550,074 in 2018 which included $300,000 salary. The company's CFO Ita M Brennan has spent 4 years with the company.

At the end of financial year the company had 22.6% shares owned by insiders. Insider ownership didn't change in 2018.

The company has 2,300 employees. The number of employees surged on 27.8%. Average revenue per employee in 2018 was $935,378 and it increased on 2.3%.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 12/31/2018

Arista Networks, Inc. ($ANET) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue5848381,1291,6462,15130.7%
Gross Profit3925447231,0621,37329.3%
SG&A1181852062422534.4%
EBITDA136163263491301-38.7%
EBIT126149243470273-41.9%
Interest expence63333-2.8%
Tax35255852-39-176.3%
Net Income87121184423328-22.5%
Stock Based Compensation10859759120.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash240687568859650-24.4%
Accounts Receivable9714425324733234.1%
Inventory8192236306265-13.6%
Accounts Payable324479529479.6%
Short Term Debt1322220.5%
Long Term Debt4341403835-6.0%
Cash flow
Capex132021152456.0%
Acquisitions97
Ratios
Revenue growth61.7%43.4%34.8%45.8%30.7%
EBITDA growth90.4%20.2%61.5%86.5%-38.7%

Gross Margin67.1%64.9%64.0%64.5%63.8%-0.7%
EBITDA Margin23.2%19.5%23.3%29.8%14.0%-15.8%
EBIT Margin21.5%17.8%21.6%28.6%12.7%-15.9%
SG&A, % of revenue20.1%22.1%18.3%14.7%11.7%-3.0%
SBC, % of revenue1.7%1.0%5.2%4.6%4.2%-0.3%
Net Income Margin14.9%14.5%16.3%25.7%15.3%-10.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue2.2%2.4%1.9%0.9%1.1%0.2%

ROIC30.9%21.5%25.7%33.9%14.5%-19.5%
ROE22.0%17.7%19.4%30.6%17.2%-13.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA-1.4x-3.9x-2.0x-1.7x-2.0x-0.4x
Interest expence / Average debt14.4%7.2%7.4%6.9%7.2%0.3%
People
Insider ownership22.6%22.6%22.6%22.6%22.6%0.0%
Employees1,0001,2001,5001,8002,30027.8%
Revenue/Employee, th. $5846987539159352.3%

Arista Networks, Inc. ($ANET) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $18Q118Q218Q318Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue472520563596 40.8%28.3%28.7%27.3%
EBITDA144-234188203 84.3%-292.4%28.6%40.2%
Net Income145-155169170 74.2%-251.2%26.0%64.0%
Balance Sheet
Cash886711525650 18.7%-13.6%-38.6%-24.4%
Short Term Debt0002 20.5%
Long Term Debt37373635 -5.1%-5.4%-5.7%-6.0%
Ratios
Gross Margin64.1%64.2%64.2%62.9% 0.3%0.1%0.1%-2.7%
EBITDA Margin 30.6% -45.0% 33.4% 34.1% 7.2%-75.1%-0.0%3.1%
Net Income Margin 30.6% -29.9% 29.9% 28.6% 5.9%-55.2%-0.6%6.4%

Peers in Communications Equipment


Below you can find Arista Networks, Inc. benchmarking vs. other companies in Communications Equipment industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Ribbon Communications Inc. ($RBBN)30.6%75.2%
Extreme Networks, Inc. ($EXTR)6.4%-4.4%13.2%64.4%
Optical Cable Corporation ($OCC)-11.3%-12.2%-0.8%37.0%
ParkerVision Inc ($PRKR)37,601.2%-97.5%35.0%
Network-1 Technologies, Inc. ($NTIP)34.6%292.9%-74.7%34.4%
 
Median (66 companies)-0.4%7.3%5.1%2.8%
Arista Networks, Inc. ($ANET)43.4%34.8%45.8%30.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
F5 Networks, Inc. ($FFIV)82.1%82.7%83.1%83.1%83.3%
Radware Ltd. ($RDWR)82.1%82.4%81.8%81.3%82.2%
Radcom Ltd. ($RDCM)63.2%76.8%69.6%71.8%74.0%
Casa Systems, Inc. ($CASA)70.8%69.1%73.4%73.4%
NetScout Systems, Inc. ($NTCT)78.7%79.2%65.6%70.2%72.4%
 
Median (67 companies)41.4%41.3%43.7%41.0%40.5%
Arista Networks, Inc. ($ANET)67.1%64.9%64.0%64.5%63.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Network-1 Technologies, Inc. ($NTIP)35.5%33.7%50.6%37.8%42.8%
InterDigital, Inc. ($IDCC)50.8%58.1%73.6%67.3%41.9%
EchoStar Corporation ($SATS)25.7%39.7%40.3%38.1%37.4%
Ubiquiti Networks, Inc. ($UBNT)34.7%25.5%37.3%34.3%32.8%
Ituran Location and Control Ltd. ($ITRN)32.4%30.5%29.9%29.9%30.4%
 
Median (65 companies)5.3%4.7%5.5%6.0%4.6%
Arista Networks, Inc. ($ANET)23.2%19.5%23.3%29.8%14.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Resonant Inc. ($RESN)132.5%124.8%245.2%
ViaSat, Inc. ($VSAT)22.8%26.5%26.7%33.0%32.1%
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. ($AAOI)31.5%30.1%19.0%17.5%26.9%
EchoStar Corporation ($SATS)19.7%43.8%39.9%30.9%26.5%
Finisar Corporation ($FNSR)11.3%11.9%9.4%9.7%16.8%
 
Median (65 companies)2.3%2.2%2.0%1.9%1.7%
Arista Networks, Inc. ($ANET)2.2%2.4%1.9%0.9%1.1%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
F5 Networks, Inc. ($FFIV)33.9%40.8%43.1%46.9%47.9%
Ubiquiti Networks, Inc. ($UBNT)61.4%31.5%41.5%38.5%39.1%
Motorola Solutions, Inc. ($MSI)-16.1%18.9%26.4%39.5%35.3%
Ituran Location and Control Ltd. ($ITRN)50.9%46.8%50.1%48.5%35.1%
Casa Systems, Inc. ($CASA)43.2%39.7%21.9%
 
Median (70 companies)1.2%2.0%2.2%2.1%0.3%
Arista Networks, Inc. ($ANET)30.9%21.5%25.7%33.9%14.5%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Extreme Networks, Inc. ($EXTR)-2.2x-1.5x7.1x
ViaSat, Inc. ($VSAT)3.4x2.5x3.2x2.5x5.8x
CommScope Holding Company, Inc. ($COMM)2.3x9.6x4.3x4.6x4.4x
Inseego Corp. ($INSG)3.9x
Finisar Corporation ($FNSR)-0.3x0.2x-0.5x1.6x3.8x
 
Median (45 companies)-0.7x-0.6x-0.8x-0.6x0.2x
Arista Networks, Inc. ($ANET)-1.4x-3.9x-2.0x-1.7x-2.0x