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Q2 Holdings, Inc. revenue jumped on 24.3% and EBITDA Margin showed almost no change

02/13/2019 • About Q2 Holdings, Inc. ($QTWO) • By InTwits

Q2 Holdings, Inc. reported 2018 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • Q2 Holdings, Inc. is a fast growth stock: 2018 revenue growth was 24.3%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 33.5% at 2018 ROIC -14.2%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -6.2%
  • Q2 Holdings, Inc. spends a lot for Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for 2014-2018 is 9.7%. Average EBITDA Margin for the same period was -10.8%. In 2018 SBC/Revenue was even higher: 12.3%
  • Q2 Holdings, Inc. has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 6.9%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 13.3%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $13m in 2018, $12m in 2017, $14m in 2016, $7m in 2015, $5m in 2014
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -14.2%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 0.0x while industry average is -2.2x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 24.3%. Revenue growth showed acceleration in 18Q4 - it increased 29.9% YoY. Revenue decline was accelerating on average at -3.8 pp per annum in 2014-2018. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 2.3 pp from 24.7% to 22.4% in FY2018. EBITDA Margin followed a growing trend at 3.6 pp per annum in 2014-2018.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 0.75 pp from 48.7% to 49.5% in 2018. Gross Margin stuck to a growing trend at 1.8 pp per annum in the last 5 years. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 1.8 pp from 40.4% to 38.6% in 2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue followed a declining trend at -3.0 pp per annum in 2014-2018. Stock Based Compensation (SBC) as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.5 pp from 10.8% to 12.3% in 2018. SBC as a % of Revenue followed a growing trend at 1.7 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Net Income margin decreased slightly on 1.2 pp from -13.5% to -14.7% in 2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In 2018 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 5.5%. CAPEX/Revenue decreased slightly on 1.0 pp from 6.5% in 2015 to 5.5% in 2018. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 7.1%. During 2014-2018 CAPEX as a % of Revenue topped in 2016 at 9.6% and was declining since that time.

Accounts receivable as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.4 pp from 6.8% to 8.2% in 2018. Accounts payable as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2018.

Q2 Holdings, Inc. has spent $131m on M&A in 2018 which accounts for 54.2% of revenue.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-14.2%) and ROE (-26.7%). ROIC jumped on 11.8 pp from -26.0% to -14.2% in 2018. ROE decreased slightly on 1.4 pp from -25.3% to -26.7% in 2018.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 0.0x and Debt / EBITDA is . Net Debt / EBITDA didn't change in 2018. Debt jumped while cash jumped on 86.9%.

The company has no short term refinancing risk: short term debt is zero.

Management team


The company's CEO is Matthew P Flake. Matthew P Flake is a founder and has 5 years tenure with the company. CEO total compensation was $5,216,787 in 2018 which included $520,000 salary. The company's CFO Jennifer N Harris has spent 5 years with the company.

Insider ownership is 3.0%. Insider ownership didn't change in 2018.

The company has 1,190 employees. The number of employees surged on 60.4%. Average revenue per employee in 2018 was $202,605 and it dropped on 22.5%.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 12/31/2018

Q2 Holdings, Inc. ($QTWO) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue79.1108.9150.2194.0241.124.3%
Gross Profit33.149.772.894.5119.226.2%
SG&A40.150.068.278.393.118.8%
EBITDA-15.0-18.0-23.5-12.0-15.0
EBIT-19.1-24.8-35.7-26.9-31.9
Tax0.10.20.4-0.3-3.8
Net Income-19.6-25.1-36.4-26.2-35.4
Stock Based Compensation4.67.412.620.929.541.1%
Balance Sheet
Cash68.067.054.958.0108.386.9%
Accounts Receivable5.09.012.213.219.749.0%
Accounts Payable2.03.54.27.69.220.3%
Short Term Debt0.40.20.00.00.0
Long Term Debt0.20.00.00.0182.7
Cash flow
Capex5.07.114.312.313.37.9%
Acquisitions27.50.43.8130.73,324.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth39.1%37.6%38.0%29.1%24.3%
EBITDA growth5.9%20.0%30.7%-49.1%25.8%

Gross Margin41.8%45.7%48.5%48.7%49.5%0.7%
EBITDA Margin-18.9%-16.5%-15.7%-6.2%-6.2%-0.1%
EBIT Margin-24.1%-22.8%-23.8%-13.9%-13.2%0.7%
SG&A, % of revenue50.6%45.9%45.4%40.4%38.6%-1.8%
SBC, % of revenue5.8%6.8%8.4%10.8%12.3%1.5%
Net Income Margin-24.8%-23.0%-24.2%-13.5%-14.7%-1.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue6.4%6.5%9.6%6.3%5.5%-0.8%

ROIC-41.1%-25.1%-32.7%-26.0%-14.2%11.8%
ROE-25.5%-33.3%-25.3%-26.7%-1.4%
People
Insider ownership3.0%3.0%3.0%3.0%3.0%0.0%
Employees5016587427421,19060.4%
Revenue/Employee, th. $158165202261203-22.5%

Q2 Holdings, Inc. ($QTWO) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $18Q118Q218Q318Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue55596167 23.1%23.0%20.8%29.9%
EBITDA-1-3-4-7
Net Income-6-9-9-12
Balance Sheet
Cash255177212108 497.4%412.7%427.6%86.9%
Short Term Debt0000
Long Term Debt175178180183
Ratios
Gross Margin50.8%50.0%50.2%47.3% 1.9%1.1%1.7%-1.4%
EBITDA Margin -2.4% -4.8% -5.9% -10.9% 5.2%3.6%-1.7%-6.2%
Net Income Margin -11.0% -14.7% -14.6% -17.7% 4.8%1.7%-3.1%-7.0%

Peers in Application Software


Below you can find Q2 Holdings, Inc. benchmarking vs. other companies in Application Software industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
nFusz Inc ($FUSZ)433.3%
CloudCommerce Inc ($CLWD)-38.1%247.6%40.9%301.1%
Seven Stars Cloud Group, Inc. ($SSC)134.7%663.8%310.3%161.7%
Aurora Mobile Limited ($JG)304.9%150.8%
Intelligent Systems Corporation ($INS)14.2%71.0%12.2%119.0%
 
Median (151 companies)-43.3%13.5%13.6%14.8%15.2%
Q2 Holdings, Inc. ($QTWO)37.6%38.0%29.1%24.3%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Skkynet Cloud Systems Inc ($SKKY)99.7%97.4%98.0%97.6%96.5%
hopTo Inc ($HPTO)91.8%87.8%95.9%98.2%95.4%
Aware, Inc. ($AWRE)75.4%87.2%90.3%94.6%92.3%
Alteryx, Inc. ($AYX)77.5%80.5%81.3%83.4%91.0%
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)86.5%88.7%89.7%90.2%89.9%
 
Median (150 companies)63.4%61.9%64.2%64.6%66.1%
Q2 Holdings, Inc. ($QTWO)41.8%45.7%48.5%48.7%49.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)34.5%42.2%46.0%45.2%43.3%
ANSYS, Inc. ($ANSS)45.9%45.8%45.1%41.9%41.4%
Paycom Software, Inc. ($PAYC)15.1%19.5%35.1%34.4%35.9%
j2 Global, Inc. ($JCOM)41.6%40.6%41.7%36.5%35.7%
Adobe Inc. ($ADBE)17.5%25.9%31.2%34.2%35.3%
 
Median (152 companies)-10.1%-9.4%-4.7%-3.3%-3.2%
Q2 Holdings, Inc. ($QTWO)-18.9%-16.5%-15.7%-6.2%-6.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
TimefireVR Inc ($TFVR)0.0%350.5%4.3%1,021.9%
MGT Capital Investments Inc ($MGTI)0.0%36.5%221.4%129.8%344.5%
Integrated Ventures Inc ($INTV)199.9%
ShotSpotter, Inc. ($SSTI)18.3%28.9%27.1%24.3%
Ellie Mae, Inc. ($ELLI)12.3%20.6%16.7%21.1%19.4%
 
Median (153 companies)2.8%2.7%2.9%2.3%2.4%
Q2 Holdings, Inc. ($QTWO)6.4%6.5%9.6%6.3%5.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
InsPro Technologies Corp ($ITCC)-558.9%127.4%
Manhattan Associates, Inc. ($MANH)64.8%78.7%99.3%102.5%80.9%
Intuit Inc. ($INTU)34.2%23.7%52.1%72.6%66.8%
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)133.4%58.1%
Paycom Software, Inc. ($PAYC)16.7%30.5%75.4%51.1%47.5%
 
Median (179 companies)-14.2%-11.2%-9.2%-10.2%-9.3%
Q2 Holdings, Inc. ($QTWO)-41.1%-25.1%-32.7%-26.0%-14.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Upland Software, Inc. ($UPLD)16.4x115.6x16.7x
Nuance Communications, Inc. ($NUAN)7.9x5.7x5.3x7.1x15.2x
Asure Software Inc ($ASUR)3.4x4.5x3.6x9.5x14.5x
SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc. ($SSNC)1.7x7.3x4.6x3.1x8.5x
Avaya Holdings Corp. ($AVYA)7.4x
 
Median (70 companies)-1.4x-1.0x-0.9x-0.8x-0.7x