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CYREN Ltd. CAPEX surged on 87.5% and Revenue jumped on 16.6%

02/13/2019 • About CYREN Ltd. ($CYRN) • By InTwits

CYREN Ltd. reported FY2018 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -37.0%
  • CYREN Ltd. motivates its personel by high Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for FY2014-FY2018 was 0.0% while average EBITDA Margin was -18.9% for the sames years
  • CYREN Ltd. has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 5.0%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 3.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $3m in FY2018, $2m in FY2017, $1m in FY2016, $1m in FY2015, $1m in FY2014
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -43.4%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


CYREN Ltd.'s Revenue surged on 16.6%. Revenue growth showed acceleration in FY18Q4 - it increased 26.5% YoY. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.4 pp from 1.1% to 2.5% in 2018. During the last 5 years EBITDA Margin topped in FY2015 at -5.7% and was declining since that time.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 1.9 pp from 61.4% to 59.5% in FY2018. Gross Margin followed a declining trend at -3.9 pp per annum in FY2014-FY2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 5.8 pp from 74.1% to 68.4% in FY2018.

Net Income margin decreased on 3.3 pp from -50.8% to -54.1% in FY2018. During the last 5 years Net Income margin topped in FY2015 at -17.3% and was declining since that time.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2018 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 9.2%. CAPEX/Revenue increased on 4.8 pp from 4.4% in FY2015 to 9.2% in FY2018. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 6.1%. CAPEX as a % of Revenue followed a growing trend at 1.5 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -1.4x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Debt jumped while cash dropped on 26.7%.

The company has no short term refinancing risk: short term debt is zero.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 11/30/-0001

CYREN Ltd. ($CYRN) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue31.92527.76230.98330.79935.90016.6%
Gross Profit23.80219.43920.94118.90021.36013.0%
SG&A19.84915.04417.45922.83724.5457.5%
EBITDA-4.248-1.574-1.985-8.713-13.280
Net Income-7.016-4.799-6.213-15.648-19.414
Balance Sheet
Cash11.06316.37910.62123.98117.571-26.7%
Short Term Debt4.9004.1690.0000.0000.000
Long Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.00010.000
Cash flow
Capex0.7711.2220.9851.7713.32087.5%
Ratios
Revenue growth-1.0%-13.0%11.6%-0.6%16.6%
EBITDA growth70.5%-62.9%26.1%338.9%52.4%

Gross Margin74.6%70.0%67.6%61.4%59.5%-1.9%
EBITDA Margin-13.3%-5.7%-6.4%-28.3%-37.0%-8.7%
SG&A, % of revenue62.2%54.2%56.4%74.1%68.4%-5.8%
Net Income Margin-22.0%-17.3%-20.1%-50.8%-54.1%-3.3%
CAPEX, % of revenue2.4%4.4%3.2%5.8%9.2%3.5%

ROIC-20.1%-11.0%-16.2%-34.9%-43.4%-8.5%
ROE-23.6%-14.0%-18.0%-39.7%

CYREN Ltd. ($CYRN) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $FY18Q1FY18Q2FY18Q3FY18Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue891010 -4.1%18.5%26.5%26.5%
EBITDA-4-3-3-4
Net Income-5-4-4-6
Balance Sheet
Cash18171418 32.5%43.7%36.4%-26.7%
Short Term Debt0000
Long Term Debt00010 -100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Ratios
Gross Margin55.7%60.5%61.6%59.5% -6.2%-0.9%2.5%-3.6%
EBITDA Margin -51.4% -28.6% -31.8% -41.4% -36.6%-7.6%-3.1%8.2%
Net Income Margin -70.0% -47.1% -46.3% -58.6% -38.3%-12.7%1.7%32.4%

Peers in Systems Software


Below we provide CYREN Ltd. benchmarking against other companies in Systems Software industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Advantego Corp ($ADGO)973.8%
Solbright Group Inc ($SBRT)286.4%25.4%414.0%
Duos Technologies Group Inc ($DUOT)61.0%-9.8%-36.4%210.2%
Dell Technologies Inc. ($DVMT)145.7%
Finjan Holdings, Inc. ($FNJN)-6.2%292.3%174.6%63.0%
 
Median (48 companies)20.6%14.7%16.6%20.4%
CYREN Ltd. ($CYRN)-13.0%11.6%-0.6%16.6%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
StrikeForce Technologies Inc ($SFOR)97.0%96.9%98.3%95.4%94.0%
Varonis Systems, Inc. ($VRNS)90.2%90.6%90.5%90.4%89.8%
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. ($CHKP)88.2%88.5%88.5%88.6%89.6%
Tableau Software, Inc. ($DATA)91.0%88.7%88.0%87.1%87.7%
Attunity Ltd. ($ATTU)90.7%84.9%83.9%84.1%87.5%
 
Median (53 companies)77.0%75.4%73.6%74.1%75.0%
CYREN Ltd. ($CYRN)74.6%70.0%67.6%61.4%59.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. ($CHKP)54.3%52.4%49.8%50.7%48.8%
SolarWinds Corporation ($SWI)-8.0%44.0%44.8%
Finjan Holdings, Inc. ($FNJN)-192.1%-295.2%2.2%30.2%42.0%
Oracle Corporation ($ORCL)46.2%43.8%40.8%40.2%40.8%
CA Inc. ($CA)33.9%36.7%37.2%36.1%35.3%
 
Median (47 companies)1.0%-5.9%-9.8%-3.6%-3.9%
CYREN Ltd. ($CYRN)-13.3%-5.7%-6.4%-28.3%-37.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
The Rubicon Project, Inc. ($RUBI)15.6%11.4%12.0%26.0%16.0%
ServiceNow, Inc. ($NOW)8.0%8.7%7.6%7.8%8.6%
Qualys, Inc. ($QLYS)10.4%12.2%11.7%16.4%8.2%
Zscaler, Inc. ($ZS)12.5%7.8%6.5%8.0%
Marizyme Inc ($MRZM)0.0%0.0%0.0%6.9%
 
Median (48 companies)2.9%2.1%2.0%2.2%2.5%
CYREN Ltd. ($CYRN)2.4%4.4%3.2%5.8%9.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Finjan Holdings, Inc. ($FNJN)-42.6%-113.5%3.4%46.6%64.1%
Fortinet, Inc. ($FTNT)9.2%2.1%5.3%15.0%28.0%
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. ($CHKP)22.2%23.7%24.7%26.8%25.5%
MAM Software Group, Inc. ($MAMS)13.3%19.3%21.1%24.2%25.2%
Red Hat, Inc. ($RHT)15.1%14.1%14.2%16.4%22.4%
 
Median (56 companies)0.0%0.0%0.0%-2.7%-0.9%
CYREN Ltd. ($CYRN)-20.1%-11.0%-16.2%-34.9%-43.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
NXT-ID Inc. ($NXTD)9.7x
Symantec Corporation ($SYMC)-3.2x-1.5x-5.0x10.0x4.7x
SolarWinds Corporation ($SWI)6.2x4.1x
Oracle Corporation ($ORCL)0.4x1.2x1.6x2.4x2.4x
ServiceNow, Inc. ($NOW)9.0x0.9x
 
Median (23 companies)-2.4x-1.4x-1.2x-0.6x-0.4x