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CEVA, Inc. Net Income dropped on 96.6% and EBITDA Margin dropped on 18.1 pp from 21.9% to 3.7%

02/13/2019 • About CEVA, Inc. ($CEVA) • By InTwits

CEVA, Inc. reported 2018 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 3.7% in 2018, 21.9% in 2017, 23.4% in 2016, 14.6% in 2015, 5.6% in 2014
  • CEVA, Inc. has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.7%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 3.4%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $3m in 2018, $4m in 2017, $2m in 2016, $2m in 2015, $1m in 2014
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -0.5%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 11.0%. Annual revenue decline showed slowdown in 18Q4 - revenue decreased slightly on 0.93%. During the last 5 years Revenue growth topped in 2016 at 22.1% and was decelerating since that time. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 18.1 pp from 21.9% to 3.7% in 2018. During 2014-2018 EBITDA Margin topped in 2016 at 23.4% and was declining since that time.

Gross Margin decreased on 2.3 pp from 92.1% to 89.8% in 2018. During the last 5 years Gross Margin topped in 2017 at 92.1%. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 2.6 pp from 26.4% to 28.9% in 2018. During the last 5 years SG&A as a % of Revenue bottomed in 2017 at 26.4%.

Net Income margin dropped on 18.7 pp from 19.5% to 0.74% in 2018. During 2014-2018 Net Income margin topped in 2017 at 19.5%.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In 2018 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 4.3%. CAPEX/Revenue increased slightly on 0.59 pp from 3.7% in 2015 to 4.3% in 2018. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.1%. Battling declining revenue CEVA, Inc. made large investments to CAPEX (114% of EBITDA) but that didn't help at least in this year.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-0.5%) and low but positive ROE (0.2%). ROIC decreased on 7.5 pp from 7.0% to -0.51% in 2018. ROE decreased on 7.2 pp from 7.5% to 0.23% in 2018. During 2014-2018 ROIC topped in 2016 at 7.3% and was declining since that time. During the last 5 years ROE topped in 2017 at 7.5%.

Leverage (Debt)


The company has no debt. Cash increased on 2.4%.

Valuation and dividends


CEVA, Inc.'s trades at EV/EBITDA 198.8x and P/E 1,047.4x.

Management team


The company's CEO Gideon Wertheizer is a founder and has spent 14 years with the company. The company's CFO Yaniv Arieli has spent 14 years with the company.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 12/31/2018

CEVA, Inc. ($CEVA) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue50.80859.49972.65387.50777.877-11.0%
Gross Profit45.80854.07566.56780.55469.926-13.2%
SG&A17.86918.35220.10723.06022.515-2.4%
EBITDA2.8638.66817.02119.1232.912-84.8%
Net Income-0.8196.26713.10017.0280.574-96.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash16.16618.90918.40121.73922.2602.4%
Short Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Long Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Cash flow
Capex1.4162.1842.3874.1353.319-19.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth3.9%17.1%22.1%20.4%-11.0%
EBITDA growth-47.3%202.8%96.4%12.3%-84.8%

Gross Margin90.2%90.9%91.6%92.1%89.8%-2.3%
EBITDA Margin5.6%14.6%23.4%21.9%3.7%-18.1%
SG&A, % of revenue35.2%30.8%27.7%26.4%28.9%2.6%
Net Income Margin-1.6%10.5%18.0%19.5%0.7%-18.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue2.8%3.7%3.3%4.7%4.3%-0.5%

ROIC0.8%3.5%7.3%7.0%-0.5%-7.5%
ROE-0.4%3.4%6.6%7.5%0.2%-7.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA-5.6x-2.2x-1.1x-1.1x-7.6x-6.5x

CEVA, Inc. ($CEVA) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $18Q118Q218Q318Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue18172121 -17.5%-15.0%-10.9%-0.9%
EBITDA-2-233 -138.7%-159.9%-54.9%-13.6%
Net Income-2-232 -153.1%-153.5%-56.5%-27.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash1811922 45.6%-37.4%-59.8%2.4%
Short Term Debt0000
Long Term Debt0000
Ratios
Gross Margin88.8%88.6%90.6%90.7% -3.3%-3.5%-2.2%-0.4%
EBITDA Margin -11.2% -10.1% 14.8% 16.2% -35.2%-24.5%-14.4%-2.4%
Net Income Margin -12.4% -11.9% 11.9% 10.8% -31.7%-30.9%-12.5%-3.9%

Peers in Semiconductors


Below we provide CEVA, Inc. benchmarking against other companies in Semiconductors industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
NanoFlex Power Corp ($OPVS)72.5%354.8%
MoSys, Inc. ($MOSY)-18.4%37.2%46.8%87.7%
SMART Global Holdings, Inc. ($SGH)-16.9%42.5%69.3%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)-1.0%-23.4%63.9%49.5%
Adesto Technologies Corporation ($IOTS)4.3%1.6%27.6%48.8%
 
Median (67 companies)54.6%8.5%4.4%10.9%5.0%
CEVA, Inc. ($CEVA)17.1%22.1%20.4%-11.0%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
NVE Corporation ($NVEC)77.9%80.3%76.1%78.5%79.0%
Rambus, Inc. ($RMBS)85.9%84.7%80.1%79.9%76.8%
Universal Display Corporation ($OLED)76.0%64.2%83.9%80.8%75.5%
Intermolecular, Inc. ($IMI)48.3%57.4%66.5%67.5%70.3%
Xilinx, Inc. ($XLNX)68.8%70.2%69.7%69.9%69.9%
 
Median (65 companies)45.3%47.0%47.2%48.6%50.4%
CEVA, Inc. ($CEVA)90.2%90.9%91.6%92.1%89.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
NVE Corporation ($NVEC)58.8%66.0%61.8%65.6%65.1%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)31.7%35.0%25.4%47.9%65.0%
NXP Semiconductors N.V. ($NXPI)25.7%41.5%21.6%46.2%49.9%
Texas Instruments Incorporated ($TXN)39.7%42.0%43.5%46.7%48.6%
Intel Corp ($INTC)42.8%41.0%35.2%41.7%45.7%
 
Median (66 companies)9.9%11.3%9.2%10.7%10.0%
CEVA, Inc. ($CEVA)5.6%14.6%23.4%21.9%3.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited ($AOSL)3.0%6.6%6.5%12.2%42.2%
Renesola Ltd. ($SOL)3.5%0.0%0.0%78.0%41.7%
First Solar, Inc. ($FSLR)7.6%4.0%7.9%17.5%33.0%
Sigma Designs Inc ($SIGM)11.0%6.5%6.2%14.1%29.3%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)19.0%24.8%46.9%23.3%29.2%
 
Median (66 companies)3.6%4.0%3.7%4.7%4.6%
CEVA, Inc. ($CEVA)2.8%3.7%3.3%4.7%4.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
SMART Global Holdings, Inc. ($SGH)2.5%21.5%51.7%
Texas Instruments Incorporated ($TXN)25.1%29.8%34.9%43.1%47.5%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)18.8%15.8%0.8%21.5%42.9%
Applied Materials Inc ($AMAT)15.8%15.2%19.0%31.2%36.4%
NVIDIA Corporation ($NVDA)9.2%13.3%13.1%27.3%35.3%
 
Median (73 companies)5.7%3.8%1.4%3.2%5.2%
CEVA, Inc. ($CEVA)0.8%3.5%7.3%7.0%-0.5%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. ($MTSI)25.4x3.3x3.0x7.2x98.6x
Inphi Corporation ($IPHI)-6.4x4.5x33.7x32.2x
JinkoSolar Holding Company Limited ($JKS)4.2x3.3x4.1x11.0x8.2x
Lattice Semiconductor Corporation ($LSCC)-1.8x6.5x19.0x3.9x
Renesola Ltd. ($SOL)7.0x35.0x123.6x2.3x3.3x
 
Median (45 companies)-0.5x-0.2x0.4x0.4x0.3x
CEVA, Inc. ($CEVA)-5.6x-2.2x-1.1x-1.1x-7.6x