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SPS Commerce, Inc. reports 6,701% Net Income growth in 2018 and 6.0 pp EBITDA Margin growth from 9.9% to 15.9%

02/12/2019 • About SPS Commerce, Inc. ($SPSC) • By InTwits

SPS Commerce, Inc. reported 2018 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • SPS Commerce, Inc. is a fast growth stock: 2018 revenue growth was 12.8%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 18.9% at 2018 ROIC 9.1%
  • SPS Commerce, Inc. spends a lot for Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for 2014-2018 is 4.8%. Average EBITDA Margin for the same period was 11.6%. In 2018 SBC/Revenue was even higher: 5.0%
  • SPS Commerce, Inc. has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.9%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 3.1%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $39m in 2018, $21m in 2017, $21m in 2016, $12m in 2015, $3m in 2014
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is 9.1%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


SPS Commerce, Inc.'s Revenue surged on 12.8%. Revenue growth showed small slowdown in 18Q4 - it was 12.3% YoY. Revenue decline was accelerating on average at -3.0 pp per annum in 2014-2018. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 3.9 pp from 18.2% to 22.1% in 2018.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 0.52 pp from 66.5% to 67.1% in 2018. During the last 5 years Gross Margin bottomed in 2017 at 66.5%. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 3.6 pp from 49.4% to 45.8% in 2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue stuck to a declining trend at -1.5 pp per annum in 2014-2018. Stock Based Compensation (SBC) as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 0.74 pp from 5.8% to 5.0% in 2018.

Net Income margin increased on 9.5 pp from 0.16% to 9.6% in 2018. The efficient tax rate was 15.8% in 2018 while the average for the last five years was 36.9%.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 5.5% in 2018. SPS Commerce, Inc.'s CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from 2015 to 2018. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 4.3%. During the last 5 years CAPEX as a % of Revenue bottomed in 2017 at 3.3%.

Accounts receivable as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2018. Accounts payable as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 0.63 pp from 6.1% to 5.4% in 2018.

SPS Commerce, Inc. has spent $27m on M&A in 2018 which accounts for 11.0% of revenue.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (9.1%) and ROE (7.9%). ROIC increased on 5.2 pp from 3.9% to 9.1% in 2018. ROE increased on 7.7 pp from 0.13% to 7.9% in 2018.

Leverage (Debt)


The company has no debt. Cash increased on 8.7%.

Valuation and dividends


SPS Commerce, Inc.'s trades at EV/EBITDA 43.6x and P/E 77.7x.

Management team


Archie C Black is a the company's CEO. Archie C Black is a founder and has spent 18 years with the company. CEO total compensation was $4,520,963 in 2018 which included $495,000 salary. The company's CFO Kimberly K Nelson has spent 11 years with the company.

Insider ownership is 1.1%. Insider ownership didn't change in 2018.

At the end of financial year the company had 1,231 employees. The number of employees decreased on 7.9%. Average revenue per employee in 2018 was $201,657 and it jumped on 22.4%.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 12/31/2018

SPS Commerce, Inc. ($SPSC) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue127.9158.5193.3220.1248.212.8%
Gross Profit88.0108.5128.9146.5166.513.7%
SG&A67.280.294.7108.7113.64.5%
EBITDA13.016.618.921.839.481.1%
EBIT4.47.07.510.026.7167.8%
Tax1.42.43.110.34.5-56.8%
Net Income2.74.65.70.423.96,701.1%
Stock Based Compensation5.46.48.012.712.5-1.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash130.8121.5115.9123.1133.98.7%
Accounts Receivable15.417.620.724.927.510.4%
Accounts Payable4.02.22.34.54.4-0.5%
Short Term Debt0.00.00.00.00.0
Long Term Debt0.00.00.00.00.0
Cash flow
Capex7.68.88.07.313.889.1%
Acquisitions12.618.00.527.35,354.6%
Ratios
Revenue growth22.6%23.9%21.9%13.9%12.8%
EBITDA growth31.9%28.1%13.6%15.4%81.1%

Gross Margin68.7%68.4%66.7%66.5%67.1%0.5%
EBITDA Margin10.1%10.5%9.8%9.9%15.9%6.0%
EBIT Margin3.4%4.4%3.9%4.5%10.8%6.2%
SG&A, % of revenue52.5%50.6%49.0%49.4%45.8%-3.6%
SBC, % of revenue4.2%4.0%4.2%5.8%5.0%-0.7%
Net Income Margin2.1%2.9%3.0%0.2%9.6%9.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue5.9%5.5%4.1%3.3%5.5%2.2%

ROIC2.3%3.4%3.3%3.9%9.1%5.2%
ROE1.4%2.2%2.4%0.1%7.9%7.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA-10.1x-7.3x-6.1x-5.7x-3.4x2.3x
People
Insider ownership1.1%1.1%1.1%1.1%1.1%0.0%
Employees9431,0461,2171,3361,231-7.9%
Revenue/Employee, th. $13615215916520222.4%

SPS Commerce, Inc. ($SPSC) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $18Q118Q218Q318Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue59616365 13.9%12.9%12.2%12.3%
EBITDA891112 19.5%56.4%79.3%243.0%
Net Income3587 9.0%175.2%270.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash121125145134 -6.3%-4.8%12.2%8.7%
Short Term Debt0000
Long Term Debt0000
Ratios
Gross Margin66.6%66.6%67.5%67.5% -0.0%0.2%0.8%1.0%
EBITDA Margin 12.7% 14.9% 18.0% 17.6% 0.6%4.1%6.7%11.9%
Net Income Margin 5.5% 8.9% 12.8% 11.0% -0.2%5.2%8.9%22.6%

Peers in Application Software


Below we provide SPS Commerce, Inc. benchmarking against other companies in Application Software industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
nFusz Inc ($FUSZ)433.3%
CloudCommerce Inc ($CLWD)-38.1%247.6%40.9%301.1%
Seven Stars Cloud Group, Inc. ($SSC)134.7%663.8%310.3%161.7%
Aurora Mobile Limited ($JG)304.9%150.8%
Intelligent Systems Corporation ($INS)14.2%71.0%12.2%119.0%
 
Median (151 companies)-43.3%13.5%13.6%15.7%15.2%
SPS Commerce, Inc. ($SPSC)23.9%21.9%13.9%12.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Skkynet Cloud Systems Inc ($SKKY)99.7%97.4%98.0%97.6%96.5%
hopTo Inc ($HPTO)91.8%87.8%95.9%98.2%95.4%
Aware, Inc. ($AWRE)75.4%87.2%90.3%94.6%92.3%
Alteryx, Inc. ($AYX)77.5%80.5%81.3%83.4%91.0%
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)86.5%88.7%89.7%90.2%89.9%
 
Median (150 companies)62.8%61.7%63.8%64.4%65.7%
SPS Commerce, Inc. ($SPSC)68.7%68.4%66.7%66.5%67.1%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)34.5%42.2%46.0%45.2%43.3%
ANSYS, Inc. ($ANSS)45.9%45.8%45.1%41.9%41.4%
Paycom Software, Inc. ($PAYC)15.1%19.5%35.1%34.4%35.9%
j2 Global, Inc. ($JCOM)41.6%40.6%41.7%36.5%35.7%
Adobe Inc. ($ADBE)17.5%25.9%31.2%34.2%35.3%
 
Median (152 companies)-10.3%-10.7%-5.3%-4.2%-3.3%
SPS Commerce, Inc. ($SPSC)10.1%10.5%9.8%9.9%15.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
TimefireVR Inc ($TFVR)0.0%350.5%4.3%1,021.9%
MGT Capital Investments Inc ($MGTI)0.0%36.5%221.4%129.8%344.5%
Integrated Ventures Inc ($INTV)199.9%
ShotSpotter, Inc. ($SSTI)18.3%28.9%27.1%24.3%
Ellie Mae, Inc. ($ELLI)12.3%20.6%16.7%21.1%19.4%
 
Median (153 companies)2.8%2.7%2.9%2.3%2.4%
SPS Commerce, Inc. ($SPSC)5.9%5.5%4.1%3.3%5.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
InsPro Technologies Corp ($ITCC)-558.9%127.4%
Manhattan Associates, Inc. ($MANH)64.8%78.7%99.3%102.5%80.9%
Intuit Inc. ($INTU)34.2%23.7%52.1%72.6%66.8%
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)133.4%58.1%
Paycom Software, Inc. ($PAYC)16.7%30.5%75.4%51.1%47.5%
 
Median (179 companies)-14.4%-13.1%-9.8%-11.8%-10.4%
SPS Commerce, Inc. ($SPSC)2.3%3.4%3.3%3.9%9.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Upland Software, Inc. ($UPLD)16.4x115.6x16.7x
Nuance Communications, Inc. ($NUAN)7.9x5.7x5.3x7.1x15.2x
Asure Software Inc ($ASUR)3.4x4.5x3.6x9.5x14.5x
SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc. ($SSNC)1.7x7.3x4.6x3.1x8.5x
Avaya Holdings Corp. ($AVYA)7.4x
 
Median (69 companies)-1.2x-0.9x-0.9x-0.8x-0.6x
SPS Commerce, Inc. ($SPSC)-10.1x-7.3x-6.1x-5.7x-3.4x