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Qualys, Inc. Net Income surged on 41.7% and Revenue surged on 20.8%

02/12/2019 • About Qualys, Inc. ($QLYS) • By InTwits

Qualys, Inc. reported 2018 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Qualys, Inc. is a fast growth stock: 2018 revenue growth was 20.8%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 20.9% at 2018 ROIC 14.3%
  • Qualys, Inc. spends a lot for Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for 2014-2018 is 11.2%. Average EBITDA Margin for the same period was 24.3%
  • Qualys, Inc. has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 11.8%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 3.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $23m in 2018, $38m in 2017, $23m in 2016, $20m in 2015, $14m in 2014
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is 14.3%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue surged on 20.8%. Revenue growth showed slowdown in 18Q4 - it was 17.9% YoY. During 2014-2018 Revenue growth bottomed in 2017 at 16.6%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.1 pp from 22.5% to 23.6% in 2018. EBITDA Margin stuck to a growing trend at 2.6 pp per annum in 2014-2018.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 1.4 pp from 77.7% to 76.3% in 2018. During 2014-2018 Gross Margin topped in 2015 at 79.1% and was declining since that time. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 3.9 pp from 43.0% to 39.1% in 2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue stuck to a declining trend at -2.8 pp per annum in 2014-2018. Stock Based Compensation (SBC) as a % of Revenue decreased on 4.2 pp from 15.0% to 10.8% in 2018.

Net Income margin increased on 3.0 pp from 17.5% to 20.5% in 2018. During 2014-2018 Net Income margin bottomed in 2015 at 9.7% and was growing since that time.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 8.2% in 2018. The company's CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 4.0 pp from 12.2% in 2015 to 8.2% in 2018. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 12.1%.

Accounts receivable as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 0.72 pp from 27.9% to 27.2% in 2018. Accounts payable as a % of Revenue increased on 6.2 pp from 2.2% to 8.4% in 2018.

Qualys, Inc. has spent $14m on M&A in 2018 which accounts for 4.9% of revenue.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROIC (14.3%) and ROE (16.3%). ROIC increased slightly on 2.0 pp from 12.3% to 14.3% in 2018. ROE increased on 2.9 pp from 13.4% to 16.3% in 2018. During 2014-2018 ROE bottomed in 2016 at 8.5% and was growing since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -0.5x and Debt / EBITDA is 0.0x. Debt surged while cash dropped on 52.6%.

Qualys, Inc. has good short term financial stability: Interest coverage ratio (ICR) is 292.8x. Qualys, Inc. has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (2,621.5%).

Average interest expence paid by the company was 11.0% in 2018.

Valuation and dividends


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 40.8x and P/E 57.2x.

Management team


Qualys, Inc.'s CEO is Philippe F Courtot. Philippe F Courtot is a founder and has 18 years tenure with the company. CEO total compensation was $9,096,098 in 2018 which included $375,000 salary.

Insider ownership is 16.1%. Insider ownership didn't change in 2018.

The company has 1,194 employees. The number of employees jumped on 37.4%. Average revenue per employee in 2018 was $233,575 and it dropped on 12.1%.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 12/31/2018

Qualys, Inc. ($QLYS) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue133.6164.3197.9230.8278.920.8%
Gross Profit104.6130.0154.8179.2212.718.7%
SG&A69.074.788.199.2109.110.0%
EBITDA21.139.247.157.979.336.9%
EBIT9.224.830.137.250.435.2%
Interest expence0.00.00.00.25,633.3%
Tax-21.68.711.2-1.1-1.8
Net Income30.215.919.240.457.341.7%
Stock Based Compensation10.517.520.134.730.1-13.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash76.591.786.786.641.0-52.6%
Accounts Receivable33.042.347.064.475.817.7%
Accounts Payable5.72.42.11.15.6388.5%
Short Term Debt0.00.00.00.01.6
Long Term Debt0.00.00.00.00.0
Cash flow
Capex13.920.123.237.822.8-39.8%
Acquisitions12.513.69.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth23.7%23.0%20.5%16.6%20.8%
EBITDA growth77.4%85.2%20.3%22.9%36.9%

Gross Margin78.3%79.1%78.2%77.7%76.3%-1.4%
EBITDA Margin15.8%23.8%23.8%25.1%28.4%3.3%
EBIT Margin6.9%15.1%15.2%16.1%18.1%1.9%
SG&A, % of revenue51.7%45.5%44.5%43.0%39.1%-3.9%
SBC, % of revenue7.9%10.6%10.2%15.0%10.8%-4.2%
Net Income Margin22.6%9.7%9.7%17.5%20.5%3.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue10.4%12.2%11.7%16.4%8.2%-8.2%

ROIC7.2%14.9%13.7%12.3%14.3%2.0%
ROE23.7%9.1%8.5%13.4%16.3%2.9%
Net Debt/EBITDA-3.6x-2.3x-1.8x-1.5x-0.5x1.0x
Interest expence / Average debt11.0%
People
Insider ownership16.1%16.1%16.1%16.1%16.1%0.0%
Employees4315106848691,19437.4%
Revenue/Employee, th. $310322289266234-12.1%

Qualys, Inc. ($QLYS) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $18Q118Q218Q318Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue65687274 22.1%23.2%20.5%17.9%
EBITDA15182521 23.8%29.6%55.7%34.7%
Net Income9102314 -58.3%42.9%177.7%404.0%
Balance Sheet
Cash93879841 -15.0%-33.5%8.2%-52.6%
Short Term Debt0222
Long Term Debt0110
Ratios
Gross Margin75.5%76.2%77.0%76.4% -1.4%-1.9%-1.6%-0.7%
EBITDA Margin 23.8% 26.6% 35.0% 27.8% 0.3%1.3%7.9%3.5%
Net Income Margin 14.1% 15.1% 32.8% 19.4% -27.2%2.1%18.5%14.9%

Peers in Systems Software


Below you can find Qualys, Inc. benchmarking vs. other companies in Systems Software industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Advantego Corp ($ADGO)973.8%
Solbright Group Inc ($SBRT)286.4%25.4%414.0%
Duos Technologies Group Inc ($DUOT)61.0%-9.8%-36.4%210.2%
Dell Technologies Inc. ($DVMT)145.7%
Finjan Holdings, Inc. ($FNJN)-6.2%292.3%174.6%63.0%
 
Median (48 companies)18.2%14.6%14.0%19.0%
Qualys, Inc. ($QLYS)23.0%20.5%16.6%20.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
StrikeForce Technologies Inc ($SFOR)97.0%96.9%98.3%95.4%94.0%
Varonis Systems, Inc. ($VRNS)90.2%90.6%90.5%90.4%89.8%
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. ($CHKP)88.2%88.5%88.5%88.6%89.6%
Tableau Software, Inc. ($DATA)91.0%88.7%88.0%87.1%87.7%
Attunity Ltd. ($ATTU)90.7%84.9%83.9%84.1%87.5%
 
Median (53 companies)76.1%74.5%73.1%73.9%73.5%
Qualys, Inc. ($QLYS)78.3%79.1%78.2%77.7%76.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. ($CHKP)54.3%52.4%49.8%50.7%48.8%
SolarWinds Corporation ($SWI)-8.0%44.0%44.8%
Finjan Holdings, Inc. ($FNJN)-192.1%-295.2%2.2%30.2%42.0%
Oracle Corporation ($ORCL)46.2%43.8%40.8%40.2%40.8%
CA Inc. ($CA)33.9%36.7%37.2%36.1%35.3%
 
Median (47 companies)-2.4%-6.6%-9.8%-5.4%-4.7%
Qualys, Inc. ($QLYS)15.8%23.8%23.8%25.1%28.4%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
The Rubicon Project, Inc. ($RUBI)15.6%11.4%12.0%26.0%16.0%
CYREN Ltd. ($CYRN)2.4%4.4%3.2%5.8%9.2%
ServiceNow, Inc. ($NOW)8.0%8.7%7.6%7.8%8.6%
Zscaler, Inc. ($ZS)12.5%7.8%6.5%8.0%
Marizyme Inc ($MRZM)0.0%0.0%0.0%6.9%
 
Median (48 companies)2.7%2.1%2.0%2.2%2.5%
Qualys, Inc. ($QLYS)10.4%12.2%11.7%16.4%8.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Finjan Holdings, Inc. ($FNJN)-42.6%-113.5%3.4%46.6%64.1%
Fortinet, Inc. ($FTNT)9.2%2.1%5.3%15.0%28.0%
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. ($CHKP)22.2%23.7%24.7%26.8%25.5%
MAM Software Group, Inc. ($MAMS)13.3%19.3%21.1%24.2%25.2%
Red Hat, Inc. ($RHT)15.1%14.1%14.2%16.4%22.4%
 
Median (56 companies)0.0%0.0%-4.3%-4.7%-1.9%
Qualys, Inc. ($QLYS)7.2%14.9%13.7%12.3%14.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
NXT-ID Inc. ($NXTD)9.7x
Symantec Corporation ($SYMC)-3.2x-1.5x-5.0x10.0x4.7x
SolarWinds Corporation ($SWI)6.2x4.1x
Oracle Corporation ($ORCL)0.4x1.2x1.6x2.4x2.4x
ServiceNow, Inc. ($NOW)9.0x0.9x
 
Median (22 companies)-2.1x-1.4x-1.0x-0.3x-0.4x
Qualys, Inc. ($QLYS)-3.6x-2.3x-1.8x-1.5x-0.5x