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Aware, Inc. EBITDA dropped on 64.6% and Revenue decreased slightly on 0.93%

02/12/2019 • About Aware, Inc. ($AWRE) • By InTwits

Aware, Inc. reported 2018 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 5.1% in 2018, 14.3% in 2017, 30.3% in 2016, 23.2% in 2015, 32.2% in 2014
  • Aware, Inc. has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 0.7%.
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 0.6%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Aware, Inc.'s Revenue decreased slightly on 0.93%. Annual revenue decline showed slowdown in 18Q4 - revenue surged on 23.5%. Revenue decline was worsened by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 9.2 pp from 14.3% to 5.1% in 2018. EBITDA Margin declined at -6.3 pp per annum in 2014-2018.

Gross Margin decreased on 2.3 pp from 94.6% to 92.3% in 2018. During the last 5 years Gross Margin topped in 2017 at 94.6%. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.82 pp from 45.5% to 46.3% in 2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue followed a growing trend at 3.8 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Net Income margin showed almost no change in 2018. During the last 5 years Net Income margin topped in 2015 at 23.5% and was declining since that time.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 1.3% in 2018. CAPEX/Revenue increased slightly on 0.63 pp from 0.65% in 2015 to 1.3% in 2018. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 0.73%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (0.6%) and ROE (2.0%). ROIC decreased on 2.5 pp from 3.1% to 0.63% in 2018. ROE showed almost no change in 2018. During the last 5 years ROE topped in 2015 at 8.5% and was declining since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


The company has no debt. Cash showed almost no change in 2018.

Valuation and dividends


Aware, Inc.'s trades at EV/EBITDA 31.9x and P/E 63.2x.

Management team


Aware, Inc.'s CEO is Kevin T Russell. Kevin T Russell is a founder and has 8 years tenure with the company. Aware, Inc.'s CFO David J Martin "Dave" has spent 2 years with the company.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 12/31/2018

Aware, Inc. ($AWRE) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue23.72019.62121.56616.28216.131-0.9%
Gross Profit17.87617.11419.46515.40714.891-3.3%
SG&A7.4097.4427.4287.4107.4740.9%
EBITDA7.6304.5556.5302.3280.824-64.6%
Net Income4.5834.6144.1031.2821.233-3.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash43.98551.23251.91351.60851.6120.0%
Short Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Long Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Cash flow
Capex0.1350.1270.0870.0820.206151.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth22.5%-17.3%9.9%-24.5%-0.9%
EBITDA growth32.1%-40.3%43.4%-64.3%-64.6%

Gross Margin75.4%87.2%90.3%94.6%92.3%-2.3%
EBITDA Margin32.2%23.2%30.3%14.3%5.1%-9.2%
SG&A, % of revenue31.2%37.9%34.4%45.5%46.3%0.8%
Net Income Margin19.3%23.5%19.0%7.9%7.6%-0.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.6%0.6%0.4%0.5%1.3%0.8%

ROIC10.3%7.2%10.4%3.1%0.6%-2.5%
ROE6.7%8.5%7.2%2.2%2.0%-0.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA-5.8x-11.2x-7.9x-22.2x-62.6x-40.5x

Aware, Inc. ($AWRE) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $18Q118Q218Q318Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue3454 -30.0%47.9%-5.4%23.5%
EBITDA-1-010 -269.3%-242.7%-22.9%
Net Income-0-011 -264.5%-264.9%11.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash51494952 3.4%-0.6%-0.3%0.0%
Short Term Debt0000
Long Term Debt0000
Ratios
Gross Margin98.3%90.2%93.7%88.2% 9.4%-5.7%-2.7%-8.7%
EBITDA Margin -20.6% -7.3% 23.1% 11.1% -29.2%-14.8%-5.3%21.7%
Net Income Margin -17.0% -5.0% 23.6% 15.7% -24.2%-9.5%3.6%33.4%

Peers in Application Software


Below you can find Aware, Inc. benchmarking vs. other companies in Application Software industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
nFusz Inc ($FUSZ)433.3%
CloudCommerce Inc ($CLWD)-38.1%247.6%40.9%301.1%
Seven Stars Cloud Group, Inc. ($SSC)134.7%663.8%310.3%161.7%
Aurora Mobile Limited ($JG)304.9%150.8%
Intelligent Systems Corporation ($INS)14.2%71.0%12.2%119.0%
 
Median (151 companies)-43.3%14.0%14.3%15.7%15.2%
Aware, Inc. ($AWRE)-17.3%9.9%-24.5%-0.9%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Skkynet Cloud Systems Inc ($SKKY)99.7%97.4%98.0%97.6%96.5%
hopTo Inc ($HPTO)91.8%87.8%95.9%98.2%95.4%
Alteryx, Inc. ($AYX)77.5%80.5%81.3%83.4%91.0%
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)86.5%88.7%89.7%90.2%89.9%
Datawatch Corporation ($DWCH)79.0%79.7%83.6%88.3%88.2%
 
Median (150 companies)62.8%61.7%63.8%64.4%65.7%
Aware, Inc. ($AWRE)75.4%87.2%90.3%94.6%92.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)34.5%42.2%46.0%45.2%43.3%
ANSYS, Inc. ($ANSS)45.9%45.8%45.1%41.9%41.4%
Paycom Software, Inc. ($PAYC)15.1%19.5%35.1%34.4%35.9%
j2 Global, Inc. ($JCOM)41.6%40.6%41.7%36.5%35.7%
Adobe Inc. ($ADBE)17.5%25.9%31.2%34.2%35.3%
 
Median (152 companies)-10.3%-10.7%-5.3%-4.2%-3.3%
Aware, Inc. ($AWRE)32.2%23.2%30.3%14.3%5.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
TimefireVR Inc ($TFVR)0.0%350.5%4.3%1,021.9%
MGT Capital Investments Inc ($MGTI)0.0%36.5%221.4%129.8%344.5%
Integrated Ventures Inc ($INTV)199.9%
ShotSpotter, Inc. ($SSTI)18.3%28.9%27.1%24.3%
Ellie Mae, Inc. ($ELLI)12.3%20.6%16.7%21.1%19.4%
 
Median (153 companies)2.8%2.7%3.0%2.3%2.4%
Aware, Inc. ($AWRE)0.6%0.6%0.4%0.5%1.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
InsPro Technologies Corp ($ITCC)-558.9%127.4%
Manhattan Associates, Inc. ($MANH)64.8%78.7%99.3%102.5%80.9%
Intuit Inc. ($INTU)34.2%23.7%52.1%72.6%66.8%
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)133.4%58.1%
Paycom Software, Inc. ($PAYC)16.7%30.5%75.4%51.1%47.5%
 
Median (179 companies)-14.4%-13.1%-9.8%-11.8%-10.4%
Aware, Inc. ($AWRE)10.3%7.2%10.4%3.1%0.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Upland Software, Inc. ($UPLD)16.4x115.6x16.7x
Nuance Communications, Inc. ($NUAN)7.9x5.7x5.3x7.1x15.2x
Asure Software Inc ($ASUR)3.4x4.5x3.6x9.5x14.5x
SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc. ($SSNC)1.7x7.3x4.6x3.1x8.5x
Avaya Holdings Corp. ($AVYA)7.4x
 
Median (69 companies)-1.2x-0.9x-0.9x-0.8x-0.6x
Aware, Inc. ($AWRE)-5.8x-11.2x-7.9x-22.2x-62.6x