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Intrusion Inc Net Income jumped on 7,723% and Revenue surged on 49.8%

02/11/2019 • About Intrusion Inc ($INTZ) • By InTwits

Intrusion Inc reported 2018 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Intrusion Inc has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.1%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 8.7%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $0m in 2018, $0m in 2017, $0m in 2016, $0m in 2015, $0m in 2014
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 0.1x while industry average is -1.5x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 49.8%. Revenue growth showed slowdown in 18Q4 - it was 43.2% YoY. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin surged on 11.4 pp from -2.3% to 9.1% in 2018. During 2014-2018 EBITDA Margin bottomed in 2016 at -18.2% and was growing since that time.

Gross Margin increased on 3.7 pp from 58.8% to 62.6% in 2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue dropped on 11.8 pp from 38.3% to 26.4% in 2018. During the last 5 years SG&A as a % of Revenue topped in 2016 at 46.3% and was declining since that time.

Net Income margin jumped on 22.7 pp from -0.44% to 22.3% in 2018. During 2014-2018 Net Income margin bottomed in 2016 at -25.4% and was growing since that time.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


Intrusion Inc's CAPEX/Revenue was 2.0% in 2018. CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from 2015 to 2018. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 1.0%.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 0.1x and Debt / EBITDA is 0.7x. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped0.1x from to 0.1x in 2018. Debt surged on 3,075% while cash surged on 638%.

Intrusion Inc has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (2,848.3%).

Valuation and dividends


Intrusion Inc's trades at EV/EBITDA 21.7x and P/E 24.7x.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 12/31/2018

Intrusion Inc ($INTZ) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue7.2196.8246.1026.86210.27649.8%
Gross Profit4.6874.2943.9194.0386.42959.2%
SG&A2.9673.1212.8272.6252.7163.5%
EBITDA0.015-0.837-1.113-0.5432.609
Net Income-0.274-1.249-1.552-0.0302.287
Balance Sheet
Cash1.0060.1020.0640.2241.652637.5%
Short Term Debt0.1450.1970.1390.0440.05831.8%
Long Term Debt0.1300.1390.0610.0171.87910,952.9%
Cash flow
Capex0.0550.1210.0470.0200.202910.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth-5.8%-5.5%-10.6%12.5%49.8%
EBITDA growth-98.3%-5,680.0%33.0%-51.2%-580.5%

Gross Margin64.9%62.9%64.2%58.8%62.6%3.7%
EBITDA Margin0.2%-12.3%-18.2%-7.9%25.4%33.3%
SG&A, % of revenue41.1%45.7%46.3%38.3%26.4%-11.8%
Net Income Margin-3.8%-18.3%-25.4%-0.4%22.3%22.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.8%1.8%0.8%0.3%2.0%1.7%

Net Debt/EBITDA-48.7x0.1x

Intrusion Inc ($INTZ) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $18Q118Q218Q318Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue2233 45.2%53.5%58.8%43.2%
EBITDA0111 221.7%
Net Income0011 8.6%345.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash0012 -31.1%-5.3%224.3%637.5%
Short Term Debt0000 -61.3%-40.4%-25.7%31.8%
Long Term Debt0022 -15.6%87.5%8,363.6%10,952.9%
Ratios
Gross Margin62.4%60.9%63.7%63.0% -0.3%1.9%7.6%4.9%
EBITDA Margin 19.1% 23.4% 25.9% 31.3% 34.9%44.5%41.5%17.4%
Net Income Margin 15.3% 20.0% 23.2% 28.6% 37.8%48.4%-10.7%19.4%

Peers in Systems Software


Below you can find Intrusion Inc benchmarking vs. other companies in Systems Software industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Advantego Corp ($ADGO)973.8%
Solbright Group Inc ($SBRT)286.4%25.4%414.0%
Duos Technologies Group Inc ($DUOT)61.0%-9.8%-36.4%210.2%
Dell Technologies Inc. ($DVMT)145.7%
Finjan Holdings, Inc. ($FNJN)-6.2%292.3%174.6%63.0%
 
Median (48 companies)20.6%14.7%16.6%19.0%
Intrusion Inc ($INTZ)-5.5%-10.6%12.5%49.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
StrikeForce Technologies Inc ($SFOR)97.0%96.9%98.3%95.4%94.0%
Varonis Systems, Inc. ($VRNS)90.2%90.6%90.5%90.4%89.8%
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. ($CHKP)88.2%88.5%88.5%88.6%89.6%
Tableau Software, Inc. ($DATA)91.0%88.7%88.0%87.1%87.7%
Attunity Ltd. ($ATTU)90.7%84.9%83.9%84.1%87.5%
 
Median (53 companies)77.0%75.4%73.6%74.1%75.0%
Intrusion Inc ($INTZ)64.9%62.9%64.2%58.8%62.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. ($CHKP)54.3%52.4%49.8%50.7%48.8%
SolarWinds Corporation ($SWI)-8.0%44.0%44.8%
Finjan Holdings, Inc. ($FNJN)-192.1%-295.2%2.2%30.2%42.0%
Oracle Corporation ($ORCL)46.2%43.8%40.8%40.2%40.8%
CA Inc. ($CA)33.9%36.7%37.2%36.1%35.3%
 
Median (47 companies)-1.6%-5.0%-8.0%-3.6%-4.7%
Intrusion Inc ($INTZ)0.2%-12.3%-18.2%-7.9%25.4%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
The Rubicon Project, Inc. ($RUBI)15.6%11.4%12.0%26.0%16.0%
CYREN Ltd. ($CYRN)2.4%4.4%3.2%5.8%9.2%
ServiceNow, Inc. ($NOW)8.0%8.7%7.6%7.8%8.6%
Qualys, Inc. ($QLYS)10.4%12.2%11.7%16.4%8.2%
Zscaler, Inc. ($ZS)12.5%7.8%6.5%8.0%
 
Median (48 companies)2.9%2.2%2.1%2.4%2.6%
Intrusion Inc ($INTZ)0.8%1.8%0.8%0.3%2.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Finjan Holdings, Inc. ($FNJN)-42.6%-113.5%3.4%46.6%64.1%
Fortinet, Inc. ($FTNT)9.2%2.1%5.3%15.0%28.0%
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. ($CHKP)22.2%23.7%24.7%26.8%25.5%
MAM Software Group, Inc. ($MAMS)13.3%19.3%21.1%24.2%25.2%
Red Hat, Inc. ($RHT)15.1%14.1%14.2%16.4%22.4%
 
Median (56 companies)0.0%0.0%-2.1%-4.4%-1.6%
Intrusion Inc ($INTZ)


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
NXT-ID Inc. ($NXTD)9.7x
Symantec Corporation ($SYMC)-3.2x-1.5x-5.0x10.0x4.7x
SolarWinds Corporation ($SWI)6.2x4.1x
Oracle Corporation ($ORCL)0.4x1.2x1.6x2.4x2.4x
ServiceNow, Inc. ($NOW)9.0x0.9x
 
Median (22 companies)-2.1x-1.4x-1.2x-0.6x-0.5x
Intrusion Inc ($INTZ)-48.7x0.1x