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Amber Road, Inc. reports 7.7% revenue growth in 2018 and almost no change in EBITDA Margin of -8.1%

02/11/2019 • About Amber Road, Inc. ($AMBR) • By InTwits

Amber Road, Inc. reported 2018 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • Amber Road, Inc. is a growth stock: 2018 revenue growth was 7.7%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 10.1% at 2018 ROIC -23.8%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -8.1%
  • Amber Road, Inc. spends a lot for Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for 2014-2018 is 0.0%. Average EBITDA Margin for the same period was -17.6%
  • Amber Road, Inc. has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 11.4%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 13.3%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $3m in 2018, $2m in 2017, $3m in 2016, $29m in 2015, $3m in 2014
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -23.8%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Amber Road, Inc.'s Revenue increased on 7.7%. Revenue growth showed slowdown in 18Q4 - it was 6.1% YoY. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin jumped on 17.3 pp from -3.6% to 13.7% in 2018. EBITDA Margin followed a growing trend at 7.3 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Gross Margin increased on 2.9 pp from 52.3% to 55.2% in 2018. During 2014-2018 Gross Margin bottomed in 2015 at 45.0% and was growing since that time. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 4.1 pp from 47.8% to 51.9% in 2018.

Net Income margin showed almost no change in 2018. Net Income margin followed a growing trend at 7.9 pp per annum in 2014-2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 4.0% in 2018. Amber Road, Inc.'s CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 39.2 pp from 43.3% in 2015 to 4.0% in 2018. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 3.2%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-23.8%) and ROE (-49.2%). ROIC decreased slightly on 1.9 pp from -21.9% to -23.8% in 2018. ROE decreased on 4.5 pp from -44.7% to -49.2% in 2018. ROIC stuck to a growing trend at 8.7 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -1.0x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA didn't change in 2018. Debt decreased on 5.1% while cash dropped on 19.7%.

Amber Road, Inc. has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (379.9%).

Financial and operational results


FY ended 12/31/2018

Amber Road, Inc. ($AMBR) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue64.83367.11073.16179.07685.1667.7%
Gross Profit37.34530.21637.42541.33547.01513.7%
SG&A35.79540.72937.95637.79044.19817.0%
EBITDA-21.982-19.386-10.735-6.010-6.868
Net Income-27.704-28.079-18.727-12.978-13.603
Balance Sheet
Cash41.24217.85515.4089.3617.515-19.7%
Short Term Debt1.3221.9111.7492.0671.978-4.3%
Long Term Debt2.14221.12520.89120.30019.252-5.2%
Cash flow
Capex2.69429.0282.5191.7163.435100.1%
Ratios
Revenue growth23.4%3.5%9.0%8.1%7.7%
EBITDA growth121.9%-11.8%-44.6%-44.0%14.3%

Gross Margin57.6%45.0%51.2%52.3%55.2%2.9%
EBITDA Margin-33.9%-28.9%-14.7%-7.6%-8.1%-0.5%
SG&A, % of revenue55.2%60.7%51.9%47.8%51.9%4.1%
Net Income Margin-42.7%-41.8%-25.6%-16.4%-16.0%0.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue4.2%43.3%3.4%2.2%4.0%1.9%

ROIC-58.3%-39.6%-28.1%-21.9%-23.8%-1.9%
ROE-51.3%-48.6%-44.7%-49.2%-4.5%

Amber Road, Inc. ($AMBR) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $18Q118Q218Q318Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue20212222 8.1%7.0%9.6%6.1%
EBITDA-1-20-1
Net Income-3-3-2-3
Balance Sheet
Cash98108 -38.0%-32.2%22.4%-19.7%
Short Term Debt2222 -2.2%5.6%6.1%-4.3%
Long Term Debt7202019 -7.1%-5.9%-4.5%-5.2%
Ratios
Gross Margin52.8%53.8%57.3%57.7% 3.5%4.1%2.6%2.7%
EBITDA Margin -7.3% -7.3% 0.2% -4.2% 5.9%4.1%4.3%-1.7%
Net Income Margin -15.8% -15.2% -7.3% -12.0% 8.0%7.7%3.8%-3.2%

Peers in Application Software


Below you can find Amber Road, Inc. benchmarking vs. other companies in Application Software industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
nFusz Inc ($FUSZ)433.3%
CloudCommerce Inc ($CLWD)-38.1%247.6%40.9%301.1%
Seven Stars Cloud Group, Inc. ($SSC)134.7%663.8%310.3%161.7%
Aurora Mobile Limited ($JG)304.9%150.8%
Intelligent Systems Corporation ($INS)14.2%71.0%12.2%119.0%
 
Median (151 companies)-43.3%14.0%14.3%15.7%15.2%
Amber Road, Inc. ($AMBR)3.5%9.0%8.1%7.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Skkynet Cloud Systems Inc ($SKKY)99.7%97.4%98.0%97.6%96.5%
hopTo Inc ($HPTO)91.8%87.8%95.9%98.2%95.4%
Aware, Inc. ($AWRE)75.4%87.2%90.3%94.6%92.3%
Alteryx, Inc. ($AYX)77.5%80.5%81.3%83.4%91.0%
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)86.5%88.7%89.7%90.2%89.9%
 
Median (150 companies)63.4%61.9%64.2%64.6%66.1%
Amber Road, Inc. ($AMBR)57.6%45.0%51.2%52.3%55.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)34.5%42.2%46.0%45.2%43.3%
ANSYS, Inc. ($ANSS)45.9%45.8%45.1%41.9%41.4%
Paycom Software, Inc. ($PAYC)15.1%19.5%35.1%34.4%35.9%
j2 Global, Inc. ($JCOM)41.6%40.6%41.7%36.5%35.7%
Adobe Inc. ($ADBE)17.5%25.9%31.2%34.2%35.3%
 
Median (152 companies)-10.1%-9.4%-4.7%-3.3%-3.2%
Amber Road, Inc. ($AMBR)-33.9%-28.9%-14.7%-7.6%-8.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
TimefireVR Inc ($TFVR)0.0%350.5%4.3%1,021.9%
MGT Capital Investments Inc ($MGTI)0.0%36.5%221.4%129.8%344.5%
Integrated Ventures Inc ($INTV)199.9%
ShotSpotter, Inc. ($SSTI)18.3%28.9%27.1%24.3%
Ellie Mae, Inc. ($ELLI)12.3%20.6%16.7%21.1%19.4%
 
Median (153 companies)2.8%2.7%2.9%2.3%2.4%
Amber Road, Inc. ($AMBR)4.2%43.3%3.4%2.2%4.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
InsPro Technologies Corp ($ITCC)-558.9%127.4%
Manhattan Associates, Inc. ($MANH)64.8%78.7%99.3%102.5%80.9%
Intuit Inc. ($INTU)34.2%23.7%52.1%72.6%66.8%
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)133.4%58.1%
Paycom Software, Inc. ($PAYC)16.7%30.5%75.4%51.1%47.5%
 
Median (179 companies)-14.2%-11.2%-9.2%-10.2%-9.3%
Amber Road, Inc. ($AMBR)-58.3%-39.6%-28.1%-21.9%-23.8%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Upland Software, Inc. ($UPLD)16.4x115.6x16.7x
Nuance Communications, Inc. ($NUAN)7.9x5.7x5.3x7.1x15.2x
Asure Software Inc ($ASUR)3.4x4.5x3.6x9.5x14.5x
SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc. ($SSNC)1.7x7.3x4.6x3.1x8.5x
Avaya Holdings Corp. ($AVYA)7.4x
 
Median (70 companies)-1.4x-1.0x-0.9x-0.8x-0.7x