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PROS Holdings, Inc. reports 16.7% revenue growth in 2018 and 13.9 pp EBITDA Margin growth from -32.2% to -18.4%

02/07/2019 • About PROS Holdings, Inc. ($PRO) • By InTwits

PROS Holdings, Inc. reported 2018 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -18.4%
  • PROS Holdings, Inc. spends a lot for Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for 2014-2018 is 0.0%. Average EBITDA Margin for the same period was -23.3%
  • PROS Holdings, Inc. has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.9%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 3.1%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $1m in 2018, $1m in 2017, $7m in 2016, $7m in 2015, $7m in 2014
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -22.0%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 16.7%. Revenue growth showed slowdown in 18Q4 - it was 13.5% YoY. During the last 5 years Revenue growth bottomed in 2015 at -9.5% and was accelerating since that time. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 0.71 pp from 2.2% to 2.9% in 2018. During 2014-2018 EBITDA Margin bottomed in 2016 at -36.5% and was growing since that time.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 1.4 pp from 59.4% to 60.8% in 2018. During the last 5 years Gross Margin bottomed in 2016 at 58.7% and was growing since that time. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 6.7 pp from 64.2% to 57.5% in 2018. During 2014-2018 SG&A as a % of Revenue topped in 2015 at 67.0% and was declining since that time.

Net Income margin surged on 13.6 pp from -46.2% to -32.6% in 2018. During the last 5 years Net Income margin bottomed in 2016 at -49.1% and was growing since that time.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 0.75% in 2018. CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 3.3 pp from 4.0% in 2015 to 0.75% in 2018. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 2.1%. During 2014-2018 CAPEX as a % of Revenue topped in 2016 at 4.7% and was declining since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -2.4x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Debt increased on 5.6% while cash jumped on 84.1%.

PROS Holdings, Inc. has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (216.4%).

Management team


PROS Holdings, Inc.'s CEO is Andres D Reiner. Andres D Reiner is a founder and has 8 years tenure with the company. The company's CFO is Stefan B Schulz. Stefan B Schulz has 4 years tenure at the company.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 12/31/2018

PROS Holdings, Inc. ($PRO) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue185.8168.2153.3168.8197.016.7%
Gross Profit127.7106.889.9100.2119.819.5%
SG&A99.9112.7102.5108.5113.34.5%
EBITDA-12.0-45.1-55.9-54.4-36.2
Net Income-36.6-65.8-75.2-77.9-64.2
Balance Sheet
Cash161.0161.8118.0160.5295.584.1%
Short Term Debt0.00.00.00.0136.5
Long Term Debt110.4116.4122.3213.288.7-58.4%
Cash flow
Capex7.56.87.21.31.514.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth28.3%-9.5%-8.9%10.1%16.7%
EBITDA growth-252.5%277.0%23.9%-2.6%-33.5%

Gross Margin68.7%63.5%58.7%59.4%60.8%1.4%
EBITDA Margin-6.4%-26.8%-36.5%-32.2%-18.4%13.9%
SG&A, % of revenue53.8%67.0%66.9%64.2%57.5%-6.7%
Net Income Margin-19.7%-39.1%-49.1%-46.2%-32.6%13.6%
CAPEX, % of revenue4.0%4.0%4.7%0.8%0.7%-0.0%

ROIC-14.4%-29.0%-44.7%-45.2%-22.0%23.3%
ROE-34.8%-85.2%

PROS Holdings, Inc. ($PRO) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $18Q118Q218Q318Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue48474953 19.4%17.4%17.0%13.5%
EBITDA-11-10-9-6
Net Income-19-17-16-13
Balance Sheet
Cash148142282295 32.4%-28.3%79.1%84.1%
Short Term Debt000137
Long Term Debt21621922289 74.3%5.6%5.6%-58.4%
Ratios
Gross Margin59.3%60.5%60.3%63.0% 0.6%0.3%2.6%2.2%
EBITDA Margin -23.8% -20.5% -17.7% -12.0% 15.2%15.9%17.3%8.1%
Net Income Margin -39.4% -35.5% -32.2% -24.3% 11.0%12.8%18.4%12.4%

Peers in Application Software


Below we provide PROS Holdings, Inc. benchmarking against other companies in Application Software industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
nFusz Inc ($FUSZ)433.3%
CloudCommerce Inc ($CLWD)-38.1%247.6%40.9%301.1%
Seven Stars Cloud Group, Inc. ($SSC)134.7%663.8%310.3%161.7%
Aurora Mobile Limited ($JG)304.9%150.8%
Intelligent Systems Corporation ($INS)14.2%71.0%12.2%119.0%
 
Median (151 companies)-43.3%14.0%14.3%15.7%15.2%
PROS Holdings, Inc. ($PRO)-9.5%-8.9%10.1%16.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Skkynet Cloud Systems Inc ($SKKY)99.7%97.4%98.0%97.6%96.5%
hopTo Inc ($HPTO)91.8%87.8%95.9%98.2%95.4%
Aware, Inc. ($AWRE)75.4%87.2%90.3%94.6%92.3%
Alteryx, Inc. ($AYX)77.5%80.5%81.3%83.4%91.0%
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)86.5%88.7%89.7%90.2%89.9%
 
Median (150 companies)62.8%61.7%64.2%64.6%66.1%
PROS Holdings, Inc. ($PRO)68.7%63.5%58.7%59.4%60.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)34.5%42.2%46.0%45.2%43.3%
ANSYS, Inc. ($ANSS)45.9%45.8%45.1%41.9%41.4%
Paycom Software, Inc. ($PAYC)15.1%19.5%35.1%34.4%35.9%
j2 Global, Inc. ($JCOM)41.6%40.6%41.7%36.5%35.7%
Adobe Inc. ($ADBE)17.5%25.9%31.2%34.2%35.3%
 
Median (152 companies)-10.3%-9.4%-4.7%-3.3%-3.2%
PROS Holdings, Inc. ($PRO)-6.4%-26.8%-36.5%-32.2%-18.4%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
TimefireVR Inc ($TFVR)0.0%350.5%4.3%1,021.9%
MGT Capital Investments Inc ($MGTI)0.0%36.5%221.4%129.8%344.5%
Integrated Ventures Inc ($INTV)199.9%
ShotSpotter, Inc. ($SSTI)18.3%28.9%27.1%24.3%
Ellie Mae, Inc. ($ELLI)12.3%20.6%16.7%21.1%19.4%
 
Median (153 companies)2.8%2.7%2.9%2.3%2.4%
PROS Holdings, Inc. ($PRO)4.0%4.0%4.7%0.8%0.7%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
InsPro Technologies Corp ($ITCC)-558.9%127.4%
Manhattan Associates, Inc. ($MANH)64.8%78.7%99.3%102.5%80.9%
Intuit Inc. ($INTU)34.2%23.7%52.1%72.6%66.8%
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)133.4%58.1%
Paycom Software, Inc. ($PAYC)16.7%30.5%75.4%51.1%47.5%
 
Median (179 companies)-14.2%-11.2%-9.2%-10.2%-9.3%
PROS Holdings, Inc. ($PRO)-14.4%-29.0%-44.7%-45.2%-22.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Upland Software, Inc. ($UPLD)16.4x115.6x16.7x
Nuance Communications, Inc. ($NUAN)7.9x5.7x5.3x7.1x15.2x
Asure Software Inc ($ASUR)3.4x4.5x3.6x9.5x14.5x
SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc. ($SSNC)1.7x7.3x4.6x3.1x8.5x
Avaya Holdings Corp. ($AVYA)7.4x
 
Median (70 companies)-1.4x-1.0x-0.9x-0.8x-0.7x