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Trimble Inc. Net Income jumped on 139% and Revenue surged on 17.5%

02/06/2019 • About Trimble Inc. ($TRMB) • By InTwits

Trimble Inc. reported FY2018 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Trimble Inc. has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.8%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 5.2%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $53m in FY2018, $39m in FY2017, $63m in FY2016, $60m in FY2015, $23m in FY2014
  • In the last 5 years the company invested considerably less than D&A: $229m vs. $977m. In FY2018 this situation was still the same: CAPEX was 68 while D&A was 215
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is 7.9%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 3.4x while industry average is -0.8x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Trimble Inc.'s Revenue surged on 17.5%. Revenue growth showed slowdown in FY18Q4 - it was 12.2% YoY. During FY2014-FY2018 Revenue growth bottomed in FY2015 at -4.4% and was accelerating since that time. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 4.5 pp from 21.4% to 16.8% in 2018. During the last 5 years EBITDA Margin bottomed in FY2015 at 15.4% and was growing since that time.

Gross Margin increased on 2.0 pp from 52.1% to 54.1% in FY2018. During the last 5 years Gross Margin bottomed in FY2017 at 52.1%. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2018. Stock Based Compensation (SBC) as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2018. SBC as a % of Revenue followed a growing trend in the last 5 years.

Net Income margin increased on 4.6 pp from 4.5% to 9.1% in FY2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


Trimble Inc.'s CAPEX/Revenue was 2.2% in FY2018. Trimble Inc. showed almost no change in CAPEX/Revenue from FY2015 to FY2018. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 1.6%. During FY2014-FY2018 CAPEX as a % of Revenue bottomed in FY2016 at 1.1% and was growing since that time.

Accounts receivable as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2018. Inventories as a % of Revenue showed almost no change at 9.6% in FY2018. Accounts payable as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 1.2 pp from 11.5% to 10.3% in FY2018.

Trimble Inc. has spent $1,764m on M&A in FY2018 which accounts for 56.7% of revenue.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (7.9%) and ROE (11.1%). ROIC showed almost no change in FY2018. ROE increased on 6.1 pp from 5.0% to 11.1% in FY2018. During the last 5 years ROIC bottomed in FY2015 at 5.0% and was growing since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 3.4x and Debt / EBITDA is 3.7x. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 2.0x from 1.3x to 3.4x in FY2018. Debt surged on 115% while cash dropped on 51.9%.

Trimble Inc. has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 67.3% of short term debt.

Valuation and dividends


Trimble Inc.'s trades at EV/EBITDA 21.6x and P/E 34.6x.

Management team


The company's CEO Steven W Berglund is a founder and has spent 2 years with the company. CEO total compensation was $11,177,172 in FY2018 which included $961,400 salary. Trimble Inc.'s CFO is Robert G Painter "Rob". Robert G Painter "Rob" has 2 years tenure at the company.

The company has 0.47% shares owned by insiders. Insider ownership didn't change in 2018.

The company has 11,287 employees. The number of employees didn't change in 2018. Average revenue per employee in FY2018 was $275,396 and it jumped on 17.5%.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 12/30/2018

Trimble Inc. ($TRMB) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue2,3962,2902,3622,6473,10817.5%
Gross Profit1,2911,2021,2381,3781,68122.0%
SG&A63563063470283018.2%
EBITDA45235436941953627.9%
EBIT26115418123632136.1%
Tax523145130-5-104.1%
Net Income214121132118283138.9%
Stock Based Compensation295053657718.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash148116216359173-51.9%
Accounts Receivable36236235542851319.9%
Inventory27826121926529812.6%
Accounts Payable1041001101461481.1%
Short Term Debt6411813012825699.5%
Long Term Debt6716114907861,712118.0%
Cash flow
Capex474426446854.7%
Acquisitions308156392801,764529.4%
Ratios
Revenue growth4.7%-4.4%3.1%12.0%17.5%
EBITDA growth2.5%-21.9%4.3%13.6%27.9%

Gross Margin53.9%52.5%52.4%52.1%54.1%2.0%
EBITDA Margin18.9%15.4%15.6%15.8%17.2%1.4%
EBIT Margin10.9%6.7%7.7%8.9%10.3%1.4%
SG&A, % of revenue26.5%27.5%26.8%26.5%26.7%0.2%
SBC, % of revenue1.2%2.2%2.2%2.4%2.5%0.0%
Net Income Margin8.9%5.3%5.6%4.5%9.1%4.6%
CAPEX, % of revenue2.0%1.9%1.1%1.7%2.2%0.5%

ROIC8.4%5.0%6.1%7.5%7.9%0.5%
ROE9.4%5.3%5.9%5.0%11.1%6.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.3x1.7x1.1x1.3x3.4x2.0x
People
Insider ownership0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.0%
Employees8,2178,4518,38811,28711,2870.0%
Revenue/Employee, th. $29227128223427517.5%

Trimble Inc. ($TRMB) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $FY18Q1FY18Q2FY18Q3FY18Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue742786795786 21.6%19.0%17.6%12.2%
EBITDA113141136146 16.8%35.9%18.4%40.6%
Net Income59647487 17.5%35.5%28.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash275571205173 -2.2%48.4%-19.5%-51.9%
Short Term Debt4310226256 211.3%-99.7%67.0%99.5%
Long Term Debt6921,2861,7871,712 35.7%176.6%218.8%118.0%
Ratios
Gross Margin53.4%53.8%53.7%55.4% 0.3%1.9%1.7%4.0%
EBITDA Margin 15.3% 17.9% 17.1% 18.5% -0.6%2.2%0.1%3.7%
Net Income Margin 7.9% 8.2% 9.3% 11.0% -0.3%1.0%0.8%16.1%

Peers in Electronic Equipment & Instrum


Below we provide Trimble Inc. benchmarking against other companies in Electronic Equipment & Instrum industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Hickok Inc ($HICKA)-7.2%13.5%258.4%178.7%
Electro Scientific Industries, Inc. ($ESIO)-12.2%15.9%-12.7%128.5%
Microvision, Inc. ($MVIS)163.6%60.7%-34.7%82.8%
Ipsidy Inc ($IDTY)66.2%
Magal Security Systems Ltd. ($MAGS)-17.8%6.4%-5.2%44.0%
 
Median (61 companies)-78.5%4.5%0.3%3.6%9.1%
Trimble Inc. ($TRMB)-4.4%3.1%12.0%17.5%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Intellicheck, Inc. ($IDN)58.2%57.1%80.0%85.5%91.3%
Image Sensing Systems, Inc. ($ISNS)74.7%77.1%71.0%79.9%80.9%
National Instruments Corporation ($NATI)74.4%74.1%74.5%74.5%75.4%
Cognex Corporation ($CGNX)77.9%77.2%75.2%75.6%74.4%
Applied DNA Sciences Inc ($APDN)82.2%77.3%69.1%
 
Median (60 companies)41.7%41.8%40.1%41.5%40.9%
Trimble Inc. ($TRMB)53.9%52.5%52.4%52.1%54.1%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Cognex Corporation ($CGNX)32.9%30.1%31.9%36.0%30.1%
Coherent, Inc. ($COHR)14.2%16.7%18.9%24.9%26.6%
Hollysys Automation Technologies, Ltd. ($HOLI)21.3%26.9%23.5%16.1%23.9%
Electro Scientific Industries, Inc. ($ESIO)-10.1%-19.1%-2.0%-17.8%23.1%
FLIR Systems, Inc. ($FLIR)20.7%22.8%21.3%20.0%21.7%
 
Median (60 companies)5.3%3.9%3.0%3.0%3.3%
Trimble Inc. ($TRMB)18.9%15.4%15.6%15.8%17.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Wrap Technologies Inc ($WRTC)61.4%
ClearSign Combustion Corporation ($CLIR)80.3%22.1%17.4%17.7%
LightPath Technologies, Inc. ($LPTH)16.8%5.0%6.5%7.8%7.7%
Giga-tronics Inc ($GIGA)1.7%0.1%1.3%0.3%7.0%
Applied DNA Sciences Inc ($APDN)8.4%3.9%16.1%3.1%6.8%
 
Median (60 companies)1.8%2.0%2.1%1.6%2.3%
Trimble Inc. ($TRMB)2.0%1.9%1.1%1.7%2.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Evans & Sutherland Computer Corp ($ESCC)83.3%39.6%55.3%
Electro Scientific Industries, Inc. ($ESIO)-11.7%-19.7%-7.1%-22.9%31.5%
Coherent, Inc. ($COHR)9.9%13.1%15.6%24.0%21.5%
Zebra Technologies Corporation ($ZBRA)3.3%0.9%2.2%10.2%20.8%
Cognex Corporation ($CGNX)18.3%15.6%17.7%25.6%20.1%
 
Median (72 companies)3.3%1.8%1.8%1.8%0.9%
Trimble Inc. ($TRMB)8.4%5.0%6.1%7.5%7.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Itron, Inc. ($ITRI)2.1x1.9x1.0x2.0x12.3x
Track Group Inc ($TRCK)12.2x
Mesa Laboratories, Inc. ($MLAB)0.7x1.1x1.7x2.0x3.5x
MTS Systems Corporation ($MTSC)-0.0x-0.4x5.8x3.9x3.2x
OSI Systems, Inc. ($OSIS)-0.0x-0.2x0.3x1.7x2.2x
 
Median (35 companies)-0.8x-0.9x-0.9x-0.8x-0.9x
Trimble Inc. ($TRMB)1.3x1.7x1.1x1.3x3.4x