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Blackbaud, Inc. reports 39.1% Net Income decline in 2018 and 1.6 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 18.0% to 16.4%

02/06/2019 • About Blackbaud, Inc. ($BLKB) • By InTwits

Blackbaud, Inc. reported 2018 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • Blackbaud, Inc. is a growth stock: 2018 revenue growth was 7.6%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 11.0% at 2018 ROIC 7.7%
  • Blackbaud, Inc. motivates its personel by high Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for 2014-2018 was 4.4% while average EBITDA Margin was 17.2% for the sames years. In 2018 SBC/Revenue was even higher: 5.7%
  • Blackbaud, Inc. has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.2%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 13.2%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $37m in FY2018, $35m in FY2017, $24m in FY2016, $13m in FY2015, $11m in FY2014
  • In the last 5 years the company invested considerably less than D&A: $75m vs. $325m. In 2018 this situation was still the same: CAPEX was 15 while D&A was 80
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is 7.7%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 2.6x while industry average is -2.2x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased on 7.6%. Revenue growth showed slowdown in 18Q4 - it was 1.8% YoY. During the last 5 years Revenue growth topped in 2016 at 14.7% and was decelerating since that time. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 2.4 pp from 10.0% to 7.6% in 2018.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 0.91 pp from 54.1% to 55.0% in 2018. Gross Margin grew at 0.88 pp per annum in the last 5 years. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.7 pp from 33.5% to 35.3% in 2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue grew at 1.4 pp per annum in the last 5 years. Stock Based Compensation (SBC) as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.54 pp from 5.2% to 5.7% in 2018. SBC as a % of Revenue stuck to a growing trend at 0.91 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Net Income margin decreased on 4.1 pp from 9.3% to 5.3% in 2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 1.7% in 2018. Blackbaud, Inc.'s CAPEX/Revenue decreased slightly on 1.2 pp from 2.9% in 2015 to 1.7% in 2018. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 1.8%.

Accounts receivable as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 1.9 pp from 12.1% to 10.2% in 2018. Accounts payable as a % of Revenue increased on 2.2 pp from 6.8% to 9.0% in 2018.

Blackbaud, Inc. has spent $45m on M&A in 2018 which accounts for 5.3% of revenue.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (12.6%) while ROIC is low (7.7%). ROIC decreased on 2.2 pp from 9.9% to 7.7% in 2018. ROE dropped on 12.6 pp from 25.2% to 12.6% in 2018.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 2.6x Net Debt / EBITDA and 2.8x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.3x from 2.9x to 2.6x in 2018. Debt dropped on 11.7% while cash increased on 3.5%.

Blackbaud, Inc. has good short term financial stability: Interest coverage ratio (ICR) is 3.7x. Blackbaud, Inc. has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (411.5%).

Average interest expence charged on company's debt was 4.1% in 2018.

Valuation and dividends


Blackbaud, Inc.'s trades at EV/EBITDA 29.5x and P/E 83.5x.

The company paid 51.3% of Net Income as dividends in 2018. Dividends grew on average at 0.9% per annum in the last 5 years).

Management team


Blackbaud, Inc.'s CEO is Michael P Gianoni "Mike". Michael P Gianoni "Mike" is a founder and has 5 years tenure with the company. CEO total compensation was $9,289,690 in 2018 which included $715,778 salary. Blackbaud, Inc.'s CFO is Anthony W Boor "Tony". Anthony W Boor "Tony" has 7 years tenure at the company.

1.7% of the company is owned by insiders. Insider ownership didn't change in 2018.

The company has 3,353 employees. The number of employees increased on 5.4%. Average revenue per employee in 2018 was $253,089 and it increased on 2.1%.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 12/31/2018

Blackbaud, Inc. ($BLKB) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue564.4637.9731.6788.5848.67.6%
Gross Profit291.0333.3392.4426.6466.99.4%
SG&A165.6199.7231.5264.4299.213.2%
EBITDA91.8102.7138.7142.1139.0-2.2%
EBIT46.446.768.268.259.4-12.9%
Interest expence6.010.612.115.931.4%
Tax10.911.311.9-15.3-0.2
Net Income28.325.645.473.644.8-39.1%
Stock Based Compensation9.925.232.640.648.318.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash14.715.416.929.830.93.5%
Accounts Receivable77.580.088.995.786.6-9.5%
Accounts Payable11.419.223.324.734.539.9%
Short Term Debt4.44.44.48.67.5-12.5%
Long Term Debt276.2403.7338.0429.6379.6-11.6%
Cash flow
Capex13.918.617.710.214.744.2%
Dividends22.023.023.023.023.00.0%
Acquisitions188.9188.13.4146.844.9-69.4%
Ratios
Revenue growth12.0%13.0%14.7%7.8%7.6%
EBITDA growth-3.1%11.9%35.1%2.5%-2.2%

Gross Margin51.6%52.2%53.6%54.1%55.0%0.9%
EBITDA Margin16.3%16.1%19.0%18.0%16.4%-1.6%
EBIT Margin8.2%7.3%9.3%8.6%7.0%-1.6%
SG&A, % of revenue29.3%31.3%31.6%33.5%35.3%1.7%
SBC, % of revenue1.8%4.0%4.5%5.2%5.7%0.5%
Net Income Margin5.0%4.0%6.2%9.3%5.3%-4.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue2.5%2.9%2.4%1.3%1.7%0.4%

ROIC11.5%8.4%11.2%9.9%7.7%-2.2%
ROE16.3%12.9%19.8%25.2%12.6%-12.6%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.9x3.8x2.3x2.9x2.6x-0.3x
Interest coverage ratio (ICR)7.7x6.4x5.6x3.7x-1.9x
Interest expence / Average debt2.1%2.8%3.1%4.1%1.0%
People
Insider ownership1.7%1.7%1.7%1.7%1.7%0.0%
Employees3,0333,0953,1563,1823,3535.4%
Revenue/Employee, th. $1862062322482532.1%

Blackbaud, Inc. ($BLKB) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $18Q118Q218Q318Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue204214210221 10.3%11.5%7.8%1.8%
EBITDA37313634 19.2%-10.1%-2.1%-12.5%
Net Income187119 35.1%-40.2%-12.9%-74.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash25292531 80.3%69.1%48.7%3.5%
Short Term Debt9998 96.0%14.3%0.0%-12.5%
Long Term Debt459471417380 30.3%24.0%26.5%-11.6%
Ratios
Gross Margin56.9%55.5%54.5%53.3% 3.1%0.9%-0.7%0.4%
EBITDA Margin 18.3% 14.7% 17.1% 15.5% 1.4%-3.5%-1.7%-2.5%
Net Income Margin 8.7% 3.1% 5.3% 4.2% 1.6%-2.7%-1.3%-12.6%

Peers in Application Software


Below we provide Blackbaud, Inc. benchmarking against other companies in Application Software industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
nFusz Inc ($FUSZ)433.3%
CloudCommerce Inc ($CLWD)-38.1%247.6%40.9%301.1%
Seven Stars Cloud Group, Inc. ($SSC)134.7%663.8%310.3%161.7%
Aurora Mobile Limited ($JG)304.9%150.8%
Intelligent Systems Corporation ($INS)14.2%71.0%12.2%119.0%
 
Median (151 companies)-43.3%14.0%13.6%15.7%15.2%
Blackbaud, Inc. ($BLKB)13.0%14.7%7.8%7.6%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Skkynet Cloud Systems Inc ($SKKY)99.7%97.4%98.0%97.6%96.5%
hopTo Inc ($HPTO)91.8%87.8%95.9%98.2%95.4%
Aware, Inc. ($AWRE)75.4%87.2%90.3%94.6%92.3%
Alteryx, Inc. ($AYX)77.5%80.5%81.3%83.4%91.0%
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)86.5%88.7%89.7%90.2%89.9%
 
Median (150 companies)63.4%61.9%64.2%64.6%66.1%
Blackbaud, Inc. ($BLKB)51.6%52.2%53.6%54.1%55.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)34.5%42.2%46.0%45.2%43.3%
ANSYS, Inc. ($ANSS)45.9%45.8%45.1%41.9%41.4%
Paycom Software, Inc. ($PAYC)15.1%19.5%35.1%34.4%35.9%
j2 Global, Inc. ($JCOM)41.6%40.6%41.7%36.5%35.7%
Adobe Inc. ($ADBE)17.5%25.9%31.2%34.2%35.3%
 
Median (152 companies)-10.3%-10.7%-5.3%-4.2%-3.3%
Blackbaud, Inc. ($BLKB)16.3%16.1%19.0%18.0%16.4%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
TimefireVR Inc ($TFVR)0.0%350.5%4.3%1,021.9%
MGT Capital Investments Inc ($MGTI)0.0%36.5%221.4%129.8%344.5%
Integrated Ventures Inc ($INTV)199.9%
ShotSpotter, Inc. ($SSTI)18.3%28.9%27.1%24.3%
Ellie Mae, Inc. ($ELLI)12.3%20.6%16.7%21.1%19.4%
 
Median (153 companies)2.8%2.7%3.0%2.3%2.4%
Blackbaud, Inc. ($BLKB)2.5%2.9%2.4%1.3%1.7%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
InsPro Technologies Corp ($ITCC)-558.9%127.4%
Manhattan Associates, Inc. ($MANH)64.8%78.7%99.3%102.5%80.9%
Intuit Inc. ($INTU)34.2%23.7%52.1%72.6%66.8%
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)133.4%58.1%
Paycom Software, Inc. ($PAYC)16.7%30.5%75.4%51.1%47.5%
 
Median (179 companies)-14.4%-13.1%-9.8%-11.8%-10.4%
Blackbaud, Inc. ($BLKB)11.5%8.4%11.2%9.9%7.7%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Upland Software, Inc. ($UPLD)16.4x115.6x16.7x
Nuance Communications, Inc. ($NUAN)7.9x5.7x5.3x7.1x15.2x
Asure Software Inc ($ASUR)3.4x4.5x3.6x9.5x14.5x
SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc. ($SSNC)1.7x7.3x4.6x3.1x8.5x
Avaya Holdings Corp. ($AVYA)7.4x
 
Median (69 companies)-1.4x-1.0x-0.9x-0.9x-0.7x
Blackbaud, Inc. ($BLKB)2.9x3.8x2.3x2.9x2.6x