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MaxLinear, Inc EBITDA jumped on 33.0% and EBITDA Margin increased on 4.8 pp from 10.7% to 15.6%

02/05/2019 • About MaxLinear, Inc ($MXL) • By InTwits

MaxLinear, Inc reported 2018 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 15.6% in 2018, 10.7% in 2017, 23.1% in 2016, -1.0% in 2015, -2.8% in 2014
  • MaxLinear, Inc has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.7%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 0.6%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $2m in FY2018, $4m in FY2017, $8m in FY2016, $5m in FY2015, $8m in FY2014
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -2.7%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 3.0x while industry average is 2.0x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


MaxLinear, Inc's Revenue decreased on 8.4%. Revenue decline showed acceleration in 18Q4 - it was 22.9% YoY. During 2014-2018 Revenue growth topped in 2015 at 126% and was decelerating since that time. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased on 4.8 pp from 10.7% to 15.6% in 2018.

Gross Margin increased on 4.7 pp from 49.5% to 54.2% in 2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.3 pp from 25.2% to 26.4% in 2018.

Net Income margin decreased on 4.6 pp from -2.2% to -6.8% in 2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


MaxLinear, Inc's CAPEX/Revenue was 2.0% in 2018. The company's CAPEX/Revenue increased slightly on 1.0 pp from 1.00% in 2015 to 2.0% in 2018. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.0%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-2.7%) and ROE (-6.7%). ROIC increased slightly on 1.2 pp from -4.0% to -2.7% in 2018. ROE decreased on 4.2 pp from -2.5% to -6.7% in 2018.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 3.0x and Debt / EBITDA is 4.3x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 3.1x from 6.1x to 3.0x in 2018. Debt dropped on 26.4% while cash increased slightly on 1.8%.

The company has no short term refinancing risk: short term debt is zero.

Management team


Kishore V Seendripu is a the company's CEO. Kishore V Seendripu is a founder and has spent 15 years with the company. Steven G Litchfield is a MaxLinear, Inc's CFO. Steven G Litchfield has spent 9 years at the company.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 12/31/2018

MaxLinear, Inc ($MXL) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue133.1300.4387.8420.3385.0-8.4%
Gross Profit82.0155.4230.0208.0208.80.4%
SG&A34.278.064.5105.8101.8-3.8%
EBITDA-3.8-3.089.845.159.933.0%
Net Income-7.0-42.361.3-9.2-26.2
Balance Sheet
Cash20.768.081.171.973.11.8%
Short Term Debt0.00.00.00.00.0
Long Term Debt0.00.00.0347.6255.8-26.4%
Cash flow
Capex8.83.08.57.57.84.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth11.3%125.6%29.1%8.4%-8.4%
EBITDA growth-56.6%-19.8%-3,084.1%-49.8%33.0%

Gross Margin61.6%51.7%59.3%49.5%54.2%4.7%
EBITDA Margin-2.8%-1.0%23.1%10.7%15.6%4.8%
SG&A, % of revenue25.7%26.0%16.6%25.2%26.4%1.3%
Net Income Margin-5.3%-14.1%15.8%-2.2%-6.8%-4.6%
CAPEX, % of revenue6.6%1.0%2.2%1.8%2.0%0.3%

ROIC-9.5%-24.1%20.5%-4.0%-2.7%1.2%
ROE-7.6%-23.4%19.9%-2.5%-6.7%-4.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.9x6.1x3.0x-3.1x

MaxLinear, Inc ($MXL) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $18Q118Q218Q318Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue1111028588 24.7%-2.5%-25.2%-22.9%
EBITDA252078 41.4%703.1%-32.7%-42.3%
Net Income2-14-140 -78.2%-231.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash56746773 -37.6%-15.4%-6.1%1.8%
Short Term Debt0000 -100.0%
Long Term Debt323305270256 -26.5%-26.4%-26.4%
Ratios
Gross Margin56.5%55.5%51.6%52.4% -3.0%6.4%6.0%6.6%
EBITDA Margin 22.1% 19.5% 8.5% 9.6% 2.6%17.1%-1.0%-3.2%
Net Income Margin 1.7% -14.2% -16.4% 0.4% -7.9%-24.7%-8.3%17.5%

Peers in Semiconductors


Below we provide MaxLinear, Inc benchmarking against other companies in Semiconductors industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
NanoFlex Power Corp ($OPVS)72.5%354.8%
MoSys, Inc. ($MOSY)-18.4%37.2%46.8%87.7%
SMART Global Holdings, Inc. ($SGH)-16.9%42.5%69.3%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)-1.0%-23.4%63.9%49.5%
Adesto Technologies Corporation ($IOTS)4.3%1.6%27.6%48.8%
 
Median (67 companies)54.6%8.5%4.4%11.0%5.0%
MaxLinear, Inc ($MXL)125.6%29.1%8.4%-8.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
CEVA, Inc. ($CEVA)90.2%90.9%91.6%92.1%89.8%
NVE Corporation ($NVEC)77.9%80.3%76.1%78.5%79.0%
Rambus, Inc. ($RMBS)85.9%84.7%80.1%79.9%76.8%
Universal Display Corporation ($OLED)76.0%64.2%83.9%80.8%75.5%
Intermolecular, Inc. ($IMI)48.3%57.4%66.5%67.5%70.3%
 
Median (65 companies)45.3%47.0%47.2%48.6%50.4%
MaxLinear, Inc ($MXL)61.6%51.7%59.3%49.5%54.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
NVE Corporation ($NVEC)58.8%66.0%61.8%65.6%65.1%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)31.7%35.0%25.4%47.9%65.0%
NXP Semiconductors N.V. ($NXPI)25.7%41.5%21.6%46.2%49.9%
Texas Instruments Incorporated ($TXN)39.7%42.0%43.5%46.7%48.6%
Intel Corp ($INTC)42.8%41.0%35.2%41.7%45.7%
 
Median (66 companies)9.9%11.5%9.2%10.7%9.8%
MaxLinear, Inc ($MXL)-2.8%-1.0%23.1%10.7%15.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited ($AOSL)3.0%6.6%6.5%12.2%42.2%
Renesola Ltd. ($SOL)3.5%0.0%0.0%78.0%41.7%
First Solar, Inc. ($FSLR)7.6%4.0%7.9%17.5%33.0%
Sigma Designs Inc ($SIGM)11.0%6.5%6.2%14.1%29.3%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)19.0%24.8%46.9%23.3%29.2%
 
Median (66 companies)3.6%4.0%3.7%4.7%4.6%
MaxLinear, Inc ($MXL)6.6%1.0%2.2%1.8%2.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
SMART Global Holdings, Inc. ($SGH)2.5%21.5%51.7%
Texas Instruments Incorporated ($TXN)25.1%29.8%34.9%43.1%47.5%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)18.8%15.8%0.8%21.5%42.9%
Applied Materials Inc ($AMAT)15.8%15.2%19.0%31.2%36.4%
NVIDIA Corporation ($NVDA)9.2%13.3%13.1%27.3%35.3%
 
Median (73 companies)5.7%3.8%1.4%3.2%5.2%
MaxLinear, Inc ($MXL)-9.5%-24.1%20.5%-4.0%-2.7%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. ($MTSI)25.4x3.3x3.0x7.2x98.6x
Inphi Corporation ($IPHI)-6.4x4.5x33.7x32.2x
JinkoSolar Holding Company Limited ($JKS)4.2x3.3x4.1x11.0x8.2x
Lattice Semiconductor Corporation ($LSCC)-1.8x6.5x19.0x3.9x
Renesola Ltd. ($SOL)7.0x35.0x123.6x2.3x3.3x
 
Median (45 companies)-0.5x-0.2x0.4x0.4x0.3x
MaxLinear, Inc ($MXL)-0.9x6.1x3.0x