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NIC Inc. reports 12.9% Net Income growth in 2018 and 0.93 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 25.3% to 24.4%

01/30/2019 • About NIC Inc. ($EGOV) • By InTwits

NIC Inc. reported 2018 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • NIC Inc. has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.7%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 3.6%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $14m in 2018, $8m in 2017, $8m in 2016, $5m in 2015, $7m in 2014
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is 39.3%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


NIC Inc.'s Revenue increased on 2.5%. Revenue growth showed slowdown in 18Q4 - it was -5.8% YoY. Revenue decline was accelerating on average at -1.5 pp per annum in 2014-2018. Revenue growth was financed by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased slightly on 0.93 pp from 25.3% to 24.4% in 2018.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in 2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.3 pp from 15.1% to 16.4% in 2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue stuck to a growing trend at 0.46 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Net Income margin increased slightly on 1.6 pp from 15.3% to 16.9% in 2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


NIC Inc.'s CAPEX/Revenue was 4.1% in 2018. The company showed CAPEX/Revenue growth of 2.2 pp from 1.9% in 2015 to 4.1% in 2018. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 3.0%.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROIC (39.3%) and ROE (30.7%). ROIC dropped on 12.8 pp from 52.1% to 39.3% in 2018. ROE decreased on 3.5 pp from 34.2% to 30.7% in 2018. ROIC stuck to a declining trend at -6.0 pp per annum in 2014-2018.

Leverage (Debt)


The company has no debt. Cash surged on 19.2%.

Valuation and dividends


NIC Inc.'s trades at EV/EBITDA 11.3x and P/E 19.6x.

Management team


Harry H Herington is a the company's CEO. Harry H Herington is a founder and has spent 11 years with the company. The company's CFO is Stephen M Kovzan. Stephen M Kovzan has 3 years tenure at the company.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 12/31/2018

NIC Inc. ($EGOV) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue272.1292.4317.9336.5344.92.5%
Gross Profit111.1118.8131.7136.0140.93.5%
SG&A38.943.147.150.856.711.6%
EBITDA72.275.784.685.384.2-1.3%
Net Income39.142.055.851.658.312.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash88.098.4127.0160.8191.719.2%
Short Term Debt0.00.00.00.00.0
Long Term Debt0.00.00.00.00.0
Cash flow
Capex6.95.48.28.314.067.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth9.2%7.5%8.7%5.8%2.5%
EBITDA growth18.5%4.8%11.8%0.8%-1.3%

Gross Margin40.8%40.6%41.4%40.4%40.8%0.4%
EBITDA Margin26.5%25.9%26.6%25.3%24.4%-0.9%
SG&A, % of revenue14.3%14.7%14.8%15.1%16.4%1.3%
Net Income Margin14.4%14.4%17.6%15.3%16.9%1.6%
CAPEX, % of revenue2.5%1.9%2.6%2.5%4.1%1.6%

ROIC64.6%61.2%63.1%52.1%39.3%-12.8%
ROE39.8%38.2%44.7%34.2%30.7%-3.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA-1.2x-1.3x-1.5x-1.9x-2.3x-0.4x

NIC Inc. ($EGOV) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $18Q118Q218Q318Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue87928779 4.3%8.4%3.0%-5.8%
EBITDA23252215 -0.1%14.7%-0.0%-21.9%
Net Income16171610 10.9%33.2%13.4%-9.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash162173181192 31.4%27.6%18.9%19.2%
Short Term Debt0000
Long Term Debt0000
Ratios
Gross Margin41.3%41.7%42.0%38.0% 0.0%1.2%1.8%-1.7%
EBITDA Margin 26.2% 26.5% 25.2% 19.1% -1.1%1.5%-0.8%-3.9%
Net Income Margin 17.9% 18.4% 18.3% 12.5% 1.1%3.4%1.7%-0.5%

Peers in Data Processing & Outsourced S


Below we provide NIC Inc. benchmarking against other companies in Data Processing & Outsourced S industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Verra Mobility Corp ($VRRM)167.8%
StoneCo Ltd ($STNE)74.3%106.0%
PagSeguro Digital Ltd. ($PAGS)107.1%68.7%121.7%71.8%
Payment Data Systems, Inc. ($PYDS)7.4%-16.0%20.7%71.7%
StarTek, Inc. ($SRT)12.8%8.9%-4.8%66.4%
 
Median (55 companies)7.0%7.6%11.8%7.5%
NIC Inc. ($EGOV)7.5%8.7%5.8%2.5%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Verra Mobility Corp ($VRRM)97.4%97.5%
Everi Holdings Inc. ($EVRI)25.8%38.3%36.1%34.5%79.9%
StoneCo Ltd ($STNE)69.7%70.8%79.5%
Paychex, Inc. ($PAYX)70.9%70.5%71.0%70.8%69.9%
Global Payments Inc. ($GPN)62.7%63.2%60.4%51.5%67.5%
 
Median (44 companies)38.4%39.5%39.2%38.9%41.0%
NIC Inc. ($EGOV)40.8%40.6%41.4%40.4%40.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Visa Inc. ($V)64.0%68.9%55.6%69.2%65.8%
FleetCor Technologies, Inc. ($FLT)56.1%50.4%52.0%50.8%55.9%
StoneCo Ltd ($STNE)31.4%26.0%53.0%
Mastercard Incorporated ($MA)57.5%56.3%56.9%56.5%51.8%
Everi Holdings Inc. ($EVRI)9.6%14.7%3.0%20.4%45.2%
 
Median (56 companies)20.4%21.0%21.2%20.6%19.2%
NIC Inc. ($EGOV)26.5%25.9%26.6%25.3%24.4%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Crypto Co/The ($CRCW)0.0%0.0%1,216.6%853.5%
Steel Connect, Inc. ($STCN)0.6%1.5%1.7%1.1%75.6%
Everi Holdings Inc. ($EVRI)3.0%9.3%9.4%9.9%21.9%
StoneCo Ltd ($STNE)7.2%18.4%8.9%
Cardtronics plc ($CATM)10.2%11.9%9.9%9.6%8.0%
 
Median (56 companies)3.1%3.0%3.2%2.9%3.0%
NIC Inc. ($EGOV)2.5%1.9%2.6%2.5%4.1%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
GreenSky, Inc. ($GSKY)156.4%93.7%
Mastercard Incorporated ($MA)63.5%57.5%57.5%60.6%64.7%
Paychex, Inc. ($PAYX)54.5%58.7%61.9%63.9%64.5%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. ($ADP)23.9%28.9%37.9%36.6%37.5%
3PEA International, Inc. ($TPNL)118.8%-0.3%48.2%44.9%36.0%
 
Median (62 companies)13.3%12.8%11.1%10.6%10.2%
NIC Inc. ($EGOV)64.6%61.2%63.1%52.1%39.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
StarTek, Inc. ($SRT)-0.1x2.2x2.3x18.4x
Square, Inc. ($SQ)13.3x
Steel Connect, Inc. ($STCN)-12.5x12.6x
Exela Technologies Inc ($XELAU)8.1x9.7x
Alliance Data Systems Corporation ($ADS)9.3x9.1x10.7x10.1x9.0x
 
Median (54 companies)0.6x0.7x1.6x2.3x2.2x
NIC Inc. ($EGOV)-1.2x-1.3x-1.5x-1.9x-2.3x