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Xerox Corporation Debt decreased on 5.2% and Revenue decreased on 4.2%

01/29/2019 • About Xerox Corporation ($XRX) • By InTwits

Xerox Corporation reported 2018 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Xerox Corporation is a company in decline: 2018 revenue growth was -4.2%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -13.2%
  • Xerox Corporation has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 0.9%.
  • In the last 5 years the company invested considerably less than D&A: $491m vs. $2,845m. In 2018 this situation was still the same: CAPEX was 90 while D&A was 526
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is 8.0%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 3.0x while industry average is -2.8x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Xerox Corporation's Revenue decreased on 4.2%. Revenue decline showed acceleration in 18Q4 - it was 7.8% YoY. Revenue followed a growing trend in the last 5 years. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 5.7 pp from 30.8% to 25.1% in FY2018. During 2014-2018 EBITDA Margin bottomed in 2016 at 12.4% and was growing since that time.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in 2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2018. During the last 5 years SG&A as a % of Revenue topped in 2016 at 25.0% and was declining since that time. Stock Based Compensation (SBC) as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2018. During 2014-2018 SBC as a % of Revenue bottomed in 2015 at 0.24% and was growing since that time.

Net Income margin increased slightly on 1.8 pp from 1.9% to 3.7% in 2018. During 2014-2018 Net Income margin bottomed in 2016 at -4.4% and was growing since that time. The efficient tax rate was 41.6% in 2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 0.92% in 2018. The company showed almost no change in CAPEX/Revenue from 2015 to 2018. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 0.93%.

Accounts receivable as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2018. Inventories as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 0.59 pp from 8.9% to 8.3% in 2018. Accounts payable as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2018.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (8.0%) and ROE (6.7%). ROIC showed almost no change in 2018. ROE increased on 3.1 pp from 3.7% to 6.7% in 2018. During the last 5 years ROE bottomed in 2016 at -6.9% and was growing since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 3.0x Net Debt / EBITDA and 3.8x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA increased slightly on 0.016x from 3.0x to 3.0x in 2018. Debt decreased on 5.2% while cash dropped on 16.2%. Net Debt/EBITDA followed a declining trend at -0.2x per annum in 2014-2018.

Xerox Corporation has good short term financial stability: Interest coverage ratio (ICR) is 3.5x. Xerox Corporation has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (112.8%).

Average interest expence charged on company's debt was 4.7% in 2018.

Valuation and dividends


Xerox Corporation's trades at EV/EBITDA 7.9x and P/E 19.1x.

The company paid 74.5% of Net Income as dividends in 2018. Dividends grew on average at -3.0% per annum in the last 5 years).

Management team


Giovanni Visentin "John" is a the company's CEO. Giovanni Visentin "John" is a founder and has spent 1 year with the company. CEO total compensation was $30,247,600 in 2018 which included $1,122,464 salary and $2,000,000 annual bonus. The company's CFO is William F Osbourn Jr "Bill". William F Osbourn Jr "Bill" has 2 years tenure at the company.

The company has 4.9% shares owned by insiders. Insider ownership didn't change in 2018.

At the end of financial year the company had 32,400 employees. The number of employees decreased on 8.2%. Average revenue per employee in 2018 was $303,395 and it increased on 4.3%.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 12/31/2018

Xerox Corporation ($XRX) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue12,67911,46510,77110,2659,830-4.2%
Gross Profit5,1104,5824,2614,1273,927-4.8%
SG&A3,1332,8652,6952,5262,390-5.4%
EBITDA1,9141,7091,3311,4261,392-2.4%
EBIT1,2751,119768899866-3.7%
Interest expence366346309252244-3.2%
Tax19819362481257-46.6%
Net Income1,013448-47119536185.1%
Stock Based Compensation63275052579.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash1,4111,2282,2231,2931,084-16.2%
Accounts Receivable2,6521,0689611,3571,276-6.0%
Inventory934901841915818-10.6%
Accounts Payable1,5841,3421,1261,1081,091-1.5%
Short Term Debt1,4279621,011282961240.8%
Long Term Debt6,6636,3175,3055,2354,269-18.5%
Cash flow
Capex119849310590-14.3%
Dividends313326331291269-7.6%
Acquisitions24133066
Ratios
Revenue growth-36.6%-9.6%-6.1%-4.7%-4.2%
EBITDA growth-30.3%-10.7%-22.1%7.1%-2.4%

Gross Margin40.3%40.0%39.6%40.2%39.9%-0.3%
EBITDA Margin15.1%14.9%12.4%13.9%14.2%0.3%
EBIT Margin10.1%9.8%7.1%8.8%8.8%0.1%
SG&A, % of revenue24.7%25.0%25.0%24.6%24.3%-0.3%
SBC, % of revenue0.5%0.2%0.5%0.5%0.6%0.1%
Net Income Margin8.0%3.9%-4.4%1.9%3.7%1.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.9%0.7%0.9%1.0%0.9%-0.1%

ROIC6.4%6.3%5.5%8.1%8.0%-0.0%
ROE8.9%4.6%-6.9%3.7%6.7%3.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA3.5x3.5x3.1x3.0x3.0x0.0x
Interest coverage ratio (ICR)3.5x3.2x2.5x3.6x3.5x-0.0x
Interest expence / Average debt4.5%4.5%4.5%4.3%4.7%0.4%
People
Insider ownership4.9%4.9%4.9%4.9%4.9%0.0%
Employees143,600143,60037,60035,30032,400-8.2%
Revenue/Employee, th. $88802862913034.3%

Xerox Corporation ($XRX) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $18Q118Q218Q318Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue2,4352,5102,3522,533 -0.8%-2.2%-5.8%-7.8%
EBITDA302311369409 30.7%-21.5%5.4%-8.9%
Net Income2311289137 -42.5%-32.5%-50.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash1,3981,2631,1571,084 33.8%1.4%-35.0%-16.2%
Short Term Debt678412410961 5,115.4%-46.1%-46.3%240.8%
Long Term Debt4,8114,8134,8154,269 -3.5%8.2%-8.0%-18.5%
Ratios
Gross Margin39.8%39.9%40.1%40.0% 0.1%-0.8%-0.0%-0.3%
EBITDA Margin 12.4% 12.4% 15.7% 16.1% 3.0%-3.0%1.7%-0.2%
Net Income Margin 0.9% 4.5% 3.8% 5.4% -0.7%-2.0%-3.4%12.3%

Peers in Technology Hardware, Storage &


Below we provide Xerox Corporation benchmarking against other companies in Technology Hardware, Storage & industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Crossroads Systems Inc ($CRSS)-90.6%-35.5%-89.5%39,959.5%
Immersion Corporation ($IMMR)19.8%-9.9%-38.7%217.0%
Veritec Inc ($VRTC)-42.2%-28.0%-52.2%53.1%
Boxlight Corporation ($BOXL)-88.5%503.2%26.4%47.0%
Pure Storage, Inc. ($PSTG)308.2%152.4%67.9%38.6%
 
Median (30 companies)-16.9%-3.2%-4.3%2.1%5.6%
Xerox Corporation ($XRX)-9.6%-6.1%-4.7%-4.2%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Immersion Corporation ($IMMR)99.1%99.3%99.7%99.4%99.8%
Pure Storage, Inc. ($PSTG)43.5%55.5%61.9%65.9%65.5%
NetApp, Inc. ($NTAP)62.0%62.6%60.8%61.3%62.7%
Avid Technology, Inc. ($AVID)61.4%60.9%65.0%57.8%57.9%
Datasea Inc ($DTSS)39.3%54.4%
 
Median (29 companies)35.6%35.0%38.5%38.9%38.3%
Xerox Corporation ($XRX)40.3%40.0%39.6%40.2%39.9%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Immersion Corporation ($IMMR)12.3%9.0%-25.1%-127.0%48.6%
Apple Inc. ($AAPL)33.1%35.3%32.7%31.2%30.8%
Western Digital Corporation ($WDC)20.1%18.7%12.5%21.4%27.5%
NetApp, Inc. ($NTAP)16.9%16.7%11.3%15.4%22.9%
Seagate Technology PLC ($STX)19.3%21.1%11.3%16.7%20.0%
 
Median (29 companies)7.1%6.2%3.8%3.5%7.9%
Xerox Corporation ($XRX)15.1%14.9%12.4%13.9%14.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company ($HPE)6.6%6.4%10.8%10.9%9.6%
Pure Storage, Inc. ($PSTG)28.7%24.2%8.9%10.4%6.3%
3D Systems Corporation ($DDD)3.5%3.4%2.6%4.8%5.9%
Apple Inc. ($AAPL)5.2%4.8%5.9%5.4%5.0%
Western Digital Corporation ($WDC)4.2%4.2%4.5%3.0%4.0%
 
Median (29 companies)2.7%3.0%2.0%1.9%2.4%
Xerox Corporation ($XRX)0.9%0.7%0.9%1.0%0.9%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Avid Technology, Inc. ($AVID)252.4%
Ionix Technology Inc ($IINX)23.9%204.5%
Immersion Corporation ($IMMR)7.6%5.8%-21.5%-138.9%96.8%
HP Inc. ($HPQ)8.0%8.7%15.8%60.8%72.9%
NetApp, Inc. ($NTAP)12.5%14.8%7.3%14.0%28.1%
 
Median (37 companies)5.9%5.0%-2.6%0.2%2.2%
Xerox Corporation ($XRX)6.4%6.3%5.5%8.1%8.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
CPI Card Group Inc. ($PMTS)3.4x3.5x5.8x12.4x
NCR Corporation ($NCR)4.9x6.6x2.7x2.3x5.2x
Avid Technology, Inc. ($AVID)-0.7x3.1x1.7x5.6x4.8x
Electronics for Imaging, Inc. ($EFII)-0.2x1.4x1.3x1.6x1.7x
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company ($HPE)-0.1x1.1x0.4x1.2x1.6x
 
Median (19 companies)-0.4x0.3x0.1x0.2x0.2x
Xerox Corporation ($XRX)3.5x3.5x3.1x3.0x3.0x