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Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. reports 1,121% Net Income growth in 2018 and 4.4 pp EBITDA Margin growth from 5.2% to 9.6%

01/29/2019 • About Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. ($AMD) • By InTwits

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. reported FY2018 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is expanding: 9.6% in FY2018 vs. 5.2% in FY2017 vs. 0.9% in FY2014
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 9.6% in FY2018, 5.2% in FY2017, -5.6% in FY2016, -7.9% in FY2015, 0.9% in FY2014
  • Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. spends a lot for Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for FY2014-FY2018 is 1.8%. Average EBITDA Margin for the same period was 1.5%. In FY2018 SBC/Revenue was even higher: 2.1%
  • Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.1%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 7.4%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $112m in FY2018, $163m in FY2017, $73m in FY2016, $34m in FY2015, $36m in FY2014
  • In the last 5 years the company invested considerably less than D&A: $544m vs. $817m
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is 21.6%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 23.3%. Revenue growth showed slowdown in FY18Q4 - it was 5.9% YoY. During FY2014-FY2018 Revenue growth bottomed in FY2015 at -27.5% and was accelerating since that time. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased on 8.3 pp from 23.1% to 31.4% in 2018. During FY2014-FY2018 EBITDA Margin bottomed in FY2015 at -7.9% and was growing since that time.

Gross Margin increased on 3.8 pp from 34.0% to 37.8% in FY2018. During FY2014-FY2018 Gross Margin bottomed in FY2016 at 23.2% and was growing since that time. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 1.1 pp from 9.8% to 8.7% in FY2018. During FY2014-FY2018 SG&A as a % of Revenue topped in FY2015 at 12.1% and was declining since that time. Stock Based Compensation (SBC) as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2018. SBC as a % of Revenue followed a growing trend at 0.16 pp per annum in FY2014-FY2018.

Net Income margin increased on 5.8 pp from -0.63% to 5.2% in FY2018. During the last 5 years Net Income margin bottomed in FY2015 at -16.5% and was growing since that time.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2018 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 2.5%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from FY2015 to FY2018. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 2.2%.

Accounts receivable as a % of Revenue surged on 10.4 pp from 8.6% to 19.1% in FY2018. Inventories as a % of Revenue showed almost no change at 13.1% in FY2018. Accounts payable as a % of Revenue increased on 2.0 pp from 11.1% to 13.1% in FY2018.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROIC (21.6%) and ROE (36.2%). ROIC jumped on 14.3 pp from 7.3% to 21.6% in FY2018. ROE surged on 42.7 pp from -6.5% to 36.2% in FY2018. During FY2014-FY2018 ROIC bottomed in FY2015 at -23.1% and was growing since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 0.3x Net Debt / EBITDA and 2.0x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.5x from 0.8x to 0.3x in FY2018. Debt dropped on 10.4% while cash decreased on 9.0%.

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. has good short term financial stability: Interest coverage ratio (ICR) is 3.7x. Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (792.6%).

Average interest expence charged on company's debt was 9.7% in FY2018.

Valuation and dividends


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 37.8x and P/E 69.1x.

Management team


Lisa T Su is a the company's CEO. Lisa T Su is a founder and has spent 4 years with the company. CEO total compensation was $13,356,392 in FY2018 which included $961,057 salary. Devinder Kumar is a Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.'s CFO. Devinder Kumar has spent 4 years at the company.

0.65% of the company is owned by insiders. Insider ownership didn't change in 2018.

The company has 10,100 employees. The number of employees surged on 13.5%. Average revenue per employee in FY2018 was $641,089 and it increased on 8.6%.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 12/29/2018

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. ($AMD) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue5,5063,9914,3195,2536,47523.3%
Gross Profit1,8391,0801,0031,7872,44736.9%
SG&A6044824665165628.9%
EBITDA48-314-240271621129.2%
EBIT-155-481-373127451255.1%
Interest expence177160156126121-4.0%
Tax5143918-9-150.0%
Net Income-403-660-498-33337
Stock Based Compensation8163869713741.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash8057851,2641,1851,078-9.0%
Accounts Receivable8185333114541,235172.0%
Inventory68567875169484521.8%
Accounts Payable41527944038452837.5%
Short Term Debt17723007013694.3%
Long Term Debt2,0352,0071,4351,3251,114-15.9%
Cash flow
Capex95967711316344.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth3.9%-27.5%8.2%21.6%23.3%
EBITDA growth-85.8%-754.2%-23.6%-212.9%129.2%

Gross Margin33.4%27.1%23.2%34.0%37.8%3.8%
EBITDA Margin0.9%-7.9%-5.6%5.2%9.6%4.4%
EBIT Margin-2.8%-12.1%-8.6%2.4%7.0%4.5%
SG&A, % of revenue11.0%12.1%10.8%9.8%8.7%-1.1%
SBC, % of revenue1.5%1.6%2.0%1.8%2.1%0.3%
Net Income Margin-7.3%-16.5%-11.5%-0.6%5.2%5.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.7%2.4%1.8%2.2%2.5%0.4%

ROIC-6.2%-23.1%-21.7%7.3%21.6%14.3%
ROE-110.3%-6.5%36.2%42.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA29.3x0.8x0.3x-0.5x
Interest coverage ratio (ICR)1.0x3.7x2.7x
Interest expence / Average debt8.0%7.2%8.5%8.9%9.7%0.8%
People
Insider ownership0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.0%
Employees9,1008,9008,90010,10013.5%
Revenue/Employee, th. $4394855906418.6%

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. ($AMD) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $FY18Q1FY18Q2FY18Q3FY18Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue1,6471,7561,6531,419 39.8%52.6%4.4%5.9%
EBITDA16419519171 264.4%473.5%23.2%91.9%
Net Income8111610238 67.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash1,0459481,0461,078 44.7%24.7%19.0%-9.0%
Short Term Debt223223136136 431.0%94.3%94.3%
Long Term Debt1,1651,1701,1671,114 -17.3%-14.9%-13.9%-15.9%
Ratios
Gross Margin36.2%37.1%40.0%37.8% 4.2%3.6%3.9%4.1%
EBITDA Margin 10.0% 11.1% 11.6% 5.0% 6.1%8.2%1.8%2.2%
Net Income Margin 4.9% 6.6% 6.2% 2.7% 7.7%10.3%2.3%4.1%

Peers in Semiconductors


Below we provide Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. benchmarking against other companies in Semiconductors industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
NanoFlex Power Corp ($OPVS)72.5%354.8%
MoSys, Inc. ($MOSY)-18.4%37.2%46.8%87.7%
SMART Global Holdings, Inc. ($SGH)-16.9%42.5%69.3%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)-1.0%-23.4%63.9%49.5%
Adesto Technologies Corporation ($IOTS)4.3%1.6%27.6%48.8%
 
Median (67 companies)54.6%9.7%4.4%10.9%4.7%
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. ($AMD)-27.5%8.2%21.6%23.3%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
CEVA, Inc. ($CEVA)90.2%90.9%91.6%92.1%89.8%
NVE Corporation ($NVEC)77.9%80.3%76.1%78.5%79.0%
Rambus, Inc. ($RMBS)85.9%84.7%80.1%79.9%76.8%
Universal Display Corporation ($OLED)76.0%64.2%83.9%80.8%75.5%
Intermolecular, Inc. ($IMI)48.3%57.4%66.5%67.5%70.3%
 
Median (65 companies)46.4%47.7%48.0%49.1%51.0%
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. ($AMD)33.4%27.1%23.2%34.0%37.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
NVE Corporation ($NVEC)58.8%66.0%61.8%65.6%65.1%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)31.7%35.0%25.4%47.9%65.0%
NXP Semiconductors N.V. ($NXPI)25.7%41.5%21.6%46.2%49.9%
Texas Instruments Incorporated ($TXN)39.7%42.0%43.5%46.7%48.6%
Intel Corp ($INTC)42.8%41.0%35.2%41.7%45.7%
 
Median (66 companies)9.9%11.5%9.2%10.7%10.0%
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. ($AMD)0.9%-7.9%-5.6%5.2%9.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited ($AOSL)3.0%6.6%6.5%12.2%42.2%
Renesola Ltd. ($SOL)3.5%0.0%0.0%78.0%41.7%
First Solar, Inc. ($FSLR)7.6%4.0%7.9%17.5%33.0%
Sigma Designs Inc ($SIGM)11.0%6.5%6.2%14.1%29.3%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)19.0%24.8%46.9%23.3%29.2%
 
Median (66 companies)3.6%4.0%3.7%4.7%4.6%
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. ($AMD)1.7%2.4%1.8%2.2%2.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
SMART Global Holdings, Inc. ($SGH)2.5%21.5%51.7%
Texas Instruments Incorporated ($TXN)25.1%29.8%34.9%43.1%47.5%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)18.8%15.8%0.8%21.5%42.9%
Applied Materials Inc ($AMAT)15.8%15.2%19.0%31.2%36.4%
NVIDIA Corporation ($NVDA)9.2%13.3%13.1%27.3%35.3%
 
Median (73 companies)5.7%3.8%1.7%3.2%3.0%
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. ($AMD)-6.2%-23.1%-21.7%7.3%21.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. ($MTSI)25.4x3.3x3.0x7.2x98.6x
Inphi Corporation ($IPHI)-6.4x4.5x33.7x32.2x
JinkoSolar Holding Company Limited ($JKS)4.2x3.3x4.1x11.0x8.2x
Lattice Semiconductor Corporation ($LSCC)-1.8x6.5x19.0x3.9x
Renesola Ltd. ($SOL)7.0x35.0x123.6x2.3x3.3x
 
Median (45 companies)-0.6x-0.2x0.2x0.4x0.3x
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. ($AMD)29.3x0.8x0.3x