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Track Group Inc EBITDA Margin increased on 9.0 pp from -1.4% to 7.6% in 2018 and Revenue increased on 2.8%

12/19/2018 • About Track Group Inc ($TRCK) • By InTwits

Track Group Inc reported FY2018 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is expanding: 7.6% in FY2018 vs. -1.4% in FY2017 vs. -40.0% in FY2014
  • Track Group Inc motivates its personel by high Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for FY2014-FY2018 was 0.0% while average EBITDA Margin was -6.4% for the sames years
  • Track Group Inc has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 6.7%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 3.6%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $1m in FY2018, $2m in FY2017, $3m in FY2016, $1m in FY2015, $1m in FY2014
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is -4.0%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 12.2x while industry average is -0.8x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Track Group Inc's Revenue increased on 2.8%. Revenue growth showed acceleration in FY18Q4 - it increased 8.0% YoY. During FY2014-FY2018 Revenue growth topped in FY2015 at 69.6% and was decelerating since that time. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 4.0 pp from -35.1% to -31.0% in 2018. EBITDA Margin stuck to a growing trend at 11.2 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Gross Margin increased on 3.8 pp from 52.5% to 56.3% in FY2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 3.1 pp from 48.9% to 51.9% in FY2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue followed a declining trend at -13.6 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Net Income margin decreased slightly on 1.9 pp from -15.9% to -17.8% in FY2018.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2018 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 4.8%. Track Group Inc's CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 2.3 pp from 7.1% in FY2015 to 4.8% in FY2018. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 7.4%. The company maintained rich investment policy and has spent a big chunk of EBITDA (62.8%) to CAPEX. During the last 5 years CAPEX as a % of Revenue topped in FY2016 at 10.9% and was declining since that time.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-4.0%) and ROE (-142.6%). ROIC increased on 7.1 pp from -11.1% to -4.0% in FY2018. ROE dropped on 78.1 pp from -64.4% to -143% in FY2018. ROIC grew at 3.3 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 12.2x and Debt / EBITDA is 14.6x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged12.2x from to 12.2x in FY2018. Debt showed almost no change in FY2018 while cash surged on 169%.

Track Group Inc has short term refinancing risk: cash is only 17.9% of short term debt.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 09/30/2018

Track Group Inc ($TRCK) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue12.26220.79327.19429.72730.5702.8%
Gross Profit7.13712.51116.66115.60117.20210.3%
SG&A12.89116.24116.98214.52815.8799.3%
EBITDA-4.902-3.826-0.939-0.4112.326
Net Income-8.748-5.669-8.496-4.726-5.428
Balance Sheet
Cash11.1024.9031.7702.0275.447168.7%
Short Term Debt25.8680.7963.24630.27130.4380.6%
Long Term Debt2.70030.18930.3463.4813.429-1.5%
Cash flow
Capex0.5441.4662.9661.9241.460-24.1%
Ratios
Revenue growth-21.6%69.6%30.8%9.3%2.8%
EBITDA growth-411.9%-21.9%-75.5%-56.2%-665.3%

Gross Margin58.2%60.2%61.3%52.5%56.3%3.8%
EBITDA Margin-40.0%-18.4%-3.5%-1.4%7.6%9.0%
SG&A, % of revenue105.1%78.1%62.4%48.9%51.9%3.1%
Net Income Margin-71.3%-27.3%-31.2%-15.9%-17.8%-1.9%
CAPEX, % of revenue4.4%7.1%10.9%6.5%4.8%-1.7%

ROIC-18.2%-16.1%-12.0%-11.1%-4.0%7.1%
ROE-39.9%-33.1%-73.7%-64.4%-142.6%-78.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA12.2x

Track Group Inc ($TRCK) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $FY18Q1FY18Q2FY18Q3FY18Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue7788 -2.4%1.3%4.5%8.0%
EBITDA1001 112.5%216.3%
Net Income-1-2-2-1 -348.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash2355 -29.4%20.0%175.1%
Short Term Debt30303030 834.2%44,177.0%48,611.5%
Long Term Debt3333 -88.6%-89.7%-89.8%
Ratios
Gross Margin59.7%55.0%54.8%55.7% 13.5%-1.1%4.0%7.6%
EBITDA Margin 9.6% 4.0% 2.8% 13.6% 20.4%2.1%3.7%9.0%
Net Income Margin -13.9% -23.7% -24.2% -9.8% 20.2%-1.8%-34.3%7.2%

Peers in Electronic Equipment & Instrum


Below you can find Track Group Inc benchmarking vs. other companies in Electronic Equipment & Instrum industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Hickok Inc ($HICKA)-7.2%13.5%258.4%178.7%
Electro Scientific Industries, Inc. ($ESIO)-12.2%15.9%-12.7%128.5%
Microvision, Inc. ($MVIS)163.6%60.7%-34.7%82.8%
Ipsidy Inc ($IDTY)66.2%
Magal Security Systems Ltd. ($MAGS)-17.8%6.4%-5.2%44.0%
 
Median (61 companies)-78.5%3.5%0.3%3.6%10.4%
Track Group Inc ($TRCK)69.6%30.8%9.3%2.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Intellicheck, Inc. ($IDN)58.2%57.1%80.0%85.5%91.3%
Image Sensing Systems, Inc. ($ISNS)74.7%77.1%71.0%79.9%80.9%
National Instruments Corporation ($NATI)74.4%74.1%74.5%74.5%75.4%
Cognex Corporation ($CGNX)77.9%77.2%75.2%75.6%74.4%
Applied DNA Sciences Inc ($APDN)82.2%77.3%69.1%
 
Median (60 companies)41.7%41.8%40.1%41.5%40.9%
Track Group Inc ($TRCK)58.2%60.2%61.3%52.5%56.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Cognex Corporation ($CGNX)32.9%30.1%31.9%36.0%30.1%
Coherent, Inc. ($COHR)14.2%16.7%18.9%24.9%26.6%
Hollysys Automation Technologies, Ltd. ($HOLI)21.3%26.9%23.5%16.1%23.9%
Electro Scientific Industries, Inc. ($ESIO)-10.1%-19.1%-2.0%-17.8%23.1%
FLIR Systems, Inc. ($FLIR)20.7%22.8%21.3%20.0%21.7%
 
Median (60 companies)5.5%5.2%3.4%5.1%3.3%
Track Group Inc ($TRCK)-40.0%-18.4%-3.5%-1.4%7.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Wrap Technologies Inc ($WRTC)61.4%
ClearSign Combustion Corporation ($CLIR)80.3%22.1%17.4%17.7%
LightPath Technologies, Inc. ($LPTH)16.8%5.0%6.5%7.8%7.7%
Giga-tronics Inc ($GIGA)1.7%0.1%1.3%0.3%7.0%
Applied DNA Sciences Inc ($APDN)8.4%3.9%16.1%3.1%6.8%
 
Median (60 companies)1.8%1.9%2.1%1.6%2.2%
Track Group Inc ($TRCK)4.4%7.1%10.9%6.5%4.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Evans & Sutherland Computer Corp ($ESCC)83.3%39.6%55.3%
Electro Scientific Industries, Inc. ($ESIO)-11.7%-19.7%-7.1%-22.9%31.5%
Coherent, Inc. ($COHR)9.9%13.1%15.6%24.0%21.5%
Zebra Technologies Corporation ($ZBRA)3.3%0.9%2.2%10.2%20.8%
Cognex Corporation ($CGNX)18.3%15.6%17.7%25.6%20.1%
 
Median (72 companies)3.3%2.3%2.2%3.3%1.3%
Track Group Inc ($TRCK)-18.2%-16.1%-12.0%-11.1%-4.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Itron, Inc. ($ITRI)2.1x1.9x1.0x2.0x12.3x
Mesa Laboratories, Inc. ($MLAB)0.7x1.1x1.7x2.0x3.5x
Trimble Inc. ($TRMB)1.3x1.7x1.1x1.3x3.4x
MTS Systems Corporation ($MTSC)-0.0x-0.4x5.8x3.9x3.2x
OSI Systems, Inc. ($OSIS)-0.0x-0.2x0.3x1.7x2.2x
 
Median (35 companies)-0.8x-0.9x-0.8x-0.7x-0.9x
Track Group Inc ($TRCK)12.2x