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Adobe Inc. Net Income jumped on 52.9% and EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.1 pp from 34.2% to 35.3%

12/13/2018 • About Adobe Inc. ($ADBE) • By InTwits

Adobe Inc. reported FY2018 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Adobe Inc. is a fast growth stock: FY2018 revenue growth was 23.7%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 17.4% at FY2018 ROIC 23.3%
  • EBITDA Margin is expanding: 35.3% in FY2018 vs. 34.2% in FY2017 vs. 17.5% in FY2014
  • Adobe Inc. spends a lot for Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for FY2014-FY2018 is 6.2%. Average EBITDA Margin for the same period was 30.4%. In FY2018 SBC/Revenue was even higher: 6.8%
  • Adobe Inc. has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.3%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 3.1%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $1,736m in FY2018, $2,021m in FY2017, $1,189m in FY2016, $1,391m in FY2015, $580m in FY2014
  • In the last 5 years the company invested considerably less than D&A: $982m vs. $1,657m. In FY2018 this situation was still the same: CAPEX was 267 while D&A was 346
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is 23.3%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 0.8x while industry average is -2.2x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Adobe Inc.'s Revenue surged on 23.7%. Revenue growth showed small slowdown in FY18Q4 - it was 22.8% YoY. Revenue growth was accelerating on average by 5.2 pp per annum in FY2014-FY2018. Revenue growth happened at the same time with EBITDA margin expansion. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.1 pp from 34.2% to 35.3% in FY2018. EBITDA Margin grew at 4.4 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 0.61 pp from 86.2% to 86.8% in FY2018. Gross Margin stuck to a growing trend at 0.52 pp per annum in FY2014-FY2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 1.4 pp from 38.7% to 37.3% in FY2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue declined at -3.9 pp per annum in FY2014-FY2018. Stock Based Compensation (SBC) as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.57 pp from 6.2% to 6.8% in FY2018. During the last 5 years SBC as a % of Revenue bottomed in FY2016 at 4.7% and was growing since that time.

Net Income margin increased on 5.5 pp from 23.2% to 28.7% in FY2018. Net Income margin grew at 5.5 pp per annum in FY2014-FY2018. The efficient tax rate was 7.3% in FY2018 while the average for the last five years was 16.4%.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2018 Adobe Inc. had CAPEX/Revenue of 3.0%. CAPEX/Revenue decreased slightly on 0.90 pp from 3.9% in FY2015 to 3.0% in FY2018. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 3.0%.

Accounts receivable as a % of Revenue decreased on 2.1 pp from 16.7% to 14.6% in FY2018. Accounts payable as a % of Revenue increased on 4.4 pp from 11.2% to 15.6% in FY2018.

Adobe Inc. has spent $6,314m on M&A in FY2018 which accounts for 69.9% of revenue.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROIC (23.3%) and ROE (29.1%). ROIC increased slightly on 2.0 pp from 21.3% to 23.3% in FY2018. ROE increased on 7.7 pp from 21.3% to 29.1% in FY2018. ROIC stuck to a growing trend at 4.8 pp per annum in the last 5 years. ROE followed a growing trend at 6.2 pp per annum in FY2014-FY2018.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 0.8x and Debt / EBITDA is 1.3x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 0.9x from -0.2x to 0.8x in FY2018. Debt jumped on 119% while cash dropped on 28.8%.

Adobe Inc. has good short term financial stability: Interest coverage ratio (ICR) is 31.8x. The company has no short term refinancing risk: short term debt is zero.

Average interest expence paid by the company was 2.2% in FY2018.

Valuation and dividends


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 34.3x and P/E 41.2x.

Management team


The company's CEO is Shantanu Narayen. Shantanu Narayen has 0 years tenure with the company. CEO total compensation was $28,397,528 in FY2018 which included $1,000,000 salary. John F Murphy is a the company's CFO. John F Murphy has spent 0 years at the company.

At the end of financial year the company had 0.31% shares owned by insiders. Insider ownership didn't change in 2018.

The company has 21,357 employees. The number of employees surged on 18.8%. Average revenue per employee in FY2018 was $422,813 and it increased on 4.1%.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 11/30/2018

Adobe Inc. ($ADBE) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue4,1474,7965,8547,3029,03023.7%
Gross Profit3,5254,0515,0356,2917,83524.5%
SG&A2,1962,2172,4862,8223,36619.3%
EBITDA7261,2431,8252,4943,18727.8%
EBIT4139031,4942,1682,84031.0%
Interest expence606470748919.9%
Tax93244266444203-54.2%
Net Income2686301,1691,6942,59152.9%
Stock Based Compensation33426827545161035.0%
Balance Sheet
Cash1,1178771,0112,3061,643-28.8%
Accounts Receivable5926728331,2181,3168.0%
Accounts Payable68938811418664.0%
Short Term Debt6030000
Long Term Debt9111,9071,8921,8814,125119.2%
Cash flow
Capex14818520417826749.7%
Acquisitions30826484606,3141,273.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth2.3%15.6%22.1%24.7%23.7%
EBITDA growth-2.4%71.1%46.9%36.7%27.8%

Gross Margin85.0%84.5%86.0%86.2%86.8%0.6%
EBITDA Margin17.5%25.9%31.2%34.2%35.3%1.1%
EBIT Margin10.0%18.8%25.5%29.7%31.5%1.8%
SG&A, % of revenue52.9%46.2%42.5%38.7%37.3%-1.4%
SBC, % of revenue8.0%5.6%4.7%6.2%6.8%0.6%
Net Income Margin6.5%13.1%20.0%23.2%28.7%5.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue3.6%3.9%3.5%2.4%3.0%0.5%

ROIC4.8%10.2%15.9%21.3%23.3%2.0%
ROE4.0%9.1%16.2%21.3%29.1%7.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.5x0.8x0.5x-0.2x0.8x0.9x
Interest expence / Average debt3.9%3.8%3.7%3.9%2.2%-1.8%
People
Insider ownership0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.0%
Employees12,49913,89315,70617,97321,35718.8%
Revenue/Employee, th. $3323453734064234.1%

Adobe Inc. ($ADBE) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $FY18Q1FY18Q2FY18Q3FY18Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue2,0792,1952,2912,465 23.6%23.9%24.4%22.8%
EBITDA779775805827 41.7%16.3%1.9%-15.2%
Net Income583663666678 46.3%77.1%58.8%35.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash2,6672,9881,7471,643 149.5%126.9%-1.5%-28.8%
Short Term Debt0000
Long Term Debt1,8751,8741,8754,125 -0.5%-0.8%-0.8%119.2%
Ratios
Gross Margin87.5%87.2%87.1%85.4% 1.7%0.7%1.4%-1.1%
EBITDA Margin 37.5% 35.3% 35.2% 33.6% 4.8%-2.3%-7.8%-15.0%
Net Income Margin 28.0% 30.2% 29.1% 27.5% 4.4%9.1%6.3%2.5%

Peers in Application Software


Below we provide Adobe Inc. benchmarking against other companies in Application Software industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
nFusz Inc ($FUSZ)433.3%
CloudCommerce Inc ($CLWD)-38.1%247.6%40.9%301.1%
Seven Stars Cloud Group, Inc. ($SSC)134.7%663.8%310.3%161.7%
Aurora Mobile Limited ($JG)304.9%150.8%
Intelligent Systems Corporation ($INS)14.2%71.0%12.2%119.0%
 
Median (150 companies)27.9%13.5%13.6%14.8%15.2%
Adobe Inc. ($ADBE)15.6%22.1%24.7%23.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Skkynet Cloud Systems Inc ($SKKY)99.7%97.4%98.0%97.6%96.5%
hopTo Inc ($HPTO)91.8%87.8%95.9%98.2%95.4%
Aware, Inc. ($AWRE)75.4%87.2%90.3%94.6%92.3%
Alteryx, Inc. ($AYX)77.5%80.5%81.3%83.4%91.0%
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)86.5%88.7%89.7%90.2%89.9%
 
Median (149 companies)62.8%61.7%63.8%64.4%65.3%
Adobe Inc. ($ADBE)85.0%84.5%86.0%86.2%86.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)34.5%42.2%46.0%45.2%43.3%
ANSYS, Inc. ($ANSS)45.9%45.8%45.1%41.9%41.4%
Paycom Software, Inc. ($PAYC)15.1%19.5%35.1%34.4%35.9%
j2 Global, Inc. ($JCOM)41.6%40.6%41.7%36.5%35.7%
Intelligent Systems Corporation ($INS)-51.1%-54.5%-5.4%-12.8%33.6%
 
Median (151 companies)-10.3%-10.7%-5.3%-4.2%-3.3%
Adobe Inc. ($ADBE)17.5%25.9%31.2%34.2%35.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
TimefireVR Inc ($TFVR)0.0%350.5%4.3%1,021.9%
MGT Capital Investments Inc ($MGTI)0.0%36.5%221.4%129.8%344.5%
Integrated Ventures Inc ($INTV)199.9%
ShotSpotter, Inc. ($SSTI)18.3%28.9%27.1%24.3%
Ellie Mae, Inc. ($ELLI)12.3%20.6%16.7%21.1%19.4%
 
Median (152 companies)2.8%2.7%2.9%2.3%2.4%
Adobe Inc. ($ADBE)3.6%3.9%3.5%2.4%3.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
InsPro Technologies Corp ($ITCC)-558.9%127.4%
Manhattan Associates, Inc. ($MANH)64.8%78.7%99.3%102.5%80.9%
Intuit Inc. ($INTU)34.2%23.7%52.1%72.6%66.8%
Aspen Technology, Inc. ($AZPN)133.4%58.1%
Paycom Software, Inc. ($PAYC)16.7%30.5%75.4%51.1%47.5%
 
Median (178 companies)-14.4%-13.1%-9.8%-11.8%-9.8%
Adobe Inc. ($ADBE)4.8%10.2%15.9%21.3%23.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Upland Software, Inc. ($UPLD)16.4x115.6x16.7x
Nuance Communications, Inc. ($NUAN)7.9x5.7x5.3x7.1x15.2x
Asure Software Inc ($ASUR)3.4x4.5x3.6x9.5x14.5x
SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc. ($SSNC)1.7x7.3x4.6x3.1x8.5x
Avaya Holdings Corp. ($AVYA)7.4x
 
Median (69 companies)-1.4x-1.0x-0.9x-0.9x-0.7x
Adobe Inc. ($ADBE)0.5x0.8x0.5x-0.2x0.8x