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Maximus, Inc. EBITDA decreased on 6.2% and EBITDA Margin decreased slightly on 0.61 pp from 15.6% to 15.0%

11/20/2018 • About Maximus, Inc. ($MMS) • By InTwits

Maximus, Inc. reported FY2018 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • EBITDA Margin is relatively stable: 15.0% in FY2018 vs. 15.6% in FY2017 vs. 16.1% in FY2014
  • Maximus, Inc. has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.2%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 7.6%
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $27m in FY2018, $24m in FY2017, $46m in FY2016, $105m in FY2015, $36m in FY2014
  • In the last 5 years the company invested considerably less than D&A: $238m vs. $307m. In FY2018 this situation was still the same: CAPEX was 27 while D&A was 62
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is 28.3%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 2.4%. Revenue decline showed acceleration in FY18Q4 - it was 10.1% YoY. Revenue decline was accelerating on average at -8.2 pp per annum in FY2014-FY2018. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased slightly on 0.61 pp from 15.6% to 15.0% in FY2018.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in FY2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2018. During the last 5 years SG&A as a % of Revenue bottomed in FY2016 at 11.2% and was growing since that time. Stock Based Compensation (SBC) as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2018.

Net Income margin increased slightly on 0.68 pp from 8.5% to 9.2% in FY2018. During FY2014-FY2018 Net Income margin bottomed in FY2016 at 7.4% and was growing since that time. The efficient tax rate was 26.2% in FY2018 while the average for the last five years was 33.9%.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


Maximus, Inc.'s CAPEX/Revenue was 1.1% in FY2018. The company showed decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 3.9 pp from 5.0% in FY2015 to 1.1% in FY2018. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.3%.

Accounts receivable as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 1.3 pp from 17.6% to 16.3% in FY2018.

Maximus, Inc. has spent $0m on M&A in FY2018 which accounts for 0.0066% of revenue.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROIC (28.3%) and ROE (21.8%). ROIC decreased on 4.5 pp from 32.8% to 28.3% in FY2018. ROE decreased on 3.0 pp from 24.8% to 21.8% in FY2018. ROIC followed a declining trend at -2.6 pp per annum in the last 5 years. ROE stuck to a declining trend at -1.2 pp per annum in FY2014-FY2018.

Leverage (Debt)


The company paid down all the debt in FY2018. Cash jumped on 110%.

Valuation and dividends


Maximus, Inc.'s trades at EV/EBITDA 11.2x and P/E 19.7x.

The company paid 5.4% of Net Income as dividends in FY2018. Dividends grew on average at 0.0% per annum in the last 5 years).

Management team


Maximus, Inc.'s CEO is Bruce L Caswell. Bruce L Caswell is a founder and has 1 year tenure with the company. CEO total compensation was $4,068,750 in FY2018 which included $1,555,000 salary. Maximus, Inc.'s CFO is Richard J Nadeau. Richard J Nadeau has 5 years tenure at the company.

The company has 1.9% shares owned by insiders. Insider ownership didn't change in 2018.

The company has 18,600 employees. The number of employees decreased on 8.8%. Average revenue per employee in FY2018 was $128,615 and it increased on 7.0%.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 09/30/2018

Maximus, Inc. ($MMS) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue1,7012,1002,4032,4512,392-2.4%
Gross Profit452513562612594-2.9%
SG&A2272392682852850.3%
EBITDA274316358381358-6.2%
EBIT225260287314295-5.8%
Tax8210010610278-23.2%
Net Income1451581782092215.4%
Stock Based Compensation1717192120-5.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash1587566166349110.1%
Accounts Receivable290427481431389-9.7%
Short Term Debt00000-100.0%
Long Term Debt021116510-100.0%
Cash flow
Capex361054624279.8%
Dividends12121212120.0%
Acquisitions32894730-94.1%
Ratios
Revenue growth27.8%23.5%14.5%2.0%-2.4%
EBITDA growth24.0%15.3%13.4%6.4%-6.2%

Gross Margin26.6%24.4%23.4%25.0%24.8%-0.1%
EBITDA Margin16.1%15.1%14.9%15.6%15.0%-0.6%
EBIT Margin13.2%12.4%11.9%12.8%12.4%-0.4%
SG&A, % of revenue13.3%11.4%11.2%11.6%11.9%0.3%
SBC, % of revenue1.0%0.8%0.8%0.9%0.8%-0.0%
Net Income Margin8.6%7.5%7.4%8.5%9.2%0.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue2.1%5.0%1.9%1.0%1.1%0.1%

ROIC39.6%36.6%32.3%32.8%28.3%-4.5%
ROE26.8%27.0%26.2%24.8%21.8%-3.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.6x0.4x0.3x-0.4x-1.0x-0.5x
People
Insider ownership1.9%1.9%1.9%1.9%1.9%0.0%
Employees13,00017,00018,80020,40018,600-8.8%
Revenue/Employee, th. $1311241281201297.0%

Maximus, Inc. ($MMS) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $FY18Q1FY18Q2FY18Q3FY18Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue623613598558 2.6%-1.5%-0.4%-10.1%
EBITDA96879876 4.8%-12.0%-0.1%-17.6%
Net Income59556046 26.6%5.7%5.2%-13.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash197253229349 182.2%166.9%119.4%110.1%
Ratios
Gross Margin24.4%24.3%25.9%24.9% 0.6%-0.2%0.5%-1.3%
EBITDA Margin 15.4% 14.2% 16.4% 13.7% 0.3%-1.7%0.1%-1.2%
Net Income Margin 9.5% 9.1% 10.0% 8.3% 1.8%0.6%0.5%-0.3%

Peers in Data Processing & Outsourced S


Below you can find Maximus, Inc. benchmarking vs. other companies in Data Processing & Outsourced S industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Verra Mobility Corp ($VRRM)167.8%
StoneCo Ltd ($STNE)74.3%106.0%
PagSeguro Digital Ltd. ($PAGS)107.1%68.7%121.7%71.8%
Payment Data Systems, Inc. ($PYDS)7.4%-16.0%20.7%71.7%
StarTek, Inc. ($SRT)12.8%8.9%-4.8%66.4%
 
Median (55 companies)7.0%7.6%11.8%7.5%
Maximus, Inc. ($MMS)23.5%14.5%2.0%-2.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Verra Mobility Corp ($VRRM)97.4%97.5%
Everi Holdings Inc. ($EVRI)25.8%38.3%36.1%34.5%79.9%
StoneCo Ltd ($STNE)69.7%70.8%79.5%
Paychex, Inc. ($PAYX)70.9%70.5%71.0%70.8%69.9%
Global Payments Inc. ($GPN)62.7%63.2%60.4%51.5%67.5%
 
Median (44 companies)39.3%39.6%39.5%39.5%41.0%
Maximus, Inc. ($MMS)26.6%24.4%23.4%25.0%24.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Visa Inc. ($V)64.0%68.9%55.6%69.2%65.8%
FleetCor Technologies, Inc. ($FLT)56.1%50.4%52.0%50.8%55.9%
StoneCo Ltd ($STNE)31.4%26.0%53.0%
Mastercard Incorporated ($MA)57.5%56.3%56.9%56.5%51.8%
Everi Holdings Inc. ($EVRI)9.6%14.7%3.0%20.4%45.2%
 
Median (56 companies)20.6%21.2%21.3%21.1%19.4%
Maximus, Inc. ($MMS)16.1%15.1%14.9%15.6%15.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Crypto Co/The ($CRCW)0.0%0.0%1,216.6%853.5%
Steel Connect, Inc. ($STCN)0.6%1.5%1.7%1.1%75.6%
Everi Holdings Inc. ($EVRI)3.0%9.3%9.4%9.9%21.9%
StoneCo Ltd ($STNE)7.2%18.4%8.9%
Cardtronics plc ($CATM)10.2%11.9%9.9%9.6%8.0%
 
Median (56 companies)3.1%3.0%3.2%2.9%3.2%
Maximus, Inc. ($MMS)2.1%5.0%1.9%1.0%1.1%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
GreenSky, Inc. ($GSKY)156.4%93.7%
Mastercard Incorporated ($MA)63.5%57.5%57.5%60.6%64.7%
Paychex, Inc. ($PAYX)54.5%58.7%61.9%63.9%64.5%
NIC Inc. ($EGOV)64.6%61.2%63.1%52.1%39.3%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. ($ADP)23.9%28.9%37.9%36.6%37.5%
 
Median (62 companies)13.3%12.8%11.1%10.6%10.2%
Maximus, Inc. ($MMS)39.6%36.6%32.3%32.8%28.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
StarTek, Inc. ($SRT)-0.1x2.2x2.3x18.4x
Square, Inc. ($SQ)13.3x
Steel Connect, Inc. ($STCN)-12.5x12.6x
Exela Technologies Inc ($XELAU)8.1x9.7x
Alliance Data Systems Corporation ($ADS)9.3x9.1x10.7x10.1x9.0x
 
Median (54 companies)0.6x0.7x1.6x2.3x2.2x
Maximus, Inc. ($MMS)-0.6x0.4x0.3x-0.4x-1.0x