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Analog Devices, Inc. reports 106% Net Income growth in 2018 and 11.1 pp EBITDA Margin growth from 32.1% to 43.2%

11/20/2018 • About Analog Devices, Inc. ($ADI) • By InTwits

Analog Devices, Inc. reported FY2018 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • Analog Devices, Inc. is a fast growth stock: FY2018 revenue growth was 21.4%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 18.7% at FY2018 ROIC 9.9%
  • Analog Devices, Inc. has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.5%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 7.6%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $622m in FY2018, $345m in FY2017, $253m in FY2016, $215m in FY2015, $241m in FY2014
  • In the last 5 years the company invested considerably less than D&A: $918m vs. $1,957m. In FY2018 this situation was still the same: CAPEX was 255 while D&A was 799
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is 9.9%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 2.1x while industry average is 2.0x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue surged on 21.4%. Revenue growth showed slowdown in FY18Q4 - it was 3.6% YoY. Revenue growth happened at the same time with EBITDA margin expansion. EBITDA Margin jumped on 11.1 pp from 32.1% to 43.2% in FY2018.

Gross Margin increased on 8.3 pp from 59.9% to 68.3% in FY2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 2.3 pp from 13.5% to 11.2% in FY2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue stuck to a declining trend at -0.97 pp per annum in FY2014-FY2018. Stock Based Compensation (SBC) as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2018. SBC as a % of Revenue grew at 0.36 pp per annum in FY2014-FY2018.

Net Income margin increased on 9.9 pp from 14.2% to 24.1% in FY2018. The efficient tax rate was 8.7% in FY2018 while the average for the last five years was 11.1%.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2018 Analog Devices, Inc. had CAPEX/Revenue of 4.1%. The company showed almost no change in CAPEX/Revenue from FY2015 to FY2018. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.9%. During the last 5 years CAPEX as a % of Revenue bottomed in FY2016 at 3.7% and was growing since that time.

Accounts receivable as a % of Revenue decreased on 3.2 pp from 13.5% to 10.3% in FY2018. Inventories as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 1.3 pp from 10.8% to 9.5% in FY2018. Accounts payable as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.7 pp from 11.6% to 13.3% in FY2018.

Analog Devices, Inc. has spent $53m on M&A in FY2018 which accounts for 0.85% of revenue.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (14.1%) while ROIC is low (9.9%). ROIC increased slightly on 2.0 pp from 7.9% to 9.9% in FY2018. ROE increased on 4.7 pp from 9.5% to 14.1% in FY2018.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 2.1x and Debt / EBITDA is 2.4x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 2.1x from 4.2x to 2.1x in FY2018. Debt dropped on 19.3% while cash dropped on 22.1%.

Analog Devices, Inc. has good short term financial stability: Interest coverage ratio (ICR) is 7.4x. Analog Devices, Inc. has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (1,218.8%).

Average interest expence charged on company's debt was 4.0% in FY2018.

Valuation and dividends


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 14.5x and P/E 22.2x.

The company paid 47.0% of Net Income as dividends in FY2018. Dividends grew on average at 9.1% per annum in the last 5 years).

Management team


Vincent T Roche is a the company's CEO. Vincent T Roche is a founder and has spent 6 years with the company. CEO total compensation was $11,007,691 in FY2018 which included $984,615 salary. Analog Devices, Inc.'s CFO Prashanth Mahendra-Rajah has spent 1 year with the company.

Insider ownership is 0.33%. Insider ownership didn't change in 2018.

At the end of financial year the company had 15,800 employees. The number of employees increased on 3.3%. Average revenue per employee in FY2018 was $392,465 and it jumped on 17.6%.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 11/03/2018

Analog Devices, Inc. ($ADI) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue2,8653,4353,4215,1086,20121.4%
Gross Profit1,8302,2592,2273,0624,23338.3%
SG&A4554794616916960.7%
EBITDA8941,0531,2381,6392,68163.5%
EBIT7528311,0281,0551,88278.3%
Interest expence3527892512541.1%
Tax1001139510114341.4%
Net Income6296978627271,495105.6%
Stock Based Compensation29446310415145.1%
Balance Sheet
Cash5698849211,048817-22.1%
Accounts Receivable397467478689640-7.1%
Inventory3684123775515876.5%
Accounts Payable13917417123726110.3%
Short Term Debt0375030067-77.7%
Long Term Debt8734951,7327,5516,266-17.0%
Cash flow
Capex17815412720425524.9%
Dividends45449151360270316.8%
Acquisitions1,9467839,63353-99.5%
Ratios
Revenue growth8.8%19.9%-0.4%49.3%21.4%
EBITDA growth3.6%17.7%17.6%32.4%63.5%

Gross Margin63.9%65.8%65.1%59.9%68.3%8.3%
EBITDA Margin31.2%30.7%36.2%32.1%43.2%11.1%
EBIT Margin26.3%24.2%30.0%20.7%30.3%9.7%
SG&A, % of revenue15.9%13.9%13.5%13.5%11.2%-2.3%
SBC, % of revenue1.0%1.3%1.9%2.0%2.4%0.4%
Net Income Margin22.0%20.3%25.2%14.2%24.1%9.9%
CAPEX, % of revenue6.2%4.5%3.7%4.0%4.1%0.1%

ROIC13.0%13.8%15.7%7.9%9.9%2.0%
ROE13.3%14.2%16.8%9.5%14.1%4.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.3x-0.0x0.7x4.2x2.1x-2.1x
Interest expence / Average debt4.0%3.1%6.8%5.2%4.0%-1.2%
People
Insider ownership0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.0%
Employees9,6009,70010,00015,30015,8003.3%
Revenue/Employee, th. $29835434233439217.6%

Analog Devices, Inc. ($ADI) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $FY18Q1FY18Q2FY18Q3FY18Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue1,5671,5641,5731,597 59.2%36.2%9.7%3.6%
EBITDA640702699715 99.7%147.8%75.9%12.0%
Net Income293400414433 35.1%327.9%501.4%24.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash828807773817 -83.4%-85.8%-15.0%-22.1%
Short Term Debt50562367 -98.7%-77.7%
Long Term Debt7,3856,9266,5336,266 94.1%-19.2%-20.3%-17.0%
Ratios
Gross Margin68.4%68.6%68.1%68.5% 2.5%12.8%14.6%3.2%
EBITDA Margin 40.9% 44.9% 44.4% 44.8% 8.3%20.2%16.7%3.4%
Net Income Margin 18.7% 25.6% 26.4% 27.1% -3.3%17.5%21.5%4.6%

Peers in Semiconductors


Below you can find Analog Devices, Inc. benchmarking vs. other companies in Semiconductors industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
NanoFlex Power Corp ($OPVS)72.5%354.8%
MoSys, Inc. ($MOSY)-18.4%37.2%46.8%87.7%
SMART Global Holdings, Inc. ($SGH)-16.9%42.5%69.3%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)-1.0%-23.4%63.9%49.5%
Adesto Technologies Corporation ($IOTS)4.3%1.6%27.6%48.8%
 
Median (67 companies)54.6%8.5%5.2%10.9%4.7%
Analog Devices, Inc. ($ADI)19.9%-0.4%49.3%21.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
CEVA, Inc. ($CEVA)90.2%90.9%91.6%92.1%89.8%
NVE Corporation ($NVEC)77.9%80.3%76.1%78.5%79.0%
Rambus, Inc. ($RMBS)85.9%84.7%80.1%79.9%76.8%
Universal Display Corporation ($OLED)76.0%64.2%83.9%80.8%75.5%
Intermolecular, Inc. ($IMI)48.3%57.4%66.5%67.5%70.3%
 
Median (65 companies)45.3%47.0%47.2%48.6%50.4%
Analog Devices, Inc. ($ADI)63.9%65.8%65.1%59.9%68.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
NVE Corporation ($NVEC)58.8%66.0%61.8%65.6%65.1%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)31.7%35.0%25.4%47.9%65.0%
NXP Semiconductors N.V. ($NXPI)25.7%41.5%21.6%46.2%49.9%
Texas Instruments Incorporated ($TXN)39.7%42.0%43.5%46.7%48.6%
Intel Corp ($INTC)42.8%41.0%35.2%41.7%45.7%
 
Median (66 companies)9.6%11.3%9.2%10.7%9.8%
Analog Devices, Inc. ($ADI)31.2%30.7%36.2%32.1%43.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited ($AOSL)3.0%6.6%6.5%12.2%42.2%
Renesola Ltd. ($SOL)3.5%0.0%0.0%78.0%41.7%
First Solar, Inc. ($FSLR)7.6%4.0%7.9%17.5%33.0%
Sigma Designs Inc ($SIGM)11.0%6.5%6.2%14.1%29.3%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)19.0%24.8%46.9%23.3%29.2%
 
Median (66 companies)3.6%4.0%3.6%4.7%4.6%
Analog Devices, Inc. ($ADI)6.2%4.5%3.7%4.0%4.1%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
SMART Global Holdings, Inc. ($SGH)2.5%21.5%51.7%
Texas Instruments Incorporated ($TXN)25.1%29.8%34.9%43.1%47.5%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)18.8%15.8%0.8%21.5%42.9%
Applied Materials Inc ($AMAT)15.8%15.2%19.0%31.2%36.4%
NVIDIA Corporation ($NVDA)9.2%13.3%13.1%27.3%35.3%
 
Median (73 companies)5.0%3.8%1.4%3.2%3.0%
Analog Devices, Inc. ($ADI)13.0%13.8%15.7%7.9%9.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. ($MTSI)25.4x3.3x3.0x7.2x98.6x
Inphi Corporation ($IPHI)-6.4x4.5x33.7x32.2x
JinkoSolar Holding Company Limited ($JKS)4.2x3.3x4.1x11.0x8.2x
Lattice Semiconductor Corporation ($LSCC)-1.8x6.5x19.0x3.9x
Renesola Ltd. ($SOL)7.0x35.0x123.6x2.3x3.3x
 
Median (45 companies)-0.6x-0.3x-0.0x0.4x0.3x
Analog Devices, Inc. ($ADI)0.3x-0.0x0.7x4.2x2.1x