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Applied Materials Inc reports 22.9% EBITDA growth in 2018 and 1.0 pp EBITDA Margin growth from 29.4% to 30.4%

11/15/2018 • About Applied Materials Inc ($AMAT) • By InTwits

Applied Materials Inc reported FY2018 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Applied Materials Inc is a fast growth stock: FY2018 revenue growth was 18.7%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 18.1% at FY2018 ROIC 36.4%
  • EBITDA Margin is expanding: 30.4% in FY2018 vs. 29.4% in FY2017 vs. 20.9% in FY2014
  • Applied Materials Inc has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.6%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 7.6%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: $622m in FY2018, $345m in FY2017, $253m in FY2016, $215m in FY2015, $241m in FY2014
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is 36.4%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Applied Materials Inc's Revenue surged on 18.7%. Revenue growth showed slowdown in FY18Q4 - it was 1.1% YoY. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.9 pp from 32.3% to 34.2% in 2018. EBITDA Margin stuck to a growing trend at 2.7 pp per annum in FY2014-FY2018.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in FY2018. During FY2014-FY2018 Gross Margin bottomed in FY2015 at 40.9% and was growing since that time. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2018. SG&A as a % of Revenue stuck to a declining trend at -1.2 pp per annum in the last 5 years. Stock Based Compensation (SBC) as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2018.

Net Income margin decreased on 4.4 pp from 23.6% to 19.2% in FY2018. During the last 5 years Net Income margin topped in FY2017 at 23.6%. The efficient tax rate was 29.4% in FY2018 while the average for the last five years was 19.0%.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2018 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 3.6%. Applied Materials Inc's CAPEX/Revenue increased slightly on 1.4 pp from 2.2% in FY2015 to 3.6% in FY2018. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 2.8%. During the last 5 years CAPEX as a % of Revenue bottomed in FY2015 at 2.2% and was growing since that time.

Accounts receivable as a % of Revenue decreased on 2.6 pp from 16.1% to 13.5% in FY2018. Inventories as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.4 pp from 20.2% to 21.6% in FY2018.

Applied Materials Inc has spent $6m on M&A in FY2018 which accounts for 0.035% of revenue.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROIC (36.4%) and ROE (40.9%). ROIC increased on 5.2 pp from 31.2% to 36.4% in FY2018. ROE decreased slightly on 0.54 pp from 41.5% to 40.9% in FY2018. ROIC followed a growing trend at 5.7 pp per annum in the last 5 years. ROE grew at 7.7 pp per annum in the last 5 years.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 0.4x Net Debt / EBITDA and 1.0x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 0.3x from 0.1x to 0.4x in FY2018. Debt showed almost no change in FY2018 while cash dropped on 31.3%. Net Debt/EBITDA followed a growing trend at 0.2x per annum in the last 5 years.

Applied Materials Inc has good short term financial stability: Interest coverage ratio (ICR) is 20.5x. The company has no short term refinancing risk: short term debt is zero.

Average interest expence paid by the company was 4.4% in FY2018.

Valuation and dividends


Applied Materials Inc's trades at EV/EBITDA 6.9x and P/E 10.4x.

The company paid 18.3% of Net Income as dividends in FY2018. Dividends grew on average at 4.5% per annum in the last 5 years).

Management team


Applied Materials Inc's CEO is Gary E Dickerson. Gary E Dickerson is a founder and has 5 years tenure with the company. CEO total compensation was $14,064,540 in FY2018 which included $1,000,000 salary. Daniel Durn "Dan" is a the company's CFO. Daniel Durn "Dan" has spent 1 year at the company.

Insider ownership is 0.66%. Insider ownership didn't change in 2018.

At the end of financial year the company had 21,000 employees. The number of employees jumped on 14.1%. Average revenue per employee in FY2018 was $821,571 and it increased on 4.0%.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 10/28/2018

Applied Materials Inc ($AMAT) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201420152016201720182018/2017
P&L
Revenue9,0729,65910,82514,53717,25318.7%
Gross Profit3,8433,9524,5116,5327,81719.7%
SG&A9208978198901,00212.6%
EBITDA1,8952,0642,5414,2755,25322.9%
EBIT1,5201,6932,1523,8684,79624.0%
Interest expence9510315519823418.2%
Tax3762212922971,381365.0%
Net Income1,0721,3771,7213,4343,313-3.5%
Stock Based Compensation14713120122025817.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash3,0024,7973,4065,0103,440-31.3%
Accounts Receivable1,6701,7392,2792,3382,323-0.6%
Inventory1,5671,8332,0502,9303,72127.0%
Short Term Debt01,20020000
Long Term Debt1,9473,3423,1255,3045,3090.1%
Cash flow
Capex24121525334562280.3%
Dividends48548744443060540.7%
Acquisitions12416686-91.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth20.8%6.5%12.1%34.3%18.7%
EBITDA growth125.1%8.9%23.1%68.2%22.9%

Gross Margin42.4%40.9%41.7%44.9%45.3%0.4%
EBITDA Margin20.9%21.4%23.5%29.4%30.4%1.0%
EBIT Margin16.8%17.5%19.9%26.6%27.8%1.2%
SG&A, % of revenue10.1%9.3%7.6%6.1%5.8%-0.3%
SBC, % of revenue1.6%1.4%1.9%1.5%1.5%-0.0%
Net Income Margin11.8%14.3%15.9%23.6%19.2%-4.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue2.7%2.2%2.3%2.4%3.6%1.2%

ROIC15.8%15.2%19.0%31.2%36.4%5.2%
ROE14.3%17.8%23.2%41.5%40.9%-0.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.6x-0.1x-0.0x0.1x0.4x0.3x
Interest expence / Average debt4.9%3.2%3.9%4.6%4.4%-0.2%
People
Insider ownership0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.0%
Employees14,00014,60015,60018,40021,00014.1%
Revenue/Employee, th. $6486626947908224.0%

Applied Materials Inc ($AMAT) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. $FY18Q1FY18Q2FY18Q3FY18Q4 YoY change
P&L
Revenue4,2054,5794,4684,014 28.3%29.1%19.3%1.1%
EBITDA1,3341,4001,3671,136 47.6%34.2%21.5%-5.6%
Net Income1651,1001,173876 -76.5%33.5%26.8%-10.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash6,7994,8703,3743,440 94.8%-1.5%-36.1%-31.3%
Short Term Debt0000
Long Term Debt5,3055,3065,3085,309 69.8%0.1%0.1%0.1%
Ratios
Gross Margin46.1%44.9%45.4%44.3% 2.1%-0.2%-0.0%-0.7%
EBITDA Margin 31.7% 30.6% 30.6% 28.3% 4.1%1.2%0.5%-2.0%
Net Income Margin 3.9% 24.0% 26.3% 21.8% -17.5%0.8%1.5%-2.9%

Peers in Semiconductors


Below you can find Applied Materials Inc benchmarking vs. other companies in Semiconductors industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
NanoFlex Power Corp ($OPVS)72.5%354.8%
MoSys, Inc. ($MOSY)-18.4%37.2%46.8%87.7%
SMART Global Holdings, Inc. ($SGH)-16.9%42.5%69.3%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)-1.0%-23.4%63.9%49.5%
Adesto Technologies Corporation ($IOTS)4.3%1.6%27.6%48.8%
 
Median (67 companies)54.6%9.7%4.4%10.9%4.7%
Applied Materials Inc ($AMAT)6.5%12.1%34.3%18.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
CEVA, Inc. ($CEVA)90.2%90.9%91.6%92.1%89.8%
NVE Corporation ($NVEC)77.9%80.3%76.1%78.5%79.0%
Rambus, Inc. ($RMBS)85.9%84.7%80.1%79.9%76.8%
Universal Display Corporation ($OLED)76.0%64.2%83.9%80.8%75.5%
Intermolecular, Inc. ($IMI)48.3%57.4%66.5%67.5%70.3%
 
Median (65 companies)46.4%47.7%48.0%49.1%51.0%
Applied Materials Inc ($AMAT)42.4%40.9%41.7%44.9%45.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
NVE Corporation ($NVEC)58.8%66.0%61.8%65.6%65.1%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)31.7%35.0%25.4%47.9%65.0%
NXP Semiconductors N.V. ($NXPI)25.7%41.5%21.6%46.2%49.9%
Texas Instruments Incorporated ($TXN)39.7%42.0%43.5%46.7%48.6%
Intel Corp ($INTC)42.8%41.0%35.2%41.7%45.7%
 
Median (66 companies)9.6%11.3%9.2%10.7%9.8%
Applied Materials Inc ($AMAT)20.9%21.4%23.5%29.4%30.4%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited ($AOSL)3.0%6.6%6.5%12.2%42.2%
Renesola Ltd. ($SOL)3.5%0.0%0.0%78.0%41.7%
First Solar, Inc. ($FSLR)7.6%4.0%7.9%17.5%33.0%
Sigma Designs Inc ($SIGM)11.0%6.5%6.2%14.1%29.3%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)19.0%24.8%46.9%23.3%29.2%
 
Median (66 companies)3.6%4.0%3.7%4.7%4.6%
Applied Materials Inc ($AMAT)2.7%2.2%2.3%2.4%3.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
SMART Global Holdings, Inc. ($SGH)2.5%21.5%51.7%
Texas Instruments Incorporated ($TXN)25.1%29.8%34.9%43.1%47.5%
Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU)18.8%15.8%0.8%21.5%42.9%
NVIDIA Corporation ($NVDA)9.2%13.3%13.1%27.3%35.3%
Skyworks Solutions, Inc. ($SWKS)24.8%36.4%33.7%33.1%32.3%
 
Median (73 companies)5.0%3.8%1.4%3.2%3.0%
Applied Materials Inc ($AMAT)15.8%15.2%19.0%31.2%36.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. ($MTSI)25.4x3.3x3.0x7.2x98.6x
Inphi Corporation ($IPHI)-6.4x4.5x33.7x32.2x
JinkoSolar Holding Company Limited ($JKS)4.2x3.3x4.1x11.0x8.2x
Lattice Semiconductor Corporation ($LSCC)-1.8x6.5x19.0x3.9x
Renesola Ltd. ($SOL)7.0x35.0x123.6x2.3x3.3x
 
Median (45 companies)-0.5x-0.3x0.4x0.4x0.3x
Applied Materials Inc ($AMAT)-0.6x-0.1x-0.0x0.1x0.4x